Slashdot Mirror


SpaceShipOne Back in Action

JoeSilva writes "After a 3 month wait, Scaled Composites' SpaceShipOne is back in the skies above Mojave! Not only is it patched up from a failed landing gear, it's got a 'thermal protection system' installed. Looks like high temp insulation on the leading edges. Also they have a picture of it with 'the rocket motor for the flight 13p'. This was the 12th SpaceShipOne flight."

200 comments

  1. Lucky 13? by dont_call_me_jim · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So does that mean that SpaceShipOne will be making a run for the money soon?

    1. Re:Lucky 13? by WormholeFiend · · Score: 2, Funny

      if the 13th flight experiences major problems, and the pilot(s) survive heroically, Hollywood can make a movie out of it!

      Rutan, we have a problem!
      -

    2. Re:Lucky 13? by jwriney · · Score: 5, Informative

      Any team wanting to make an attempt must notify the X-Prize officials at least a month in advance with the launch date and location. I would assume that this information would be released with some fanfare. Since no notification has been made yet, no official flight.

      That's not to say they couldn't go to space unofficially, before going for the big money; in fact they probably will, as part of their test series.

      --riney

    3. Re:Lucky 13? by ericspinder · · Score: 5, Informative

      Most likely they'll hit space with a lone pilot a couple of times first. Ever flight so far only has 2 in the WK and 1 in the SSO. To win the X-Prize they would need 3 people in the SSO. So far they have been playing it safe by only having just as many people as needed(as they should), I don't see any reason they'll change the play. All the test runs they are making is showing the strength of their system, if this were NASA the runs would be 6 months apart. Besides, it's not like there is any other group so close to winning the prize. Maybe some other team might just pop outta nowhere and grab that brass ring, but they would have to be awefully sneaky to do that.

      --
      The grass is only greener, if you don't take care of your own lawn.
    4. Re:Lucky 13? by NeoThermic · · Score: 2, Informative

      We also musn't forget the conditons of winning, that the three people who go up in the first flight must do it again in three weeks from the sucessfull landing.

      With the results and proof that nothing has knocked SSO out of the contest, I do think that is perfectly possible for them to do this.

      NeoThermic

      --
      Use my link above, or to view my server, NeoThermic.com
    5. Re:Lucky 13? by gravelpup · · Score: 1, Redundant
      To win the X-Prize they would need 3 people in the SSO.

      Close but not quite. It has to be capable of carrying three, but only has to carry one, plus the equivalent weight in ballast of the two other people.

      From the X-Prize rules page:

      The flight vehicle must be flown twice within a 14-day period. Each flight must carry at least one person, to minimum altitude of 100 km (62 miles). The flight vehicle must be built with the capacity (weight and volume) to carry a minimum of 3 adults of height 188 cm (6 feet 2 inches) and weight 90 kg (198 pounds) each. Three people of this size or larger must be able to enter, occupy, and be fastened into the flight vehicle on Earth's surface prior to take-off, and equivalent ballast must be carried in-flight if the number of persons on-board during flight is less than 3 persons.
      --

      Things are more like they are now than they ever were before.

    6. Re:Lucky 13? by rijrunner · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The thing to keep in mind about Scaled and some of the other groups out there is that they are working on building suborbital vehicles as a goal in, and of, itself.

      Which means that the X-Prize is incidental to Scaled goals here. Scaled is getting paid on contract terms to build this vehicle and it's pretty clear that the prize is just an incidental side-issue to their planned goal. The backers had this in line a long time before X-Prize was fully funded and they did not even enter it until after the Prize was fully funded.

      Their primary goal is basically an extension of the tourist market like commercial flights in former military jets. There is a market for people paying $65k to go supersonic. This is something that is their primary goal. An incidental prize of $10 million is not something that can be counted on, so it really won't make much difference to a number of X-Prize developers. They are aiming for a specific niche market that can recover their costs regardless of whether they win the prize, or not.

      They are going onto the next phase of flights. That's about all that can be said for it. There isn't much leeway in terms of timing now. If it isn't a go, they aren't going to rush things. $10 million is a lot less than what has been invested in it to this point and their primary aim is to recover the whole amount and then some. The best way to do that is systematically test and improve the vehicle. Their flight rate is remaining consistant to basic flight test timelines. Somewhere in Scaled, there will be a timeline with all sorts of milestones. It could on track for a flight within the prize window. Or not. Either way, they'll fly it when they have tested it to those parameters.

    7. Re:Lucky 13? by Fenris+Ulf · · Score: 1

      I've got my money on April 12th, of course (anniversary of Yuri Gargarin's flight and the first US Space Shuttle launch).

