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SARS Contained

The World Health Organization has declared that SARS is contained, for now. Toronto has engaged in extensive analysis of the outbreak there, leading to a number of interesting and in-depth stories about the progression of the disease.

30 of 323 comments (clear)

  1. it's about time... by double_plus_ungod · · Score: 5, Interesting

    this flu season should be frightening. everyone will think they have the sars when it's just the flu.

    counting down to the next outbreak of some other nasty bug like hantavirus, westnile, or ebola

    1. Re:it's about time... by b-baggins · · Score: 5, Informative

      You should be more terrified of the flu, since the flu kills about a thousand times more people in a year than this stupid SARS virus did. For crying out loud, you had a greater chance of dying by slipping in your bathtub. Even in China.

      --
      You can tell a great deal about the character of a man by observing those who hate him.
    2. Re:it's about time... by stefanlasiewski · · Score: 4, Insightful

      since the flu kills about a thousand times more people in a year than this stupid SARS virus did.

      True, but it's the death rate you should be concerned with, not how many people died. The flu kills a thousands more people in a year then SARS because hundreds of millions of people (Billions?) get the flu in a year.

      The death rate for people infected with SARS is much , much higher then the death rate for people infected with the flue.

      --
      "Can of worms? The can is open... the worms are everywhere."
    3. Re:it's about time... by NanoGator · · Score: 4, Insightful

      " For crying out loud, you had a greater chance of dying by slipping in your bathtub. Even in China. "

      I'm not a big fan of reasoning like this. I may have a chance of slipping in the bathtub, but I can also take steps to prevent it. I also know exactly when and where it can happen so I can be on my guard. In the case of infection, I don't know when somebody else has it. That's what's truely scary about it.

      Your heart's in the right place, but the "worry over greater risks" reasoning could use some tuning. :)

      --
      "Derp de derp."
    4. Re:it's about time... by jsse · · Score: 5, Interesting

      This SARS is not a stupid virus as you might think. Here are the facts about the virus that really worried the experts:

      1) Regardless of what the press said, the method of spreading is still UNKNOWN
      2) Different regions revealed different format of the virus itself. Its true(or original) form is still UNKNOWN
      3) Some believed that the original infestion started by the contact of wild animal with human like it did for AIDS. However, experts later found that multiple generations of SARS were found in one region and even one host at the same time! It's rather different from AIDS. Thus, the origin of the virus is UNKNOWN

      Disclaimer: I live in Hong Kong - the city which has the major outbreak of SARS.

    5. Re:it's about time... by dtake · · Score: 5, Insightful

      True, but it's the death rate you should be concerned with, not how many people died. The flu kills a thousands more people in a year then SARS because hundreds of millions of people (Billions?) get the flu in a year.

      The death rate for people infected with SARS is much , much higher then the death rate for people infected with the flue.

      True, but compared with something like yellow fever, which afflicts 200,000 every year and kills 30,000, SARS affects many fewer people AND has a lower mortality rate. But I don't see any headlines about yellow fever and no mad rush to find a cure.

      And I wouldn't rule out a disease as a problem just because of a lower mortality rate. The very fact that 1.9 million children die of diarrheal diseases every year, 1 million people die of malaria every year, and 2 million die of tuberculosis every year means that they are more serious health problems than SARS. The fact that the mortality rate can be low for these diseases with proper care is irrelevant. In the real world these are the killers, not SARS.

      For more information on the diseases we still really need to worry about, check out the WHO Infectious diseases site

    6. Re:it's about time... by grolschie · · Score: 5, Informative

      I spent one day in Hong Kong recently. What I noticed was that the only people wearing masks, seemed to be shop assistants and some airport security. I guess that is to make the partrons feel better. I guess the every people in Hong Kong are not so worried these days. Would that be fair to say?

    7. Re:it's about time... by TopShelf · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The trick with SARS was that the nature of the disease and its method of transmission were basically unknown. Looking back now, it may not seem that big a deal, but when the medicos shrug their shoulders, and the doctors start becoming victims, that makes it a scary story...

      --
      Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    8. Re:it's about time... by jsse · · Score: 5, Informative

      I guess the every people in Hong Kong are not so worried these days. Would that be fair to say?

      Very true. Although there are lots of uncertainty about SARS but after the disaster we've confidence in facing it again.

      The high casualty is due to the infficiency of our local Government and their lack of risk awareness(which anger a lot of people and triggered a mass protest of the centaury). Fortunately for us we've a lot of brave people who are willingly to risk their live to take the most dangerous and dirty job and nobody(but the governer) retreat. We're really proud of them.

