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Apple, Scully, And Intel vs. Motorola

fsharp writes "I've heard too many comments suggesting that Apple should have moved to Intel (x86). The Register has an article exploring John Scully's recent comments about his failure to move the Mac to x86. Scully critiques his decisions based entirely on hindsight, and in doing so, identifies Dell as a the chief competitor and the way Apple could have slayed this evil dragon would have been to move to Intel early on in his tenure. Not so fast. Hindsight can be 20/20, however it can also be quite myopic if one suffers from selective memory. The article does a good job of examining the options available at the time when Apple rewrote the MacOS for the Intel x86. How safe a bet or great a risk would it have been for Apple to switch, given the quality of chips offered (at that time) from Intel?"

49 of 434 comments (clear)

  1. Hindsight by ChaoticLimbs · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's a little late in the game for this kind of second guessing. I think what Apple needs to do NOW is to do the port, sell the software, and see where the market goes.

    1. Re:Hindsight by MalleusEBHC · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This would be just about the dumbest time since the introduction of PowerPC chips in Apple hardware to consider porting to x86. For starters, just a few years after making all their developers port from OS 9 to OS X, now they will have to port from PPC to x86. So let's piss off a bunch of people by making developers port apps for a second and making customers wait for these new x86 ports. (Although, if I were to ever hear a troll go on about how they aren't switching away from OS X-PPC because it runs Quark, I think the ensuing laughter would be worth all the trouble.) So, after paying this high penalty for changing chip architectures, you are left with one of two shitty situations:

      1) OS X runs on commodity x86 hardware. Apple's hardware sales get eaten alive by Dell's ability to build machines in mass and cheaply. Then Apple is forced to survive as a software company on the sales of an OS squaring off with the 800 lbs gorilla of marketshare, Windows. Don't get me wrong, OS X is my baby, but the sheer numbers and monopolistic presence of Microsoft would make me very wary of the outcome.

      2) OS X runs only on Apple-made x86 boxes. After doing a magnificent job of figuring out how to stick two G5s in a PowerMac, Apple engineers get to throw that all out the window and do it with Xeons or Athlons. Not to mention the aforementioned porting done by developers. And the pissing off of customers who now have incompatible software. All this for what, a chance at a slight speed increase? Depending on which benchmarks you believe, the G5 is either just below, on par with, or just above high-end x86 systems. You are telling me Apple should go through all this hassle for what's going to end up being unnoticeable in the end?

      Maybe if you had suggested this in late 2000 when Motorola was beginning to show how they were going to fuck up G4 production in the future but before OS X was released, you might have had a case. But right now, things are looking the best they have in a very long time for Apple. Switching to x86 would be just about the dumbest move possible.

    2. Re:Hindsight by MosesJones · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Okay Mr Harvard MBA or what ever you are... out of interest what was the last billion dollar company you founded.

      Look at the companies that DON'T exist right now that went intel back then, and you can include IBM's desktop OS division in that, and say that it was wrong then.

      And now explain why dilluting the market would be a good idea, why creating incompatible OS X release would strengthen their brand.

      Or is it just that you want to play on that "cool" OS X but can't afford/be arsed to buy a Mac ?

      --
      An Eye for an Eye will make the whole world blind - Gandhi
    3. Re:Hindsight by locarecords.com · · Score: 2, Interesting
      I agree. Apple made the right call at the right time and continue to do so. You only have to use a Mac for a short time to feel the difference in speed and reliability. I have introduced all of my family, my girlfriends family and several friends to the Mac and they are all convinced... especially when I demonstated the iSight conversation we had with our Norwegian friends...

      --
      ---- The Open Source Record Label : : LOCARECORDS.COM
  2. Apple for x86! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Its killed KDE/LINUX!. Its fun to trick people into thinking I've got a macintosh!

    All the Apps are there
    Itunes = JuK
    Safari = Konqueror
    Finder = Konqueror
    Dock = Kicker
    Menubar = Kicker
    bbedit = Kate
    Quicktime = Kmplayer!
    Appleworks = Koffice!

    1. Re:Apple for x86! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What's your iChat analogue? Do the KDE users use Gaim as well? Gaim is nice.

      And what would be your analogue for Poisoned?

      It is really neat you can do all this with KDE, that's really a kind of a very "basic user" sort of configuration. When I am in my OS X, I tend to be using the set of apps you mention. However, I also tend to always have open ProjectBuilder, to code Cocoa apps in, and Logic Audio. While there is GNUStep to satiate my coding needs, I don't think GIMP or Soundforge can be thought of as drop-in replacements for Photoshop or Logic yet. And I personally don't think the GNUStep environment is polished enough yet I'd be satisfied with it.

    2. Re:Apple for x86! by Trurl's+Machine · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Itunes = JuK

      Really? How well does it handle smart playlist synchronization with your iPod = KPod?

    3. Re:Apple for x86! by troc · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yeah but they are all much better than Apple's iApps - they all start with a K which is, as we all know, much better than an i. It's upper case AND further down the alphabet.

      Not as good as zsh though or Zmodem. :)

      Troc

      --
      Troc's dubious podcast and blog: http://www.trocnet.net
  3. Apple's "mistakes" by aurum42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Had nothing to do with the processor architecture they chose to go with; that was nearly invisible to the end user, and the only things switching to x86 could possibly have helped with was possible binary compatibility with dos/windows, and better a better perception of performance in the mid to late 90s. Apple's key error (in hindsight) was the failure to commoditize their hardware at the right time, probably in the mid '80s, when apple had a reasonably useful graphical OS far more advanced than dos, an "OS" which could've been put together in a week by a competent hacker. Commoditization would've led to multiple manufacturers competing (and enlarging the market, with their advertising dollars) on costs and hardware features, rather than a lone company trying to maintain multiple product lines and losing focus in the process. Apple could've emerged as a really viable alternative to Microsoft, and could in fact be in the same position MS is in today (but with fewer security holes along the way, and a saner platform ;-). But I prefer apple the way it is now, fairly lean and mean and focused. I think there's a non-zero probability that the apple culture would've led to complete self-destruction beyond a certain company size. Sculley did an okay job considering his background, but he's a hypocrite (as is SJ) who has no real clue about technology, although he had a better grasp than Gil Amelio (read his autobiography, his "tech" comments are hilarious).