  2. I like that... by Phillup · · Score: 5, Funny

    They have a "falling bathtub mode".

    Wonder how much they could make selling rides on that thing.

    --

    --Phillip

    Can you say BIRTH TAX
  3. missing flights? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    so what happened to flights 9 through 11? The flight log jumps from flight 8 (first powered) to this latest one.

    1. Re:missing flights? by jnik · · Score: 3, Informative

      11P 17 Dec 03 first powered
      10G 4 Dec 03
      09G 19-Nov-03
      08G 14-Nov-03

      Maybe they've updated the page since you looked, but they're all clearly there right now.

  4. Re:Already slashdotted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    this is the only real post so far and it gets a negative one?

  5. This should be really cool by ackthpt · · Score: 1, Offtopic
    I'm probably camping in Death Valley this coming Thanksgiving and it would be pretty cool to swing past this site on the way and catch a flight or landing. Doesn't look like they publish when they're going to do things though.

    At least with my telescope I could spy on them 8^)

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  6. For those who don't know by ferralis · · Score: 5, Informative
    the "P" stands for Powered... looks like they're tipping their hand and the next flight will be with boost!

    WOOHOO!!!

    Check out the test updates here.

    AFAIK, these guys are the closest to winning the X-Prize- go team!!!

    --
    Any generalization is a stupid one.
    1. Re:For those who don't know by Gogo+Dodo · · Score: 3, Informative
      the "P" stands for Powered... looks like they're tipping their hand and the next flight will be with boost!

      There's no hand to tip because they already did that. SpaceShipOne had flown it's first powered flight back in December.

  7. Photos by bobthemuse · · Score: 5, Informative

    A great set of photos (hopefully soon to be mirrored) is available here.

    1. Re:Photos by scum-o · · Score: 3, Informative

      Mirror here - let's see if my new DSL can keep up with a good slashdotting.

    2. Re:Photos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My guess is "no".

    3. Re:Photos by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      You guys at NCAR rock. Keep up the good work! Dangit, sooner or later someone will show NASA how it's done *grumble* @ overadministrated government programs.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  8. Minimal info by apsmith · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Looks like the flight was a few days ago (March 11) - why is this the first report? They're being very quiet about this. And how did Joe Silva track this down?

    --

    Energy: time to change the picture.

    1. Re:Minimal info by ferralis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      He's probably doing the same thing I am- hitting their site periodically for an update.

      --
      Any generalization is a stupid one.
    2. Re:Minimal info by SeaDour · · Score: 5, Insightful

      To say they're "being very quiet about this" is an understatement. They didn't even announce the project until well after it had gone through the design and prototype phases. Additionally, the test flights have usually been announced and discussed at least a week after their occurance. Also, we're still not even sure who all the investors in the project are. I would guess that the main reason they're keeping it so secretive is to prevent other teams from gaining the upperhand.

    3. Re:Minimal info by simcop2387 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      This might seem like flamebait or a troll but i think i recall hearing rumors about SSO being partially funded by an MS co-founder. (e.g. Paul Allen)

      http://www.space.com/news/allen_rutan_031217.htm l

      i doubt microsoft has a whole lot to do with it, i think its just probably him trying to get some fame by getting them into space.

    4. Re:Minimal info by Ed_Moyse · · Score: 5, Insightful

      i doubt microsoft has a whole lot to do with it, i think its just probably him trying to get some fame by getting them into space.

      Or maybe he's just unbelievably rich, thinks that this is a cool project and wants to support it? Lets go easy on the cynicism folks!

    5. Re:Minimal info by JoeSilva · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I checked their site to see if there was anything new. Funny though, I had stopped doing that late last year because it seemed the space news sites like space.com, ...spaceflightnow.com, and spaceref.com were reporting any news the day it happened. Last night I was in need of some inspiration, so I was reviewing what they had done.

    6. Re:Minimal info by bwy · · Score: 1

      I really respect what they've done. Too many people today go to the press with a bunch of vaporware when someone in the organization has a potential idea for a project, only to leave the interested geeks like us waiting around through delays, cancellations, and things that never materialize.

    7. Re:Minimal info by Buran · · Score: 4, Insightful

      On the other hand, civilian access to space finally becoming a reality is an incredible thing. It gives me hope, as a nearly lifelong enthusiast, that I may see space firsthand before I die, not via Celestis. This should be laid bare for the public, but it is not... we only find out about any progress weeks or months later when I'd rather the info go up within hours, which is certainly possible these days.