    9. Re:it's about time... by 1u3hr · · Score: 4, Informative
      Even some experts in University of Hong Kong believe that there are multiple ways of spreading the disease, and that include airborne.

      Yes, airborne -- sputum, or in Amoy Gardens, from the guy who had diarrhoea and then via the criminally stupid sewage/drainage system there that allowed it to flow back through the drains.

      The Government only chose what they want you to believe.

      The WHO is subject to political pressure (as when they refused to even talk to Taiwan), but they had a pretty free hand here (as opposed to the Mainland where they tried to hush it up for months).

  2. Celebrations In TO by LordoftheFrings · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I live near Toronto, and there were celebrations all day today, and today was the first day that Canada's Wonderland was filled to near capacity. Holding a seasons pass this year, my delight at seeing SARS gone is kind of put off by the longer lines at the theme park. Don't get me wrong, it is a great thing, but... a two minute line up to get on Drop Zone is a tough thing to give up.

    1. Re:Celebrations In TO by Jonavin · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's all CNN's fault. All this hype and hysteria.

      At one point Larry King wanted to interview local talk-show host Mike Bullard about SARS. After the pre-interview (i.e. screening process), they decided not to do the interview afterall. The reason? Mike didn't want to tell them the story the way CNN wants to hear it... that everyone in Toronto is getting SARS and that everybody is scared silly.

      The truth is, I don't even know a FOAF (friend of a friend) that has SARS. I have not seen anyone wear a mask in public. So how come, every tiem I turned on CNN, there are pitures of people in Toronto wearing asks. Where are they finding these people.

      God I hate the media.

  3. One down... by craenor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A million more to go. Until people, health officials and governments take outbreaks of this nature more seriously. We'll always be in danger from them. In a time when people couldn't just span the globe in a matter of hours, diseases like the flu still managed to kill 25 million people.

    Nowadays we are tied together by a lattice work of airlines and freedom of worldwide travel that make us so much more at risk. Of course, where do you draw the line? We need some serious concern, not worldwide paranoia.

    I'm not saying SARS was badly handled everywhere. I'm just saying that there may very well come a time in the future where another event starts just like one...but the ending will be much worse.

    1. Re:One down... by 1u3hr · · Score: 4, Insightful
      It was hardly an outbreak. How many people in the states died of it?

      Of course, a disease isn't serious until it affects Americans.

    2. Re:One down... by mdielmann · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Of course, isolation is a two-edged sword. It gives us protection from more dangerous diseases, but it also allows mutations that are sufficiently unique to form without immunity to go along with it. The flu is a perfect exmple. For the last 20 or 30 years, scientists have been predicting another major outbreak, in epidemic proportions. But it just doesn't happen, and they keep saying "real soon, now".

      Sometimes, I question that. Maybe the reason we don't see them any more is that we aren't isolated for very many generations from any particular strain of the flu, and so it never has a chance to gain a large advantage over our immune systems. Hence, no epidemics.

      I'm not saying this is a fact, but if you look at most of the epidemics we have nowadays, they fall into the following categories:
      • New diseases (for people at least), which almost no one has immunity to (AIDS, SARS).
      • Older diseases which are fairly virulent, but never seem to spread beyond their locale (ebola, dangerous e. coli variants).
      • Variants of older diseases which are more virulent, but still are fairly benign (west nile). I question calling a disease epidemic when it only kills tens out of millions of the local population, but they labelled it...
      • Superbugs, which have mutated to have anti-biotic resistance (staph, etc.)


      Given my residence in North America, I'm not too worried about ebola, and it's class of diseases as described above. It's very hit-and-miss, and rarely spreads outside of it's initial range. This may be due to infection vectors or other things, but they never seem to really take over in general (thankfully).

      I'm also not too worried about West Nile, and others like it. Let's be realistic - if you're not very old, very young, or immune-compromised, your odds of catching it and dying (or even knowing) are lower than being struck by lightning.

      Superbugs and the new diseases that we have no immunity are a lot more worrisome. These are having the greatest impact worldwide, and have no simple cures. I'm aware that developing nations suffer a lot more deaths than either of these causes from very well-known diseases, but they are easily preventable through proper hygiene and such - that's why they disappeared in most industrialized countries.

