H.R. 3057: To the Asteroids, Moon and Mars
apsmith writes "Democrats have just introduced the Space Exploration Act of 2003 to the U.S. House of Representatives; the author is Nick Lampson of Texas, with 26 co-sponsors. The bill sets a vision and goals for the future of NASA, beyond the Low Earth Orbit of the Space Station and Shuttle, outlining a series of incremental steps for human spaceflight. These include development of reusable spacecraft for carrying people around in the Earth-Moon vicinity, including to the nearby Lagrange points; sending people to an Earth-crossing asteroid; establishing a lunar base, and sending people to Mars with a base on a Martian moon by 2024."
Does it have a chance? Have any senators commented on it yet? At the bottom of the bill it lists $50 million for 2004 and $200 million for 2005. Are these on top of NASA's budget? If it is, with the deficit we're running now, this looks more like a political stunt. I hope it's not.
"You are aware, Congress, that you can't legislate the advace of technology right?"
You mean like Digital TV by 2006?
It is ALWAYS very dangerous to legislate must do goals like this. Whole beneficial programs can be scrapped to enforce some Idealistic Goal. Look at what Title 9 did to mens sports for example. This may blow up in our face. As much as I would love to get us out of LEO and on to greater things, this sort of legislation may hinder more than help.
I know many of us tend to be skeptical about mission statements. However, it seems like a good idea because unlike a business (universal business mission statement: "Make Lots Of Money"), it isn't that obvious what NASA is trying to do, or should try to do. And I think it should be more specific than "explore space, and earth from space."
It wasn't Congress, but I seem to recall a President in recent history who declared that we'd put a man on the moon by the end of the decade. The fact that we hadn't yet invented the Lunar Lander didn't do much to dissuade him. It would be disingenuous to suggest that many of the technological leaps made in the years that followed would have come about without the chief executive's impetus driving them.
True, Congress can't say, "invent Spiffy Technology X, now!" Congress can say, "This is what you're going to do. Figure out how to do it!"
Obliteracy: Words with explosions
A lot of the innovation and technology that made it possible to send people to the moon can be traced back before Kennedy. For example the breaktroughs in within rocket science came from scientists that we hired from Germany. They helped us develop the first stages of our rocket program.
So legislating advamcement in technolgy is hard because of the timespan. Luckily our great nation has lately acquired a lot of high tech rocket technology from Iraq. Rumors about their infamous program where true. Their advanced weapon programs contained powerful rockets capable of shuttling us to Mars and back.
Proud patriot and republican voter.
The government wants to spend money on something I like!
Maybe they can reallocate some money from ongoing projects such as propping up totalitarian regimes to a space colonization project. That would be nice.
That's "Mr. Soulless Automaton" to you, Bub.
And we will have a base on, the moon, mars, heck I bet we could even go to Jupiter. They can plan all the want, it takes MONEY to realy build something.
I am in favor of sending machines, dumping the shuttle, etc.... But it is all meanless unless we get a president that wants to actually spend MONEY on the space program.
Kennidy, wanted to and did. Reagan chalanged, but only spent on SDI (What a waste!)
*sigh*
Come the revolution, the Bourgeois, Capitalistic, "A PARKING STICKER HOLDERS", will be first against the wall!
Like any long-term project, the first part is formulating a more detailed plan, doing some basic research and costing, and building the infrastructure. In other words, the first year is not spent on the expensive stuff. $50M for the first year and $200M for the second year sort of makes sense, so long as the third year is even hight -- and based on the cost estimates that they come up with in that first two years of planning and research.
I work in government science research. Multi-year funding for projects always looks sort of like a bell curve. The planning and initial research is cheap, the building of the project and primary operation of the project is expensive, and the wind-down is cheap again.
Given the recent trends we have seen from the US (Pax Americana, attempting to control the Gulf, the intention to control technology etc). I am curious to know how people think the US would respond were China for example to make sudden huge breakthroughs in space technology within the next 5-10 years and begin establishing Lunar/Martian bases and exploring deeper space?
Do not try to read the dupe, thats impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth
What truth?
There is no dupe
true, however having top-down support for the big chief himslef along with the neccassary funds allocation helped make it a relaity.
Of course all this was motivated by the cold war ultimiatley.
We may have gone to the moon eventually however we have never been back since the orignal missions as there has never been a push like that in the past. I would love to see the goverment put some goals on NASA and give them the funding to match.
"Don't mess with him, he taunts the happy fun ball."
"(e) AUTHORIZATION OF APPROPRIATIONS- There are authorized to be appropriated to the Administrator for carrying out this Act--
(1) $50,000,000 for fiscal year 2004; and
(2) $200,000,000 for fiscal year 2005."
Heck, M$ could pay for the bill. Why not get some sponsorship? Good PR for the company, a mission that wouldn't have been for NASA. Just as long as the given company didn't try to patent any organism it may/may not find on Mars.