      There is no longer any need to keep secret the fact that people and objects can get to space - Wernher von Braun wanted to try it way back in 1945, but his A-9/A-10 project got killed and it took him almost 20 more years before he accomplished that goal. If there was ever any time for secrecy, it was way back then when all this was still a surprise to spring on the bad guys. Not when there's about to be a change as big as the one we went through when Gagarin and Shepard went up.

    8. Re:Minimal info by aiabx · · Score: 1

      I gotta say, if I were a multibillionaire, this is the kind of stuff I'd do with my money. Much cooler than another gold-plated yacht or a fleet of SUV's.
      -aiabx

      --
      Just this guy, you know?
    9. Re:Minimal info by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      Being a private organization, Scaled is under no onus to release, announce, or update anything. Folks often seem to forget this.

    10. Re:Minimal info by Skyfire · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, Scaled Composites did reveal that it is Paul Allen that is funding it.
      http://scaled.com/projects/tierone/New_Index/news/ Paul%20G%20%20Allen%20and%20SpaceShipOne.pdf

      --
      Do not go gentle into that good night. Rage, rage against the dying of the light.
  9. Re:Uhm... by jnik · · Score: 1

    Uh. Twelve FLIGHTS before. All the same craft.

  10. mirror / karma whoring by el_salvador · · Score: 0

    here a mirror for you to slashdot as well (indeed, i don't like the sysadmin) http://elektron.its.tudelft.nl/~aakeur21/slashdotm e/

    1. Re:mirror / karma whoring by el_salvador · · Score: 4, Informative

      now with link and without the added space
      i know, i suck at slashdot

  11. Re:X Prize is impossible by kclittle · · Score: 4, Informative

    The X Prize is NOT ABOUT LEO! It's about reaching 100KM, with at least 1 person, in a vehicle capable of carring 3, twice in 2 weeks.

    --
    Generally, bash is superior to python in those environments where python is not installed.
  12. Global Flyer by stoolpigeon · · Score: 5, Interesting

    While you are there check out the Global Flyer It is just as cool in my book. The similarity in the designs of the craft are interesting. The idea of flying around the world on one tank of gas is pretty wild.

    --
    It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
    1. Re:Global Flyer by CXI · · Score: 4, Informative

      Dick Rutan did a similar flight with two pilots back in 1986 with Voyager.

      Talk about similar designs... Burt Rutan designed Voyager. :)

    2. Re:Global Flyer by stoolpigeon · · Score: 1

      That is totally cool. I bumped into the global flyer checking up on the space ship progress last week. I didn't even know about Voyager. Kind of takes a little of the wow factor out of Global Flyer for me, seeing as they did it 18 years ago. Thanks for pointing that out.

      --
      It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
    3. Re:Global Flyer by SB9876 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Just a wierd little anecdote:
      My father was working as a welder on a solar collector project back around at the time down in the Mojave desert. Since the rest of the family was back in Montana, he had lots of free time and would pass the time by driving around the area.

      One day, he happened across Scaled Compsites. He had heard of them from their work on the EZ-flyer and other projects. So, he just got out of his truck and proceeded to wander into a hanger. A couple guys looked up from their work but didn't seem to think anything of some stranger wandering around. My dad was completely mystified by the wierd, double winged airplane that was in the hanger. He decided against pushing his luck and didn't ask what the airplane was and just wandered out again. A couple weeks later, he saw that the same plane had just completed the round-the-world flight - it had been the Voyager.

      I have the feeling that Scaled Composites would take a slightly dimmer view of complete strangers wandering through their hangers these days...

    4. Re:Global Flyer by PudriK · · Score: 1

      Since those days, Scaled Composites has done a lot of projects for the military, only some of which (I'm sure) have been publicized. For example, they did a scale model of the B-2 for radar testing, and also a prototype replacement for the A-10.

    5. Re:Global Flyer by Phurd+Phlegm · · Score: 3, Informative

      Voyager is at the National Air and Space Museum--hanging from the ceiling. It is a pretty spectacular sight. Here's a link to their article about it, and another to the museum. It's one of the only places I'd ever bother going in Washington D.C....

    6. Re:Global Flyer by sydres · · Score: 1

      looks like a V-1 with long wings and fuel pods yeah I know it is not but it kinda looks like it

  13. Armadillo Aerospace by Sparky77 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I've been following the X-Prize work at Armadillo for the last year or so. If nothing else than for the John Carmack factor. They seem to have stalled lately, always reengineering their rocket motors and such. I'm still cheering them on anyway though I can't see them surpassing Scaled Composites at this point.