      So, flus and such don't even get on my list. As long as we keep getting our regular exposures to the worldwide variants (and exporting ours ;), the risks of the population in general being introduced to a variant that is unrecognizable to our immune systems should be lower, in a way making the world a safer place, hopefully.
      --
      Sure I'm paranoid, but am I paranoid enough?
  4. But is it too late, now that ... by Professor+D · · Score: 5, Funny

    The civet's out of the bag?

  5. This proves to exemplify ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A single death is a tragedy, a million deaths is a statistic.

    Josef Stalin

  6. Contained? by Mostly+Harmless · · Score: 5, Interesting

    How can they say they have the disease contained if they say, in their next breath, that they expect it to come back again?

    --
    "`Ford, you're turning into a penguin. Stop it.'" -Douglas Adams, THHGTTG
  7. Blame Canada, blame Canada... *sings* by Alystair · · Score: 4, Funny

    Ehem, sorry, couldn't resist it... damn those Southpark kids!

  8. Re:Celebrations In HK by 1u3hr · · Score: 4, Interesting

    We went to Ocean Park a couple of weeks ago. It was great to just walk on to any ride we wanted to ... of course the park was losing millions and reduced its hours. And personally I lost a lot of money as classes I teach were cancelled due to SARS hysteria. Kids still have to have their temperature taken at school each morning before beig allowed to go in. At least they don't have to wear the silly facemasks now (these work to prevent spread if you're infected, but are little or no help in stopping you from gettng it, especially as most don't fit them tightly).

  9. Some perspective on SARS. by Christopher+Thomas · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This cartoon nicely sums up my opinion of the whole SARS thing:

    http://www.vgcats.com/vgc_comics/?strip_id=62

    Practical effect here in Toronto:

    First outbreak: People were edgy for about two weeks, and a few wore masks. Anyone with a cold got nervous looks when they coughed. Then the novelty wore off and it was business as usual.

    Second outbreak: Nil.

    The number of people quarantined was about 1% of the city's population. The number of people who were actually sick was far lower. The number of people _dead_ was lower than the number of people murdered here in an average year, and we're a city not known for its violence.

    Take is seriously? Sure. Panic? Not justified.

    The real harm is that the attention on SARS has drawn attention away from things like West Nile Virus.

  10. Re:robin hood? by SamNmaX · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How many people in the states died of it?
    Over 800 people died worldwide, and over 8000 had it. See here

    SARS could have very well been the answer to China's overpopulation issues.
    I'm sorry, but I can't believe this shit has been modded as "insightful". I guess it doesn't matter as long as it's Asians. :P

  11. Re:Shouldn't nerds cheer SARS? by RodgerDodger · · Score: 5, Funny

    I take it you're volunteering to be a candidate for herd-thinning?

    --
    "Software is too expensive to build cheaply"
  12. SARS Contained... by EverDense · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...and let that be a lesson to you.
    Make sure the seals on the building you use for bio-weapon testing are solid.

    Who stole my tinfoil hat?

    --
    http://jesus.everdense.com/
  13. Uh... It's Summer Folks... by tlhIngan · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You know, the flu doesn't spread so virulently during the summer. Heck, most of the time flu season is during the winter. The flu doesn't hide during the summer, it's just dormant and afflicting only a few people.

    The question is, once fall/winter comes, will SARS spread again? And will it be worse now - i.e., is it dormant and people will unwittingly spread it to other people?

    It may be contained now, but is it really? Or if the weather turns a bit cold, we see more outbreaks?

  14. Good for Toronto... by stevens · · Score: 4, Funny

    ...bad for lunch.

    I live in Toronto, and all the great asian restaurants near work were half-empty instead of jam-packed due to SARS overreaction. I had never had such an easy time getting a table for lunch.

    Oh well... the dream is over.

  15. What's Really Funny by TheCanucklehead · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Is to remember when the WHO tried to announce that Malaria was eradicated from the earth.

  16. Is it really contained? by Qweezle · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Personally, I'm skeptical as to whether the disease is really contained...I will believe that Toronto is safe for now, but I disagree with anyone saying that China's SARS is contained. China is a huge nation, and I feel that if SARS went largely untreated over there(which is likely), then there could most certainly be a threat for people in China, and travelers, and for that matter all Asian countries. Now, everyone is saying how China's SARS outbreak is largely over, and I disagree. I think the Chinese government is hiding more than they wish to reveal. China is a budding superpower, and they wouldn't want something like this to tarnish their reputation, so they hide it. There's more to this than the media's telling us, I feel... _____________________

  17. Policy issues by John+Bayko · · Score: 4, Interesting
    One thing mentioned in the article but glossed over is the fact that a SARS patient was in Vancouver about the same time as in Toronto, but the information on this newly identified disease wasn't passed down to Toronto workers as it was in Vancouver.

