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Linux to Become #2 on the Desktop?

DiZASTiX writes "An article from Zdnet says Linux on the desktop has become a reality. It is now possible, for example, to buy a Linux-based PC (running LindowsOS) from Evesham. In the United States, Wal-Mart sells machines based on Lindows, Mandrake Linux and others. But though Linux may have its foot in the door, taking the next step to becoming a mainstream success is proving a more difficult proposition."

13 of 702 comments (clear)

  1. too late by The+Glory+of+Witty · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There already is a Unix variant in the number two slot, and its called Mac OS.

    1. Re:too late by entrylevel · · Score: 5, Insightful

      ...and by that time Quark will have finally released a version of QuarkXPress that doesn't corrupt files in the OS X Classic environment. Boy will they be pissed to find out the creative professional OS of choice has changed *again*!

      Seriously, (actually that first paragraph was half-serious), has everyone forgotten that every six months (since 1986!) Ziff-Davis predicts that Apple will be brankrupt by the end of the year? Clearly, they know what they are talking about.

      Only just recently they have started claiming that Linux will take over the desktop; which, as a Linux advocate, I think is just silly. Then again I'm just a programmer, not a journalist. At least they have finally realized that it won't *ever* have a larger desktop user base than Windows. I don't ever expect them to realize that open source simply cannot tackle proprietery software until we have some sort of major economic and social revolution.

      Without support for mainstream media (WiMP, QT, Flash 6, Real), Microsoft Office, and DirectX (negotiable, but witness how many games use the "industry standard" OpenGL), Linux can't even get a seat to watch the game, let alone actually play. Sure WINE is an incredible and useful hack, but it'll be another 2 years at least until setup and compatibility are useful to semi-computer-literate folk, forget about grandma. By the time WINE is ready for the mainstream, Microsoft will make sure it is illegal, at least in the US. Cleanroom reverse-engineering is only semi-legal now, thanks to the DMCA. Even if WINE is legal at that point, it would in and of itself remain a reason to develop only for Windows.

      Every OS has its place... and its zealots. Linux and OS X are fantastic in their dedicated niches. Windows XP, as much as I hate to admit it, is a fairly versatile and well-rounded OS. It blows my mind to see free-software supporters drooling over some huge publishing corporation *speculating* that a free software product *might* gain market share. What market? It's free, so there's no market, at least not in the traditional sense of the word. What are the bean counters counting? Some people sound like they are just itching to sell out. Hint: the moment you sell out, you eliminate your most sought-after advantages.

      I know this is Slashdot, but can we please try to be realistic? The computer indutry is and always will be extremely volatile, but Microsoft, Apple, and Linux have endured the test of time. They are here to stay, all for different reasons. They all take repeated beatings that would demoralize and sink many other companies/organisations/communities. Just use what you like/need, or any combination thereof.

      (No, I'm not new here. Yes, I have a Linux box in my closet. Yes, my cable modem router is a Linux box too. Yes, they both run Debian. Yes, I will miss boot-floppies. Yes, the box on my desktop runs OS X. Yes, I use Windows Evil License Edition too, but only at work. No, I never clicked 'Agree', although yes, I clicked 'Submit'.)

      --
      Karma: Incomprehensible (Mostly affected by posting at +5, reading at -1, and metamoderating everything unfair.)
  2. Re:It's a good start though ... by RazzleDazzle · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Are people (besides the Distros) actually pushing for Linux on the desktop? I know if it becomes mainstream the distros will have huge revenue streams but does everyone else think it is so critical? I am just saying that I have noticed a lot of media attention bringing this up, not so much by regular people though. I should mention I don't use windows on any of the machines I own; I use Linux and OpenBSD.

    Careless aggression of marketing put Microsoft where there are today.

    --
    ZERO ZERO ONE ZERO ONE ZERO ONE ONE! Just brushing up for my next big invention: Ethernet over Voice (EoV)
  3. Re:X-Windows ... eww, smelly by Jace+of+Fuse! · · Score: 4, Insightful

    KDE and Gnome (amung others) build upon the X Windows System to proveide a GUI.

