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NASA Debates How And When To Kill Hubble Telescope

Amy's Robot writes "The Washington Post reports that after 13 years of wear and tear, the Hubble telescope may be on the way out. NASA and some outside scientists have become involved in a heated debate about how and when to end the Hubble telescope program. Keeping Hubble in service until 2020 would require an extra maintenance visit by astronauts at a cost of at least $600 million. Some even worry the batteries could fail by 2010, since the next maintenance visit has been delayed by the Columbia accident and space station priorities. Is it worth maintaining our old friend Hubble, or should NASA let him go out in a blaze of glory?"

29 of 555 comments (clear)

  1. Must die? by skajake · · Score: 1, Insightful
    >> The Hubble Space Telescope must die

    Why? Its up there, lets use it till gravity takes its course. (Or it fails mechanically)

    --

    ~ Maintainer of the Skajake Projects

    1. Re:Must die? by ericspinder · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Do you want a 12 tons falling on your house?

      Instead, NASA's plan now calls for building an unmanned craft, which would be launched on a throwaway rocket and attach itself to the Hubble to steer the telescope safely into the Pacific Ocean -- eliminating any possibility that the 12.5-ton telescope could fall on, say, Mexico City or Miami.

      --
      The grass is only greener, if you don't take care of your own lawn.
    2. Re:Must die? by aardvarkjoe · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Unfortunately, gravity might take its course and drop it on a city somewhere.

      A large part of the reason why they want to destroy it on their own terms is so that they can control what happens.

      --

      How can we continue to believe in a just universe and freedom to eat crackers if we have no ale?
    3. Re:Must die? by LurkerXXX · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They need to take it down before it fails mechanically. It's a rather large satellite, and several large pieces might survive reentry to impact on some unsuspecting person below. They will take it down deliberately while it is still working, so that they can ensure they will land in the ocean somewhere, and not on someone's house.

    4. Re:Must die? by Theatetus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hubble is not the debris problem. The debris problem is the millions of tiny bits of rocket and sattelite detritus that are whizzing around earth. If the hubble is coming towards you it's pretty easy to see and dodge. If something the size of a saltshaker is coming towards you, it's not so easy to see and dodge, but it can kill you just as dead.

      Personally, I'm all for nudging hubble out away from the plane of earth's orbit and just letting it float away and keep observing until it totally dies.

      --
      All's true that is mistrusted
    5. Re:Must die? by AKAImBatman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > Personally, I'm all for nudging hubble out away from the
      > plane of earth's orbit and just letting it float away and
      > keep observing until it totally dies.

      I seriously doubt that Hubble has enough reaction mass to send it out of orbit. In fact, the Hubble most likely uses some form of OMS (Orbital Maneuvering System) thrusters to change orbit. These thrusters are very weak and are good for adjusting your rotation or changing the ellipse of your orbit. Changing the path of an orbit can potentially send a craft into a downward spiral that would (eventually) result in atmospheric contact.

    6. Re:Must die? by SiaFhir · · Score: 2, Insightful
      That 1/3 chance of hitting ground is skewed by the fact that it's orbiting in a straight predictable line, so you need to figure out how much land and water is along that path when it goes down, and which city it might hit.

      Long before Mir was brought down, they knew the station will fly/tumble over Japan, but they also knew it would be too high to cause any damage, and safely hit the South Pacific. If it wasn't a controlled fall, it would have been calculated as having a ~98% chance of hitting water.

    7. Re:Must die? by I+don't+want+to+spen · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If it could be steered into a safe de-orbit, would it not be possible to steer it into a rendezvous with the space station and either mothball it, refit it there - or use it as an attraction for the next space tourist who came along? After all, if the space station is looking for a purpose, why not a repair shop? Its always seemed very wasteful to me to let all those raw materials that cost so much to get into orbit burn up on re-entry. You could even put it into Lunar orbit(although I guess the fuel needed would be prohibitive) to use as raw materials should a lunar base ever be made.

      --
      Don't go to a brothel if you want to buy broth
  2. $600 Million by Professeur+Shadoko · · Score: 5, Insightful

    seems fairly cheap to me, compared to what it would cost to build and launch a new one

    1. Re:$600 Million by sacherjj · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And the added possibility that if they mess something up, it will be a total loss... Unlike the Hubble.

  3. Here's an idea... by MoeMoe · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Give the "hunk-of-junk" to me... I'm sure I can find many... uses, for it... **cough** SETI@HOME **cough**

    --
    Business \Busi"ness\, n.;
    A scam in which all people involved perceive as beneficial...
  4. Re:For the time being. by gorilla · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hubble couldn't crash into the sun without getting a signifant boost to get it out of Earth orbit.

  5. Ebay the remaining observation time by G4from128k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I wonder if they can keep things going for a while by auctioning off time of the telescope? I doubt they could raise 600 million, but I'd bet they could keep things going for a while.

