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UK to "get serious" About Renewable Energy

Bob Dobbs writes "Tomorrow the UK government will announce (observer.co.uk) it's going to "get serious" about renewable energy; in the bleakest look at global warming so far Tony Blair will warn that extreme weather will wreak £150 billion worth of damage across Europe within a decade and the current situation is "unsustainable". On the bright side, it's mentioned that sustainable energy sources are less susceptible to terrorist attack."

20 of 436 comments (clear)

  1. renewable energy is a nationalist's dream by Travoltus · · Score: 4, Insightful


    It means you'll never have to depend upon a foreign country for energy or fuel.

    --
    --- Grow a pair, liberals... stop letting the Republicans bully you!
  2. Typical Politician Bull by GabrielF · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is a classic politicians trick. Are you on awkward territory with the liberals? Throw them an environmental policy they'll like. But the trick is make it so far fetched that nothing will happen for 20 years by which time you'll be conveniently out of office. Remember the Hydrogen Care initiative at El Presidente's State of The Union? Next up - a space elevator!

  3. �150 billion by theNeilster · · Score: 5, Insightful

    It's depressing that the primary reason for action, quoted, is expressed in monetary terms, and not human ones. This happens time and again, and is a reflection of the values of the times we live in. When we speak of damage to the environment, the future of the human race itself is at stake, but our primary reason for wanting to do something about it is how much it might cost? PLEASE WAKE UP.

    Watch for this, watch for how often things are expressed in monetary terms, as though that was all that mattered.

    1. Re:�150 billion by stefanlasiewski · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's a sad truth.

      However, Blair isn't trying to convince people that Global Warming would be distructive. He's trying to convince businesses, who measure just about everything in terms of money.

      In the States, we've heard the term "Sure, global warming is happening, but it's not worth the economic cost to fix." By coming up with some economic numbers, Blair is attacking these monetary arguments directly.

      --
      "Can of worms? The can is open... the worms are everywhere."
  4. Too Little Too Late? by Alpha+State · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Before such measures have any effect on global warming, the following will have to take place:

    • The emission of greenhouse gases will have to significantly decrease. I don't think a 20% reduction by one country is really significant, particularly when emissions from many other countries are still increasing.
    • The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere will have to decrease, either absorbed by plants or dissolved into water. I don't know how long this would take, probably decades.
    • The world's temperature and weather patterns wwill return to normal. Due to the heat already absorbed by the oceans, this will be decades.

    As we are not even approaching the first step, we have to face the fact that these changes are coming. Not that we shouldn't try to change things - we'll have to have other forms of power when fossil fuels start to run out anyway. But these changes are coming and it is now out of our power to stop them.

    The real question is, how is the world's food production going to be affected by the climate changes? From the current predictions, it seems that most intensive farming areas of the world are going to have less water, which is an extremely bad sign. I hope people start planning for this soon.

    The most ironic part of the article is the continued push against nuclear power, which is currently the only technology which could produce a significant amount of Britain's power without CO2 emission. We have truly dug a deep hole for ourselves.

    (Sorry if this is a bit bleak, it's monday morning here.)

    1. Re:Too Little Too Late? by RMacolyte · · Score: 5, Insightful

      A 20% reduction is nothing to laugh at. It sets a precedent for other nations to look at. The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere has already impacted the climate for the next generation or so, there's no way out of that. We can act now to minimize that impact and make sure it doesn't continue to accellerate. Food production: right now we have excess food production in developed countries. They'll be fine. The places where you need to be concerned are in developing countries, especially in Africa. These countries will have severe climate fluxuations that will most likely decimate their agricultural systems. They lack the irrigation to give water supplies to crops in many areas, and there is realistically very little storage capacity or granaries to store crops year to year. That's where planning needs to start.

  5. Re:Unsustainable situation by mickwd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Actually, I don't think it's so much oil (and gas) as the old nuclear power stations coming to the end of their active lives, and the government being unwilling to build new ones (due to the political difficulties it would cause since much of the population here doesn't want new ones being built near them).

