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Dvorak Thinks Apple Will Switch to Intel

SeanTobin was among several users who noted that Dvorak's latest column discusses the possibility of Apple going to Intel for future macs. Yeah, this rumor pops up pretty often, but I wonder how long before we'd get binary compatibility between other x86 unix OSs.

28 of 419 comments (clear)

  1. Why does anyone listen to Dvorak? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    He's an idiot!

    1. Re:Why does anyone listen to Dvorak? by Rick+the+Red · · Score: 5, Insightful

      No shit. First Cringly, now Dvorak. Why is Slashdot becomming the front man for all the loser know-nothings with a column? If there isn't anything better to post than "Cringly said this" and "Dvorak said that", then don't post. This is supposed to be news for nerds, not blathering for nerds.

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    2. Re:Why does anyone listen to Dvorak? by Midnight+Thunder · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Look on the bright side, now that the 'nerd' community is aware that Dvorak has said something stupid again, we now know where management is getting its facts from. This allows us to be wise and explain to management in simple terms that Dvork is on crack again and why what he proposes is unlikely to happen.

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    3. Re:Why does anyone listen to Dvorak? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well if you are so smart, where is your column? The problem with /. readers is they think they are the smartest people in the world. If you don't agree with what is said by someone else, then dismiss it in your mind and move on. However, if you aren't exposed to numerous opinions and ideas, then there is no way you can have a complete view on a topic.

  2. Dvorak always does this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Takes something with a shred of truth (the people being at said conferences) and blowing it into something "newsworthy".

    1. Re:Dvorak always does this. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Dvorak has never been right. He has a past history of ranting incoherently, throwing a few opinions he knows is going to press some buttons to get a little extra readership, before simply jumping across to another topic to do more of the same.

      Reporting on the opinions of my retarded neighbour who collects roadkill and has an IQ somewhere under 70 would be just as accurate as Dvorak's rants.

  3. x86? by RebelWebmaster · · Score: 5, Insightful

    For one thing, Dvorak thinks Apple will use Itanium. Not exactly binary compatible with other x86 unices...

    1. Re:x86? by Jabes · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But wouldn't intel just love it? I mean, if a mainstream product (or at least, one which is in the public eye -- is apple mainstream?) started using the Itanium and made a success of it, it can only encourage PC makers to take that bold step.

    2. Re:x86? by phelddagrif · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I really don't think that the x86 or IA-64 tree is what apple needs/will take. Sure the hammers and itanic are far more powerful than the current G4's but what isn't.

      And furthermore, it seems like a ton of work to switch processor architectures, instead of using a new chip based on your platforms current architecture. Which would you choose, re-writing a HUGE portion of your OS, making new motherboards, huge marketing spin? Or making new motherboards for a chip your OS already runs on?

    3. Re:x86? by Paladin128 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's different degrees of expensive. A 900mhz Itanium starts at around $3000 -- which alone is more than all but the most expensive Mac's.

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    4. Re:x86? by Shuh · · Score: 4, Insightful
      I don't think that ppl want another PC OS, remember BeOS?
      You hit the nail on the head. x86 architecture is where old OS's go to die. The only OS that "thrives" on x86 (other than the 800lb gorilla) is a "free" one. New commercial OS's on x86 come and go. But Sun, Apple, IBM, HP, and a host of others have done quite well for themselves (for many years) keeping their OS immune from M$ by having their own proprietary hardware solutions.
  4. No mention of IBM? by tbmoore · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There's no mention of Apple's most likely upgrade path in the next 12-18 months, the IBM PPC 970. Uh... hello?

    1. Re:No mention of IBM? by Helmut+Kool · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Exactly. It would be completely insane to switch to Intel right now with a powerful Altivec holding PPC backwards compatible CPU around the corner. No need to modify thousands of applications. If Apple were to switch to Intel, a good moment to do it would have been at the same time as releasing OS X.

    2. Re:No mention of IBM? by questamor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Dvorak is keeping true to form. In about 6 months he'll be proposing that Apple use a "secret new processor" being developed by IBM, that's related to their Power architecture as used in IBM big iron.

      (and yes, it'll be rehashes of rumours the rest of us heard 6 months ago)

  5. Strange, but... by koh · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You can tell high-level languages are the standard when someone proposes to switch a whole architecture to the x86 platform.

    Remember the times the x86 was pointed at because of its lack of registers ? Recently read an pentium to-the-metal optimization guide, and discovered you had to recode your optimizations backwards to port them from p3 to p4 ?

    I can't possibly understand how a switch to intel processors can possibly benefit Apple...

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  6. An "Intel" arch, but not x86 by popular · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Dvorak is suggesting that Apple will switch to Itanium, which according to the roadmaps is nowhere near being ready for the desktop. At present, Intel is jamming larger and larger caches into Itanic until it will float against other processors in the server space, giving it an otherworldly transistor count not ready for the desktop in THIS decade -- the fabrication is simply too complex (read: $$$$), the power requirements are through the roof, and the compiler technology for IA-64 is many years from maturity. The Merced core for Itanic is absolutely useless, and I won't even get into the questions about whether even future generations will be viable.