    --
    "The slave who knows his master's will and does not get ready...will be be beaten with many blows."Luke 12:47-48
  4. Look at what was available by bangalla · · Score: 5, Interesting

    At the time that the Mac moved to PPC there is no way that Intel could have offered such a seamless transition. The ability of the PPC to emulate the 68k at good speed was what made the transition work. If Apple had tried to move to the x86 platform they would have lost a lot of customers with a big investment in software as the x86 could not emulate the 68k at usable speed.

    Using an alternative archetecture has also allowed Apple to hold on to its uniqueness, which has in turn guarded it somewhat from fierce comparison to the x86 crowd.

    No-one in the PC business saw Dell coming, if Apple had been just another x86 vendor with a nice OS they would be facing the same problems as HP, Compaq etc did when confronted by Dell's better supply chain model.

    I think that Sculley is being remarkably revisionist in his views. The article points out a lot of the folly in his musings.

    The G5 and the relationship with IBM is more than enough to now justify the choie of the PPC architecture.

    --
    I want to use these Mod points but I can't find anything Interesting, Informative or Insightful on Slashdot.
    1. Re:Look at what was available by weileong · · Score: 3, Insightful


      No-one in the PC business saw Dell coming

      I think this point cannot be emphasized enough... I think anyone out there who says "oh we could have been Dell" is talking rubbish.

      About the only people who were close to what Dell was, was/is Gateway, and they're not anywhere as powerful as Dell is now... .

    2. Re:Look at what was available by IM6100 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually, there is a commercial Macintosh emulator, Executor, that run on x86 from the era of the early to mid 90's that proves that the M68K can be adequately emulated on x86 hardware. What slowed down and ultimately stunted Executor was that they try to emulate the entire Macintosh OS environment (and do a pretty good job of it for OS 6 and earlier work). I remember being able to run full speed and with sound, etc. versions of Macintosh Wolfenstein 3D and Lemmings on a 486 based system with Executor.

      --
      A Good Intro to NetBS
  5. Ridiculous article by ChaoticLimbs · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Document contains no data.

    This is all so one-sided. Let's all talk instead about what would have happened, had Apple switched to the X86 architecture, shall we?
    I think Apple would have lost control of their hardware, lost control of the drivers, and would be forced to give up, as their share of the marketplace dwindled. I think that without complete control over the peripherals, Apple would have had to negotiate with each hardware vendor, somehow coercing them into providing two driver sets, or making some sort of intermediary bytecode-like driver. Apple would slowly become Windows compatible. Windows would slowly evolve to run Mac software. Then Mac would be history, failing to compete in the price category. Apple would have to do just as much work as MS, but would sell 1/4 or less the number of copies. After a while we would have seen a true monopoly instead of a near-monopoly.
    Discuss.

    1. Re:Ridiculous article by hype7 · · Score: 3, Informative
      This is all so one-sided. Let's all talk instead about what would have happened, had Apple switched to the X86 architecture, shall we?


      I think you're spot on.

      There's an exceptional counter-argument to Sculley's regret over at El Reg, entitled "Sculley explains how he missed the chance to trash Apple". I think that pretty much sums it up.

      -- james
  6. Re:OSX for x86 NOW by bangalla · · Score: 2, Insightful
    "Apple has come a long way in supporting common interfaces (USB, PCI, etc)"

    Right... now who was it that really pioneered the use of USB? Oh, that's right.... It was Apple.

    "it's time they make the final leap and get out of the hardware business"

    Hello!!!! How many times does it have to be said? Apple is a Hardware company if you don't want to invest in an Apple that's fine, but they are never going to try to be a software company only.

    --
    I want to use these Mod points but I can't find anything Interesting, Informative or Insightful on Slashdot.
  7. Re:AMD and Apple by mirko · · Score: 2, Interesting

    No. You're only discussing about a 15 year old frame, here : if Microsoft had switched to 680x0 or to the PPC 10 to 15 years ago (or any other reason that would have made the motorola platform a more dominant one), then it would have been improved in the same way than the x86 did but it would also slow down after gaining a monopole.

    Now, Apple is backed by IBM and they already got G4, then G5 to run on multi-processor consummer computers.
    I guess, we're only in the beginning of this story and I consider the variety is what will keep our market evolving.

    --
    Trolling using another account since 2005.
  8. If it's gonna, now's the time by Zocalo · · Score: 2, Insightful
    With Microsoft now admitting that Longhorn isn't due until 2006, if Apple is going to release a x86 port of OSX, then now is surely the time to do it. Actually, given that Intel is in the process of a sea change to 64 bit and AMD is all but there; a better bet might be to take a stab at the burgeoning 64 bit market and ignore legacy 32 bit. That way Apple can dabble it's toes in the Intel world without getting seriously burnt by the mass market 32 bit box shifters.

    Whatever they decide, with the Windows world stalled until 2006, now's the time for the *NIX based solutions to make hay, whatever their CPU architecture of choice...

