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Ellison: Linux Will Soon Decimate MS Windows

cioxx writes "Speaking to a few-hundred ISVs at an Oracle-sponsored event in New York, Larry Ellison made a bold prediction , also covered in Infoworld, stating: "(Microsoft has) already been killed by one open-source product. Slaughtered, wiped out, taken from market dominance to irrelevance [...]", referring to Apache's displacement of MS IIS server. He continues on with a claim that battle for datacenter dominance is looming with a clear advantage on the side of Open-Source platforms, and desktop would follow once Star Office becomes completely "usable" to compete with MS Office. "And it's going to happen to them again on Linux." Newsforge also has a related article on Oracles ongoing linux efforts.

12 of 764 comments (clear)

  1. My girlfriend uses OpenOffice... by PHAEDRU5 · · Score: 5, Informative

    ...and she's a marketer.

    She does so to get a little street credibility with geeks.

    My point? If the marketers are going to software like this to get a marketing edge, then there is a chance Ellison is right.

    --
    668: Neighbour of the Beast
  2. IIS slaughtered? by aurelian · · Score: 5, Informative

    Looking at the figures it doesn't look to me like IIS has gone from market leader to irrelevance. For the last 5 years - since IIS appeared - Apache has maintained a market share roughly twice that of IIS. But both shares have grown.

  3. "Open" not "Star" by the_pooh_experience · · Score: 4, Informative

    According to the infoworld article and the computerworld article:

    Ellison deemed the Sun Microsystems Inc.-backed OpenOffice.org suite "almost usable,"
    not staroffice, as the /. summary indicates. Is someone jonesing for their old staroffice?
  4. Re:2 questions by khakipuce · · Score: 5, Informative
    I am currently working in a large UK company and we have websites on both IIS and Apache, but guess what? No Linux, No open source databases, no PHP/Perl/Python.

    The point is that Apache domiantes the server world becuase it comes with all commercial Unix boxes. And large companies are happy that this piece of open source that came bundled with AIX or HPUX or Solaris has some kind of formal support and backing (if the Apache project ever looked like folding, HP/Sun/IBM would keep it going).

    Only recently are we seeing the real dominace of Linux in ISPs, and that again is partly becuase of IBM and Sun (Cobalt, etc). So I don't think there is any linkage between the uptake of Apache and the corporate uptake of Open Source in general, either on the server or the client.

    --
    Art is the mathematics of emotion
  5. Re:What does decimate mean? by jamesots · · Score: 5, Informative

    Exactly. And here is the Chambers 21st Century Dictionary definition of decimate:

    decimate verb ( decimated, decimating ) to reduce greatly in number; to destroy a large part or number of something. decimation noun. decimator noun.

    ETYMOLOGY: 17c in this sense; 16c in historical sense 'to select by lot and execute one in every ten': from Latin decimare to take a tenth person or thing, from decem ten.

    --
    Ho hum for the life of a bear
  6. Linux already has 'decimated' Windows by Ed+Avis · · Score: 5, Informative

    'Decimate' means to reduce by one-tenth. It originates from the punishment for mutiny given to a whole Roman legion: killing every tenth man. So if you think that Windows installations are 10% less than they would have been if Linux didn't exist, then Linux has already decimated Windows, at least on the server.

    It's the remaining 90% that is at stake :-).

    --
    -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
  7. Re:Openoffice by SN74S181 · · Score: 4, Informative

    PDF is an archival output form, in many cases as opaque and uneditable as a bitmap. I wouldn't call it a useful format for documents that are 'live' and need to be editable. It isn't even intended for such purposes. As such, it's a horrible choice as an interoperability format for 'Office' documents.

    It's great for 'freezing' things to archive them, of course.

  8. Apache vs. IIS in reality - flaw in his premise by mattdm · · Score: 4, Informative
    Quote from the article:

    "[Microsoft has] already been killed by one open-source product. Slaughtered, wiped out, taken from market dominance to irrelevance," Ellison said, speaking of the Apache Web server's displacement of Microsoft's Internet Information Services (IIS) technology. "They had a virtual monopoly on Web servers, and then they were wiped off the face of the earth. And it's going to happen to them again on Linux."

