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US & Russia Pencil in Mars Launch by 2018

snilloc writes "The Washington Times is reporting that the US and Russia (and the Europeans are mentioned too) are planning for an eventual manned Mars trip. Suggested launch years are 2014 or 2018. The article discusses unmanned probes at greater length than the manned plans, but check out the Russian isolation experiment where 6 people will spend 500 days in a simulated spacecraft environment. (Sounds like a good reality TV show to me.)"

17 of 356 comments (clear)

  1. ahem... by gravelpup · · Score: 5, Informative
    last line of the article:

    "NASA is engaged in small-scale studies on manned flight to Mars but has no plans for a mission."

    April Fool's was 2 weeks ago.

    --

    Things are more like they are now than they ever were before.

  2. Re:Yeah, that's nice, but... by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 3, Informative

    Actually, China is the one doing the copying.

    Shuttle model from the Chinese Pavilion at Hannover Expo 2000 indicates a spaceplane similar to the cancelled European Hermes.

    "The spacecraft strongly resembled the Russian Soyuz spacecraft, and like the Soyuz, consisted of a forward orbital module, a re-entry capsule, and an aft service module. The configuration was very much like the original Soyuz A design of 1962 (itself, in turn, alleged to be very similar to the US General Electric Apollo proposal of the same period). Orientation instruments, evidently consisting of horizon, ion flow and/or stellar/sun sensors, were located at the middle bottom of the service module, as on the Soyuz spacecraft."

    http://www.astronautix.com/craft/shenzhou.htm

  3. 500 days? The Mars Society beat them to it... by I'm+a+racist. · · Score: 3, Informative

    Check it out, it's rather cool (still pretty geeky though).

    The Flasline Mars Arctic Research Station

    The Mars Desert Research Station

    If you get a chance to go to one of these, take it.

    --


    Down with Saudi Arabia!!!
  4. Actually by ethnocidal · · Score: 5, Informative
    If you read the article, the US has 'no plans' for a manned mission to Mars. The Russians are planning to do this off their own back.

    It makes sense. Combining two different nations in a space program might look good for the media, but from an efficiency and productivity point of view, it's very poor. You end up with compromises at every stage of the process, with the result that noone is truly satisfied with the outcome.

    Bear in mind Russia has a huge advantage over the US in both long term space missions (Cosmonauts in Mir hold the endurance record for space 'flight'), and it also has far superior heavy lift capabilities. The Energia launch vehicle is capable of orbiting a payload of 100 tons - far more than than the 30 tons capable of being lifted by the shuttle. While there have been plans for US heavy lift systems (cf. the 'Shuttle-C' cargo container, or the Ares booster) which could increase payload weight to 121 tons, the Russians designed a system (Volcano) derived from Energia which could loft over 200 tons of cargo!

    NASA is at serious risk of falling further and further behind, and becoming largely irrelevant in space exploration. Mars Express (from the ESA) is a clear example of how quality research can be performed at a fraction of the cost of a typical NASA mission. Pathfinder cost 'just' $200M - compare this to the British built 'Beagle' rover, which is more capable, and cost just £10M (~ $16M) to develop! Mars Express, the overall project of which Beagle is part, cost just 203M. Compare this to the $800M cost of the latest US mission to Mars.

    If NASA is to succeed in the long term, and to shine at research, it has to learn hard lessons from several sources. Satellites can be optimally placed with cheap boosters, not expensive manned shuttle missions. Productivity needs to get back, at the very least, to Pathfinder mission standards. Using proven engineering, and modularity of design, you can massively reduce failures, and costs.

    For more information on Mars Express, check here and the official ESA project page here.

  5. Re:Huh? by xXunderdogXx · · Score: 5, Informative

    Claim: NASA spent millions of dollars developing an "astronaut pen" that would work in outer space; the Soviets solved the same problem by simply using pencils.

    Status: False.

    Source: Snopes.

  6. Re:Huh? by Planesdragon · · Score: 2, Informative

    Confronted with the same problem, the Russians used a pencil.

    Which adds unnecessary free-floating dust to clog up the whole darn air filtration system.

    NASA didn't develop the space pen; IIRC, they used grease pencils for the first serveral missions. The pen was developed by a private inventor, who sold them to NASA at a rather reasonable price (far less than 12 billion) and the general public of space-geeks.

  7. Some Links that might be interesting, too by Hakubi_Washu · · Score: 2, Informative

    If you're interested in Mars-Exploration, but "NASA estimated 300 billion dollars to do it" got you thinking, you might want to read these, as they come to a quite different estimate:
    - The Mars-Society...
    - ...and its german branch
    - Robert Zubrin & Mars Direct
    - Robert Zubrin's "The Case for Mars", a book I can absolutely recommend
    - The german link again (I'm a german, so please bear with me, ok? :-)
    I hope these may be of help...

    PS: At least I wouldn't be wondering if Europe and Russia were to cooperate on this, but I sure don't hope for another "space race"... Would be one hell of sight though... Europe/Russia vs. China vs. USA? :-)

  8. Re:Radiation by DrinkDr.Pepper · · Score: 4, Informative

    Um, the AP over exaggerated or misunderstood what the scientists said. Imagine that.
    This one makes more sense.

    by the way, that's my boss in the picture from the CNN article.