    --
    UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    1. Re:If it's gonna, now's the time by fyonn · · Score: 2, Insightful

      as I said to you this morning Dr Zee, I really don't see apple releasing OSX for the intel architecture. it's been rumoured for some time that apple keeps an inhouse copy of osx for intel "just in case" but I think that if they released it, it would be the beginning of the end for them. right now their uniqueness is their advantage.

      if they went down the intel route, they'd have to make the decision about whether to go for using a wintel compatible platform (ie format windows and install osx) in which case they'd have the hassle of dealing with the PC market, ie drivers for odd video cards, cheap ass peripheral makers, bad QC on parts, legacy equipment and all the other limits and annoyances of life with a PC.

      or they could make their own custom intel boxes, ie not wnitel compatible so just using, say, an amd64 chip on an apple custom mobo. in which case they are in much the same position as they are now, ie you'd have to buy an entire apple box to run osx. so why change? the chips might be a bit cheaper, but on the flipside you piss off a massive number of developers who now have to make their software work on an entire new platform (if they can be bothered). and remember that he's only just got them to convert from os9.

      I think that apple is right to stay with ppc for several reasons:

      a) they control the platform and thus they have the magical "everything just works" mystique about them. whether this is, or is not completely true is less important that the fact that everyone thinks it is

      b) they keep the favour of the developers (both companies and individuals) who have just ported their software to osx-ppc. a machine is only as good as the software available for or (or something like that)

      c) now they have moved to getting chips from IBM, they have a very good cpu platform to move forward on. the g4 wasn't *bad* but they always had to keep telling people about the megahertz myth etcetc. with the g5, people are starting to believe it. the current g5's are reported to be bloody quick. whether we need that speed or not is another matter but hey. and the g5's are right at the start of their product cycle and it looks like they are due to get a fair bit quicker.

      d) their uniqueness gives them a bit of cachet (sp?) I think. if gthey moe to an intel architecture then I think that alot of people would lump them in as "just another computer" rather than the great position they are in now where alot of people think that they are something special.

      e) using ppc chips keeps intel and amd on it's toes, competition is good and it's nice to see a route for the technology from ibm's mainframe chips to filter down to the masses (well, the masses who own apple kit anyways)

      f) I'm getting bored now of thinking up other reasons :)

      generally I don't really see it happening. apple would be right to consider it as a possibility, but I don't think they would at all be helping themselves to move across.

      I would say that apple right now are taking a very good stab at the 64 bit market. it's a little bit of a con as neither jaguar nor panther and fully 64 bit os's (hopefully next years implementation will be), they are 64 bit where it counts and thats what people see. lets face it, few people need 64 bit right now, although it doesn't hurt to move in that direction for futureproofing.

      dave

  9. Re:OSX for x86 NOW by gdarklighter · · Score: 2, Informative

    but I'm not going to dump $1500 or so for the priviledge of getting some overpriced, proprietary hardware platform

    First off, the hardware is not proprietary. The BIOS, however, is.

    Second, you can get a Mac for under $1000.

    Lastly, Apple's profits are not from software sales. If they were to start licensing the BIOS out AND port OS X to x86, they'd be sunk. Go back and take a look at how hard Apple got hit the first time they tried licensing the BIOS. Think of how much worse it would be if they had x86 computer companies undercutting them, too. Apple's profits are more from hardware sales than anything else, which is why allowing the production of clones and porting OS X to the x86 makes TERRIBLE FISCAL SENSE.

  10. Apple to switch themselves? by SkiifGeek · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't think that it would have been a very good move for Apple if they switched. It is like saying Sun should ignore their hardware developments and just rely upon x86 / commodity for everything.

    It would have been difficult for Apple to maintain their quality control, especially when any Joe could have installed their OS. IIRC the article states that Apple would have become just another relatively small PC supplier and essentially just a competing OS company.

    While a lot of Apple's decisions have seemed bizarre to the public, history has shown that they have something special (especially their HIG and provocative industrial design), and their ongoing relationship with Big Blue will be profitable for a long time. They haven't looked stronger than this for a long time, and are guaranteed of their future without needing to go x86 (although it took the G5, iMac, iTMS and iPod to do it).

    Anybody saying that they should be going x86 is just pissing in the wind. If you don't like the Apple tax, don't pay it (although it doesn't really exist for comparable specs), but don't bleat about Apple not giving you beige box pricing, I don't hear anyone calling for Sun to sell their HD's for $100.

  11. Does Sculley have any clue whatsoever? by mst · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If Apple would have changed to Intel in the late 80's, today it would most likely have evolved into yet another dull Dell competitor (pun intended), making generic PC clones. That is, if the company would have survived such a blow at all. (Consider for instance the fate of Be, Inc).

    I think Sculley just proves how little he still understands about Apple and its customers, and the core values of the company. For those of you ancient enough to remember those days: Imagine the badwill among the late 80's Mac users if, all of a sudden, the Macintosh (essentially) would be changed into a customized PC! I, for one, would have cringed and squirmed in agony and pain...

    (Today my opinion about a potential CPU switch may differ, but that's another discussion).

  12. Apple=Hardware Manufacture by Gilmoure · · Score: 4, Insightful

    OS X=Frosting on cake.

    Apple makes money by getting people to buy boxes with the highest profit margin in the PC industry. They do this by making them fairly tasty to a small group of folks with cash. So far, this has given them a 25 million user market, which is slowly expanding, though not at the rate that the X86 market is expanding. The thing is, it is still growing. Yes, their market share has dwindled, but the market has grown so large, it's not life threatning to them. Same thing goes for developers. It's argued that no one's going to want to develop for a platform with miniscule mindshare. Bullshit! How'd Linux happen, then? As long as there's even 100,000 Mac users, you're going to have developers. It's even more true, now, with OS X, as so much stuff is readily available for porting/compiling.

    Even if Apple switched to X86, they would not go and step into the ring, going up against Microsoft and Dell. They'd have propietary logic boards/boxes that would keep people buying their stuff at premium prices. You'd never see OS X able to run on a Lindows machine.

