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Next-Gen Console Rumors Summarized, Discussed

Thanks to GameSpy for their article discussing available information and prospects for Sony, Microsoft, and Nintendo's next generation of consoles. Regarding Sony's PlayStation 3, the piece notes: "May 2004's Electronic Entertainment Expo (E3) would seem an appropriate time for the PS3 unveiling, but it's unlikely that Sony will want to steal the thunder from its already-scheduled PlayStation Portable (PSP) unveiling", and also muses that "Nintendo's next-gen machine doesn't even have a good moniker yet, as it's unlikely that it'll want to name it after the underperforming GameCube." As for the alleged Xbox Next, the article suggests: "Jostling with Nintendo for the second-place spot worldwide, Microsoft has a bit more [motivation] than Sony to tip its hand early", and claims news of the device is "set to debut at the San Jose Game Developers Conference (GDC) in March 2004." But do those who unveil and launch their consoles first always get the advantage?

15 of 224 comments (clear)

  1. Why? by jabberjaw · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why must the media constantly downplay the gamecube? It is not exactly performing poorly and it is not for lack of good games. Is it because "edgy" titles such as GTA: Vice City and Manhunt are not released for it? Perhaps it is too "cute"?

    1. Re:Why? by MORTAR_COMBAT! · · Score: 2, Insightful

      They also all have Xbox's, but thats primarily used with a mod chip so they can play games that are free (as in free).

      So what you're saying is that your friends are a bunch of thieves?

      --
      MORTAR COMBAT!
  2. The answer is "No" by chrismcdirty · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Systems that are first to launch are not always the winner. In reality, was PS2 really the first to launch? Yes... if you mean the first of the current systems still in production. But wasn't Dreamcast considered part of this generation? I believe it was a 128-bit system and its capabilities whipped the pants off of PS1 and N64. And look where it is now [in America, at least].

    --
    It's like sex, except I'm having it!
    1. Re:The answer is "No" by NanoGator · · Score: 5, Insightful

      " But wasn't Dreamcast considered part of this generation? I believe it was a 128-bit system and its capabilities whipped the pants off of PS1 and N64. "

      The Dreamcast didn't die because people didn't want it, it died because Sega couldn't move enough units to stay afloat. The difference may seem subtle at first, but think about it a sec: You have to build the machines before selling them. If you're trying to be competitive with other over-hyped systems, you're being forced to cut too many corners. Eventually it just wasn't profitable enough in the short term for them. Many people weeped over the demise of that system, it wasn't because it was neglected.

      On a side note: Side by side, Dreamcast games looked better than PS2 games. The PS2, though technically more powerful, has a nasty little RAM bottleneck that forces them to render at half screen, and interpoplate back up to full screen. The RAM saved was put into textures etc. The DC, however, had an adequate buffer to do full-res video. The result? Clarity. That thing could move textures like mad.

      Pity Sony had to be so arrogant with their design. Lots of hardship on the developers in that aspect. I remember the Oddworld game was moved to the XBOX because the PS2 was too limiting on the artists.

      --
      "Derp de derp."
    2. Re:The answer is "No" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
      It was released to compete against the PSX and N64. but was blown from the water by the PS2.
      Um, no, it wasn't.
    3. Re:The answer is "No" by Phil+Wilkins · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I remember the Oddworld game was moved to the XBOX because the PS2 was too limiting on the artists.

      Actually it was because Microsoft paid for the exclusive.

  3. What a worthless article... by scot4875 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The only hard 'fact' in those 3 pages is that the PS3 will use 'CELL' technology. Other than that there's just speculation that the XBox 2 might not have a hard drive, some more Sony marketing hyperbole (PS3 will be 1000 times faster!), and the requisite Nintendo questioning.

    There was absolutely nothing in that article to make it worth reading. Of course, it was on GameSpy, so that's not too surprising.

    --Jeremy

    --
    Jesus was a liberal
  4. Re:Sony likely to succeed next time: here's why by PainKilleR-CE · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sony's intimate knowledge of the parts and the manufacturing has allowed them to combine silicon, cutting down on overall size and costs. Likewise, the only profittaking is from Sony, and with fewer hands in the pot the margins can be shrunk. Unfortunately for Microsoft, using off-the-shelf parts from different manufacturers ensured that they needed the cooperation (and credits) from different companies. Nvidia, for example, gets a cut on the sales of the hardware, not from the software like ATI gets from Nintendo. Microsoft similarly needs to use faster hardware in their machines as they aren't exactly console-optimized. The 'Cube, again, can get away with running on much slower (read, cheaper) hardware, because it would be a terrible webserver. Say what you will about the XBox OS, it's hardware and interfaces were not originally developed with gaming in mind.

    You're forgetting (or didn't know) a few things about the XBox hardware, though. The CPU, motherboard, video, and sound were modified and/or designed for the XBox. In fact, nVidia gets as big a cut of the XBox as it does because it designed the motherboard (a derivative of which became the nForce, which, oddly enough, was originally for AMD chips). The CPU was modified heavily in it's design not only to fit the specs for the chipset, but also to fit the needs of a console. All of this is why Microsoft has been able to reduce manufacturing costs on the console, but at the same time their payments to nVidia and Intel have not changed, thereby sticking them with a rather large percentage of the manufacturing cost going to those two companies. This is, as you hinted with statements about Sony, why MS announced that they are licensing technology from IBM, which should lead more people to believe they will be manufacturing the processors themselves (or outsourcing it) rather than having IBM produce processors for them as Intel does for the current XBox.

