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Earth to...Earth? Are you there?

jasamaman writes "So far all the planets found outside our solar system have been gas giants. So they are not habitable, and couldn't really hold life as we know it. But "planet hunter" David Charbonneau is looking for another planet just like Earth, and claims that astronomers are "very close"."

15 of 178 comments (clear)

  1. How dose he know? by red5 · · Score: 5, Funny

    How the hell could he know that we are "very close" to discovering anything?
    Did miss cleo tell him?

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    1. Re:How dose he know? by seizer · · Score: 5, Funny

      He "knows" he's very close, because he *knows* his research budget might be cut soon ;-)

      (just conjecture, btw)

    2. Re:How dose he know? by Perdo · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Seems like the technology required to find planets will be in the reach of amateurs soon. So there will be many more "eyes" looking for planets. Or the technology is becoming sufficiently mature that we will be able to detect smaller rocky bodies. Or he is about to launch a distributed computing project to analyze the visible signatures of every visible star for the wobble caused by planet motion.

      Right now, we could not detect our solar systems planets. There are 9 planets exerting their own oscillation into the sun's wobble. Perhaps he cannot do it now, but he knows what it would take to get there. Two years ago we all laughed and joked about IBM's process that would allow 5ghz machines. We all said "whatever, how the hell do they know, vaporware" Now we have seen 5 Ghz machines demonstrated, overclockers are hitting 3 Ghz easily and you should try not to discredit a geek in his field if you are out of yours.

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    3. Re:How dose he know? by mshurpik · · Score: 5, Funny

      For all we know we will have nanites in 100 years (or less) contructing a radio telescope antenna of astronomical proportions from bucky tubes with the information collected examined by a worldwide distributed computing system. You have to look at the entire sphere of the advancement of science.

      I'd love to, but my boss keeps telling me, "Put the grill-side of the hamburger FACE-UP on the bun."

      He doesn't care about space telescopes, neither do the customers. But at $6/hr, I will eventually save up for a linux cluster and programming classes, which will help the distributed computing effort quite a bit.

  2. Microlensing transit events by Cally · · Score: 5, Informative
    People have been looking for microlensing events caused by IIRC the transit that yielded the first atmosheric compostition numbers, last year, had already been found by the parallax ("wobbly star") method used to find 99% of other known extra-solar planets. The orbital plane was already known to be in line with us, and indeed the event's timing was predicted using the wobbling parent star. The point is that this technique (which is really a hack in the original sense) is only any use in those rare cases where the orbital plane intersects line of sight from the parent star to earth. Calculation of the percentage of orbits for which this is true is left as an exercise for the reader (cos I haven't the maths ;) [Source: Astronomy magazine.)

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  3. Why we haven't found them yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    The sun of our solar system contains more than 99,9% of its mass. Of the remaining 0,1%, most is of the megaplanets like Jupiter and Saturn. Jupiter alone has around 500 times the mass of Earth. Habitable plants are thus incredibly, incredibly small compared to their suns or compared to gas giants. Given the limited funding (forget space, we need missile defense!) we can be happy that we can detect gas giants.

  4. if we have to evacuate.. by marijne · · Score: 4, Funny

    well, we do need some place to evacuate to if the Vogons come to buildt an interstellar bypass and destroy the earth in the process.
    Lets find 42 alternative planets earth

  5. Given that Scientists.... by theolein · · Score: 4, Interesting

    have recently determined that amino acids (protein building block molecules) are formed in a vacuum which would perhaps mean that most life would be formed on the same basis as we are, perhaps it would be easier to look for old radio transmissions and TV-signals as SETI does. Have the people at SETI ever done any modelling to see what our old TV-signals would look like 10 light years from earth?

    Another thing that might be vital to life on earth might simply be the fact that we have such a large moon acting as both a shield to a lot of asteroidal bombardment and as a planetary motor for tides ,winds and life in general.

  6. Close, but not that close by Pedrito · · Score: 5, Informative

    There are a number of ways Earth-sized planets could be discovered fairly soon (within the next 5-10 years). There are several planet-finding satellites to be launched. The Hubble would also be capable of detecting an Earth-sized planet passing in front of a star.

    The real trick is finding the proper conditions. First, we need to find an extra-solar system in which Earth-sized planets exist. It's now believed that these are fairly few and far between. The reason is that a vast majority of the gas giant systems we've discovered so far have their gas giants in either really close orbits to their stars, or are highly eliptical with passes close to their stars. In these situations, Earth-like planets would likely be tossed into their stars, or more likely, tossed into open space, by the gravitational effect of the giants.