    A great example of what happens if you move into the X86 world is both BeOS and NeXT. They both started out making their Motorolla based machines, switched to X86 and then, when selling hardware didn't pan out, became software only companies, duking it out with MS. NeXT was smart enought to go and take over Apple, moving away from X86 while BeOS has whithered on the vine. Personally, I was hoping for Apple to bring BeOS in and use that as their new OS. That could have been interesting.

    You can see a couple other hardware companies trying the X86 route as well; Sun and SGI. While they have slightly different market segments, they still face the problems of trying to make money off of software as opposed to hardware in X86 land.

    --
    I drank what? -- Socrates
    1. Re:Apple=Hardware Manufacture by Arkham · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Personally, I was hoping for Apple to bring BeOS in and use that as their new OS. That could have been interesting.

      At the time Apple and NeXt "merged", I thought BeOS was the better choice. It seemed faster on smaller hardware, had some really unique features (BeFS, etc), and seemed more polished.

      As it turns out, Apple's move to a real UNIX-based OS was smart and well-timed. BeOS was written in C++ and had fragile base class issues. It was not multi-user. Lots of drivers didn't work right or had not been written yet. It was a nice proof of concept, but it was not complete.

      NeXt on the other hand, had what we now call Cocoa, a rich development and deployment framework that makes app development easier than on any other OS. With its UNIX roots, OSX has been able to take advantage of Linux's growing popularity (porting all the popular Linux tools is pretty trivial), and thus all that software is now available to Mac users. And with NeXt's Display PostScript being replaced with the similar Quartz (PDF) rendering engine, the OS has complete OS-wide PDF support, which is brilliant.

      --
      - Vincit qui patitur.
  13. Um, no. by mcc · · Score: 4, Insightful
    1. If Apple releases an x86 OS X, the chances are it will NOT be a product you can walk to the store, buy in a box, and install on your current PC. First off, the margins are relatively slim on software OSes. Apple hardware is so expensive BECAUSE it's subsidizing the production of OS X. To survive as software, Apple would have to charge prices people wouldn't pay for software. Much more importantly, though, the fact apple has a working "x86" OS X in the lab doesn't mean they have an x86 OS they can sell. The "PC" hardware world is simply massive. At the time Windows 95 was released, the press was saying that more than half the code in W95 was hardware compatibility. Apple does not have the resources to spend huge amounts of time supporting and debugging every sound card, video card, joystick card, etc, in the universe. Moreover, once you have this x86 OS X, what will you run on it? All the OS X software in the world would have to be compiled specifically for your x86 OS. Apple would have to convince ALL its developers to recompile and spend forevermore having to clumsily offer dual downloads/distributions of EVERYTHING based on target chip. There goes a big portion of the "it just works"-ness of OS X. Moreover some developers might refuse to compile for OS X out of spite. Apple could alternately try to create some kind of wine-like layer to let os x/x86 run windows software, which would be extremely costly and take away most of the "mac experience" feel of using the OS.
    2. If Apple did release their x86 OS X, it would most likely just be the same as today-- premium boxes based on commodity PC hardware parts, but in a shiny apple-branded case and with a high price tag. The only reason for this would be if for some reason they could put PC hardware together so much cheaper than PPC hardware it would justify the difficult switchover. (It is unlikely the price savings would be THAT much.) That would be about the only difference. But if they did this, they lose almost all of their justification for CHARGING their high prices in the first place-- you're no longer buying some kind of "special" apple box, you're buying a PC that just happens to be more expensive because it has a shiny case and can run OS X. Since the boxes would still be expensive, this would mean that you would lose the ENTIRE thing that all of you PC people clamoring for an x86 OS X want [Mac OS X on a $500 computer].
    3. "But wait", you say, "if apple were selling x86 computers, they could open up the hardware for cloning, or people could build their own, thus meaning the prices would be cheap again!" Well, no. Apple can do this just as easily while still using the PPC. Moreover, Apple has tried this with the PPC already. It didn't work. The other clone vendors, not having to use their money on R&D and developing the Mac OS, undercut Apple's prices and took away all of Apple's sales in the high-end, high-margin area. Apple lost a lot of money during the cloning experiment.
    Apple is making money with their current scheme. It is questionable whether Apple could make money after changing the scheme to "something x86-based". The only x86 strategy that would significantly make more money than Apple's current strategy would be selling boxed OSes, which would be risky since it would require apple to drop their per-sale margins and spend massive amounts of time and resources on supporting the myriad of x86 hardware.

    It isn't going to happen.

  14. Scully but no Moulder by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    ...makes for boring OS-X files.

    Hahahahaha I'll be here all week.

  15. Vendor lock-in. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I wrote a long comment explaining that it was at the time and still is a bad idea to go with x86 becuase with x86 you have a certain amount of chip-vendor lockin, meaning if Apple suddenly has to change from Intel to AMD, or something, and still retain its special aspects to its chips (Altivec, etc) it's moving to a chip that has the same instruction set but no other similarities, thus making the changeover very difficult. Meanwhile, with PPC, Apple partially owns the patent pool, and so they are able to pick up their designs and move to another manufacturer. Note that once Apple chose to give up on the increasing disaster that was Motorola's PPC production, they were able to switch to IBM relatively swiftly.

    I tried to post this comment about like four times, and every time comments.pl timed out on me. So use your imagination and pretend that the above post was much more erudite and detailed.

    Good lord, what is happening tonight? I feel like I'm on kuro5hin.

    Either way, it is at least somewhat beneficial for Apple-- being a dual hardware/software company-- to be using a microchip that they have some direct control over, such as the PPC.

  16. Not important. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In 5 years Apple will be primarily a music sales company anyway, with their mildly successful niche computer/OS sales department just kind of chugging along as it always has in the background..

    1. Re:Not important. by Amiga+Trombone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      In 5 years Apple will be primarily a music sales company anyway, with their mildly successful niche computer/OS sales department just kind of chugging along as it always has in the background..

