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NASA's Mars Polar Lander May Have Landed Safely

JabberBoi writes "On January 3, 1999, NASA lost contact with the Mars Polar Lander after it was supposed to land on Mars. An assessment report by NASA suggested that the lander's legs may have sent an incorrect signal to the craft's computer, which in turn caused a premature shutdown of its landing engines -- resulting in the craft crashing on Mars. However, according to this article from Space.com, analysis of images of the Polar Lander's assumed landing site area obtained by the Mars Global Explorer were sent to a U.S. 'spy' agency called the National Imagery and Mapping Agency (NIMA) to determine if any signs of wreckage or the spacecraft could be discerned through pixel analysis. The article describes NIMA as an 'acclaimed leader in describing, assessing, and visually depicting physical features on Earth' from imagery taken by spy satellites. NIMA's report states that the images they analyzed suggest a successful landing based on identification of three separate parts of the Mars Polar Lander: an upright Polar Lander, and two 'pixel return' signatures that suggest the lander's parachute and heat shield. These findings suggest that something else may have caused the Polar Lander mission to fail. Conspiracy theories about why the Polar Lander never called home abound."

24 of 61 comments (clear)

  1. Interesting polar ice cap picture by aurum42 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The "conspiracy theories" link has an interesting picture at the very bottom, of a site near the martian polar ice cap. It does look a lot like plant life, but I suppose it could also be some sort of striated rock formation. Does anyone know if that site or something nearby is going to be investigated by any of the landers approaching Mars this month?

    --
    "The slave who knows his master's will and does not get ready...will be be beaten with many blows."Luke 12:47-48
    1. Re:Interesting polar ice cap picture by Nasarius · · Score: 3, Informative
      Take anything that EnterpriseMission says with several kilos of salt. Look at the rest of their website, and tell me if you still think that they're remotely credible.

      For example:
      http://www.enterprisemission.com/paper_1/paper_1.p hp?page=paper1
      http://www.enterprisemission.com/millenn5.htm
      http://www.planetarymysteries.com/egypt/sphinxmars .html Yeah...right.

      --
      LOAD "SIG",8,1
    2. Re:Interesting polar ice cap picture by aurum42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, they definitely seem to be infected with Extreme Kookiness, but I don't see any fake pictures purporting to be authentic images of Mars, so I'm still interested in learning what exactly there is at that site :-)

      --
      "The slave who knows his master's will and does not get ready...will be be beaten with many blows."Luke 12:47-48
    3. Re:Interesting polar ice cap picture by cmjensen · · Score: 5, Insightful
      The "interesting image" on the conspiracy theory website at least has the decency to link to the original source at NASA. If you follow the NASA link you too can discover a little piece of info that the conspiracists can't be bothered to tell you: in the narrow direction, the image of "plant life" is 2.83 kilometers across! This means each of those big bundles in the image is about 1000 meters/yards.... which is the same as ten American football fields put end-to-end.

      That'd be a really big freaking tree. Or you might consider that it's a reasonable size for a geological feature.

      Moral of the story: unless you have experience in interpreting geology from biology when looking at Earth images, you probably shouldn't bother trying to use Mars as your first experience in interpreting aerial imagery.

      I know nothing about interpreting these images. Me, all I see is two different surface types. One of which sometimes is round with radial patterns in it. It means nothing to me.

    4. Re:Interesting polar ice cap picture by meta-monkey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Not only that, but, seriously...if NASA did find plant life on Mars, I think they'd be screaming it from the rooftops, and more importantly, in front of congressional budget hearings. Imagine:

      NASA Rep: Life on Mars!! Look, pictures of plant life! We want to go there!
      Representative: Here's gobs of cash!!

      Obviously, NASA has not found pictures of life on Mars.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    5. Re:Interesting polar ice cap picture by DoraLives · · Score: 4, Funny
      NASA Rep: Life on Mars!! Look, pictures of plant life! We want to go there!
      Representative: Here's gobs of cash!!

      So alright already, will somebody please get off their dead ass and preload an "interesting" photo or two into the imaging software for the next lander!

      --
      Is it fascism yet?
    6. Re: Interesting polar ice cap picture by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Funny


      > So alright already, will somebody please get off their dead ass and preload an "interesting" photo or two into the imaging software for the next lander!

      I was there on Mars waiting for this one to show up, but I accidentally bent its antenna while I was setting up my diorama in front of its cameras.

      Sorry! I'll be more careful next time.

      --
      Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
    7. Re:Interesting polar ice cap picture by aurum42 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Yes, and no less an authority than Arthur C. Clarke found them interesting enough to comment on. Symmetry of any sort is interesting, and yes that sort of radial symmetry could easily be a geological formation, but what if it isn't? And it certainly doesn't have to be a single "plant", in the unlikely event that it is not a geologic formation.

