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Cringely's 2002 Predictions

Posted by CmdrTaco on from the looking-in-the-crystal-ball dept.

An anonymous reader submitted Cringley's 2002 predictions. Nothing totally unexpected: XML will explode (hasn't it already?) and Microsoft will keep their mits in every big deal in the tech industry. Other stuff too, like the return of VCs and IPO frenzies (yawn), and that Rich Media won't quite make it yet in 2002.

6 of 159 comments (clear)

  1. 2001 by Oily+Tuna · · Score: 3, Informative

    2001's predictions

    he might be 70% right on the obvious stuff, but his stock predictions are 0% right, so I won't take any notice of the new ones

    --
    Mmmmmmm ... sushi.
  2. Re:XML? HAHAHAHAHA by phreakmonkey · · Score: 2, Informative
    I disagree. I work for a very large fortune 100 company (think transportation and wings). We write most of the software that runs our multi-national infrastructure in house.

    All of our inter-application communications and middleware uses XML. It makes it much easier to code new applications without knowing the people who coded the old ones. :-)

  3. Re:So you're saying by iGawyn · · Score: 2, Informative

    I'm not implying that there's no problems with raw sockets, any time that you give users a higher-gauge shotgun (in the form an OS) aimed at their foot, you're causing more problems.

    However, the solution is not to remove raw sockets, it's to (a) forcibly educate the users, such as making them run through a tutorial on first-boot from a PC, or (b) lock down the system, instead of leaving it open, like MS typically does.

    I'm definitely sure there will be WinXP DDoS attacks, I know enough about network security and the like to think there won't be, but it'll be nowhere near the catastrophic levels predicted by Gibon, Cringley, and groupies.

    Gawyn

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    Freedom of Speech?
  4. It was a prepackaged bankruptcy by mr_death · · Score: 3, Informative
    ... Covad pulled out of Bankruptcy

    Not really -- Covad filed what is known as a prepackaged bankruptcy (http://www.latimes.com/business/la-000064425aug08 .story) , where the debt holders have already agreed to trade some or all of their debt for equity and some cash, reducing the amount of debt service the company had to support. From where I'm sitting, there was no question that Covad would reemerge from bankruptcy.

    --
    It's Linux, damnit! Pay no attention to renaming attempts by self-aggrandizing blowhards.
  5. Actually by iGawyn · · Score: 3, Informative

    Just about every ISP worth the money you pay per month does this. I'm not sure how many ISPs do filter, but it's a very simple, one line addition to the Cisco routers, to check to see if the source IP is within it's IP pool. If not, then you can either discard and ignore the packets, or discard and flag them, based on repeat offenders, and from there, track down which user is sending them and inform them of this.

    Gawyn

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    Freedom of Speech?
  6. It doesn't have to be by iGawyn · · Score: 2, Informative

    A DDoS attack is damaging, either spoofed or non-spoofed, but Gibson's main premise is that, with the inclusion of raw sockets into WinXP, spoofed DDoS attacks will conquer the internet, be untraceable and unblockable, and generally bring around the end of the world as we know it.

    For more info on paranoia, read here. Then, before the marketing spin catches a hold of your soul, read here.

    Gawyn

    --
    Freedom of Speech?