    So, what you need is giants that live fairly far out (like Jupiter and Saturn). These appear to be about 1 out of 50+ systems. So, out of this 1-2% of systems, we then need to find ones with orbital planes that are parallel to our angle of view of those systems, and catch the Earth-sized planets passing in front of their stars.

    Asking for all those conditions to line up is a pretty tall order, so it's unlikely we'll catch such an event in the next 5 years. My personal opinion. A large breakthrough may change that, and that's possible as well. After all, look at the discovery of extra-solar planets. It was a breakthrough idea that led to a sudden discovery of many of these systems, without a real technilogical breakthrough.

    1. Re:Close, but not that close by Royster · · Score: 4, Insightful

      First, we need to find an extra-solar system in which Earth-sized planets exist. It's now believed that these are fairly few and far between. The reason is that a vast majority of the gas giant systems we've discovered so far have their gas giants in either really close orbits to their stars, or are highly eliptical with passes close to their stars. In these situations, Earth-like planets would likely be tossed into their stars, or more likely, tossed into open space, by the gravitational effect of the giants.

      Oh, bullshit.

      The methods we have used until now to find extra-solar planets are extremely biased to find (a) large planets, (b) very close to the star and (c) in highly elliptical orbits. To make conclusions about the distribution of Earth-like planets from biased samples is foolhardy.

      It's as if you decided to count species by sitting in one place in the woods looking through a pair of binoculars. Sure, you would see all of the large mammals and birds that happened by, but you'd miss the vast majority of species by seeing hardly any of the incects (maybe a few fireflies if you were savvy enough to recognize them as animals) and none of the water dwelling animals. You conclusions about the distribution of species would be worthless because you saw only the easiest animals to spot.

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  7. Astronomers very close? by mccalli · · Score: 5, Funny
    David Charbonneau is looking for another planet just like Earth, and claims that astronomers are "very close"."

    That's true. Astronomers are very close. However, where the hell all these planets are is quite another matter...

    Cheers,
    Ian

  8. Re:egotistic... by Fyndo · · Score: 5, Interesting
    What else, besides carbon are you going to base life on? Silicon is the only other thing that has a chemistry even a fraction as varied as carbon, but forms oxides too readily. We haven't ever seen large-scale organization of nuclear matter (and have pretty good theoretical arguments, why not), so it seems unlikely that there's life based on anything sub-molecular. Don't see how you'd get a stable plasma-based life form.

    if you have any plausible suggestions, by all means, make them. But till then, the only way I can see to get life is carbon-based life forms. Yeah, I could be wrong, but I'm betting on other life forms also being carbon-based. Not proof, but strikes me as a good bet.

  9. Re:How does he know? by CrazyDwarf · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm glad you posted the section you did here, as I didn't remember his exact words (and I can sometimes be a stickler for comparing what he said to what people think he said.) It says, "We are close to being able to find Earth-like planets." He doesn't say we're close to finding one, just that we're close to being able to find one. That's quite a big difference, especially when you consider that space is mostly empty. It could be 20 years after we are able to find one that we actually do.

    Just to kind of explain that to some of our slower readers... and this is in no way accurate, but just an example to help understand... if putting a coke bottle on the end of a telescope enables us to detect Earth-like planets, then we still have to search the skies with that telescope. That could take a long time, with the vastness of space.

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  10. Re:How does he know...and isn't it done already? by CyberDruid · · Score: 4, Informative

    The closest thing that has been discovered is the two gas giants around 47 Ursa Majoris. This is the planetary system that so far looks most like our own. The two giants have less extreme (more circular) orbits than most of the ca 70 planets found, which also contributes to make it look a lot like ours. Gas giants can be an important contributor for life to appear on a smaller planet, since they act like magnets for asteroids and other debris, sheltering the smaller planets and giving life a chance to evolve.

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  11. Older Article by Valdrax · · Score: 4, Informative

    Actually, he's referring to this older Slashdot article, which you must've not read.

    Now whether this formed in a vacuum or not is a technicality. The scientists shone high level of UV light on a chunk of ice containing ammonia and methyl alchohol at a temperature of 4K and found traces of 3 amino acids had formed. The amino acids themselves formed from the surrounding ice slurry which was in a vacuum, ergo "amino acids are formed in a vacuum."

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