    --
    0xfeedface
  9. No, radiation danger was misreported by jtheory · · Score: 2, Informative
    Here's some of the detail from the Mars Society page about this -- apparently the radiation level on the surface would be only slightly risky:

    The Associated Press yesterday issued a wire article claiming that "the radiation on the surface of Mars is so intense that it could endanger astronauts sent to explore the Red Planet." The AP claimed that these were the findings of the MARIE instrument currently operating on the Mars Odyssey spacecraft, and ascribed the view that such radiation doses were too high to allow human explorers to Dr. Cary Zeitlin of the National Space Biomedical Institute in Houston. Dr. Zeitlin is the Principal Investigator for the MARIE radiation detection instrument.

    In fact, however, the MARIE data, which is publicly available at the MARIE website at marie.jsc.nasa.gov/Results.html, show exactly the opposite. Currently posted data for January 2003 show radiation levels in low Mars orbit of 25 millirads/day, or 9 rads/year. While this level is slightly less than twice the regulatory dose for persons employed in the nuclear industry, it represents no significant threat. According the conservative "linear hypothesis" for dealing with low doses accepted in the radiation health physics community, a dose of 13 rads delivered over a 1.5 year Mars mission surface stay would represent a statistical increase in likelihood of cancer (at some point later in life) of about one quarter of one percent. In contrast, the average American smoker receives a 20 percent increase in cancer risk. The Mars radiation risk is thus only about 1/100th as dangerous as smoking.


    Given the risks that the astronauts will be taking en route, landing, re-entry, etc. this is negligable. Of course, we still need to weigh benefits against risks/costs here...
    --
    There are only 10 types of people: those who understand decimal, those who don't, and, uh, 8 other types I forget.
  10. Re:Radiation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Actually, the amount of radiation on Mars (according to Robert Zubrin in his book "The Case for Mars") isn't anything that can't be solved by simply putting some sandbags on the roof of the hab and a light amount of sheilding on the EVA suits.

    And I don't know what you people are thinking when you say this will be expensive. We can have 5 manned missions, covering thousands of square miles over 10 years for under $60 billion. That's about 8% more than what NASA is spending right now on failed projects like SSTO and ISS projects. Read something.

  11. Re:editors sigh by Hakubi_Washu · · Score: 2, Informative

    Nope, neither politically: Russia is NOT a member of the Eropean Union (nothing east of and including Poland is, btw.), nor geographically: Russia resides on the Asian "half" of the "Eurasian Continent" and is thereby asian (They also border Mongolia and China, remember?).

  12. Re:MARS NEEDS WOMEN! by urbazewski · · Score: 1, Informative
    I cannot believe I am posting this link on /. of all places, but as a long time advocate of the "let's send short vegetarian women into space and leave those beefy air force pilots on the ground" position I feel compelled to address the issue:

    the keeper

    Haven't tried it myself but I have friends who swear by it.

    --
    foldplay your photos won't know what hit them.
  13. Re:Huh? by Fizzl · · Score: 2, Informative

    Btw. Never say anything in alt.folklore.urban unless you have read through the whole snopes archive.
    The AFU people are notoriously aggressive.

    (No? You think _I_ might have burned myself there?-))

  14. Re:ESA anyone? by SoftCoreHonesty · · Score: 2, Informative

    Since foreign diplomats owe NY City $22 Million in back parking tickets I don't think anybody should complain about the timeliness of US dues.

  15. Re:NASA bashing to the Xtreme! by SpinyNorman · · Score: 2, Informative

    Actually the Russians did fly their Shuttle clone, the Buran, once (it orbitted the earth in an unmanned mission). The Russians have also had considerable success with other unmanned missions, from the current ISS supply ships to the Lunakhod series (unmanned full size lunar rovers), as well as unmanned lunar rock retrieval... all done on a budget that is/was a fraction of what the US spends.

    No doubt the US space program is in some ways more technically advanced, but I don't think it's right to dismiss the Russians as being in any way uncapable. I think the problems of their space program have been more financial than lack of expertise.

  16. Re:2 light seconds.. by LMCBoy · · Score: 2, Informative

    Ah, good one ;) Don't forget the Milky Way's peculiar velocity with respect to the cosmic microwave background (~625 km/s), which means that we are actually moving about 18 light-hours per year.

    --
    Liberal (adj.): Free from bigotry; open to progress; tolerant of others.
  17. Go buy "The Case For Mars" by Zubrin. by Goonie · · Score: 2, Informative
    You don't do a Mars mission that way, assuming you're stuck with current rocket technology. What you do is send the return vehicle there, unfuelled, equipped with a nuclear reactor. You use the reactor to power a system to convert hydrogen (brought with you but it's really light) and carbon dioxide (from that abundant atmosphere) into methane and oxygen (reasonably high-quality rocket fuel). Then you send the crew along in a seperate vehicle. Given that, you need two launches of a Saturn V to do a Mars mission. We know we can launch Saturn V's - we did it thirty-five years ago.

    Now, there's plenty of room for argument as to whether Mars Direct (the name of the above plan) is correct in all its details. However, it seems fairly clear that producing the return fuel on Mars rather than transporting it from Earth makes the mission much more feasible.

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)