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NASA's HETE Coming Down

terrymr writes "NASA expects the High Energy Transient Experiment spacecraft which failed to successfully detach from the third stage of its launch rocket in 1996 to fall to earth within the next few days. While most of the spacecraft will likely burn up in the upper atmosphere there is a good chance that the spacecraft's batteries (weighing 33lbs each) may reach the ground intact. Current predictions put re-entry at 4:41 EDT Sunday April 7 (+/- two days)."

31 of 96 comments (clear)

  1. Ebay... by pfb · · Score: 3, Funny

    /me wonders whether items will appear on ebay before they even land...

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    -- ribbit
  2. They�ve got minute-exact time, but +/- 2 days? by uncl_bob · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Hmm..anyone care to explain that?

    1. Re:They�ve got minute-exact time, but +/- 2 days? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative
      They calculated average time of the entering with 2 days of standard deviation.

      Do you remember math?

    2. Re:They�ve got minute-exact time, but +/- 2 days? by E-prospero · · Score: 2

      > Do you remember math?

      Do you? The precision given in an estimate should not be greater than the precision in the error bounds.

      A meaningful estimate would be "Sunday, +/- 2 days".

      The extra detail of "4:41 EDT" is meaningless, due to the magnitude of the error bounds, and only serves to give the illusion of precision where none exists - probably to sate the anger of the masses who don't comprehend the magnitude of the problem, and therefore don't understand why a multi billion US$ space program can't predict when something they launched will fall out of the sky.

      Russ %-)

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  3. On NASA's tracking program? by Myshkin5 · · Score: 2

    Does anyone know how to bring this up with NASA's tracking program?

    1. Re:On NASA's tracking program? by Telecommando · · Score: 2, Informative

      try http://liftoff.msfc.nasa.gov/RealTime/JTrack/3D/JT rack3D.html and select SAC-B/HTET/PEGASUS under satelites.

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  4. reminds me of skylab by serps · · Score: 3, Funny

    Reminds me of when Skylab fell to earth, dumping pieces of itself over Western Australia. The local president of the town council, Mervin Andre, gave the Director of NASA a littering ticket when chunks of the disintegrating space station dropped over the area southeast of Perth. The ticket remains unpaid to this day, although the council later waived the fine anyway.

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    1. Re:reminds me of skylab by slickwillie · · Score: 2

      I wonder if NASA issued their standard response (like they did for Skylab):

      "we've calculated that it has a 70% chance of not hitting land."

  5. Used to study gamma ray bursts. by garrick_rorapaugh · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The HETE-1 was supposed to look for gamma ray bursts. If you haven't heard about these events, they are believed to emanate from explosions so powerful that they produce more energy in a matter of seconds than the sun will emit in its entire 10 billion years of life.

    The cool thing is that astronomers have almost no idea what could be causing these enormous bursts.

    Check out http://www.sciam.com/0797issue/0797fishman.html for more information.

    1. Re:Used to study gamma ray bursts. by Rolo+Tomasi · · Score: 2, Interesting
      ... astronomers have almost no idea what could be causing these enormous bursts.
      Actually, they have. Scientists from Leicester University analyzed the spectral fingerprint of a GRB and they found that it had come from a Supernova explosion. There's an article in the current issue of Nature. The interesting part is that the GRB occured 10 to 100 hours after the Supernova explosion.
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    2. Re:Used to study gamma ray bursts. by efuseekay · · Score: 2

      Actually, not yet. THere are a lot of scientists out there, and not all believe that GRB's are supernovas. There are a lot of ideas, but no consensus.

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  6. Re:33lbs in kg? by cybergibbons · · Score: 2

    It says 15kg clearly in the article which is only a few paragraphs long and takes less than a minute to read.

    Maybe you should try that.

  7. Precision, precision. by ChiPHeaD23 · · Score: 4, Funny
    'Current predictions put re-entry at 4:41 EDT Sunday April 7 (+/- two days)'

    Guess somebody's getting a little too specific in their "predictions" given their precision. In other news, today's high will be 67.2 degrees (+/-40).