      Well, make that a music, software (Final Cut) and consumer electronics (iPod) company.

      And since they'll be less dependent on Mac hardware to generate a revenue stream, they may be more amenable to opening up the Mac platform than they have been in the past. Allowing cloning wouldn't have the potential to do them the damage it did the last time.

      And if that happens, you might very well see the Mac platform grow exponentially.

  17. Intel vs Motorola or Dell vs Apple by claudebbg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's quite easy to write about a strategic subject after the battle, but as far as I can see, Apple has handled the situation with a visionary approach: don't use Intel but use standard components (IDE/PCI/RAM...).
    The point is to use good and cheap components, simple and build on order product lines, and to avoid competitors. Apple decided to avoid competitors with a dedicated architecture (PowerPC, dedicated hardware+software) and Dell decided to avoid competitors with obsessive efficiency and speed.
    Let's see the result now: we meet two companies working well (I mean earning some pennies) in the "PC" business. Both are improving their product lines with inexpensive (eMac, iBook, Axim, 1U servers, etc.) and top performance (G5, Precision 650) offers.
    The strange experience I did recently was to compare some Dell & Apple products for my personal wish list: a solid desktop for development/office tasks, able to handle some multimedia for free-time and a laptop for mobility (web surfing/ messaging/ coding) and audio connection. Basically the performances where close, prices were really close (+/-10% max on both sides) and the differences were on accessories (nice looking good LCD screen or basic one, RAM, disks, all of them compatible with competitors).
    I'll certainly choose Apple because of the nice looking/ well assembled machines and because I haven't got to choose between Linux and XP as best of both is integrated in MacOS 10 (plus some little more, thanks to integration).
    That leads me to a simple conclusion: these two companies have made a similar good choices which are not at all in the Intel vs PowerPC discussion but standard components choice, build on order based on the client needs, firmly choose an OS and some markets to work on. This leads to a similar result: two companies doing well in the business with satisfied customers.

  18. Everyone seems to be forgetting what is important! by Corpus_Callosum · · Score: 4, Insightful

    All this talk about Apple moving to Intel architecture neglects the most important current fact: As of right now, Apple has the best hardware. The Dual G5 has the best bus, the fastest interconnects, the best peripheral support and the best (in my opinion) Operating System.

    Why would Apple be interested in an endeavor that guarantees massive headaches (heterogenous hardware support), sends a mixed signal to the marketplace (about which platform is better) in order to run their OS on a platform that would have no (ZERO, NADA) application support for years and, again, would run slower than what is currently shipping from Apple?

    This whole article seems like FUD to try to cloud the issue (that Apple has surpassed WinTel) to me.

    --
    The reason that it can be true that 1+1 > 2 is that very peculiar nonzero value of the + operator
  19. One Word: SUN by ewn · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As Feynman says and Dell shows, here's always room at the bottom. As the existence of Apple shows, there usually is room at the top, too. In between, that's where the crowd is. To move to an intel platform is not the issue for Apple, and it never was. Not becoming just part of the crowd when doing so is.

    Look at SUN. They made the best machines you could buy for internet applications at a time back in the nineties, and charged you a lot of money for it. Today the rest of the world has caught up, we all stack our racks with linux pizzaboxen now, and SUN is in trouble. The company has to decide: is SUN a hardware company? that would mean investing a lot in the development of SPARC, killing the Solaris x86 line and fighting Linux, or move entirely to Intel, giving up software development altogether and become like Mike. Or is SUN a software company? that would mean cancelling further SPARC development and concentrating on Solaris and Java. Eventually, this would kill SPARC.

    Strengthening the hardware section in SUN would hurt the software guys, and beefing up the software department could easily hurt the hardware sales. Not a good strategic position. Apple could easily be (or have been) caught in the same situation. To compete with Dell you have to become like Dell. If you don't want to do this, you must find a different market for yourself. Or be just part of the crowd.

    1. Re:One Word: SUN by sql*kitten · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The company has to decide: is SUN a hardware company? that would mean investing a lot in the development of SPARC, killing the Solaris x86 line and fighting Linux

      Well, you can buy a 1U Sun SPARC now for less than a comparable 1U Dell. Sun is price-competitive now at the low end, for the first time. And, they have an edge Dell can't match, namely that Sun guarantees forwards compatibility - you can take an old app from old hardware and an old Solaris, and run it on the latest kit and OS. If you can't, and you stuck to documented APIs in your code, Sun treats it as a bug in Solaris and fixes it. Dell can't provide that because they don't control any of the OSs they offer. Not only that, but Sun's hardware is of a higher quality. I recently experienced my first Sun hardware failure in years - two SPARC processors failed in a production server. The machine just kept right on running, as it was designed to do, and we swapped a new board in when it was convenient. What can you hot-swap on a Dell these days, just disks?

      What I'm getting at is that Sun is not a hardware company nor a software company. It's a platform company, like IBM's mainframe division, and like Apple. If you want to compare it to Dell, a more subtle analysis is required than just "price per box".

    2. Re:One Word: SUN by Amiga+Trombone · · Score: 2, Insightful

      SPARC is still a viable processor, but it needs work. Solaris is still a viable operating system, but it needs work. But if doing this won't work in business, then SUN just needs to be bought out, perhaps by IBM (then SPARC will probably become the "s-Series").

      The most likely outcome of IBM buying Sun would be the migration of Sun's product line (and Solaris) over to the Power architecture, and then slowly being absorbed into the P-series.

      Which, actually, would be an interesting development.

  20. Re:OSX for x86 NOW by torpor · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm not going to dump $1500 or so for the priviledge of getting some overpriced, proprietary hardware platform.