    A better 64 bit choice, particularly for Apple, will be IBM's upcoming PPC 970, which doesn't require massive retooling.

  7. Binary compatibility by kasperd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wonder how long before we'd get binary compatibility between other x86 unix OSs.

    Using an Intel CPU doesn't mean they have to repeat all IBMs mistakes from the past. They have the oportunity to design a BIOS from scratch that doesn't have to be backwardcompatible. It can become a lot better from that. I hope, that if they really go Intel, at least they bitch realmode and go in protected mode as fast as possible. While an OS that runs on both platforms does not come for free, it shouldn't be a problem to reuse userspace code on very different hardwareplatforms, as long as the CPU is the same. Of course it requires a reasonable OS design. I bet it won't be a long time after such a Mac has been released before you can run Linux on it with all the binary executables you already have for x86. Even WMWare might work, which would be kind of interesting. I wonder how long time it will be before MS ships a Windows that runs natively on Mac. I also wonder how Apple feels about that possibility.

    I however still wonder why anyone would design a new architecture with an obsolete CPU. A much better decission could be to use AMDs new soon to be released x86-64.

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  8. Possible, but not to a PC architechture by Psykechan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This wouldn't be the first time that the Mac has changed processors. (680x0 -> PPC) It's unlikely that Apple would keep the crappy PC style architechture though. Take a look at the base 1 MB and the terrible interrupt controller cascade. Apple wouldn't want to inherit this, plus if they stay far enough outside the PC, they can maintain their individuality.

    I can picture geeks buying x86Mac hardware to run Linux on as it should be more stable than current x86 hardware. I can also picture x86 virtualization software (VirtualPC) being useful. Apple no longer has to deal with the low clock speed stigma.

    This sounds like it would be a good thing.

  9. Speed 'gain' by TheRaven64 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    He makes the point that switching to to Itanium would give speed gains, and that Apple have managed to switch from 6502 to 68k (Apple II to Mac, but I don't remember the Mac being Apple II compatible), then again to PPC. The PPC shipped with a code translator which made the old 68K apps run slowly, but the speed gains in the PPC made them catch up quickly. If they switched to Itanium, then they would have to do this again. The OS is portable, so that could probably be 100% native (early PPC versions ran some portions of the OS in the 68k emulator), as could most of the bundled apps. Then, people would have to either use a slow (emulated) version of their software, or buy a new version.

    He makes a point that they could release a dual CPU machine with an Itanium and a PPC chip, but this would be slower than a single CPU model for most things (dual CPU where each CPU is a different architecture is tricky and leads to performance hits). Since all Apple's current top of the line models have 2 PPCs, the new machine would be slower than the old ones.

    On the other hand, the PPC 970 is comming into production, a 64-bit PPC with 2GHz+ clock speeds. 64 is twice as big as 32, so marketing can claim it's as fast as a 4GHz Pentium 4 (actually it might be almost that fast, since the P4 is famous for high clock rates and low performance per clock). Being a PPC, this chip is also backwards comaptible. Oh, and it has 2 AltiVec units, so all that AltiVec code Apple has been pushing for the last couple of years should really sing. A 900MHz FSB reduces the old memory bottleneck present in current PPCs. I'm not sure how much the PPC970 will cost, but I doubt it will be much more than Itanium, and it's far more attractive from Apple's point of view. This Dvorak guy seems to have forgotten that the Apple IBM Motorola alliance had 3 members...

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  10. Re:What would MS reaction be to Intel Macs by reallocate · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Apple sells Apple computers. An "Apple computer" combines Apple hardware and an Apple OS. Not only would hell have to freeze over, but it would need to be at absolute zero before Apple starts diminshing their brand presence by selling an OS X that runs on non-Apple hardware.

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  11. Flies in face of current information by damieng · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Apple has clearly stated it believes in a laptop future. There is also no way they can drop current Mac application compatibility.

    Current speculation in the Mac community is the use of the IBM PowerPC 970 processor which should debut soon at 1.8Ghz. IBM have clearly stated it will support AltiVec instructions - previously only implemented by Motorola with IBM having no plans to use this technology themselves. Couple this with the rumours that some Apple OEM partners claim to have seen PPC970 based motherboard designs...

    And then we have Dvorak who goes out on his own to claim a switch to Intel Itanium with a PowerPC inside for backwards compatibility. Quite how the hardware and OS would cope with two totally different processors is quite beyond me but surely the important question is how this would fit with a laptop.

    The Itanium processor is not available in laptop form. It's current form requring around 100W vs the PowerPC 7455 (G4 processor used in PowerBooks) mere 20W range and you'll see that just isn't happening. Put both in the same box as Dvorak suggest? The heat and power consumption alone would make it impossible.

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  12. Would they really want to do this anyways???? by failedlogic · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If Dvorak were to work for Apple they would be bankrupt by now. Apple would always operate on rumors and not business decisions.