    You are correct, and they would be much better off if they didn't. For a networkable client-server GDI XWindow System works wonderfully. For a a desktop system it's farking horrible, relatively speaking. Many of it's "FEEL" issues, the least of which have to do with performance and usability, carry over into the "upper layers" and are noticable in KDE and GNome. That is to say, the flaws that are easily felt in XWindows alone still peek through KDE and Gnome, leaving me to believe the problem is with X, not the other way around.

    The way Mac went with OS X would be a great way for a free alternative clone (of OS X) to go. X just has too much support(...well...) for people to give up on it no matter how much it sucks for a personal computer desktop environment. Linux will never have the share of users it deserves until everyone can collectively break the mindset that X is the Unix desktop. Unfortunately, for the moment X -IS- the Unix desktop and that's why Linux holds 2nd place in a one horse race.

    --

    "Everything you know is wrong. (And stupid.)"

    Moderation Totals: Wrong=2, Stupid=3, Total=5.
  4. Re:X-Windows ... eww, smelly by zulux · · Score: 5, Insightful


    You are correct, and they would be much better off if they didn't.


    I humbly disagree - the three things that suck about the free X Windows System, in my dumb opinion, are: sucky mouse cursors, screwy anti-aliasing, shitty fonts and buggy alpha channels.

    Fortunalty, all these problems with the X Windows System are being fixed as we speek. The trauma of removing X11 and replacing it with somthing else (somthing else that probably has suckyness of it's own) is probably more than just fixing X11.

    --

    Moneyed corporations, non-working 'poor' and criminal prisoners are turning productive citizens into tax-slaves.

  5. #1, #2, and "everybody else". by landley · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Linux won't get widespread third part software support (games, educational software, bundled device drivers, turbotax, etc) until it becomes #2. Why? Simple: There's Coca-Cola, Pepsi, and everybody else. Name the #3 cola. Anybody?

    Most people look at the computer world the same way. You support the #1 platform, and maybe the #2 "to be diverse", and everybody else can go hang. It's _hard_ to make a business case to support anybody else, it's a case of diminishing returns with each new platform and the slope is STEEP.

    The macintosh has been #2 since the mid 80's. Platforms like the amiga and OS/2 learned this. Pure java only got attention because it ran on Windows too. Even when the macintosh wasn't particularly significant (just before Steve Jobs came back), people were used to THINKING of it as #2, and targetting their retail software developent and hardware driver support that way. It will come as a surprise to a lot of people when it loses that spot. Confirming it will be news, and not just in the geek world but magazine covers and television evening news.

    Now these days, the macintosh is a unix platform. If the mac loses its #2 position on the desktop, Jobs will just claim "we're unix, #2 is unix and that's us". Okay. Jobs does NOT want to give up the marketing advantage of being the "designated alternative", but WHEN the macintosh loses the #2 spot, he may be graceful about it since he does have a fallback marketing position. (You may have notice that on the tech side, he's trying to diversify into the server space.)

    But right now, porting to linux without first porting to the macintosh is a really hard sell in a corporate environment, and after the mac port you have to sell linux AGAIN. (P.S. Try doing that sort of thing in the gaming environment, where windows as #2 to the playstation.)

    Rob

    (P.S. The "desktop" niche is dying, the laptop niche is what everybody should be worrying about. And apple's still doing REALLY nicely there...)