    I did. And I do not regret it. I've been a computer-user since the 70's, and as far as I'm concerned this tiBook has been the best computer I've ever invested in, and I've owned many. I've gotten more done with this than I ever did with a PC, I've had *NO* virus problems, no crashes (really, not a single system-failure type crash in the 3 years I've had it), and it has been around the world with me, twice, and still keeps on running.

    I had to work on PC hardware today for a few hours. Man, I'm so sick of having to deal with PC hardware problems.

    Just give me a machine that works, a decent operating system, and get out of the way. Thank you, Apple.

    That said, if I could find an Intel laptop with the same design as a tiBook, I'd probably run Linux or FreeBSD on it - but, frankly, I doubt it would be more cost effective to do so than just upgrading to a newer 17" alBook ... and all the reasons for running Linux (open source tools) are just as valid now under OSX, so ...

    --
    ; -- the corruption of government starts with its secrets. a truly free people keep no secrets. --
  21. Pepsi, x86, Apple and John Sculley by theolein · · Score: 5, Insightful

    After reading yet another "How John Sculley fucked up" article I feel I can say few things. The first is that the board of Pepsi is, with the same hindsight that John Sculley now has, probably enormously glad that he buggered off to Apple in the 80's and didn't stay at Pepsi where they would have had to fire him a few years later for plain apocryphal business decision making.

    Because John Sculley, with his wonderful hindsight, still doesn't "get it" and that says a lot about him. His absolutely idiotic remarks about Apple moving to x86 are worth less today than they were when Apple had actually ported Mac OS to x86 in a project called "Startrek" in 1994, only to call it off at the last moment.

    The Brand is everything with Apple. Check it out. Go to the website, go to an Applestore. The design of the hardware, the design of the software, the design of Steve Jobs' stage appearances, the design of the Website, the design of the Apple store, everything is made to fit into the brand. There is practically NO other company that does this as well as Apple. No one. Nada. Zilch. Or why do you think that mac OSX doesn't have themes and skins as part of the basic OS? (Yes, I know that 3rd party people make skins, but they are not endorsed or supported by Apple)

    I hate car analogies, but in terms of branding, Apple is the BMW of computing. The designs are timeless in a way that makes my 4 year old Lombard Powerbook as interesting to look at as my 2 year old Titanium Powerbook (Ever notice that Apple used two shades and textures of black plastic in the Lombard/Pismo design?). It's a design that makes a 4 year old B&W Tower interesting and a design that makes you stop and stare when you see a G5 from the outside as well as the inside.

    It's something that "cheap and ugly as you can be as long as it's fast" tech nuts and ex executives of bottled sugar water don't "get".

    Technically, it would have all been possible, and in 1990 Apple stood a good chance of beating Microsoft at its own game as all the graphical applications would have been forced to move over to x86 along with Apple, and Mac OS 7 was way better than Windows 3.0, but by 1994, when the "Startrek" project was underway, it was already too late. Apple had gotten lost in the future OS dealings with Taligent, Pink, Starttrek and the miserable Copland effort.

    Buying NeXT was the best thing NeXT (excuse the pun) ever did. And while the clones being lost was sad. Apple would not have been able to turn its business around with the clone competition. It would have diluted the Brand, which was something that Jobs understood correctly in doing.

    Today Apple could in no way switch again. They came very close to losing Adobe and Macromedia with the switch to OSX and would almost certainly lose them if they switched to x86 (or Itanium or Opteron or whatever). Those applications are part of Apple's bread and butter business and Apple knows it. But the G5 and the coming G3 with Altivec look good for the near future despite or because of Intel vapourware announcements to scare of opteron customers.

  22. Bill Gates' memorandum to John Scully, June 25, 19 by mst76 · · Score: 5, Interesting
    I got found this interesting post on Google Groups. Remember, this is what Bill Gates wrote to the Apple CEO 13 years ago, just one and a half year after the launch of the original Apple Macintosh and the IBM AT, three years after Compaq introduced the first IBM clone.

    Selected quotes from a confidential memorandum from Bill Gates to John Scully of Apple dated June 25, 1985.

    Source: Wired Magazine, November 1997, page 126-128.

    A memo on "Apple Licensing of Mac Technology."

    Apple's stated position in personal computer is innovative technology leader. This position implies that Apple must create a standard on new, advanced technology. They must establish a "revolutionary" architecture, which necessarily implies new development incompatible with existing architectures.

    Apple must make Macintosh a standard. But no personal computer company, not even IBM, can create a standard without independent support. Even though Apple realized this, they have not been able to gain the independent support required to be perceived as a standard.

    The significant investment (especially independent support) in a "standard personal computer" results in an incredible momentum for its architecture. Specifically, the IBM PC architecture continues to receive huge investment and gains additional momentum [...] The investment in the IBM architecture includes development of differentiated compatibles, software, and peripherals; user and sales channel education; and most importantly, attitudes and perceptions that are not easily changed.

    Any deficiencies in the IBM architecture are quickly eliminated by independent support [...] The closed architecture prevents similar independent investment in the Macintosh. The IBM architecture, when compared to the Macintosh, probably has more than 100 times the engineering resources applied to it when investment of compatible manufacturers is included. The ratio becomes even greater when the manufacturers of expansion cards are included.

    Conclusion:

    As the independent investment in a "standard" architecture grows, so does the momentum for that architecture. The industry has reached the point where it is now impossible for Apple to create a standard out of their innovative technology without support from, and the resulting credibility of, other personal computer manufacturers. Thus APPLE MUST OPEN THE MACINTOSH ARCHITECTURE TO HAVE THE INDEPENDENT SUPPORT REQUIRED TO GAIN MOMENTUM AND ESTABLISH A STANDARD. [emphasis mine]

    The Mac has not become a standard:

    The Macintosh has failed to attain the critical mass necessary for the technology to be considered a long term contender.

    [...]

