Slashdot Mirror


The Most Incorrect Assumptions In Computing?

Miss Muis writes "After reading once again that Moore's Law will become obsolete, I amused myself thinking back to all the predictions, absolutes and impossibles in computing that have been surpassed with ease. In the late 80s I remember it being a well regarded popular 'fact' that 100MHz was the absolute limit for the speed of a CPU. Not too many years later I remember much discussion about hard drives for personal computers being physically unable to go much higher than 1GB. Let's not forget "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers" from the chairman of IBM in 1943, and of course 'Apple is dying...' (for the past 25 years). What are your favorite beliefs-turned-on-their-heads in the history of computing?"

11 of 1,496 comments (clear)

  1. My Personal Favorite... by nanolith · · Score: 5, Insightful

    *BSD is Dying...

    Totally untrue. *BSD rules. :-P

  2. Re:Bill Gates once said... by peterprior · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Nope he never said that.. sorry... popular myth

    Here's a Wired.com article with some more details

  3. Re:Bill Gates once said... by Otter · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Ironically, what's being demonstrated here is that the most widely believed incorrect notion is that Bill Gates ever said "We'll never need more than 640K of RAM!".

    Back to the original topic, I'd point to the idea that sticking children in front of computers somehow magically benefits them.

  4. Paperless office, bah! by rcastro0 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Working as a consultant I am faced everyday with what I think is the biggest failed promise:
    That computers would bring about the "paperless office".

    Not only they didn't, but they made people consume more paper than ever before. On top of all the paper spent, the cost of printing pages increased, as industry made us believe that ink jets were better, and B&W laser passee.

    For more discussion see an article in Newsday about it. There's even a full book dedicated to the question of why the paperless office never came to be.

    --
    Quem a paca cara compra, paca cara pagará.
  5. Re:Al Gore by grasshoppa · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While it might have seemed a bit of an boast, it is, technically, accurate.

    Links:
    http://www.firstmonday.dk/issues/issue5_ 10/wiggins /
    http://www.firstmonday.dk/issues/issue5_10/wigg ins /#w4

    --
    Mod me down with all of your hatred and your journey towards the dark side will be complete!
  6. SAP by HexaDex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    My fav is when our CFO asserted that when we migrated to SAP "we'd no longer need programmers". The sound you here is dozens of ABAPers laughing all the way to the bank...

  7. Thankfully, your link debunks it too. by Wakko+Warner · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The truth of the matter is that Al Gore, while he was a member of Congress, did indeed sponsor several initiatives which lead to the popularization and commercialization of the Internet. Did it exist before he showed up? Sure, as an underutilized academic research network. Would most of the planet know about it today without his help? Doubtful.

    Personally, while I may dislike the man, I'm tired of hearing the same tired, stupid jokes repeated over and over again.

    - A.P.

    --
    "Remember when the U.S. had a drug problem, and then we declared a War On Drugs, and now you can't buy drugs anymore?"
  8. Re:640K--not true by mjh · · Score: 5, Insightful

    First things first. The original poster didn't attribute the quote to Bill Gates. So a denial from Bill Gates doesn't mean that someone didn't actually say it. Second, someone had to have come to that conclusion, whether they said it or not, because that was in fact the limit. Third, if I were Bill Gates, and I *had* said that incredibly stupid thing, the chances are pretty high that (a) I'd lie about it later on, or (b) I'd forget that I said it.

    My point is that Bill Gates is denying it. Bill Gates also says that Microsoft is not a monopoly. Bill Gates saying something does not necessarily make it true.

    $.02

    --
    Key to financial independence: Spend less than you earn. Save and invest the difference. Do it for a long time.
  9. Re:DAMN IT. by bigjocker · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A normal, sane person would understand it.

    Yes, as a normal, sane person, I understand it: he is 100% correct.

    Befor the Congress pushed for it's opening to the world, there was no such thing known as the 'Internet'; there was a closed network of universities and military computers (ever wondered what DARPA means?).

    He, as a congressman, was one of the main players in opening that network to the world, so he played a very important role (if not the most important) in the creation of the 'Internet'.

    It seems to me that the un-normal, un-sane person in this thread is, you.

    --
    Life isn't like a box of chocolates. It's more like a jar of jalapenos. What you do today, might burn your ass tomorrow.
  10. I can't believe I haven't seen this one yet... by Ryosen · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "File trading is killing the Entertainment industry."

    --

    Ryosen
    One man's "Troll, +1" is another man's "Insightful, +1".
  11. Re:If you ask Ray Kurzweil he might say by russellh · · Score: 5, Insightful
    the worst assumption many of us are making is that humans are not themselves computers.

    It's an interesting intellectual exercise, but the idea that we are merely computers is nothing more than the continued novelty of the computer, just as we once thought of ourselves and the world as clockwork. Wishful thinking, or perhaps professional myopia. Everyone thinks their field is the key to the universe. But this is not theory, so until someone can actually create complex life, I see no reason to believe people like Ray. Show me the money.

    --
    must... stay... awake...