  8. Too much space junk by somaroma · · Score: 3, Funny

    With all the space junk in orbit now, I wonder if the reason we have not be been contacted by aliens isn't because we are the bad neighbors in the milkyway. We are like the people on the street with uncut grass and old broken down crap strewn all around our yard. Nobody wants to come over and say hello because they assume the residents are low lifes. If we do get a visit, it may be the head of the galaxy association telling us to take down the tacky mood decorations and clean the junk out of our space.

  9. Re:American Stupidity by mpe · · Score: 2

    I wouldn't count numbers five and six. Remember, there'a whole lot of zealots who insist we grew out of two people that were made from dirt.

    Actually a few more of the questions are rather flawed.
    Question 1: No technology currently exists to measure the core temperature of any planet, including Earth.
    Question 2: it's just as valid to say that all the oxygen we breath comes nuclear fusion
    Question 4: it sould probably contain "relative to each other". Otherwise they move quite a distance each second. Even then you are asking for a true/false about a theory which is imensly difficult to prove.

  10. 33 pounds TOTAL, not each by wowbagger · · Score: 5, Informative

    Initial analysis indicates that only four small stainless-steel batteries, weighing a total of 15 kilograms (33 pounds) will survive re-entry.


    In other words, the weight of all 4 batteries is 15 kilos, not the weight of each battery. Still, 3.5 kilos at terminal velocity is nothing to sneeze at - perhaps I should buy a large number of pillows from Yahoo!....

    1. Re:33 pounds TOTAL, not each by terrymr · · Score: 2

      Yes - I realised that mistake after I hit the submit button - the difference in mass won't make much difference if it hits you in the head though.

  11. Plutonium, HETE and Nuclear Links by securitas · · Score: 2, Interesting


    'Stainless steel batteries? ' I think not. More likely that they are plutonium or some other nuclear material, and the reason that no predictions are being made about where they will land is because NASA doesn't want to start a panic. As I understand it they are designed to burn up on re-entry to avoid ground level contamination (that says nothing of atmospheric contamination along the flight path). If they survive all the way to the ground and they are radiological....

    Space Nuclear Power Systems

    Space Nuclear Power System Accidents

    Bulletin of Atomic Scientists: How many nuclear devices are there in space?

    Link to CNN story.

    1. Re:Plutonium, HETE and Nuclear Links by LWolenczak · · Score: 3, Informative

      As far as I know, in recent years, ie the 90s, NASA has only used plutonium decay reactors for missions that go past mars, where solar panels are ineffective. Also, if memory serves, the launching of nuclear reactors is forbidden on the global level these days...... Thats why when NASA has been dumping lots of money into things like impulse drive as of recent.

    2. Re:Plutonium, HETE and Nuclear Links by leeward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Umm... why was this modded up? This is just plain ridiculous, and the person posting has no idea what he/she is talking about. NASA only puts nuclear power cells on probes that are headed to deep space, where the light from the sun is too weak to use solar power. No NASA satellite in orbit around the earth uses nuclear power, period. It is just too big of a hassle compared to the ease of solar panels and batteries.

      And again, the reason that the prediction is vague is because the satellite is reentering the atmosphere at a very shallow angle. This makes it impossible to accurately predict when, and therefore where, the satellite will reenter.

    3. Re:Plutonium, HETE and Nuclear Links by bperkins · · Score: 2

      You're a moron.

      I saw a show that talked about the HETE a few weeks ago. They were pissed that it was being put on a pegasus, since the rocket had a 50% failure rate or so. It seems unlikely that they would have put a nuclear battery on such a launch.

      Also, if you read the article, you would have noticed that the battery died after a few days of being stuck inside the launch vehicle. Doesn't sound like a radioactive battery to me.

      Finally, there are solar panels on the experiment. It would not make sense to have both a plutonium battery and solar panels on the same sattelite.

  12. Re:Why not bring it down? by sharkey · · Score: 2

    Or better yet, over a certain corporate campus in Redmond.

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  13. Re:Why not bring it down? by leeward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If they still have control of the satellite, then that is exactly what they do. Remember MIR last year? They deliberately steered it so that it would fall in a large mostly sparsely inhabited area of the southern Pacific.

    If you mean would they shoot it down, then the answer is that it is unlikely. We really don't have missiles that can reliably hit orbiting objects yet.