    --
    One bad monkey spoils the whole barrel.
    1. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I wouldn't worry too much. Rutan seems to be putting on a show more than actually at a "space capable" stage. IIRC, the X-Prize requires that the craft reach 100KM. Rutan's craft has only reached ~14Km, about where a 747 flies. Actual LEO is really 200km - 1500km.

      FWIW, it looks like Carmack is taking the time to understand his engines before shooting them off and hoping they fly. This is particularly important since his Monoprop fuel has an Isp of a mere 160. (Shuttle SRBs get 250, and LHOx like the Shuttle main engines get 450.)

    2. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Buran · · Score: 1

      A show? Was it "just a show" when the space shuttle Enterprise began drop tests from the 747 Shuttle Carrier Aircraft to validate its performance on final approach and landing?

      Tests of this type are very important. If it weren't for the 5th and final ALT test, the first flight crew (Young and Crippen aboard Columbia for STS-1) might have found themselves in a pilot-induced oscillation and crashed on landing, which would have been disastrous and delayed the program even more than it had been by that point - delays which led to the loss of Skylab when drag brought it down before a Shuttle could reach it to reboost it.

    3. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      My point is not that these aren't necessary tests. But Rutan's tests are obviously much more showy than Armadillo's. This leads people to the impression that Rutan is very near to achieving the X-Prize. The truth of the matter is that they are both in similar stages of development, albeit with different designs.

    4. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Ephboy · · Score: 4, Informative

      According to their flight log: Motor light off was achieved at 44,400 feet and 0.55M. Burnout occurred at 1.2M and apogee was 67,800 feet. The max specs for a 747 are ~45,000 ft. Yes, they've got a bit more to go, but the 67,800 ft was on their first test of the engine. I'm sure they could have let it go longer and easily gotten higher.

    5. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I've been following the X-Prize work at Armadillo for the last year or so."

      Wow, so has the rest of slashdot.

    6. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by photonic · · Score: 1
      If I was John Carmack and was serious about winning the X-prize, I would be very worried about Rutan & his SS1. True, Rutan only got 14Km, but that is the whole point of a test campaign: you get to your goal in small steps. And how heigh did Carmack got by now?

      Don't understand me wrong: I don't have anything against Carmack and I think it's great what he is doing. From a betting perspective, however, who would you put your money on: a game developer with lot of creativity and spare time, or a company led by a famous aircraft designer who is in the business for more than 20 years?

      --
      karma police: arrest this man, he talks in maths; he buzzes like a fridge, he's like a detuned radio. [radiohead]
    7. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by gregorsamsa11 · · Score: 1

      Is that John Carmack of id fame? Is he an active member of development?

    8. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If you asked me a month ago, I would have said Rutan has it. With all the understanding I've gained of rockets in the past month or so, I'd say its a toss up. Each design presents its own design challenges. Rutan can make test flights because of his decision to use a winged craft. OTOH, Carmack is already getting far more power out of his engines. We'll see which one takes the cake.

    9. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      My apologies. He's made it ~20km, giving a net powered flight of 6km. That leaves him about 80km to go. Hope he packed some extra fuel.

    10. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Buran · · Score: 1

      A glider like this one is going to require a different kind of test regime than a pure rocket is, and large flying things tend to be more noticeable to the public. All kinds of static rocket tests are carried out for all kinds of programs (one of the STS-114 SRBs got ground-test-fired this year to see how it stood up to a long wait on the pad, for instance) yet few make regular news. I think a lot of the "show" factor is coming from what the press does and doesn't find worth bothering with. Maybe not all, but a fair amount.

    11. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      I believe one of the picture annotations says that they dumped their oxidizer once they hit their target altitude. Perhaps they were out of fuel, but that made me think they had fuel and dumped for safety reasons before they could land.

    12. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Umm has Carmack made any flights with his prototype? I know he had a flying chair but that is about it. Rutan is running not a show but a proffesional test program. He is going step by step and expanding the flight profile a little each time. That is the way you do it and not kill your test pilot.

      I think that it is great that Carmack is trying to win this prize but Rutan is every bit as creative and know a lot more about building flying machines than Carmack. Saying that Carmack should not worry about Rutan is like saying that Rutan should not worry about Carmack in a contest to build a great first person shooter.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    13. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They are very, very necessary. You don't just dream up a concept, whip up a plane, then head immediatly for everything it was designed to do. You go towards it in small steps, making sure everything is working one bit at a time. Other people have already mentioned this, you seem to be missing it.

