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Russia Working on Soyuz Replacement

Buran writes "The Associated Press is reporting that RKK Energia is starting design work on a new manned spacecraft able to carry a crew of six (or more) to the International Space Station. The vehicle may have a reusable crew module (current Soyuz TMA and Progress vehicles are disposable) and would theoretically finally allow ISS crew size to increase, as the current limiting factor is the capacity of the Soyuz spacecraft, designed in the early 1960s for manned lunar flights. (While Soyuz never flew to the Moon, its Zond circumlunar variant did so several times, and Soyuz and Progress craft have been resupplying various space stations for over three decades.) It will be interesting to see how this develops, as at present ISS crews spend more time maintaining the station than they do performing research, due to the fact that the station wasn't designed to operate with a crew as small as two or three people."

31 of 311 comments (clear)

  1. The problem with the ISS by ObviousGuy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's not that it isn't big enough to accomodate extra astronauts. The problem is that it is not attached to the moon or tethered to the Earth.

    A moon base or space elevator would be infinitely more useful than a space station.

    --
    I have been pwned because my /. password was too easy to guess.
    1. Re:The problem with the ISS by VanillaCoke420 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It should in any case be in a higher orbit, and it should be expanded so that it can be used to assemble large interplanetary spacecrafts. Also, build a station on the lunar surface and one in the L1 (between earth and the moon). Not a bad first step towards a good infrastructure in space.

    2. Re:The problem with the ISS by Bi()hazard · · Score: 5, Interesting
      First, many of you are probably wondering what L1 is-the first Lagrange Point where an object can enter an equilibrium orbit that matches the moon's motion.

      It could be useful if we want to come up with a plan similar to this one for colonizing Mars. Due to Earth's immense gravity, weight and aerodynamics are critical in spaceship construction. However, once the ship is in low gravity these considerations are totally irrelevant. Given a good space station we could have three sets of spacecraft: a true space shuttle for lifting things up to the station; transportation craft designed to move things between planets and moons, and explore new areas; and landers designed to reach planetary surfaces. Assuming we'd be establishing actual colonies on the moon and eventually Mars, this is probably the only cost-effective way of doing it.

      In space you can do a lot of cool things with something as simple as a piece of string - provided, of course, that your "string" is made of high-tech materials, has an electrically conductive core, and measures many kilometers long. Tethers have electrodynamic applications - for example, a tether in Earth orbit to which electricity is applied will interact with Earth's magnetic field and climb to a higher orbit without using propellant. Allowing ionospheric electrons to move through the tether via plasma contactors at both ends causes the tether to slow down and drop to a lower orbit. Tethers also have momentum-exchange applications. Physically linking high- and low-orbit objects with a tether forces the object in lower orbit (for example, a spacecraft) to travel slower than dictated by orbital mechanics, while the higher-orbit object (for example, a payload) travels faster. If the tether is cut, the payload will jump to a higher orbit while the spacecraft will drop to a lower one. Hoyt and Uphoff propose a Cislunar Tether Transport System for shipping cargo between low-Earth orbit (LEO) and the lunar surface using minimal propellants. Their work is described by "Cislunar Tether Transport System," AIAA 99-2690, R. Hoyt & C. Uphoff; paper presented at the 35th AIAA/ASME/SAE/ASEE Joint Propulsion Conference & Exhibit, Los Angeles, California, June 20-24, 1999.

      That's just one example of the stuff we could try if we had a serious space program with good infrastructure. Once a moon colony starts to have practical value (mining, manufacture in decreased gravity, science, and of course, the all-important military applications) we'll start to see progress down this road. Unfortunately, it will be a long time before that happens. The military, our best bet to kick-start the process, won't bother until rival nations start building fleets of armed satellites.

      Once the military faces the prospect of a space-based war all these ideas are no longer just cool, they may be essential to survival. So, the best-funded operation in the world will be determined to create a moon base capable of controlling space near Earth. Once that's done it will be paid for and justified by tacking on scientific and industrial components. Yes, that's how we're most likely to begin our grand and heroic journey into the destiny of man-for the purpose of being able to kill each other more effectively. Human nature, right?