    Recommendation:

    Apple should license Macintosh technology to 3-5 significant manufacturers for the development of "Mac Compatibles".

    US manufacturers and contacts: ideal companies - in addition to credibility, they have large account sales force that can establish the Mac architecture in larger companies:

    - AT&T, James Edwards - Wang, An Wang - Digital Equipment Corporation, Ken Olsen - Texas Instruments, Jerry Junkins - Hewlett Packard, John Young

    Other companies:

    [ list of companies and contact names deleted ]

    Apple should license the Macintosh technology to US and European companies in a way that allows them to go to other companies for manufacturing. Sony, Kyocera [...] are good candidates for OEM manufacturing of Mac compatibles.

    MICROSOFT IS VERY WILLING TO HELP APPLE IMPLEMENT THIS STRATEGY. We are familiar with the key manufacturers, their strategies and strengths. We also have a great deal of experience in OEMing system software.

    Rationale:

    1. The companies that license Mac technology would add credibility to the Macintosh architecture.

    2. These companies would broaden the available product offerings through their "Mac-compatible" product lines:

    - They would each innovate and add features to the basic systems [...]

    -

  23. PowerPC was *supposed* to become a commodity chip by xyote · · Score: 3, Insightful
    IBM was going to come out with personal powerpc systems which would even have a common motherboard reference design with Macs. The volume of production would drive down costs dramatically. But IBM didn't and Apple basically got screwed on that deal.


    Interestly enough, the reason IBM canned the personal powerpc systems was that OS2 for PPC completely blew its schedule several times over. IBM had a personal AIX edition for PPC ready but chose not to go with that. The reason. Unix would never make it as a mainstream operating system for PCs.

  24. I'm sorry... by Xenex · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...but a real Mac still looks much nicer, as demonstrated here.

    Hail to the thief, indeed.

  25. I really hope Apple won't ever port OS X to x86! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Really!

    For me Apple has the best hardware, best designs, best OS.
    This won't be true anymore if they have to deal with every x86 hardware. And I prefer they tweak the OS for a few hardware configs (including mine) than spend their time working on configs I don't even care of. Plus, PPC is better. We forgot that because of Motorola but IBM will remind it to us, starting now.

    And even if Apple have to go x86 one day, i'm sure they won't make Os X (or XI, XII...) open to every hardware.
    They are an hardware vendor first!

    One thing I really don't understand is why everybody always forget that Apple IS profitable?
    They have to increase their market share a little, not change everything. And that's what they are doing now.

    Have you really looked at a G5 or a PowerBook? Why would we want something else to put OS X on? "Cause it's cheaper"? Is that it? Won't you ever understand that you DON'T have a Porsche for the price of a Nissan? And i know that some Nissans can be faster (or whatever) than Porsches, so what?

    If you want one and don't have enough money to buy a mac, find a good job or steal it. And if you don't like macs or don't want to spend that money, or think that Apple should blah blah blah: Why don't you leave us alone? Use you ugly OS on your ugly box and LEAVE US ALONE!

  26. Re:Everyone seems to be forgetting what is importa by caitsith01 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You know, you can buy a supercomputer that's even faster than a G5, and even more expensive too!

    Until Apple can release decent spec machines at vaguely realistic prices there is no merit whatsoever in the claim that "Apple has surpassed WinTel". At the moment here in Australia I could buy 4 or 5 very quick AMD based boxes for the price of one shiny metal G5, and I am guessing the situation is the same in the US.

    I am no Intel/Windows apologist - I have been itching to buy an Apple for a couple of years now. Sadly, there's just no way I can justify springing A$3000 for the equivalent of an A$1500 PC.

    I guess what I'm trying to get at is - even if the current Apple lineup is 'faster' (whatever that means) that the Intel crop, (a) it won't last longer than 6 months tops before Intel and AMD have shot past again and (b) I'm sure if Intel and AMD produced hardware aimed at the same prince-point as Apple it would be twice as quick. Fortunately for their stockholders they prefer to aim at the price-point that people are actually going to buy products at.

    --
    Read Pynchon.
  27. They don't need to switch by tf23 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The only reason why people want them to switch is the hopeful idea that the prices for their machines will be cheaper then their current cost with the G4/G5 procesors.

    But would it? Why would it be cheaper? Who's to say that Apple wouldn't use their own BIOS, so you can't use/make a hombrew clone, and that they wouldn't tack on their "Apple Surcharge" because this is apple h/w?

    Now, the reason that Apple considers switching, IMHO, is two-fold:

    1. the promise of expanded marketshare
    2. they currently have OS X working on Intel already w/ limited driver (er extranous hardware) support.

  28. If Apple released an x86 port... by Ianoo · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You're forgetting the third way Apple could do itself a favour. They could open source Aqua. Imagine the possibilities: 1. I'm pretty sure that a project would have Aqua running on Linux or FreeBSD in a few months. In the meantime, Apple gets free development and bugfixes for Aqua, and when it's finished, we get the modern, excellent X Windows replacement (with a backwards compatible rootless X Server) people have been wanting for years and years. 2. Apple can still sell their own hardware, and they can limit key products like iTunes to PPC binary. This way, they don't loose out to comoditised x86 boxes. 3. Microsoft won't be pissed and stop producing Mac Office (which is important to a lot of people on the Mac), because again they can just produce PPC binaries instead of x86 binaries. Instead we get OpenOffice.org for Aqua (hopefully faster after they dump the horrendous toolkit they're using now).

  29. Re:Everyone seems to be forgetting what is importa by caitsith01 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I agree, it is impressive.

    I wonder if anyone's done a serious test to see, for example, what is the best number crunching performance you can get for $6000. I guess the intricacies of setting up a distributed system would be rather prohibitive. It would also be cool to see how different types of application would go - even though overall the memory would be slower on the P3s there would be a heck of a lot of cache if you add it all together, which counts for something.