      --
      "The slave who knows his master's will and does not get ready...will be be beaten with many blows."Luke 12:47-48
  2. WOW!!! by Will2k_is_here · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If NIMA can discern wreckage (or lack thereof) on a small space craft on Mars based on those photos, I wonder what they can see here on earth.

    1. Re:WOW!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      the tops of our heads! The tops of our buildings!. So long as the terrorists (tm) operate in a 2D-pacman-like grid and never work in buildings or go underground in a subway, we're safe!

    2. Re:WOW!!! by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 4, Insightful
      If NIMA can discern wreckage (or lack thereof) on a small space craft on Mars based on those photos...

      Then why don't they show us the photos? I mean, we (and this includes professional astronomers) have not seen any satellite photogrgaps of the Martian surface with enough detail to make a determination like "the lander is upright on its three legs," like NIMA said. So either they're full of sh*t, or they and maybe NASA as well are classifying photographs from the Martian surface. Why, so the terrorists can't use them for evil? If you're a US taxpayer who financed everything that NIMA and NASA does, you should be mad!

    3. Re:WOW!!! by kalidasa · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The source photos probably are available to us (including those who are professional astronomers); it's the analysis algorithms used by NIMA that wouldn't be.

    4. Re:WOW!!! by boarder · · Score: 2

      Did you at all RTFA? Wait, this is /. so of course you didn't.

      It clearly states how they came up with their theory of the final outcome of MPL. Since you will probably never read the article, here you go...

      The craft seperated into three pieces on entry: heat shield, parachute and MPL. The shield and MPL will be no larger than a single pixel in the images, and the parachute will only be a few pixels if fully spread out.

      The heat shield just falls off and crash lands... they *think* they see some ground scarring (dark line on ground) just before a single, lighter pixel. This would indicate something landed pretty hard, such as how the heat should would land.

      The parachute also detaches with a backshell, and they *think* they see another area that is lighter than the others in a good candidate landing site.

      MPL will be less than the size of a pixel in the best photos they have, but the solar arrays will each be about one pixel. Somewhere near those two sites is a third site that appears to have two light pixels near each other, which might indicate the solar panels deployed.

      This is basically how they came up with their theory. There are also a ton of image enhancement algorithms they could've used, plus they have access to all the senser and telemetry data (of which there wasn't NEARLY enough). Oh, and btw, since you are so much in the conspiracy theory mindset, there's another thing you didn't catch from the article: NASA doesn't believe this theory is correct. They are saying that NIMA is just seeing camera noise. And, yes, I've seen the photos of the surface they are talking about... there was a /. story about it years ago.

      --
      IANAL, but I play one on /.
  3. Martians exist. by ForestGrump · · Score: 3, Funny

    yea, they sabatoged the mission.
    The longer they can delay us from further probing their planet, the longer they can keep their privacy.

    Note to space programs.
    Martians want to be left alone. maybe the man on the moon is more friendly to us.

    -Grump

    --
    Is it true that more people vote for the winner of American Idol, than vote for the president? -Ali G.
    1. Re:Martians exist. by uncoveror · · Score: 3, Funny

      Dude! You forgot to link to news stories that prove it. Don't just make claims, back them up, or people won't be convinced. Here are some informative articles.
      MARS POLAR LANDER LOST: SEE, THE UNCOVEROR TOLD YOU SO!
      MARTIANS SHOT DOWN NASA PROBE
      POWER OUTAGE HID MARTIAN INVASION

      --
      The Uncoveror: It's the real news.
    2. Re: Martians exist. by cellocgw · · Score: 2, Funny

      > The longer they can delay us from further probing their planet, the longer they can keep their privacy.

      And I suppose they come around 'probing' us in revenge?

      No, they've reached the limit of what anal probing can teach them.
      (not my idea; you know what show it's from)

      --
      https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
  4. Darn it! by skookum · · Score: 3, Funny
    In a December 2002 article in Geospatial Intelligence Review ...
    Darn it! Wouldn't you know it, just when I let my subscription run out. I mean they had a few pretty good articles but there were just too many ads, you couldn't take their opinions seriously. It was just turning into one of those trashy Geospatial Intelligence tabloids that you always see in the checkout aisle. Oh well. At least I still have all the back issues from 1986 on.
  5. As mentioned in the article by ColaMan · · Score: 3, Funny

    It looks like to really find out what happend, we'll have to wait (as NIMA suggests) until a visiting mars mission drops by the landing/crash site.....

    Searcher #1: "There it is , over near that rock."

    Searcher #2: "Hey look - the antenna didn't deploy! Give that antenna a thump and I'll reset that circuit breaker."

    (Searcher #1 kicks lander hard... After a pause , the antenna slowly deploys)

    Searcher #2: "Ah, there it goes! Hey, let's not tell the guys at mission control we found it, they'll freak when they hear it talking again!"