      But don't worry, recent history shows us that the best deterrent to war is mutual assured destruction, and we'll be fairly safe until we have a large enough moon base to become self sufficient and declare independence from Earth. In Soviet Russia, the moon colonizes YOU!

      Read the rest of this comment...

      look i have a sig!

    3. Re:The problem with the ISS by timeOday · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The ISS was designed to perform scientific experiments in microgravity, a condition which is naturally not present on the moon.
      I can see that. What I cannot see is what microgravity experiments have been done, or might be done, that would be worth $100,000,000,000.
  2. Wait a minute by Bobdoer · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Didn't the Russians report earlier that they wanted to send nuclear reactors to Mars? Now they want to develop a new space vehicle? Their economy is in a slum right now; how are they paying?
    I know for a fact that DVD bootlegs do not produce that much capital.

    1. Re:Wait a minute by kshcsuf · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I just recently read somewhere (was it here?) that the Russian space budget is less than a billion dollars. Apparently, the ESA spends between 15-20 billion and the US is well over double that. It would be amazing to see if they progress smoothly with such little capital. Maybe we could learn a thing or two...

    2. Re:Wait a minute by MvD_Moscow · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not really. As such there are no fair elections. All free media has been destroyed or taken over. There is only one radia station in Moscow is 'free' and they are in dager of being closed down. There is no difference between administrative and law-making government - they are one! Believe me, Russia has very big problems with democracy. About 7% GDP growth, take away the oil dollars and the GDP will most probably be negative, but the worst things is that Putin's government isn't doing anything to develop secondry and tertiary sectors.

    3. Re:Wait a minute by mikerich · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Didn't the Russians report earlier that they wanted to send nuclear reactors to Mars? Now they want to develop a new space vehicle? Their economy is in a slum right now; how are they paying? I know for a fact that DVD bootlegs do not produce that much capital.

      Oil. Russia is rapidly becoming the West's favoured oil producer since its pipelines run straight into Europe and the Black Sea.

      The Russian economy has been enjoying something of a boom in the last couple of years. Whilst it's still much smaller than during the Soviet era, it is growing fast.

      And you have to remember, that a Soyuz replacement was on the cards in Soviet times (as well as their own shuttle). They have also done a lot of work in the last 30 years on nuclear power since a manned mission to Mars was always part of their space programme. To an extent, a lot of this is work already started, and the rest of it is down to having some of the very best engineers in the World.

      Best wishes,
      Mike.

    4. Re:Wait a minute by magarity · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Get a clue.
      Read some actual reports on Russian economy.
      Russia still has regions living in extreme poverty, but as an overall economy it has had a year on year GDP grouth of 7+ for the third year running. So in fact economically, it has no problem in affording it.


      OK, let's read an actual report about the Russian Federation's economy.
      Population below national poverty line: 25%
      GNI per capita US$2,140
      GDP US$346.5 billion
      GDP Growth 4.3 %

      Let's see, $346B is 1/5 that of England (half the population of Russia) and 1/30 of the USA. And per capita of $2k with 25% under national poverty is hardly a few poor regions. Large growth rates of something small is still not much. With all due respect to Russia's world class rocket science know-how, no, their government shouldn't be blowing money on this kind of thing it right now.

  3. Re:Cart before the horse? by Locky · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Isn't NASA a major player in the ISS Project? Don't throw rocks from your glass house, Mir was doing better at this stage in its life then the ISS is doing right now.

  4. Farewell to the Soyuz by CommunistTroll · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Even on a modern anarcho-capitalist shoestring budget, the ex-Soviet space industry continues to show itself more innovative and flexible than the US system - where every major capitalist company involved has to be fed part of each contract; and where each company uses money earmarked for space for its own private research.

