Leonid Meteor Shower
Tristan Bennett writes "It looks as though those in Australia and America are in for a real treat. During the
week before and after November 18, the Earth will pass through the trail of
comet Tempel-Tuttle and be pelted with hail of sand-sized material. This year is supposed to be special, with astronomers
predicting anywhere from 800 (North America) - 8,000 (Australia) meteors
visible per hour at the storm's peak -- on November 18th."
Gleened from Space.com
For North American skywatchers, Earth will enter the heavier parts of the stream at about 11 p.m. EST on Saturday, Nov. 17. Activity will peak around 5 a.m. Sunday morning, when as many as 13 meteors per minute could be visible, likely for a stretch of time that lasts less than 1 hour. The peak corresponds to 4 a.m. CST, 3 a.m. MST and 2 a.m. PST.
help fill in hidden movie endings @ End of the Credits
You'll want to use XEphem to plan your Leonid observing. It is freely available software for GNU/Linux that produces great printable star charts and much more. If for some reason you can't get XEphem for your OS you might find Heavens Above to be useful.
Apparently the Leonid Flux Estimator has moved. It's now here. You'll need a Java-capable browser to use it.
"It take 9 months to bear a child, no matter how many women you assign to the job."
Woohoo! IAAAA (I Am An Amateur Astronomer). =) Anyway, I have two main things to say. The first is a rant about the media blowing things out of proportion, and the second is some tips on how to look for a meteor shower.
I hope it is really great this year, but please nobody assume that it's going to happen just because it's in a newspaper or on the news.
Astronomy's one of those cost-benefit things where 99 out of 100 times there's a warning and you get up at 3 in the morning and nothing happens. The other time you see something and it's either average, or spectacular and a life-long memory.
In 1966, everyone assumed that the Leonids had died, because they hadn't shown up at all in the 30's. A relatively small number of people went out at the time that they were predicted, and they saw a really awesome display.
The Leonids were again predicted to be really big in 1999, to the point where CNN was showing Japanese people in downtown Tokyo setting up deck chairs on the roof of office blocks. The whole thing fizzled, and immediately afterwards lots of the editorial media started complaining that nothing had happened. The same thing was predicted again for last year, and nothing really happened on the spectacular scale of what was expected.
This year, someone else has predicted that it'll happen by using a slightly different system. Like I said I hope it's right. I'll definitely be up in the morning watching with friends from my local club, and if nothing happens we'll drag out the telescopes nad look at other stuff in the sky.
We never bother bringing the media in on possibly "big" events anymore, though, because they just blow the entire general public's expectations out of proportion and then blame astronomers for being wrong when it doesn't come off. If something happens then we all get to see it and tell the media after it's happened - if we're lucky, someone got a good photograph.
So don't get your hopes up. Anyway, for everyone who does go out and look, here's some pointers:
Have fun. =P And if you're still interested, go and find a local astronomical society. Local ones are usually better than big ones because you get to actually go out and do stuff.