    On the other hand, the success of the PS2 can probably be traced to GT3, GTA, Square, Metal Gear Solid 2, Onimusha, and a host of must-have games that were released before the Xbox hit its stride. People buy games and hardware to play those games, not hardware and games to play on that hardware.

    Certainly for me it was a mix of Square, GT3, GTA3, and Tekken, not to mention backwards compatibility. That being said, I was not an early adopter of the PS2, and was disappointed with it's performance relative to the DreamCast which I had purchased shortly after release in 1999.

    --
    -PainKilleR-[CE]
  5. Re:Console Releases by gmhowell · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And of course, it had nothing to do with the fact that the Xbox had shit all for games when it came out, whereas the PS2 could play all of the Playstation games available in rental and used game shops.

    --
    Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
  6. No good moniker? by vitaflo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nintendo's next-gen machine doesn't even have a good moniker yet, as it's unlikely that it'll want to name it after the underperforming GameCube.

    Except for the fact that the Xbox is "underperforming" just as much as the GC and MS will indeed name their next console after the Xbox, so I don't see how naming it after the Gamecube would be such a bad thing (though I'd like to see them name it the NES 5, personally).

  7. Re:I feel bad for gamecube by Acidic_Diarrhea · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Care to cite some evidence of the average gamer age? The fact may be that many companies find the 18-30 male demographic enticing to target but, assuming no 18-30 male wants to play any Nintendo games [I say that as a person in that target group who owns and enjoys a Gamecube], there is still a huge void that many companies simply don't hit. The fact is that I can enjoy both GTA 3 and a game like The Wind Waker. You might think because of the graphic style, the Wind Waker is designed for kids. People who think Mario and Zelda are just for the kiddies are missing out on enjoyable game experiences and probably are doing so because they have some strange need to have ultra-violence in all their games. I find this similar to the types of people who are constantly making jokes about others being gay in order to feel more like a man - a scared little girl deep inside there. And don't feel "bad" for inanimate objects. You can feel bad for the folks working at Nintendo [even though Nintendo is making plenty of profit - unlike the XBox division at MS] but not the Gamecube itself. Have a good day.

    --
    I hate liberals. If you are a liberal, do not reply.
  8. I dont understand the analysis.... by Captain+Rotundo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Basically the comments after each section boil down to "we hate nintendo" - I just don't get it. I don't hope any one company succeeds or fails, I will buy a product that appeals to me [unless it made by microsoft :)] I recently got a gmaecube (I haven't purchase any of this generation's consoles till now) and I did so because it beat the others on price, and on games. The games I want to play are on the GC and I think its because I want to play fun games, not games that throw in violence or sex so they can be 'mature'. (although my first few purchases have had some misteps, "Super Smash Bros. Melee" anyone ?)

    I also think the GC joystick design blows away the competition and I hope nintendo sticks with it. But if their next system sucks I wont want it, even if everyone else does, and the same goes for sony.

    I just don't get why all the press recently has been so anti-nintendo, it is sort-of like the anti-Howard Dean press, where is very obvious the Republicans are pushing the 'un-electable' angle as hard as they can so that it sticks before he even gets the nomination. Why are game writers so anti nintendo? the game cube is a nice little device and the games they put out are typiclly very high quality.

  9. backwards compatibility by spir0 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    a lot of people are whining about backwards compatibility being important. but realistically, how many owners of PS2s are still buying PS1 games? A few, but not many. Once they see games on the PS2, they don't want blocky PS1 games...

    How many Nintendo consoles have offered backwards compatibility? The Gameboys. Gamecube has a completely different type of media. Usually Nintendo have stuck to carts, but they're on proprietary CDs.

    People are still buying their new games. People aren't complaining that they can't plug their N64 games and their SNES games into the cube...

    Same for Xbox. New architecture will just mean a new box. Who gives a toss iff it can't play old Xbox games? Your old Xbox will do that.

    If you don't have a current-gen Xbox when the next-gen is released, you're not going to go out and buy old Xbox games. They'll be too blocky, or too low-res.

    You'll move on. And you'll accept that.

    Don't impel the designers of the next-gen consoles to add backwards compatibility that you won't ACTUALLY use.

    --
    The reason girls and Windows users don't understand UNIX is because all the documentation is in Man files.
  10. What a load of crap... by JFMulder · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I mean, look at this :
    up to 1000 times as fast as the PS2. What that means in real-world terms remains to be seen. We suspect that backwards compatibility is unlikely.
    With that much hyped power, I can't understand why gamespy couldn't even think about emulation.

    Oh wait, I forgot...

    Anyone believing something as stupid as "1000 times as powerfull as a playstation 2, and there will be 4 of them in the box" should be shot. If they made a joke about it, it'd be fine. But they just said it. I just wish they'd go bankrupt.

    1. Re:What a load of crap... by cybergrue · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Anyone believing something as stupid as "1000 times as powerfull as a playstation 2, and there will be 4 of them in the box" should be shot.
      I have to disagree with you there. The patent that Sony filed indicates that IF the ps3 is built according to what is in the patent (standard configuration has 4 cell according to the patent), and IF it works, then it SHOULD be capable of processing 1024 times the number of instructions per second then the ps2. Acording to what I have read, all four cells will be needed to get this level of performance.
      Yes lots of big ifs there, and I think that its a stretch to say that 1000x instructions per second means 1000x more powerful. It appears that the 1000x more powerful comment came from management as a challenge to the engineers. Since moores law wouldn't have proceeded this fast in the normal console development cycle, the engineers had to come up with this crazy design to meet expectation, and it looks like they may have succeeded. The Cell, if it ever gets to market, will probably be the first mass produced application of grid computers