    In Canada, as in the U.S, health care in general is a provincial responsibility (with parts delegated to the county or municipal level), with federal assistance. The government of Ontario is currently conservative, small-govermnent (i.e. pro-cutbacks) one for the past decade or so. One of the things that were cut back were the disease researchers whose job it was to identify new diseases, develop tests and diagnostic procedures for them, and distribute this information. A typical politician, the Health Car Minister justified this by asking "what, is a brand new disease going to magically appear?".

    Conversely, the past decade in BC has been a big-government (i.e. pro-spending) one, until recently (when a large fraction of the public sector was amputated). However, it has a more fully funded health care system, and was able to quickly react to the news of a new disease.

    With Ontario's "immune system" essentially crippled, it fell on other provinces (including BC, where the responsible corona virus DNA was first sequenced) and the federal government to pick up the slack.

    The relative merits of a mainly publically or mainly privately funded health care system can be debated, but one thing that any government should realize, regardless of it's political philosophy, is that whatever system it prefers, the one that exists must be fully supported even if it's counter to the party principles.

    Another lesson to be learned is that the world is becoming too mobile to leave health care as a purely local responsibility. In the case of Canada, Ontario might have been helpless except for the federal research facilities near Winnipeg, Manitoba, because of its health and safety negligence (the same negligence was responsible for water safety problems in Walkerton which led to a similar number of deaths). Without effective research, the outbreak could have spread country-wide.

    National governments may not be accountable enough either. China's government was downright deceitful over the spread of SARS in that country, and without international pressure and some wistle-blowers risking their jobs, the disease could still be spreading there.

    The fallout from these problems would not have been limited to single nations. If SARS had spread across Canada, the U.S would have had to choose between closing the border (which is the single largest flow of imports and exports for both countries), seriously crippling the U.S economy in the middle of trying to recover from a recession (maybe enough to make it a depression, and killing G.W.Bush's chances of re-election for good), or risking the spread into a wider population (and crippling the economy in another way).

    The World Health Organization is important, but it is only an advisory body - it has no authority to influence policy or implement operational changes in health care delivery. As a result, government from countries (China and others) to local (Ontario and others) have become holes in a global system, purely due to their own short-sightedness. These holes threaten world health these days.

    Further, there are entire regions where health care is inadequate simply because of economic poverty. Wealthy countries find it convenient to ignore the conditions in places like these, but it should be clear by now that those conditions can cost the wealthy countries billions or trillions of dollars of their own wealth due to the spread of diseases which are controllable. SARS (limited to countries with fairly well-developed health care systems) was a few pennies compared to the economic costs of AIDS (originating in countries with crumbling hospitals able to care for only a handful of their populations, most of whom never see a hospital in their entire lives).

    Obviously, it's in everyo

  18. Are you people idiots? by VPN3000 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Oh dear God, the people posting messages stating that SARS was over-hyped and nothing serious are really, really looking like twits.

    First off, if the 'media hype' had not taken place, countries would have not been pressured to take measures (by scared civilians) to control it. Thus, SARS would have spread to a MUCH larger percentage of the population. 10% deathrate doesn't sound like revelations or anything, but think of your elderly parents and grand parents. They would likely have a very tough time. Remember, the 10% if overall. That can mean 19-35 year olds have a 3% chance of death, but elderly could have something like 85-90% since their immune systems can't cope.

    Secondly, scientists still don't understand the virus. Wouldn't you like to give them a little extra time to come to grips with how it works and what gets rid of it before you talk out of your ass about how it's not serious?

    Third, this is a virus. Not a bacterial infection. It's quite likely this will become a recurring disease. You take drugs to help fight it, most gets killed off, some mutates, goes to sleep for a few months, then re-infects with the mutated virus; then is likely harder to battle.

    Finally, did you people who think it's not serious bother to read about the condition of SARS patients who have recovered? Didn't think so. They may have survived, but most have permanent scarring in their lungs. You want that to happen to you and your family? Want to have to wait and wonder, dreading the next 'season'? What if it comes back? You might not be able to survive a second infection since your lungs are still damaged from the first one.

    I don't mean to sound offensive, but what sort of idiot wants to take chances? It really bothers me that 'geeks' would feel this way, considering we are supposed to be some of the smarter ones. Guess I was wrong...