    Whereas the US ended up with the expensive and dangerous Space Shuttle - now grounded indefinately - the USSR managed to design the simple, usable and much cheaper Soyuz.

    Maybe this is because under capitalism every decision is a compromise between rival power structures, while good engineering is an open discource between co-operating equals? (Compare Windows vs. Open Source)

    Good luck to the Russians! Maybe they can keep the dream of space alive until we get our act together and join them again - in the spirit of human expansion and scientific discovery.

    1. Re:Farewell to the Soyuz by dafoomie · · Score: 1, Interesting

      The Russians aren't perfect... They designed two of their own shuttles, which fell into Kazakistan's hands. One had holes drilled into it so it could never fly, and the other is a resturaunt.

      I like the Russian designs for their simplicity and effectiveness in general, but at least we got to use our shuttles.

    2. Re:Farewell to the Soyuz by axxackall · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Most of ground deaths were caused by unreasonable high pressure from the top political communist leaders. Not from technical reasons.

      I know that as I I spoke to some russian kosmonauts back in University where they gave us some introductionary lessons about the space research. After official lessons we usually had some non-official questions-and-answers meetings... Memories...

      Anyway, that pressure from top-communists has been declined even in late years of Soviet Union. Today Russian leaders don't make that pressure either. So, the management style in Russian Space programs is very different. It's still very disciplined (not like in over-burocratic NASA) and based on old school russian scientific culture (lack of such culture is the major problem in USA IMHO). And of course it's very technology-oriented (that's like in NASA).

      I believe in todays Russian Space programs. Even if US administration will make everything to shut it down in order to protect own NASA, Russians still can make some space business with EU and Australia. And perhaps Latin America too. The only problem to be expected is if USA administration would try to shut such relationships down, looking at it as a terrorrsm or something.

      --

      Less is more !
  5. Re:Cart before the horse? by cujo_1111 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Mir did way better for way longer too.

    --
    If I point out that you are incorrect, making me a foe does not make you any more correct.
  6. Re:Forgive me, but... by cujo_1111 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I believe they will pay for this by rewriting the ISS contract and making sure they will be the supplier of astronaut transport when the space shuttles retire. Not a bad move I must say. The other 14 nations in the ISS group may be able to get the US to agree to this.

    --
    If I point out that you are incorrect, making me a foe does not make you any more correct.
  7. wishful thinking by tloh · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Politics aside, there is enormous opportunity for economizing by applying the recent success of the Chinese manned space program. In a way, it would be the homecoming of an evolved technology as the Chinese Shenzhou is an improved conventional design based largely on studying russian crew return capsules. Last I heard, no new cash has been found for Russian space missions. I'd be very excited if they can even afford to pay for major design work. A shame really. Less I be moderated down as an idealogical loudmouth, I do recognize that such levels of interaction is unrealistic. Assuming Energia is willing to ask, the Chinese will likely refuse. Thus far, the Shenzhou program has too much domestic significance for the Chinese for them to consider sharing it with the rest of the world just yet. I really wish the Chinese leadership have not decided to try and leapfrog their manned space program by establishing the narrow goals they have. Given the cash and other resources, Energia is likely to elegantly pull off any design job for replacing the Soyuz because the Russians have a sturdy tradition and a rich legacy that has been hard earned by developing their own space program. China, on the other hand, is relying on too much borrowed technology with too little home-grown experience. While admirable achievements have been made in the near term, I don't believe Chinese arospace engineers will make any real breakthroughs in space technology because have gotten their hands dirty enough yet by mucking around. God knows there is a large potential for embarassment if the result of Energia's efforts end up obsoleting the Shenzhou. If China contributes now, there might be bragging rights at least in claiming progony. *sigh* Nationalism and politics can be such a drag on inovation.

    --
    Stay sentient. Don't drink bad milk.
  8. What project this alegged system is based on ? by S3D · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Interesting, what this project is based on ? Existing projects like Energiya/Buran ? buran, MAKS , spaceplane RAKS(Igla) , Zarya Or something new ?