    Blades would be nice... plus your geek-cool would be through the roof with those things. Nice to see IBM still making serious computers IMHO, evil super-corporation or not.

    --
    Read Pynchon.
  30. Motorola didn't 'fuck' Apple, Jobs screwed Moto by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    in late 2000 when Motorola was beginning to show how they were going to fuck up G4 production in the future

    Let me channel text from Apple Recon from that period:

    Jobs had a meeting at Motorola. Topic of discussion was the 'working relationship'.

    Jobs had cancelled the Mac clones. This meant that Motorola has lost 87 million dollars directly in the shutdown of the clone line. In addition to screwing up the %age of PPC chips that would be produced and put into general purpose computers.

    Instead of the over 15%, Motorola was left with 5% of the chip volume going to Apple. Motorola execs were not happy. Jobs response? 'It will be great in 2 years when we won't be using you!' (Remember, at this time there was: Blue Box - Mac OS 6-7-8 API Yellow Box - The NeXTSTEP API Red Box - NeXTSTEP still on Intel) Sometime after this meeting, Red Box was 'quietly' dropped. And Motorola - they ended up introducing 'altavec'(sp) op codes. Ever look at those Op codes? They are more DSP centric than general purpose computing centric. And Apple 'hyped' them as a 'feature' - like killing Red Box the hyping was to attempt to smooth over things with Motorola.

    Meanwhile, the comment 'in 2 years we are dropping you' stayed with Motorola, and they positioned the chip to work better in the remaining 95% of the market. Why should have Motorola spent time in improving the chip for a customer who was going to leave?

    Thus Jobs's hot headded comment to Motorola cost Apple PPC preformance and Apple had to kill the promised public continuation of the NeXTSTEP product on X86.

    Most of the 'Apple zealots' forget Jobs's meeting with Motorola.

  31. x86 market is expanding? by alispguru · · Score: 3, Interesting

    So far, this has given them a 25 million user market, which is slowly expanding, though not at the rate that the X86 market is expanding.

    I have one quibble with this - is the x86 market still expanding? In the developing world, I suspect pretty much everyone who needs a computer already has one, and unless they do video or games their raw hardware is fast enough for what they do (word processing, spreadsheets, email, web browsing).

    If this is true, then what we're left with is competition of style (ease of use, fit and finish) versus externalities (compatibility with the rest of the universe). If there's any justice, Apple ought to continue to grow.

    Though I hope they don't "win" - a monopoly Apple would probably become just as fat, lazy, and obnoxious as Microsoft.
    --

    To a Lisp hacker, XML is S-expressions in drag.
  32. The (ppc) future looks bright too by goombah99 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    "At the time of the non-decision Apple really did have to start thinking about where it was going after 68k ran out of steam, but the x86 line in those days didn't look particularly promising as a platform, the 68k still beat the 386 and PowerPC beat the 486 when it came out. "

    not to mention that the G5 now beats the penitiums in every area: raw cpu perfromance, vector processing, wide data busses, and hyper transport. Plus its loping along at a mere 2Ghz and a rather small chip area while the x86 technology is sweating bullets (and heat) at 4Ghz trying to keep its pipelines full and branch predictions correct and its massive chip real-estate in sync on the clock signal.

    The itanium technology of very long instruction compiling is falling on its predictive race condition petards with two speed rollbacks to date.

    The PPC software world has yet to truly exploit those sexy well thoughtout vector ops (altivec) and that insanely fast bus, so there's lots of legs for improvement even without processor speed bumps in the near future. the small chip are will end itslef to muliple uints per die, the future still looks bright.

    meanwhile the only real developments in the x86 world is the transition to 64 bit (and maybe when the motherboards start to catch up, to ubiquitous hypertransport). But perhaps its nearing the end of its speed, chip area, coherent vector instruction set life cycle?

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  33. Re:Everyone seems to be forgetting what is importa by kevinbr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    >>Sadly, there's just no way I can justify springing A$3000 for the equivalent of an A$1500 PC I hope you drive a CHEAP russian car with a 2 stroke engine. Why in the PC world do people always buy the cheapest nastiest products? I laugh when I meet guys driving BMW;s while piloting a nasty cheap plastic Dell. I myself Drive a Subaru and only Mac's both quality products that start first time every morning. My Mac has been dropped on a tile floor 6 times now, the case is cracked to hell BUT WOW, the extra money for quality means it works still. My friend dropper a Dell on the carpet and 6 weeks later and MUCH bucks, he got a bootable computer. I just came back from Afghanistan, there I needed quality. Horrible dust and heat, and it still works. Don't you just love the smell of 2 stroke engines, they smell.......cheap.

  34. Re:Everyone seems to be forgetting what is importa by Blimey85 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    You need to compare like items or your simply wasting your time. If you look at the cost of a comparable pc to the high end mac's you'll find that the price is nearly the same. Sure you can get a nice AMD box for much cheaper. I have two of them (and an AMD based laptop) but my machines aren't nearly as nice as what Apple makes, even though they clock in at 3.6 Ghz (dual processor machines).

    One other thing that needs to be considered is what your going to use the computer for. Sure I can buy a car for less than I'd have to pay for a pickup truck but if I need to pull a trailer or haul a lot of stuff, 10 cars won't be as effective as the one truck.

    --
    How is it that one careless match can start a forest fire, but it takes a whole box to start a campfire?
  35. Re:Everyone seems to be forgetting what is importa by rsborg · · Score: 2, Insightful
    ...I am no Intel/Windows apologist - I have been itching to buy an Apple for a couple of years now. Sadly, there's just no way I can justify springing A$3000 for the equivalent of an A$1500 PC.

    I've refuted this before, but then again, I'm not sure you've seen my post. It's still valid, even after the Athlon 64 (since that proc is not dual-capable).

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