    As anyone can clearly see at Netcraft, IIS never even came *close* to beating Apache, let alone did they have a "virtual monopoly". Back in 1997 when Microsoft and Netscape (now SunONE) were struggling for 10% shares, Apache was already at 40% -- and it only went up from there.
  9. Re:strangely quiet by gmack · · Score: 4, Informative

    " Those are the situations Ellision/Oracle will need to be fearful of. Many many many applications *do not* require the featureset that Oracle provides, and therefore, you will start to see (as has already happened) projects getting picked off by the lowest end databases."

    Yes and the result is that Oracle doesn't even attempt to play in the low end anymore.

    Oracle will live a lot longer because while weve gotten the OS down and most of the server software the OSS folks aren't even close to high end in the SQL department.

    Mysql is pretty sweet for the low end but chokes all over itself once you start putting it under even moderate write load.

    PostgreSQL is better under load but lacks needed features such as mirroring.

    Took out the low end? yep! But now when you max out the OSS options your so deep into oracle land it's scarey. My last boss almost had a heart attack when he realised he had grown from needeing the free MySQL to $30 000 oracle.

  10. Re:In other news... by ergo98 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Ellison's prophetic comments, much like Scott McNealy of Sun, are generally worthless: If one looked at his historical claims they would find an astoundingly poor accuracy of their predictions. At some point shouldn't someone call him on his abilities as a seer?

    The most ridiculous part of his comments that immediately pointed out how uninformed and idiotic his vitriolic claims are is the statement "They had a virtual monopoly on Web servers, and then they were wiped off the face of the earth. And it's going to happen to them again on Linux.". The Slashdot summary itself points to the Netcraft graph, but strangely fails to points out the absurdity of Ellison's statement: Microsoft has never had a "virtual monopoly" on web servers. Indeed, Microsoft was an underdog, came into the game after Apache, and has grown to 28%, gaining 5% or so during a period when Apache marketshare has remained constant.

    P.S. Ellison is going to have to develop a new angle to push Oracle - When SQL Server trounced them in the clustered results on the TPC-C, Ellison and friends proclaimed that clustered results don't count, getting the TPC to allow one to separate clustered and non-clustered. Well now Microsoft beats Oracle at non-clustered results too. I'm sure there'll be some new angle to defend against this.

  11. Re:Apache displacing IIS? by ViGe · · Score: 5, Informative

    And the difference between the above and an apache box which also serves up its content by samba is? Each "site" has a samba share with appropriate permissions and then your apps can edit the content and save it back up. Best thing is no passwords prompts once you are logged in properly.

    Actually, you have a wrong question. The correct one is: "What is the difference between the above and an apache box running moddav?"

    Dav allows website editing directly with Microsoft Office, and it also allows website editing directly with just about anything. It is actually created for that purpose. And it is a lot easier to set up and use than samba.

    --
    It has to work - rfc1925
  12. mySQL Writes by daviddennis · · Score: 4, Informative

    A combination of slow queries and frequent writes will cause mySQL to die. Totally. It can cause data to take ten minutes to save.

    The solution is to rewrite your applications to use only fast queries, but if you really need to do slow queries it's a genuinely serious problem. I had it for a long time, and it drove people nuts. I eventually discovered how to optimize certain queries and the problem went away, but it is real.

    Slashdot doesn't have this problem because the queries it uses are rarely complex. You can do "select x,y,x from messages where thread_id = 10445" all day without it breaking a sweat. But try to do something it can't optimize with indexes and it will die.

    My problem was using:

    select * from cal where left(date, 10) = '2003-01-01'

    instead of

    select * from cal where date >= '2003-01-01' and date date_sub('2003-01-01', interval 1 day)

    The first can't use indexes and the second can.

    During these SELECTs, mySQL locks the tables involved, preventing writes from happening. So one slow query on crucial databases can hang the system.

    In the end, I found the problem was pretty easy to work around, but it took forever for me to figure out what it was. Watch out for those date fields!

    D