  6. Re:Unsustainable situation by rodgerd · · Score: 5, Insightful

    That's not too surprising, especially in Europe. There's not a whole bunch of places to put the waste, for one thing. No desert mountains to bury it under. New Scientist did a piece on the dump near Sellafield, which has the radioactive leavings stored up. It's a light concrete bunker containing enough waste that if a medium size plane were flown into it, it would release radioactive waste equivalent to hundreds of Chernobyls.

    Europe's a small place. That kind of thing makes people very rationally concerned.

    Oh, not to mention the ongoing problems in the Irish Sea, and the atypically high rates of cancer recorded around some of the existing plants...

  7. Dead End by Necron69 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Alternative energy is a dead end. There just doesn't exist any alternative energy source that is capable of producing enough energy for mankind's (ever growing) needs. You need to go really large-scale, or it won't make a dent in the total amount of energy needed.

    I refer you to this article by Steven Den Beste talking about amounts of energy produced by various technologies. (He starts with biodiesel but moves on from there.)

    Personally, I think nuclear energy is the only realistic way to go, but like Den Beste, I admit that nuclear power is politically dead. On average, nuclear waste is by far the most containable pollution compared to anything releasing massive amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere. IMHO, being an 'environmentalist' and being anti-nuclear power is nonsensical.

    - Necron69

    1. Re:Dead End by tempfile · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, fossil energy is just as dead an end. It'll just run out some time... and uranium will as well. Our only way is to start exploiting renewable energy sources, and to decrease energy consumption A LOT. Science is making progress, but when today's fossil energy sources are gone, there will be no way to sustain the current levels of energy supply, no matter how good solar panels will be in 2050.

    2. Re:Dead End by praksys · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Alternative energy is a dead end.

      You should have made a more limited claim, perhaps along the lines of "alternative energy is not going to replace fossil feuls anytime soon". Alternative energy as such is obviously not a dead end because there are lots of types of alternative energy that are cost effective. Sometimes these sources of alternative energy are cost effective only in special cases (like solar powered phones on the side of the road) but in many other cases they are cost effective even when competing directly with fossil fuels (like wind power being used to supply electricity to the national grid).

      All the same, the author of the article you linked to is right when he says:

      The question is not whether this, or any of the others, actually are commercially feasible. The question which began this whole thing was whether any single one of them, or all of them collectively, could make it so that the US no longer had to import oil. They aren't even close to representing a big enough source of energy to offset the amount we bring in via tanker.

      But then commits the same error that he describes here:

      You've got to think big. I've run into this before. Most non-engineers (and even a lot of engineers) don't actually have an intuitive understanding of large numbers. (That's why people play the lottery.) For most people, any number above about a thousand is the same size.

      People make the same mistake with small numbers. A large number of tiny contributions can add up to a very large contribution, but people tend to treat very small contributions as though they were nothing at all. I think your author is making the same mistake - he assumes that individual alternative energy sources must contribute at least 10 megawatts to be worth considering at all. This is a mistake. If you have a large number of sources, each contributing small amounts of energy, then in fact this could put a big dent in the demand for fossil fuels.

      A realistic view of future energy use is that a combination of many alternative sources, and many types of conservation (more fuel efficient cars etc), will put a dent in the demand for fossil fuels, but will not eliminate fossil fuels as the main source of energy. If the aim is just to reduce greenhouse emissions then that might be good enough.

  8. Money and life are intertwined though by davinc · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sadly some of us do consider human life cheap (It's very easy to make, and will be around a long long time). I believe in quality of life over quantity of life, and economics is a reflection of quality of life. When the shuttle broke up, I didn't think twice about the people on board, I wondered what it was going to do to the US financially.