  14. Nothing nuclear here. These are NiCad. by Christopher+Thomas · · Score: 4, Informative
    'Stainless steel batteries? ' I think not. More likely that they are plutonium or some other nuclear material

    Um, you might want to actually read about the satellite before assuming it uses radiothermal generators.

    The great big solar panels in the picture of the satellite might have been a hint that it didn't use nuclear power.

    From the HETE pages (describing HETE-2, an exact duplicate of the HETE-1 craft whose launch was unsuccessful):

    The HETE-2 power system hardware consists of

    • four solar panels, made of honeycomb aluminum with silicon substrate, each supplying 42W.
    • power box with power point tracker,~90% efficient
    • 6 battery packs, each made up of a string of 24 1.5V NiCd cells, and each with 1.2 A-hrs capacity


    You can find more information on the specs of the HETE satellites at http://space.mit.edu/HETE/spacecraft.html .
  15. Re:+/- two days? by hacksoncode · · Score: 2, Informative
    The key to when a satellite deorbits is when the atmospheric drag causes it to. The atmosphere expands and contracts based on a variety of factors including solar flux, which is very hard to predict. This isn't physics, it's astro-meteorology (multiple puns intended).

    By comparison, figuring out when an asteroid will hit the earth is a simple matter of determining it's path and speed and doing a simple calculation.

  16. Re:The poster is wrong ... by terrymr · · Score: 2

    Oddly enough NiCd batteries were used - makes sense really industry standard rechargable batteries along with solar panels.

  17. A couple things by LupusUF · · Score: 2, Informative

    People keep asking why they don't know when it will hit"

    "The re-entry is uncontrolled, and due to potential solar flux variations, time and location predictions will not be reliable until only a few hours before the re-entry event," said Scott Hull"

    And contrary to what the original post says, the batteries are not 33 pounds each. That is the total weight of all of them.

    Initial analysis indicates that only four small stainless-steel batteries, weighing a total of 15 kilograms (33 pounds) will survive re-entry."

  18. Re:I hope.. by Pathwalker · · Score: 2

    I think it is rather obvious why he chose that target...

  19. free batteries by InsaneCreator · · Score: 2

    there is a good chance that the spacecraft's batteries (weighing 33lbs each) may reach the ground intact

    If I'm lucky I won't have to buy that extra laptop battery...

  20. Space Junk and Close Encounters with Space Hicks by BigBlockMopar · · Score: 2

    We are like the people on the street with uncut grass and old broken down crap strewn all around our yard. Nobody wants to come over and say hello because they assume the residents are low lifes. If we do get a visit, it may be the head of the galaxy association telling us to take down the tacky mood decorations and clean the junk out of our space.

    Or not. Judging from my experience when I leave old junked cars and major appliances in my front yard, it's a great way to make new friends and the encounter would go more like this:

    Interstellar pickup truck with interstellar Confederate flag comes up to the edge of our debris field. Occupant gets out, picks his way gingerly down to the surface, knocks on International Space Agency's door.

    "Hi there. I wuz just drivin' by, and I was wundrin, is y'all still usin' that there Iridium system you'se've got still orbitin' yer planet? I got sompin' like it at home and I need some parts. Kin I take it off'n yer hands fer a coupla cases of beer? Thank-ye kindly."

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  21. You're a bloody fucking idiot by fm6 · · Score: 2
    Sorry to resort to trollspeak, but it's the only language adequate to describe your laziness, arrogance, and stupidity.

    Here's why I'm making a point of insulting you. Nuclear power of all kinds is backed by a lobby of smug, short-sighted techno-fetishists who just love it in when some hippie does the usual misinformed kneejerk antinuke rant. This allows them to portray all their opponents as such, and avoid the serious issues nuclear technology raise. You just scored one for their side!

    All you had to do was make a quick search on Google, which would have led you straight to the specs for the spacecraft in question. Which would have told you that the HETE is powered by a combo of solar cells and nicads.

    (Of course, nicads are also an environmental problem, but at least the ones on HETE aren't going into a landfill. Good environmentalist that you are, I hope you take your used nicads to a toxic waste depot. Or is pollution always somebody else's fault?)

    Next time you feel inclined to speak up for The Cause, make sure you're actually serving The Cause, and not your own pathetic ego.