      Additionally, I find it hard to believe these tests are anything but not showy. If he was being showy, he would be calling a major press conference just before every test and saying "Hey, everyone! Come look at our cool space plane! We're gonna win! Yeah! Go us!" Instead, they are preparing for and carrying out their (necessary and important) tests without any forewarning of anyone (except probably some air traffic control people) and then putting up a nice simple log entry of how it went.

    14. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Well, I'm glad you agree with me then. :-)

      BTW, I can't help but poke at your nick (considering the subject). The Vulkan Energia configuration is way cooler than the Buran Energia configuration! Everyone knows that!

    15. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      The only thing that's getting missed around here is my point. The very nature of Rutan's tests are showier than tests done to a more conventional rocket. That is my point.

      Just looking at the fact that Rutan is flying and Armadillo is not, might lead one to conclude that Rutan is far closer to completion. Nothing could be further from the truth. The two are about evenly matched right now. The actual winner is going to be hard to predict.

    16. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by PudriK · · Score: 1

      So your point is pointless, then, because any aircraft testing would be more "showy" than rocket testing. By calling them "showy," you are implying that Scaled is performing these tests for primarily publcity reasons--which is demonstrable untrue.

      Scaled just logs their tests for those who are interested. They haven't issued press releases except for it's unveiling and when they broke the sound barrier.

      With all due respect to Carmack, there is a world of difference between doing rocket engine tests and development, and having a functional vehicle, even if that vehcile has not yet achieved it's full performance.

    17. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Buran · · Score: 1

      *giggle*

      Take a look at this site -- it's really well done and informative.

    18. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Penguinshit · · Score: 1


      The fact that SC has a fully functioning prototype to carry out flight tests says that they are many miles ahead of Armadillo. The tests that Armadillo is doing now (engine design and test firing) were done by SC well over a year ago.

      Armadillo, after it gets the engine issues worked out, will still need to undergo multiple test flights to ensure the stability and ruggedness of the vehicle necessary to sustain and protect human cargo.

    19. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Too late. Already seen it, digested it, and passed it around. I must say, the guy does keep a nice looking site. :-)

    20. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well so what if Rutan's tests look more impressive than Carmack's simply because he took the fixed-wing aircraft approach and hence can get in the air sooner? I really doubt that is why he decided to take that approach or why he is conducting the tests.

    21. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Buran · · Score: 1

      Eww. You ate it?! So what do spoiled electrons taste like?

    22. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Hey! I'll have you know, that stuff is good brainfood! While you're digesting that, go visit WikiPedia and type in "Spacecraft Propulsion". Ah, what I wouldn't give for a Nuclear Salt Water Rocket (NSWR)! ;-)

    23. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by Buran · · Score: 1

      Ahhhhh! Do you realize how irritated Bob Ballard is going to be when you wreck his perfectly-preserved ancient ship!?! But you can have the Dead Sea Pizza (or other leftovers) in my fridge... heck, I'll save it and donate this stuff if it means cheap tickets to space for me!

    24. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      It'd be neat to see the two of them (and a couple other Xprize contenders) join forces.

      Geez already, it's not likely that one corporation will really be able to achieve a viable orbital delivery system. But a coalition of them just might.

      As long as they keep it out of the greedy grasping hands of the Fed, I'd be happy even if they achieved a monopoly on orbital delivery....besides, it'd especially pissoff/inspire the government/public if a private coalition of companies could achieve something that hasn't really been done before...and Heinlein could tone down his posthumous rotational mode.

      Sigh. :) I can dream, can't I?

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    25. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Keep dreaming. Both Armadillo and Rutan are focused on very poor space vehicles. The X-Prize simply wants them to go up and come back down. Actually reaching orbital velocity would take far more energy than these two are aiming to generate. For example, the Armadillo engines are powered by a Hydrazine monoprop which has an Isp of 160. They're looking at launching the weight of the craft + two people.

      In comparison, the Space Shuttle's Solid Fuel SRBs have an Isp of 250 and the Liquid Hydrogen/Oxygen main engines have an Isp of 450. Between the two propulsion methods, the Space Shuttle can lift the craft (117 metric tons), 5 astronauts, and 29 metric tons into Low Earth Orbit (LEO). And that is nothing compared to the Russian Energia Vulkan (200 metric tons to LEO!).

      The real feat of the X-Prize won't be in developing new technologies. The real feat of the X-Prize will be in sparking private sector interest in space.

    26. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      The real feat of the X-Prize won't be in developing new technologies. The real feat of the X-Prize will be in sparking private sector interest in space.