    --
    Two wrongs don't make a right, but three lefts do.
  6. How much have we looked at? by Kjella · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I mean in 13 years, how much is it that the Hubble telescope can see that it hasn't done yet? Is it now mostly "humm has anything changed" or is the exposure time so long and the focus so small that only a small part of the sky has been charted?

    If it's the former, let it die and make a new, stronger and better one and send up. If it's the latter, fix it up and keep it running so it can continue to do its thing.

    Kjella

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    1. Re:How much have we looked at? by gorilla · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We've been looking at the sky with telescopes for nearly 400 years now, and we're still learning more. While part of this is due to improved instruments, part of it is due to just how much sky there is out there to look at. Even quite old instruments, such as the 1908 Mt Wilson 100 inch reflector where Hubble did his work, are still capable of doing significant observations.

  7. Already too late by Slowtreme · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Shouldn't this kind of discussion occur before we send Tons of metal/glass into space with the possibility of it comming back down? That said, whoever sent it up on the shuttle should send the shuttle back to retrive it. This whole "let it fall back to earth" way of dealing with our space trash is going to get someone killed. Part of any launch budget should include retrival costs that go in an Escrow until it's time to go get it.

    --
    Post: Sigged, for your pleasure.
  8. Re:Next generation by ericspinder · · Score: 3, Insightful

    They already are planning it

    The James Webb Space Telescope, scheduled for launch in 2011, is designed to observe the universe in infrared wavelengths required to study the most distant galaxies as they accelerate outward.

    But the problem is...It will not produce the spectacular visible wavelength images for which the Hubble is celebrated.

    So no more great picutures of the universe like Hubble is famous for. I say that it is well worth the 600 mil to keep it up til at least 2020. As inspiration / backup, Hell that is less than a paltry 60 million a year.

    --
    The grass is only greener, if you don't take care of your own lawn.
  9. How and when to kill NASA by Animats · · Score: 1, Insightful
    NASA has become pointless. The purpose of the shuttle fleet is to build the ISS. The purpose of the ISS is to develop ways to keep people alive in space long enough to get to Mars. There are no concrete plans to go to Mars. Going there on chemical fuels will never work very well anyway. Give it up.

    Turn the shuttles over to the USAF, let them launch one of them out of Vandenberg when they have to, and dump the Government-funded civilian space program.

    Further work on space propulsion systems should be moved to the Department of Energy.

  10. Re:Could they bring it back down? by Dawn+Keyhotie · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Actually, that was the initial plan. Including hanging it from the ceiling in the Smithsonian. But now with the Columbia accident, no one wants to put astronauts' lives on the line just to retreive a museum piece.

    I think it would be stupid^H^H^H^H^H^Hoverly optimistic to de-orbit Hubble until the new Webb space telescope is launched and fully tested. After all, how dumb would NASA look if it destroyed a perfectly good piece of equipment, and then its replacement fubared because of a mismatched washer or something.

    And right now, the plan is to do just that, to bring down Hubble before Webb is even launched, to save a few (million) bucks in Hubble operational costs. And the big debate is that everyone with any sense, and any sense of history, is telling them (NASA penny pinchers) that they're crazy.

    "A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush." Something NASA should consider before taking penny-wise, pound-foolish steps.

    Cheers!

    --
    "The only good windmill is a tilted windmill."
  11. relative DOD costs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    One B-2 Stealth Bomber --> $2.2 Billion USD
    15+ more years of Hubble --> $600 Million USD

    which would contribute more?

  12. The real question is: by Captain+Rotundo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why does the space station take priority ? they should scrap the ISS and start planning new orbital telescopes. most of the real valid research is done with hubble, and the dmand for time on it is outragous. NASA is a failure because it focuses on money sinks that do nothing.

  13. Wasteful ISS space station is killing Hubble by elwinc · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The international space station has been costing about $2.5 billion/year during construction. This includes the $4 or $5 billion cost overrun over the initial $8 billion estimates. This cost is supposed to come down once construction is complete, but I'll wait & see.

    Now I won't claim that the ISS has produced zero science, but I will claim that it's a mighty expensive way to do science. Humans in space may win congressional votes, but they're a pretty expensive way to do research. Remote control machines such as the space telescope, the Mars landers, Voyager, etc. have produced much more science for much less money.

    If we let the ISS drop, there's be plenty of money to keep Hubble running, build its successor, send machines to Pluto, and a ton of other stuff. Unfortunately, the political reality is that Congress and the American public aren't particularly interested in the actual science. But we're willing to spend $2.5 billion per year because we think astronauts are cool!

    --
    --- Often in error; never in doubt!
  14. Heard this nonsense before: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Remember Skylab?