  6. Why it will never be Number One. by RatBastard · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Kinux has come a long way since I first used it in 1993. But it still has a long way to go before it can be considered more than an also-ran in the desktop arena. There are a lot of things that need to be done. Some things the Open Source/Linux Community are going to be loathe to do:
    • Move Away From X-Windows.
      The simple fact is that X-Windows was never intended to do what we expect it to do these days. It was not designed to be an end-user desktop. While it does have neat abilities, like being able to access workstations across a network, end users don't care about those. End users care about the desktop being fast and responsive. Two things that X-Windows is not. X-Windows also knocks the claim that Linux needs less processor power and RAM than MS Windows right into the dirt.
    • The Adoption Of A Single, Standardized Interface Design.
      Before Joe Sixpack will use Linux there needs to be a standardization of the UI. A standard that ALL graphical programs adhere to. No if ands or buts. One standard. While the myriad of widgets and environments give power users and geeks the freedom to tweak their systems or programs enay way they want, all of this "choice" just confuses the hell out of the end user. While MS Windows might not be completely consistant, it is enough that the average user can get used to it. Almost every Windows program (save for those nightmares with skins) look and act like Windows, in a manner that most users expect.

      Yes, this means that either KDE or Gnome will have to die. End users don't want to have to chose what UI they use. They want one interface they can learn and be done with it.
    • Make Graphical Setup "Wizards" For Everything.
      No end user wants to edit text files. Nor should they EVER have to. This is 2003, not 1975. The days of rooting through a confusing mess of directories for boot scripts is (or should be) over.
    • Binary Distributions For Everything.
      No end user wants to compile anything. Ever. Sure, power users and old-hand Linux users might enjoy it, but they are not the people we are concerned with. Until a MS Windows user can effortlessly install ANY program with just a few mouse clicks they are going to stay away.
    • Workstation Configurations With Dangerous Deamons (ftpd, httpd, etc...) Turned Off By Default.
      End Users do not care about running FTP servers and web serves from their desktops. Why bog down a system with all these useless processes they are not ever going to use, and that leave these system more vulnerable than a Windows 2000 system?
    • Linux Evangelists Stop Insulting MS And Its Users.
      Nothing, but nothing turns off a potential Linux convert than having to dig through piles of posts, to Usenet or forums like /., calling them M$ Luzors! If all they see is a comunity filled with abrasive and insulting children they are going to stay away.
    --
    Boobies never hurt anyone. - Sherry Glaser.
  7. Re:X-Windows ... eww, smelly by WatertonMan · · Score: 5, Insightful
    [i]The mouse pointers and fonts can be easily fixed if you know what you're doing. [/i]

    That has ever been the bane of Linux and is partially why it is such a poor choice for the desktop. Geeks say, "yes, but you can do that by doing. . ." and then list off a done of archane processes no regular human would remember or expect to know unless someone told them.

    I like Linux and OpenBSD a lot. Use them a fair bit. But lets be honest. Typically installing software, doing updates, and so forth are *difficult*. Further getting things the way you want is as well. The problem is that Geeks who are used to doing that stuff have made fairly difficult things second nature. They are sufficiently used to it that they have a blind spot when it comes to the difficulties involved.

    Making a good desktop computer involves much more than a nice windowing system. It means never having to play with a dozen text files listing archane commands. It means not having to buy an O'Reilly book when you want to do something. It means things work in an intuitive, expect fashion. Both Apple and Microsoft realize this.

    Linux is powerful. But easy? Ha.

    I've not used Lindows, but I halfway wonder what will happen when Grandma wants to run something that requires an upgrade.

  8. Re:Ofcourse, it works like a charm on the desktop. by miffo.swe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What strange law has been passed lately that mandates MS Windows as the OS for all computers sold? When linux picks up steam on the desktop to it will start being preloaded from the bigger computer vendors to. They dont make any money off of MS Windows so they couldnt care less what OS is preloaded.

    IE a killer app, of what, security? There are plenty of browsers now that has gotten way ahead in features, adherance to standards and functioning. IE is actually lagging behind right now.

    Office is something that most people use to write letters and occasionally some spreadsheets. Its overkill in 90% of the userbase. Most people could cope with notepad if they could just read what other sent them in doc format. Being able to read other peoples Office documents is the number one reason people use Office.