As for the bill itself, all I can do is appluad. Finally, some ppl in washington with vision. We fucked this planet up to the point where it is going to take 1000's of years to fix it (if ever). The current attitude that is mostly 'let's fix earth's problems first' simply isn't realistic anymore. In addition, we have wasted enough time in low-earth orbit. Let's really start exploring space now. The space program has been asleep since the end of apollo, the sleeper must awaken. Plus, if an asteroid pulverizes earth, at least any colonies on mars we can set up mmight survive. The time for the future has come!
"...a person needs new experiences, it touches something deep inside us allowing us to grow. Without change something sleeps inside us and seldom awakens. The sleeper must awaken!"
---Dune (The Movie)
There's a growing sense that even if The Future comes,
most of us won't be able to afford it.
-- Lemmy
Americorps
No Child Left Behind
AIDS help for Africa
Homeland Security
Rebuilding Afghanistan
Halliburton
Oh, wait. He made sure to properly fund that last one.
I believe, as part of a long term population control measure, China plans to establish a "human" export program to space. In addition to relieving population pressures and getting rid of undesirables such as proponents for democracy, the Chinese government also believes that this will distract the remaining citizens from the glaring black eye of their abysmal human rights record. Of course, I'm waiting for Elvis to come back too
Almost all manned space missions are a prestige matter and hence a waste of money for as much as science is concerned. Yes, in the sixties the U.S.A. put men on the moon to show the world how advanced they were, ahead of the rest of the world. It was a political statement in the cold war: look, Russia, we can walk on the moon, we are technically superior to you.
But what is the use in 2003 to start planning a mission to put men on Mars? Such a mission would cost billions of dollars, money that could much better be used for more interesting things, such as:
- Is there life on Venus? Although surface temperature at Venus seems to hot for live, there might well be cooler spots where bacterial life may exist. Bacteries are found alive and multiplying on earth at temperatures of 120 degrees celsius under high pressures. Who knows, there are live forms possible at higher temperatures and more, what we would call, extreme circumstances, than we so far imagined to be possible.
- More missions to moons of Jupiter and Saturn. There are hints that liquid water exists at some of the moons. Let's try to land on a few of them.
- A bigger space telescope. Yes, I know, another space telescope is already being build. But why not make it a little bit better, bigger, more advanced, more versatile?
- More budget for research on rocket ion-engines or other ways to propel a spacecraft. The speeds that we can reach with current technologies are not very impressive.
All this and more can be done for the costs of a manned Mars mission. In the name of science, lets forget about manned space flight for a while.
My karma ran over your dogma
It seems to me much better way to actually get space exploration going is to make it profitable for a business. ;-)
Is not it what a well-behaived capitalist government supposed to do? Promote good things, guard against the bad things but generally stay away?
Giving more money to large government agency that was flying shuttles mostly "because there were there" would not get us any further.
Congress needs to come up with a major incensive for businesses to go to space. Like a super Xprize. (or tax-free lifetime for any corp or individual participating in a Mars shot
You have a choice: tax and spend Democrats, or borrow and spend Republicans. Choose wisely.
Then if we find anything there, we can spend another 87 billion dollars to force our democratic ideas on it.
omnia tua castra sunt nobis
See I don't know about that...
I'd rather have a bill that reads: "NASA, you have to make sure we setup a base on the moon, go to mars and setup a refueling station at the Larange point between the Moon and the Earth", instead of one that mandates NASA to do those things by themselves.
This would be similar to the farmaceutical industry, where the government gives huge grants for pure research to private companies that eventually develop good products for illnesses that wouldn't make economical sense to do it on a for-profit basis from the start (i.e. a rare desease that wouldn't provide enought clients, etc.).
Now, what would the private sector ever get from space? well, what do you think would happen with the first company that sets up a space tourism business where anywone with, say, 10,000 to spare can go up? and after that, what happens with the first company that can provide a refueling station for that first business? and maintenance? there are entire countries whose whole economies are based on this principle.
Now, with NASA's current budget, or what they've spent in the last 10 years, do you think we would be there already? I think so. Look at XCOR and hwo they're doing off their own pockets, or how Bezos had to become a gazillionaire so that he could setup his own space business (or whatever it is blue origins is doing). They both have plans for ORBITAL travel. And don't get me started on what Carmack will be doing in the next 10 years if he doesn't die on his own rocket (no quake references please).
Now, I don't pretend to know what the economics of all this are, but I'm sure they could be figured out and the answer wouldn't be that far off.
There are two kinds of people in the world: Those with good memory.
I agree. Where I work, we were told 6 mos ago to implement a new system with "A zero dollar budget". Well, six months later, we got this system ready for production only 2 weeks late, and with the purchase of only the software required. No new hardware or personnel. It took a huge effort, and a lot of tuning, but we were able to get two huge applications to respond properly on hardware sized for one, but it was possible. JPL is about half-full of losers and whiners... not the engineers and dreamers you need for serious space exploration. Sometimes you have to say "Hmmm, what if...", not "Naah, not possible". Sheesh. -WS
An operating system should be like a light switch... simple, effective, easy to use, and designed for everyone.