      That was my point.

      Rutan is developing the launch/reentry vehicle, Armadillo is developing rocket motor/controls.

      So if they, with some other groups, could combine their forces, they could achieve the real goal (which is a helluva lot more profitable in the long run than just winning the Xprize, no?)

      I'm well aware of the lift capacities of the launch vehicles; and of the isp of different fuels. But that's not really the problem, is it? The main problem is that we're tied to one monolithic launch entity (NASA) and have been for far too long. You actually made my point for me in a subtle sense with the comment about relative launch platform ISP.

      Come on, now. Government interest in any serious space program (at least here in the US) is dying. What's wrong with private companies banding together to make it a reality? The potential profit margin is enormous. Think of Hubble - if one could solicit contributions from the budgets of all the astronomers with an interest in still doing science from Hubble, and if there was a viable private concern with launch capability for a craft that could fix it, (nevermind all the stupid regulations, yeah, I know) than wouldn't that private CO stand to profit by it?

      The longer that space advocates keep pretending that it's a government institution that should be doing it (because they are the only ones who can? Come on now) the longer it'll be until we see serious access to space.

      Fuck the Xprize. The real prize will go to the first coalition of companies who develop a sustainable ground to orbit launcher and monopolize it (redundant). It ain't the 80s anymore - not wrt to space - but economically and regulation wise, it's more like "1984". Stupid, stupid stupid.

      Dammit, sorry if I misunderstood your post, but this is not exactly a new argument. My post is just another rant by someone who's been following this for more than a quarter century and is pissed off at the bullshit. Ever wonder why it's only recently that private companies have got into the "space race" despite just about every major aerospace contractor since the 50s building equipment for it?

      Well, hell, it's just science fiction. /sarcasm

      Cheers
      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    27. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by AKAImBatman · · Score: 1

      Rutan is developing the launch/reentry vehicle, Armadillo is developing rocket motor/controls.

      My point was that neither craft will do much of anything to revolutionize the industry. The poor performance of their craft and differing design concepts would be very poorly matched.

      Come on, now. Government interest in any serious space program (at least here in the US) is dying. What's wrong with private companies banding together to make it a reality?

      Absolutely nothing is wrong with private entities joining in. Unfortunately, most private launch entities have gone under due to political, legal, and social entanglements that prevented them from ever reaching space. Basically, the public is standing in the way of the visionaries without even realizing it. However, the time for real progress is quickly approaching. People are actually taking an interest in space again, and *want* to develop it. Everyone's wondering why our modern technology hasn't already given rise to starships. So much so, that rumors upon rumors have been spread about miracle technologies that "should have been included in the Space Shuttle long ago". The reality that we have to hammer in their brains is: Big ass LHOx for launch, nuclear for space.

      You might find this discussion of interest. :-)

    28. Re:Armadillo Aerospace by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      My point was that neither craft will do much of anything to revolutionize the industry. The poor performance of their craft and differing design concepts would be very poorly matched.

      But my point was that this experimenting done by private companies is a *good* thing.

      Unfortunately, most private launch entities have gone under due to political, legal, and social entanglements that prevented them from ever reaching space

      Well, I said that :) my point was that the best way to profit for aerospace corporations would be cooperation rather than competition...

      Basically, the public is standing in the way of the visionaries without even realizing it.

      Yeah. *rant start + sorry*

      "public" Yeah, I also said that too. The public likes the eye candy - that and other things are raising the interest in funding again.

      Getting our lazy asses off this planet will probably never happen if we rely on public funding. The "public" is mostly interested in lining their own pockets and buying the latest designer jeans. (14 years of varied retail experience here, plus just "polling" :)
      But to be really honest, fuck the "public". I want to see private corporations get our asses off this planet. It's the only way that it's going to happen IMO. Oh, and not to repeat myself, but "FUCK THE PUBLIC"

      I think we need a bigger hammer. Around 0.4km diameter falling on a populated area, like Wash:DC. :) - I have two relatives who live there, btw, who agree with that :) - (but then again, hell, if it just produces a tsunami in someplace like "medieval" islands in the Pacific, then it's not the fault of the "voters" is it?) /sarcasm Goddam people are stupid. Oh, shit, I shouldn't get started on that...