    Open Office and a bunch of other replacements exists already and more is coming this way fast. The browser is perfect now in linux, next stop Office Applications!

    --
    HTTP/1.1 400
  9. Linux is NOT ready for the desktop by BigBlockMopar · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm not a huge advocate of Linux on the desktop (yet)

    I want to be, but I can't (yet). [grin]

    Here's the problem:

    To put Linux on the desktop, we're asking them to give up the comfort, familiarity and applications of Windows. For what benefits?

    • A user interface which is slow, designed by computer geeks for what *we* like, rather than designed by marketing departments for what *the public* likes, and usually ships, by default, with color schemes which are somehow even more garish and offensive than Windows XP.
    • Inconsistent support. If Joe Sixpack were to look for support on a Linux program, usually there's no 1-900 number. If he were to dig up the mailing list info and send in a question, how long would it be before someone says "RTFM!"? What's he gonna do when TFM is half-written or poorly translated from some strange Tibetan dialect?
    • Poor applications. Quoting an e-mail I received: "But a lot of it - and mainly the GUI stuff - is still lagging behind, being a slower and buggier version of a half-decent program on Windows. And priorities are wonderful - when we build a GUI application, the most important thing is that it's skinnable. Bugs? Features? Competition? Who cares?! It's skinnable!"

      The same writer continues... "And for the biggest question: Mr. Rupert wants a financial software for Linux (his son installed it for him). So he calls his son over to install a simple financial software - just something which can calculate his loan repayments. His son opens google (or freshmeat), and finds 31 financial programs. Each has a different set of features, of course. He downloads and compiles each of them (ah, yes, the rpm was compiled using an ancient glibc version, and no, Mr. Rupert doesn't know what glibc is). The only two candidates which could actually be compiled (and didn't require libobscure.so.2) and actually have this option in their ugly programmer-designed-GUI menus die as soon as you choose the option. That's right - the operating system is stable as a rock, but the programs die immediately. What's Mr. Rupert going to use? hmm.... Maybe a respectable program from a respectable company (on Windows, of course).

      But wait! John Rupert (the little 15 year old) can program - he's got some C tutorials, and he's written a few small programs. Why can't he write the program for his father? And the 32nd version is on its way."

    • Good stability and core networking and filesystems. (Joe Sixpack really seems to care about this, after all, he's still running Windows 98 with FAT32. But he's happy, 'cause it's 98SE.)
    • Free to download, cheap to buy. Ahh, but if you're in business, you're paying people to use computers. You're paying people to surf the 'Net and try to figure out why OpenOffice Calc won't do the polynomial regression that Excel 95 and up will do in two mouseclicks. You're paying people to punch Ignore/Ignore/Ignore as KMail chews through an e-mail with the names of people it doesn't recognize, rather than quietly underlining them so that you may passively ignore them. You're paying people to wait 1/2 hour as KDE parses a directory full of JPG images of the latest marketing brochures. Suddenly, the $200 or whatever Microsoft is currently charging for Windows is pretty unimportant.
    • An ordeal every time someone sends you a Microsoft Office file. These are basically standard in the business world, and while you expect this to be a problem with an alternative desktop, it's incredible how pervasive the damned things are. Are you gonna tell a potential employer to re-send his offer of employment in HTML because you can't read a Word file properly? Wouldn't it be even worse if you were a large company dealing with clients who sent you stuff in XLS, PPT, DOC?

    We need to work on this stuff. Linux still isn't ready for the desktop.

    --
    Fire and Meat. Yummy.
    1. Re:Linux is NOT ready for the desktop by Eric+Damron · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I wish I could say that you're flippin' wrong and write a nasty flame but the truth is that Linux is almost ready for the desktop. I feel that if the Linux community continues to push and improve we could have Linux ready in a few years.

      However, when we say it's not ready for the desktop let's be clear about who are our target users. Are we talking about business or home use? Both have very different needs.

      There are office packages for Linux that will do everything that a business needs and there are mail clients and web browsers and various financial packages both open source and proprietary that will do nicely.

