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Linux will have 20% desktop market share by 2008?

unmadindu writes "Siemens Business Systems, after conducting an extensive survey on non technical workers ("secretaries and managers, not IT people") is predicting that the Linux desktop will capture 20% of the market for desktop computers in large enterprises within the next 5 years. Senior program manager Duncan McNutt, who has overseen Siemens's testing of Linux desktops with users and administrators in enterprise settings, believes that the Ximian desktop and application suite, running on either SuSE or Red Hat, requires two days of training, which is the same as what most enterprises budget for a Windows/MS Office version upgrade. Interestingly, they used Ximian Desktop, instead of KDE, because Gnome, particularly Ximian's version, was "different enough" to set user expectations that the experience would be less like Windows. "

10 of 351 comments (clear)

  1. Definitely by Amsterdam+Vallon · · Score: 2, Funny

    The new John Carmack games will come out this year, too. Also, Michael Moore will make an authentic documentary by 2005. Finally, OSDN will be profitable by Q4 of 2006.

    Yeah.

    --

    Reply or e-mail; don't vaguely moderate. Ex-O'Reilly/MIT employee, now a full-time Google employee.
  2. Re:Beautiful by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny
    first rule of online discussion:
    • - whenever someone mentions a paradigm shift, smile and slowly start walking away without attracting too much attention
  3. Of course! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    And we'll be driving to the local electronics store in our flying cars to buy Linux, which we'll install on our personal droids in preparation for our vacation to the moon!

  4. Re:linux? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    I, for one, will be use the Hurd. That's the great thing about RMS ridiculous fanatacism, I would no longer feel bad if I were to choose an inferior product solely because of personal feelings and politics. Way to go!

  5. Senior program manager Duncan McNutt... by AntiOrganic · · Score: 4, Funny

    Am I the only person who cracked up when I read this?

    1. Re:Senior program manager Duncan McNutt... by mickwd · · Score: 3, Funny

      If you think that's bad, try this Google query.

      Yes, there really is a Siemens Staines office.

  6. SCO by Dreadlord · · Score: 2, Funny

    20% of desktop computers running Linux, and SCO charges 699$ per computer, so this equals ??? I guess SCO will get a decent amount of money by then.

    --
    The IT section color scheme sucks.
  7. Traumatic Brain Injury by niko9 · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...was "different enough" to set user expectations that the experience would be less like Windows. "

    Translation: You don't suffer from the cervical spine injuries and/or severe coup contra-coup brain injuries secondary to banging your head into a blue screen of death.

  8. Re:it's true by tdemark · · Score: 5, Funny

    Yeah, because we know if "secretaries and managers" need more of anything, it's games.

  9. Re:it's true by __past__ · · Score: 4, Funny

    From my experience, managers critically depend on solitaire, at least that's the one app they always have open when I get a peek at their desktops. For secretaries, games might be less critical, as long as the platform provides them with animated wallpapers, mouse cursors, and a means to play animations with drunken singing reindeers they got as an email attachment from people they don't know around christmas. How else would they get any work done?