  9. New Space Race by Turismo86 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    "It has already reached a serious project stage while the Americans are only talking about their spacecraft." Hmm, I wonder if were going to be seeing renewed competition in reusable spacecraft. What do you want to bet that the Russians announce plans for a Mars mission as well.

  10. Money seems to be their problem by Geekonomical · · Score: 3, Interesting

    >>>>
    ``There is no explanation whatsoever where the money needed to implement the declared program would come from,'' Koptev said.

    With their past experience and track record of Soyuz, this is definitely possible...but I really have my doubts about funding

  11. Re:ESA working on same thing by Holger+Spielmann · · Score: 3, Interesting
    No, the ATV is intended only as a cargo vessel. It will eventually replace the russian Progress which supply ISS. ATV will offer a significant increase in paylod capacity compared to progress.

    Nevertheless, together which this Soyuz successor it makes sense - ESA will provide an enhanced replacement for Progress, Russia is developing a new crew capsule.
    I hope that way Europe and Russia can provide a replacement for the aging Shuttle fleet.

    It would be interesting to know if ESA does transfer technology from ARD to the new russian project....

  12. Re:I bet they do it, too... by Polkyb · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Didn't they make a shuttle a few years back? Before the wall came down.

    I seem to remember them launching something which looked a LOT like the US shuttle, orbiting a few times and returning it safely to earth. The big shouting point for USSR (at the time) was that it was capable of doing all of this unmanned, which the US shuttle still cannot do.

    I also remember seeing more recently that it was currently sitting in a playground being a tourist attraction, not unlike the US shuttle Enterprise.

    I resisted the urge to put USS Enterprise :-)

    --
    I've never shoed a horse, but I once told a donkey to piss off!
  13. I love Buran by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Buran still is the most advanced manned spacecraft that humans have made.

    The production version was able to take off, fly to orbit, orbit, de-burn and go through re-entry, land on a runway and come to a complete stop - entirely unmanned and on autopilot. (And it did exactly this on it's one and only flight).

    It's an absolute crying shame that there was no money for it, but hopefully the technology and lessons learned will still be around for the next generation of spacecraft (that actually get funded).

  14. Do not blame US capitalism for our woes. by Shivetya · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The problem with NASA and its supply chain is one created by government meddling from the highest levels. We do not have a real space agency, we have a pork barrel that is capable of putting things in space.

    Even the supply chain is subject to pork barreling and government arm twisting. The system isn't designed to be efficient. It is designed to favor powerful Senators, Government Employees, and those who curry their favor.

    They have no incentive to improve. I was hoping that by essentially condeming the Shuttle that Bush might cause more people to take a serious look at NASA and all that surrounds it. Instead the hate-Bush crowd ignores the real problem and instead blames Bush for no offering detailed solutions.

    A solution will not come until we acknowledge the problem. NASA must be overhauled from one end to the other. Congress must not be allowed to saddle NASA with pork-barrel political favortism requirements. NASA needs the ability to do what is right for space exploration, not what is right for "political toady #x"

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  15. this could be daft, but hell by WormholeFiend · · Score: 2, Interesting

    why not build an engine module to attach to the ISS and transform it into a spaceship to go to Mars?

  16. Why not just... by vudufixit · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Put another docking module on the ISS, and simply have two Soyuz craft on the station at one time to allow a complete evacuation of a full complement?

  17. Re:I bet they do it, too... by squaretorus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Russia today is as ultra capitalist

    If only it were so. In fact Russias economy is pretty often described as 'putin-capitalism' as so many economic restrictions are placed on private companies - and when a company steps out of line it has a habit of being 'bought out' by one of putins 11 or 12 super rich ex-party cronies (it might be 10 now if he's decided to exile another like he did last year).

    Capitalism requires freedom - ultra capitalism requires ultra freedom. The majority of russia isn't aware of the chechen war!

    There are enough parallels to the current Bush administration that anyone could rip my arguement to shreds - but maybe that says more about Bush than russia.