    We are all going to die, I promise you that. Spending an extra 2 months out of the year working to fund federal disaster programs affects me directly, and I am not ashamed to say that I care about that. Counting costs and counting lives are equally important, and intimately connected.

    I'm not actually saying you are wrong, just that money and life aren't so seperate.

  9. Fossil fuels are too expensive to burn these days by MSBob · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Here in Canada heating oil is so frigging expensive that this winter I switched to heating with wood and started seeing enormous savings right away. If the wood is dry and seasoned and you have an EPA certified stove there is very little creosote build up and no wood smell in the house. I'd rather burn wood than oil and avoid lining Irving's pockets.

    More people should look at wood burning these days. The technology has come a long since the days of an old rusty pot belly stove in the basement. There is a good site about burning wood

    --
    Your pizza just the way you ought to have it.
  10. Re:Government Science by An+Onerous+Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1) Climatology was still in its infancy back in the 1970's. The "computer simulations" they were doing back then could be done with a few hours on a P800 today. Sure, it's an inexact science. But it's gotten better, and will continue to get better.

    2) It's stupid to put sneer quotes around the term "scientist" when referring to government scientists. They're graduating from the same doctorate programs as non-government scientists. Without further evidence, there's no reason to assume that they're any less qualified than their civilian counterparts.

    3) Government represents the will of the people (one man, one vote). Microsoft represents the will of its shareholders (one share, one vote). That is why I feel safer about government-imposed standards than standards imposed by a near-monopoly corporation, and why you should too.

    4) I have almost zero confidence that any government will be able to fix global warming, but I have even less confidence that unregulated corporations would do so. There's just no incentive to do so.

    But corporations are often far more flexible and innovative than governments. The best solution is probably to let the government create the incentives through tax breaks and fines, and give the corporations free rein in deciding how to meet the challenge.

    --

    You want the truthiness? You can't handle the truthiness!

  11. Re:Fossil fuels are too expensive to burn these da by de+la+mettrie · · Score: 4, Insightful

    More people should look at wood burning these days.

    No. Not on a global scale, because then it becomes non-sustainable.

    Excessive wood burning is one of the major reasons for desertification in developing countries. They experience a population explosion while many people retain their agricultural/nomadic lifestyle. Too many eaten, trampled and burnt plants means rapid erosion.

    If you plant one tree for every one you burn, it's OK, but this makes little economic sense, as the energy density of wood is too low and the costs (time, space) too high to warrant the effort in a developed society.

  12. If Bush was serious... by Spamalamadingdong · · Score: 4, Insightful
    he would call for increases in the price of oil-based products. That would encourage people to look for alternatives, without mandating what people ought to use. That would also give Detroit a market for all the technology they developed for the PNGV, but can't make money on under current market conditions.

    Gasoline at $5/gallon would get rid of the SUV craze, and good riddance.

    1. Re:If Bush was serious... by Capsaicin · · Score: 4, Insightful
      What is wrong with letting the free market do the price raising?

      1. Because the free market (as presently constituted) fails to allocate finite energy resources efficiently over time.

      Specifically the exchange technology currently available to the market (money), fails to recognise that energy is in a category sui generis. That is to say energy IS wealth. Every utilitsation of wealth is a utilisation of energy, whether this energy is in a 'natural' form, or is expressed as human labour.

      Perhaps it would be different if we used an 'energy standard' (like the old gold standard), but the current commodity neutral exchange technology fails in this fashion: A finite store of some particular energy reserve (eg oil), is consumed subject to a certain level of inefficiency. Now the market will find it 'inefficient' to invest an amount of money in rectifying that inefficiency until such time as the energy reserve dwindles and the price rises to a certain level. Until such time the energy is wasted (which might be as much as 25% with oil), resulting in a net loss of wealth.

      2. More obviously to the point. As currently instituted, the market fails to percieve climatic change, it is an 'externality.' Your countrymen, when they buy the fuel that drives them to work or their children's library, do not pay for the destruction of Australian homes, properties and forests, (and only as taxpayers forthe destruction of American homes, properties and forests) for which their (and indeed Australian driver's) fule consupmtion is responsible.