    Searcher #1 to Mission Control: "Sorry , Control, that's a negative on grid number 41. No lander here."

    (Searchers depart the area, giggling.)

    --

    You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
    There is a lot of hype here.
  6. Interesting conclusion by grozzie2 · · Score: 5, Interesting
    They have some digital pictures from mars. Read the articles carefully, there's no mention of camera calibrations, and they do not rule out the possibility of 'camera noise', which is indicative of non availability of camera calibration data. There is no mention of the possibility of transmission noise on the long haul back to earth from there, altho it's possible the digital system in use is error free.

    Look carefully at the data presented. At site 3 they have one bright pixel. This they have extrapolated to be a high speed impact, complete with ground scarring. Sounds like a pretty powerful computer model they are using if it can deduce all of that from a single data point of one bright pixel. It sure seems to be able to fill in a lot of blanks from absolutely zero supporting data.

    Site 2 has 2 bright pixels. From this they have deduced that the lander is sitting intact on it's 3 little legs. That's quite an astounding conclusion for such a minimal amount of data. Again, it begs the question, just how much 'filling in the gaps' is that computer model doing ?

    This really makes me wonder, after all, these are the folks doing image analysis for intelligence purposes. 3 pixels on a 1.5 meter resolution is enough to conclude there is a lander sitting upright, and a high speed impact 3 miles away, yet they cannot seem to locate the 6 meter diameter parachute that should still be attached to the much smaller unit they have 'identified'. Gotta wonder, if they can find a lander that's 2 meters, based on 1.5 meter pixel data, why cant they locate a 6 meter object that's not possibly any farther away than the length of the cords attaching it? this should be childs play, because it's going to occupy no less than 8 pixels, and likely it should occupy 12 of them. The location of the parachute should provide more supporting data than all the rest of the data they have combined, yet they cant find it.

    This is a very interesting insight to the methodology in use by this agency, begs a few questions about the rest of thier work. Are these folks normally in the habit of drawing conclusions based on extrapolated data obtained from uncalibrated visual systems ? Do they normally draw conclusions from incomplete data, even tho there is strong evidence to suggest the conclusion is not correct, based on the missing correlation data that should be present (missing parachute).

    These are interesting academic questions, until you put the final perspective on it. The conclusions this intelligence agency draws, become part of the basis for starting wars.

    1. Re:Interesting conclusion by Mr.+Dop · · Score: 4, Insightful
      This is a very interesting insight to the methodology in use by this agency, begs a few questions about the rest of thier work. Are these folks normally in the habit of drawing conclusions based on extrapolated data obtained from uncalibrated visual systems ? Do they normally draw conclusions from incomplete data, even tho there is strong evidence to suggest the conclusion is not correct, based on the missing correlation data that should be present (missing parachute).

      Speaking from experience, yes.

      What they are supposed to do is to look at only the evidence presented and not draw a conclusion. What I have seen more often is that they are presented with a theory and they look for supporting evidence, which is human nature. This is one of the reasons why I got out of that business, the lack of objectivity.

      These are interesting academic questions, until you put the final perspective on it. The conclusions this intelligence agency draws, become part of the basis for starting wars.

      One only has to look at recent history to find out how true that statement is.

  7. no longer NIMA by djdead · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Just an FYI to all the /.'ers, the group formerly known as NIMA has changed its name to the National Geospacial Agency, or NGA.

    --
    -1: flamebait should really be -1: inciteful
  8. Re:Format Issues are the real reason it's quite by applemasker · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Mars Climate Orbiter suffered from the metric/imperial conversion snafu. See - http://mars.jpl.nasa.gov/msp98/news/mco990930.html

    The official hypothesis for MPL is that when its landing legs deployed the "thunk" sent spurious "touchdown" data to the guidance system, which, beleiving the lander was on the ground, shutdown the descent engine prematurely, resulting in.. well.. another crater on Mars.

    --
    Bush Lies On the Record.
  9. Re: But it worked in Iraq! by takochan · · Score: 2, Funny
    Have confidence won't you! Ie. look at all the weapons of mass destruction these very same intelligence agencies found in Iraq, using these very same advanced image analysis techniques!

    [sarcasm off]

  10. This is why we need... by herrvinny · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This is why we need a comprehensive satellite array around Mars before we start firing probes down. What we should do, IMHO, is create a ring of support satellites around Mars with everything imaginable, cameras of every kind, return to Earth containers, etc. That way, when we crash probes onto Mars, we can intensively photograph and document everything. What have we learned from this failure? Absolutely nothing. If the probe really is intact, why aren't we receiving anything? We haven't learned anything because we can't go back, look at the actual probe, and do tests, etc. At least if we had a satellite ring, we could do more documentation.
    And when the probes land successfully, we can save space and power on the probes by just having enough power to send signals to the satellites, which then boost the signal and fire back to Earth.