    Yes, Skylab! It was the first manned space station, and it was american! well, anyway, instead of worrying about TODAY and keeping it operational with TODAY's technology, the pie-in-the-sky nasa engineers decided to wait until tomorrow's technology could save them from poor planning.

    Do I see history repeating itself?

    MARK MY WORDS: If they allow Hubble to de-orbit, in order to free up cash to build a new replacement, THERE WILL BE NO REPLACEMENT FOR A VERY LONG TIME. Remember, this is Congress, isn't it? And this is a country filled with half-ignoramus who get all their news from Rupert Murdoch.

    Cue "Dueling Banjos" - "How come we spend all this money on space monkeys when we don't have no jobs down here?"

    Of course, you try to inform these people that NASA has a very small budget - pratically non-existant next to the defense department's big money handout, and that many of the NASA programs are actually at the behest of the Department of Defense, so that their "real budget" for science is very very small.

    Cue "Dueling Banjos", again: "But we don't need no science, we need jobs"

    Of course, this man is retarded - but he actually represents the majority sentiment.

    Now, of course, to you and me, we see the hallmark of a productive society as scientific research. And we are smart enough to know that science for science's sake often has a fantastic impact on everyday lives, etc...

    But, this hayseed has a congressman, who also wants to know why you crazy science people want $600 million just to look at the sky.

    So, keep in mind - if Hubble fails, their will be no timely replacement.

  15. Incorrect by Teahouse · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I appreciate your insistence that the only reason to go into space is for scientific knowledge, but I don't think your premise regarding manned space flight is correct.

    All the knowledge we gain (scientific or otherwise) is ultimately tied to the fact that we must eventually leave this world if we are to grow as a species. Eventually, manufacturing, mining, and even our quality of life will depend on this.

    I also don't see how burning up an unused/unfinished $13 billion dollar investment is considered a plus for all the people who have paid for it. I also don't see how you can gauge the scientific potential of the ISS before it's finished and has a full crew dedicated to experimentation and science.

    I agree that we should find a way to increase NASA's budget. I believe there is no reason to down the Hubble if we can service it and it remains useful. I don't believe the way to accomplish either goal is to abandon manned spaceflight, or cannibalize it for other programs. We spend 400 billion on our military every year, surely we can find a way of cannabalizing THAT boondoggle before picking on any of NASA's current budget?

    --
    "Curiosity killed the cat, but for a while I was a suspect."- Steven Wright
  16. Re:Cold Storage Option by fname · · Score: 1, Insightful

    A nice idea, but not really an option. Hubble is in a low earth orbit right now. To get it up to even geosynchronous orbit would require an immense amount of fuel. I'm not *that* kind of rocket scientist, so I don't know how much fuel it would take (relative to it's size). I do know that it would take a lot more fuel (at least one order of magnitude, maybe several) than is required to de-orbit it. NASA would probably have to dig up an old Saturn V to get enough fuel up there to send it towards the moon.

  17. Re:At least until there is a replacement by Cecil · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Visible light is important. Not as much for deep sky objects, sure. And probably not even for the next generation or two of space telescopes. But we have not even come close to being able to visually look at even our closest neighboring star systems. We rely on gravity wobbles and visual occultation to find other planets. As our resolving power improves, we will begin to make out these details and it will likely be one of the larger discoveries that have been made this century (assuming it happens this century).

    Physicists probably won't care much about other star systems while they're struggling to unify special relativity and general relativity, but plenty of other branches of science will. So don't dismiss visual wavelengths.

  18. Lunar Orbit maybe? by TraceProgram · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why not attach a thruster pack on it using an unmanned robot launched whenever and then have the Hubble pushed into a lunar orbit. That way we can preserve the Hubble (unless something small and fast hits it) and it will be in a great location for potential future use. I can Imagine the first moon base scientists taking on a "restore the Hubble" as a small project as from the moon getting into lunar orbit is so easy to do. yeah you would need to send the spare parts to the moon for such a thing to happen, but with the Hubble parked it would be a do-it-our-own-time kind project. Sure it wouldn't be as good as what we would have at the time, but it would still be very useful. If anything giving universities or other organizations "hubble time" on the cheap could help to pay for it.

    I would hate to see something as wonderful as this work of art burned up.

  19. Why Kill the only good Thing Nasa Has done? by phoenix.bam! · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Hubble is one of the VERY FEW things NASA has gotten right! Spend the $600 Million to fix it. Hubble has done more for science than the space station EVER will. It's like shooting a horse simply because it's old, even though it can still win a race.

  20. Re:Can someone explain by karnifex · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Objects in low earth orbit lowly lose momentum due to friction with the outer atmosphere. Left on its own, Hubble is going to eventually come down on its own. The ISS, for example, requires a periodic boost in speed to keep it from slowing to the point where it can no longer maintain orbit. The point of guided re-entry and burnup is to make sure the big stuff comes down in a place it can't hurt anything (i.e., the ocean).