      The 'free market' is an efficient basal means for the allocation of resources. More often than not, well intentioned, but poorly designed, interventions in the market result in an overall net loss. That, however, does not mean the free market is either the efficient of all possible allocation schemes, nor even that it is a sufficient system for allocation. Maybe it is not easy to discern what kind of intervention will better the markets efficiency, but that, after all, is why we have economists. Well the pragmatic economists, not the ones who make a religion out of the free market

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
  13. sustainable and green is a very hard combination by RhettLivingston · · Score: 5, Insightful

    To get right answers to the energy question, we must start understanding that

    a technology's efficiency rating must subtract the true energy cost of production of all hardware involved and extraction of all resources including the energy and resources consumed by the people involved and

    an assessment of the environmental impact of technology must include the environmental impact of the factories producing the energy production devices, the raw materials consumed, the wastes produced, the land covered, and the environmental energy transferred (many transform environmental energy of some type to electricity and transfer that electricity to other locations where it almost always becomes heat).

    Almost every "solution" I've seen come from the friends of the environment has huge environmental impacts and many consume more energy than they produce. Let's talk about a few.

    Hydrogen - its an energy transportation mechanism, not a source. Its impact is little different than electrical wires with the exception that it allows you to "wire" a vehicle to a hydrogen generation plant that will likely be oil fueled. To date, it is cheaper to mass produce hydrogen from oil than any other substance.

    Solar cells (cost) - once again, solar cells are an energy transport mechanism. Because the energy investment in lifecycle support (mining, production, distribution, maintenance, recycling) is greater than the lifetime energy output. Efficiencies would have to be far higher to offset this. Don't forget that you have to produce all the energy that we currently consume + all of the energy consumed to produce the energy. Another big weight on the efficiency rating is that you have to back this with other technologies for storing the energy to supply energy at night and when cloudy, these reduce the overall energy efficiency ratings of the system too, both directly and indirectly through the energy cost of production of the backup systems. On top of that, you have to plan for worse case scenarios because you'd likely supplant much of the other energy production technology. What effect would the fires a couple of years ago in Indonesia have had on regional and even worldwide solar energy production? And they lasted for how long?

    Solar cells (environment) - solar cell energy consumption might be environmentally friendly, but the energy production will alter the landscape of an order of magnitude more land than oil. To get the capacities we need we will have to significantly change the reflectivity of large areas of our planet. What will that do to weather patterns?

    Various underground organic energy sources - none are sustainable. We should stop just burning these up because they are also our cheapest stores for many other raw materials needed to sustain modern technology, though I'm figuring they will eventually make a bug to turn coal into oil/gas and leave behind an equivalent volume tubular matrix made from non-organic substances in the coal. This will allow for easier, more environmentally friendly extraction (it really ticks me off when they cut the tops off of the mountains). Anyway, suffice it to say that there will still be a massive need for oil even when none of it is used for energy production.

    Wind - oh come on. Those things are a noisy, ugly blight on the landscape. Someone is making big bucks selling the Brooklyn Bridge here (and most of them are coming from tax dollars because it isn't a very good business yet except in very special circumstances). Has anybody even bothered to figure out the total energy cost of manufacturing and raw materials on these monstrosities? Not to mention maintenance, recycling, etc. And, once again, you need an entire backup infrastructure. It can't be another infrastructure needing a backup unless you can prove that their needs will never significantly overlap. No energy is free and wind seems far from it.

    Inland hydroelectric - already more exploited than I like. So many beautiful rivers lost. So much history submerged. Very sad.

    Oceanic water movement - This would include wave, current, and many other oceanic energy production methodologies. How come the environmentalists scream when a nuclear plant puts out heat but don't scream at the combined impact of all of this on the oceanic environment. No reason really. So they will. And rightly so. I can't wait for all the studies about what kinds of weather extremes are being caused by the minuscule reduction of energy transfers from one part of the ocean to another that all of these technologies cause.