      (sorry, I'm in a particularly bitchy mood tonite - nothing to do with life for me, just reading the news set me off - Middle East again)

      Thanks for the link, I'll read it tomorrow when I'm not as pissed off as I am now. :)

      Our country is in such a sorry state...beam me up, now....tired...just spend the whole day fixing people's plumbing and trying to predict what they'll buy this year and slap that into our POS POS system...motto is that any job that brings you into contact with the uninitiated can make you insane....confusion....political correctness...it's no wonder psychology is one of the fastest growing field...and if I pursue that train of thought any further, I won't need a tinfoil hat, it'll be automagically installed :)

      Damnation, you and I are fundamentally in agreement. Arguing over details, we be. Such be the human condition (or maybe it's just my pedantic (/psychotic) tendencies :)

      Reminds me of an old usenet sig: I'm not angry, I'm Pissed Off.

      Samuel Clemens was right.

      Cheers
      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  14. In Canada... by WormholeFiend · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    "I'm probably camping in Death Valley this coming Thanksgiving..."

    In Canada, we call it "Easter".
    -

    1. Re:In Canada... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We do in the UK as well, I know they do in South America as well and in all the places in Europe which I've been to.

    2. Re:In Canada... by zero_offset · · Score: 4, Funny

      That's a strange thing to call Death Valley.

      --

      Slashdot quality declines as the number of hot grits posts decreases. - Provolt's Law, Apr-09-2005

  15. Looks good by Skyshadow · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Ship looks pretty tight, IMO.

    Of course, the project we have to compare it to is John Carmack's Armadillo Aerospace venture (since they have the decency to provide week-by-week status reports, which I consider manditory Monday reading). The folks at Armadillo are still working on getting their engines to light reliably (extra important since they're using five of them) and still haven't had anything like a successful test flight.

    I dunno, man -- If I'm Carmack, I'm thinking it's time to really get at it if you're still serious about winning the X-prize. The SpaceShipOne folks seem to be putting them further and further into the rear-view. Which isn't to say they *can't* catch up; if the Armadillo team can get their engines lighting reliably, they should be about ready to bolt the thing together and start flying.

    Man, this beats the heck out of money pits like the ISS, eh? Nothing like a little old fashioned get-the-prize competition to turn up some interesting stuff. Maybe a $100 billion prize for the first company to land people on Mars and bring them back ought to be next -- get the government to cooperate with permits and NASA to share their tech. I'd bet you'd see people there inside a decade.

    --
    Every year during my review, I just pray the words "slashdot.org" aren't mentioned.
    1. Re:Looks good by Tackhead · · Score: 1
      > Man, this beats the heck out of money pits like the ISS, eh? Nothing like a little old fashioned get-the-prize competition to turn up some interesting stuff. Maybe a $100 billion prize for the first company to land people on Mars and bring them back ought to be next -- get the government to cooperate with permits and NASA to share their tech. I'd bet you'd see people there inside a decade.

      Proposal: The first human being(s) to survive one year on Mars and return safely to earth... gets their choice: $100B of Government Pr0k, or ownership of Mars. Mars becomes his/her/their personal property, to sell to anyone whom he/she/they please, most likely the employer who put him there and brought him back.

      (Yes, this is a shameless alteration of a more ideologically-proposed proposal I found here -- in which the only prize in the original scheme is ownership of Mars with the government pr0k option removed.)

    2. Re:Looks good by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Giving them mars kind of defeats the purpose, doesn't it?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:Looks good by Skyshadow · · Score: 4, Funny
      Giving them mars kind of defeats the purpose, doesn't it?

      Wait until you see the property tax bill...

      --
      Every year during my review, I just pray the words "slashdot.org" aren't mentioned.
    4. Re:Looks good by Orne · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I wouldn't get too down. This is the USA after all, and the race is rarely won by the "first", and usually won by the "cost efficient" (or, if you're a cynic, it's won by the "heavily marketed").

      After all, today's commercial airline industry isn't flying planes built by Burgess, Curtiss, or Loening... It was Boeing who got the contracts for training planes during World War I, and commercial transport planes afterwards...

    5. Re:Looks good by Teun · · Score: 1
      And who would do the 'giving', the present owner?

      Or the UN maybe?

      --
      "The likes of Facebook and WhatsApp are free to those whose privacy is of zero value."
    6. Re:Looks good by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      I dunno, man -- If I'm Carmack, I'm thinking it's time to really get at it if you're still serious about winning the X-prize.
      He's never been serious about winning the X-Prize. Carmack is interested in CATS (Cheap Acess to Space), and the X-Prize is mostly a sideshow when it comes to that.
    7. Re:Looks good by Tackhead · · Score: 1
      > And who would do the 'giving', the present owner?
      >
      > Or the UN maybe?

      As I understand it, the only reason the Moon, or Mars, cannot be "owned" by US citizens is because the US is a signatory to a treaty.