Well, of course not, since any advanced technology is the end-product of millenia of baby steps in that direction. For instance, we could have never gotten to the Moon without the mathemetical development of orbital mechanics, by Keppler, etc.
We could never have built anything capable of surviving the stresses of acceleration and reentry without technologies ultimately based upon the ancient techniques of metallurgy, and so on.
What may be claimed by Kennedy, is providing the kick-in-the-pants to actually take the current state of the technology, develop upon it, and go that one extra step, to actually do what is possible.
You can't legislate new technology, any more than the Continental Congress could legislate plasma TV's into existence, or Congress can legislate warp drives. What can be legislated, is a reasonable step forward from the current state of the art.
They say the first thing to go is your penis. Well, it's either that or your brain. I forget which...
"Manned space flight is not practical, it only gets in the way. It prevents rather than promotes space exploration."
Human biengs are not pratical, they only get in the way. It prevents rather than promotes any task. There is something known as the dignity of man (or people for the pc), the dignity to be valued as being something more than a machine.
"There are certain things men must do to remain men." (The Ultimate Computer - ST:TOS)
"I said they were more effecient, not perferable. Computers make excellent and efficient servants, but I have no wish to serve under them. Captain, a starship also runs on loyalty to one man. And nothing can replace it or him." (The Ultimate Computer)
We can send probes to mars. But probes do not inspire. There is more to exploration than effeciency. It is the ability to say that we we're there. Probes can explore strange new worlds, seek out new life, and new civilizations. But they cannot boldy go where no man has gone before. We gain more than knowledge from exploration. We are inspired to look beyond our petty differences to a see a greater reality. No ones imagiens themselves as probes exploring, they imagine themsleves exploring. There is something unique we get from manned exploration, that we don't get from machines.
There's a growing sense that even if The Future comes,
most of us won't be able to afford it.
-- Lemmy
Actually, Robert Zubrin's Case for Mars is was not the first to point out that information, and he and his colleagues at The Mars Society are not the ones that came up with the solution to which I was referring. I know the guy that did, but it's not really information I should give out right now... not because it's classified (although to a certain extent I suppose it is), but because I sort of like my anonymity and I don't really want to tell the world whose daughter I am (mostly because then you would know my real name...).
But, I will tell you this much. Until the recent space disasters (Columbia, Mars probes) they had anticipated sending men to Mars for a two year fact-finding mission in 2009, then 2011. They have to do it in two year windows because of the orbits. Those dates have been pushed back now, but I think the whole project is still a go. (Read: I haven't heard otherwise, but that doesn't mean that otherwise isn't true.)
Liora
I'm only 31 (32 in October), so I can't run in the coming election, but I hereby announce my candidacy for President of the United States of America in 2008.
Here's how I stand on a few issues:
So, if you think I'm any better (or any worse) than who's in office, or who's about to be in office, or want to call me a raving lunatic, just say so.
"Murphy was an optimist" - O'Toole's commentary on Murphy's Law
Actually, they can get a lot of this just by running a program a little better.
If they make the program a few years instead of 10 years, it's more assured funding and less propensity towards useless middle management. Plus, it's much easier to cancel a 10 year project 3 years in instead of canceling a project that's 3 years into a 4 year project.
If you have competing bids up to the point of prototypes, which the military does, you get 2x the basic developments for 1.25x the cost. If you have a clear setup of prototype-then-production, you don't end up with a 20 year old prototype like the shuttle. (It's probably the case that they should have just built Enterprise and maybe Columbia first, except at half-size and then gone back to the drawing board for Challenger, Atlantis, Discovery, and Endeavour)
And if you concentrate on a few things, like cost, safe transport of 4 crew, and the ability to get up and down, you can do it in a reasonable amount of time with a reasonable budget. The problem is that they tried to make the shuttle do too many things and be too advanced.
The problem with stopping the manned space program is that it's doubtful that we'd be able to get it started again once stopped.
Gentoo Sucks
Keep in mind that NASA was not putting men in space as they developed the shuttle. The last Apollo astronaut launched in 1972 and the first shuttle launch occured in 1981. Are we willing to put another hold on human space flight for 9 years to develop new vehicles and technologies? What about the ISS?
Currently it takes most of NASA's budget to operate the shuttle. Ending the shuttle program would free lots of engineers, scientist, and dollars to develop the next generation of vehicles.
Simple people talk of people, better people talk of events, great people talk of ideas.
Yes, thank you for pointing out that my model is nonsense. There's a very nice explanation with diagram that I should have dug up before spouting.
It still looks like the nearest Earth/Sol point ought to be several million miles away, but then I've already proven that I don't know beans about orbital mechanics....