    ????? combination maybe - just an easy way to trick yourself by distributing the impacts. The combination of all the smaller impacts is still as big or greater than the whole impact of other technologies.

    So what's the answer. Nuclear of course. Its the only answer. Its environmental effects especially are far more containable than the other sources. Fission at first, preferrably with breeder technology, then fusion. Either way, it should be combined with a hydrogen and electrical distribution system. Perhaps mostly hydrogen at some point. I suspect hydrogen may prove to have a lesser loss in long distance transport than electric.

    Even with fusion, we'll eventually need to find a way to radiate more of the energy into space because the heat produced by our consumption will eventually reach levels able to influence climates. Probably about the time we start moving society underground so that we can restore our environment and increase food production.

    The interesting thing is that this is exactly the answer Bush has proposed. Hmmm. Maybe not so dumb after all. Its a wise man who seeks wise instead of radical counsel.

    Like others have said, Blair's move is just a fig leaf thrown to the lions for political purposes. Unless he means "nuclear power" when he says "sustainable energy", it will have no real impact, not only because it won't last, but because its based on sensationalism and fear, not science.

  14. Solar tower costs vs cost of war on oil: by vivian · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Australia is looking at making a solar tower which is supposed to prodice enough power to run 100,000 homes, and requires 5 square km of desert or other stupidly hot place. No water required, as it drives turbines rather than boils water.
    Has anyone looked at the costs of switching to solar towers vs the cost of war, and how much area would be required? I think that the answers actually look both economically and practically viable.
    First the facts
    from:
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/2628 361.stm
    Sorry about the formatting - I can't figure out how to get the 2nd col to line up right.

    US Population: 300,000,000
    average people per houses: 4.0
    Approx Houses: 75,000,000
    Houses powered per Solar Tower: 200,000
    Area required per Solar tower (km^2): 7
    Solar Towers needed for US: 375
    Area required for US (km^2): 2,625
    Length per side of ST area(km): 51
    Cost of a solar tower ($US): 560,000,000
    Cost of all solar towers ($US): 210,000,000,000
    War on terror cost per year($US): 30,000,000,000
    Years of war to pay for all towers: about 7

    So a TOTAL area of about 51x51 km of desert would be needed to provide all the households in the US with all their power. Since the household power usage figures are for Australia, you'd probably have to double or trebble this figure for US households (higher per capita consumption etc) but even so, you could practically pay for them ALL for the cost of 7 year's war on terror, or about 2/3 of a single year's annual defence budget, assuming you didn't get more efficient at building them - with practive, the costs of putting one up should drop.

    You can extrapolate for the world & see that you could provide power for every man woman & child on earth at the Australian rate of consumption for about 20 times this amount.

    Best of all, since it's relatively low-tech, ie. not sensitive military capable technologies - just a bloody big tower & turbines, there should be no issues regarding technology transfer. I would imagine it would be a nicely profitable business to be experts at building these things for other countries.

    Isn't it time to start building these things all over Texas or something? How much does it cost to set up a new oil drilling site anyway?
  15. Re:Unsustainable situation by ralphclark · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Because it *wasn't* funny.

    If it weren't for the timely intervention of the French 300-odd years ago, the American freedom fighters would most likely have *lost* the War of Independence, and the USA wouldn't exist today. Don't forget, your own Statue of Liberty was a gift from France, symbolizing the two nations' common ideals of liberty, equality, fraternity.

    It's rather disappointing to see Americans so ready to hate their friends just because those friends should be, on occasion, strong enough to take a moral stance against them. This is the behaviour one might expect of a maladjusted child, not that of a civilised adult.

    Even the best of friends can't always be expected to agree. It's no basis for racial hatred, and to show such petulant disrespect for another civilised nation, even in jest, is not only infantile but dangerously arrogant.