      No, I think that we are VERY close to being business desktop ready. It's the home user that I think will be harder to please. Mostly in the area of games. Linux has proven to be a vary capable gaming platform. Quake 3 is still very popular and has a native Linux port that has better frame rates than does the Windows version (See Tom's Hardware for benchmarks.) My point being that the lack of gaming support is not a technical issue but rather a financial issue. We are kind of in a catch 22. We need users (who are willing to pay for programs) to draw large software shops to write popular applications but we need large software shops to write popular applications to draw users who are willing to pay for applications.

      I know that Linux has a ton of applications and a lot of them are very high quality. However without these application getting any publicity no one but us geeks know about them.

      Microsoft is doing it's best to stop the spread of Linux and open source software but they will lose the battle eventually. With their enormous resources they may be dead and still twitching for a long, long time. If they were smart they would see the writing on the wall and adapt. But there are too many egos at stake and they are too entrench in the old style of control to do so. It would be better for them to bend like the reed instead to trying to stand like the oak. Oh well, it is for them to sort out.

      Anyway, look for Linux to start taking the desktop within three to five years. Maybe not in the United States first but security issues will start to move other governments away from Redmond's OS and to open source. There is no other way that they can be sure that the software does not include backdoors mandated by the US for spying purposes. Any foreign leader who knows about the presidential jet that we sold to China knows that the US government will order companies to install spying devices. It would be foolish to believe that we would order these devices put on a jet but not order Microsoft to put spying abilities into the versions of their OS that gets sold out of country. (Or maybe even within the US also.)

      --
      The race isn't always to the swift... but that's the way to bet!
  10. Don't push for linux on the desktop by dasunt · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If you want to see the success of alternative OSes, don't push for linux on the desktop - push for open standards and cross platform programs. Right now, I can sit down at a linux machine or a windows machine, and use Open Office, Mozilla, the Gimp, Blender, and a ton of other programs. That is good.

    I don't want to be tied to Microsoft. That doesn't mean I want to be tied to Linux either. (Although Linux would be a gentler master then windows). I prefer to have applications divorced from the data files which are divorced from the underlying OS. I don't want YetAnotherAudioApp that has its own enhanced file format that isn't cross platform. I want mp3s, I want oggs. I don't want to save my work in the unknown Microsoft Office whatever .doc format. Hell, I don't really like saving it in Open Office's .sxw really, but I know if its in .sxw, I could figure out the file format without too much difficulty, and at least Open Office is cross platform.

    If you don't keep data in proprietary formats, its harder to get screwed in the long run.

  11. Re:It's a good start though ... by Tim+C · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't mean to sound sanctimonious or patronising, but I have to say that my immediate thought on reading this was "You're learning".

    I really fail to see why so many people seem to care so much about whether or not "mainstream users" are using Linux on their PCs. As long as it works for you, and you can get done what you need to get done, why worry?

    I use Linux (curently Mandrake 9) exclusively at work. I do have XP installed under VMWare, but hardly ever use it. I'm a Java programmer, writing server-side code for websites, and so have no need for Windows; Linux does everything I need. For those few doc files that OpenOffice can't handle, I have VMWare & XP.

    At home, I recently bought (yes, bought) a copy of XP Pro. That's because I play a lot of games, and until I can walk into a shop and buy any game I want knowing that it'll work under Linux, I "need" Windows.

    I used to care deeply about getting people to use Linux, especially my fellow programmers (I was the first non-sysadmin at my company to install Linux on their PC, having finally gotten the go-ahead from management). Over time, though, I came to realise that it really doesn't matter.

    There are enough people passionate enough about Linux that I need not worry about it dying out any time soon. All the hardware I need to use is supported, and I can get development tools for most languages for it (even C# is being worked on!). Why should I care how many people I've never met and never will have any contact with are using it?

    The right tool for the right job, but also, the right tool for the right person.