    Communism it aint though

  18. Re:I bet they do it, too... by VanillaCoke420 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Perhaps I'm not doing it right here, but I would like to compare todays government space exploration journeys with some of the great journeys carried out by the european explorers hundreds of years ago. They are (were) both funded by the president/congress (then: king/queen) And now the cruisers and trade ships and cargo ships are owned and operated by competing private companies. I believe that in the future, a large part of space exploration/travel will be carried out by private companies, for profit. Shipping cargo, mining, tourism, trading, exploration, adventures. And what about politics in outer space? Surely there will be new governments controlling areas of the moon, mars, mercury, asteroid belt etc. Or maybe not governments, maybe more like corporations.

    And regarding to what you said about ICBM's, actually they can be modified and used to launch stuff into orbit. For example the Planetary Society's solar sail. I see some sort of beauty in that - to turn swords into plows, kinda. I have not yet lost hope in humankind.

  19. Re:I bet they do it, too... by mikerich · · Score: 2, Interesting
    I hope that ESA can work together with Russia on this one.

    That's quite possible, ESA has been quietly deepening its links with the Russian space programme for some time now.

    ESA has contracted Rosaviakosmos to supply Soyuz rockets for launch out of the Ariane site in French Guyana. Not only will it give Soyuz a new lease of life - allowing it to lift heavier loads into orbit, but that is lots of hard currency pouring back into Russia.

    ESA is relying on the Russians to provide the launcher for Venus Express late next year and possibly for the next European Mars probe in 2007 (assuming funding can be agreed).

    Best wishes,
    Mike.

  20. If we had given the russians some money by voss · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They could have come up with that soyuz type 6 person transfer vehicle 5 years ago. Think of all the useful science we could have done with 6 people instead of 3.

    If we want to go to Mars why not use Energia type boosters to put our mars craft into orbit. If we want to go to the moon, the Russians are the only ones with the knowhow who can help us do it affordably.

  21. Fat chance by Gewis · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The russians have had some pretty impressive successes in their space program, but the past half-decade was spent with them falling behind in their ISS obligations and being unable to pay for their part of the commitment. Most of the trips to the space station to switch out crews, etc., have been financed by NASA, not Russia, even though they've been on Soyuz craft.

    This announcement should be taken with a HUGE grain of salt. The Russians have spent a lot of time lately claiming "anything you can do I can do better" with regards to American plans for space, but until they have flight tests of a six man module, we can probably give it the same level of credence we should have given the X-33, OSP, and several other defunct NASA programs.

    I wouldn't cross your fingers about NASA's future plans for exploration either.

  22. Soyuz failures by MikeyToo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I keep seeing so many "Soyuz/Russian/Soviet spacecraft are so much better than anything built by the US" entries here. Maybe it would help if we posted a few hard numbers.

    There have been eight accidents involving Soyuz spacecraft. Two resulted in fatalites.

    Soyuz 1 - Parachute failure - One fatality

    Soyuz 5 - Module separation failure on reentry - spacecraft nearly lost due to orbital module not detaching before reentry. Module detached due to atmospheric heating before spacecraft cabin burned through.

    Soyuz 11 - Atmosphere leak during reentry - 3 fatalities.

    Soyuz 18-1 - Stage separation failure resulting in boost-phase abort and 20.6+ g return.

    Soyuz 23 - Electronics failure caused mission abort. Spacecraft landed in a lake and the crew nearly froze to death before the spacecraft could be pulled out.

    Soyuz 33 - Engine failure. Reentry initiated by reserve engine. Ballistic trajectory resulted in 10g overload.

    Soyuz T-10-1 - Launch vehicle blew up on the pad. Crew saved by abort system.

    Soyuz TMA-1 - Guidance system failure on reentry caused a ballistic trajectory. Crew experienced 10g and landed 460km off target.

    Hardly a sterling performance. Everyone has problems.

    --
    "Well Ranger Brad, I'm a scientist. I don't believe in anything." - Dr. Roger Fleming