    Think of the average consumer walking into a retail store. Doesn't know the difference between a PC, MAC or a motherboard and a CPU. If you tell him that this Windows computer runs an Intel processor and so does the Mac but the PC is cheaper which would he buy? Why would a techie buy a MAC if they can get a desktop with the same/similar CPU for less and be able to run FreeBSD or Linux?

    Apple needs to reduce the price of the Itaniums by producing larger quantities. If Apple wants to use it, they'll also have to lower the power consumption since Apple will have to sell it in Powerbooks. Never mind the potential software and OS incompatabilites.

    Buying an Itanium leaves nothing for the lower budget consumer. I'd like to see them sell try t get the laptops still in the $1200 - $1500
    range with an Itanium when they first enter market. And what of the iMacs?

  13. And we believe him? by 00_NOP · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I have a book here called "Dvorak predicts" from 1994 which states inter alia 'Apple will die if it merges', 'Apple needs to make a run-time Mac', 'the real Unix operating system is an archaic command line', 'Unix has no advantage except it's easy to program', 'Unix is old fashioned in its design and OS/2 or Windows NT architectures are the wave of the future'.

    Correct me if I am wrong, but Apple merged and did not die, there is no rt mac archiecture available (excepting some good hacks that no one would use for business critical processes), unix based servers dominate the internet and MS are scared stiff that an old fashioned unix-like os is going to fillet their business.

    Mr Dvorak is as entitled as anyone else to make his predictions, but that doesn't mean he is any good at it.

  14. Backwards compatibility by ccmay · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Apple has also cultivated a fanatical following, who have long since accepted the fact that Apple eschews long-term backward compatibility.

    This is the most ridiculous thing in the whole article. Obviously he has forgotten the 68k emulator after the PowerPC changeover, as well as the Classic environment on OS X, both of which have worked perfectly in my experience.

    Furthermore, I think there is a higher proportion of old Apple machines still running than equivalent old PC's. I saw an SE/30 doing a fine job as a mail server not that long ago. How many people are still using 286/386 vintage stuff?

    -ccm

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  15. Re:I think apple will switch to kde. by justsomebody · · Score: 4, Insightful

    KDE is far from being enough clean to that step. Gnome on the other hand is not finished enough.

    KDE already runs on OSX

    Under X11 emulation, that's far from being native

    apple's using a huge load of kde code already

    You're probably reffering to Safari. KHTML is not a huge load of code. Just take a look at Apple Cocoa and Carbon code, differences will

    KDE is the best desktop enviroment in terms of architecture, customisability, flexiblity, applications , ease of use, i18n (over 80 languages!).

    I'm a linux user, so I should be bashing OSX and Aqua (when it would be fair), but KDE has a long way to go.
    Like first, spring cleaning of Menu and KControl, lack of support for handycaped persons, as long with other incosistances
    Gnome on the other hand has this things but lacks of applications and being finalized on some points of usability. Maybe 2.4 or 2.8, but 2.2 has a way to go too.

    So replace X11 with Quartz and you have one blazing system!

    Replacing X11 with Quartz? Problems arise with hardware support. Apple uses Nvidia and Ati only so making some functions hardware accelerated is no problem, but it would become much larger problem with introducing larger ammount of different vendors. (I think XFree5 plans address this problems in the way Quartz does, hardware accelerated with soft emulation just like MesaGL-DRI-GLX are doing now)

    As for the best, everybody has it's best. But to stay on topic. Apple's OS is the only reason to buy Apple machine, making it Intel based it would just bring a benchmark confrontation with other OS that run on the same hardware. Making it KDE this topic would become much more viable than CPU-only benchmark topic

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  16. Not Possible by Shuh · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Apple doesn't have enough resources to split their development between 32-bit and 64-bit versions of their hardware and software. That means when Apple goes 64-bit, they are probably going to go whole-hog 64-bit as quickly as they can (if not instantaneously).

    Consider:
    1. Apple spends a lot of time and money and wastes a lot of goodwill doing "680X0->PPC II" by going to X86.
    2. Apple chooses "wrong" and goes with Itanium instead of Opteron.
    3. Apple chooses "wrong" and goes with the Opteron.
    4. Apple either has to do another major switch to the "winning" x86 64-bit architecture, or just go back to the 64-bit 970 PPC.
    So the safest bet is to eliminate risk, reduce costs, leverage legacy of a clean modern ISA, and just go with the logical next step: IBM 970.
  17. Dvorak would have negative karma by ihatewinXP · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If Dvorak actually posted this crap to /. his act would be see through: just another troll. But for some odd reason slashdot goes out of their way to post a story that can do nothing but inflame the readers.

    Reminds me of a comment I read here sometime:
    Rob: I'm bored I think ill start a flame war.
    Users: We will take that flame war!

    Just an observation. The person writing the article is the real story. Apple switching to Itanium has less credibility than Apple going back to Moto 68000's and doesn't really even warrant a response.

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  18. Re:April Fools? by gmhowell · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I remember issues of MacUser from about 1987 where he did an annual April Fools column. Can't remember the columns, but he's been doing it for at least 16 years. I do remember one where he ended the column saying "and if you really think this is impossible, just check the cover date of this magazine".

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