      All the US would have to do is say "We withdraw from this convention, on the grounds that property rights are the means by which all persons - Terran or Martian - exercise their unalienable right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. Mars belongs to the Martians."

    8. Re:Looks good by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      Maybe a $100 billion prize for the first company to land people on Mars and bring them back ought to be next

      Given how NASA contracts inflate in price, it'd probably be cheaper, too.

      I'd bet you'd see people there inside a decade.

      I'll bet you a buck it doesn't happen - but not because of any desire to get it done, but because of government selfishness.

      Sigh.

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  16. heat shielding by black+ninja · · Score: 5, Interesting
    I'm just a lowly undergrad of physics, but won't they need more than just a heat shield on leading edges? Any aero-eng guys out there? I slow to landing speed as you come out of orbit I think you have to come in at a fairly high angle of attack so that you present a large cross-section to the air, and let the drag slow you down. That is why the space shuttles underbelly is all thermo-shield.

    Also, IMHO the ship looks like some high-school science project with way to much duct-tape with the leading edges done the way they have it.

    1. Re:heat shielding by stoolpigeon · · Score: 1

      You know more about physics than I do probably so I'll leave that- but I'm sure the appearance in the photo is not what the finished product will look like. I would guess that all the tape over things like the windows is there for protection during installation and probably painting.

      What was more funny to me is that the nose piece looks like a giant shuttlecock.

      --
      It's hard to believe that's how Micronians are made. Why don't we see it right now by having you both kiss one another?
    2. Re:heat shielding by RichMan · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is a sub-orbital flight. A parabolic up-down with "comparativly little" speed WRT the ground. A true orbital flight needs momentum to balance out gravity. This means a lot higher ground speed for an orbital flight.

      As this is not an orbital flight there is no excessive velocity to burn off. Hence, the bathtub mode of recovery from altitude.

    3. Re:heat shielding by mamba-mamba · · Score: 1

      They're not going all that high. They aren't even achieving escape velocity.

      So the re-entry heating won't be all that great. This is one of the things that makes the x-prize achievable.

      MM
      --

      --
      By including this sig, the copyright holders of this work or collection unreservedly place it in the public domain.
    4. Re:heat shielding by CreatureComfort · · Score: 3, Informative


      The Space Shuttle comes in a lot faster and through far more atmosphere (Think angle of attack, not just vertical height). These guys are just barely getting out into "space", and aren't anywhere near the altitude or velocity required to get to even low earth orbit, so they don't need much heat shielding at all.

      Of course LEO isn't a requirement for the X-prize.

      Why yes, I am a rocket scientist.

      --
      "Unheard of means only it's undreamed of yet,
      Impossible means not yet done." ~~ Julia Ecklar
    5. Re:heat shielding by black+ninja · · Score: 1

      Oh, my bad guys, I forgot that the thing their calling SpaceShipOne isn't supposed to be one, only 100km. Perhaps NotQuiteSpaceShip would have been a better name. Anyways, even at 100km I would think that re-entry like conditions would be encountered and you'd need the high angle of attack.

    6. Re:heat shielding by orac2 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Don't forget that Rutan's vehicle is suborbital (as are all the X-Prize contendors). The speeds of suborbital vehicles are much lower than orbital speeds: the shuttle has to dump a lot of energy in a short time when coming back from orbit and needs much more thermal protection as a result. For contrast to the shuttle, consider the X-15, which could just reach beyond the 50 mile boundary that marked whether or not you got to add U.S. astronaut to your resume: it didn't require tiles, or an ablative shield, just the careful application of iconel and other high temperature alloys.

      --
      "Just once, I'd like to meet an alien menace that wasn't immune to bullets." -- The Brigadier, Dr. Who
    7. Re:heat shielding by pavon · · Score: 2, Informative

      Anyways, even at 100km I would think that re-entry like conditions would be encountered and you'd need the high angle of attack.

      If you read thier site (after the slashdotting subsides) you will see that the wings fold up 90 degrees during reentry which gives them a very large amount of drag, while maintaining a stable angle of decent.

    8. Re:heat shielding by PD · · Score: 3, Informative

      You'd need a lot of heat shielding if you were reentering from orbit, but that's not what this rocket ship is designed to do. It's a suborbital ballistic flight profile, straight up to 60 miles, then freefall back down. Orbital profiles have to go up 200 miles, PLUS they need to have 17,000 MPH of speed to maintain the orbit. The forward momentum of an orbital spacecraft is more energy than the potential energy in 200 miles of altitude.

      Spaceship One will only generate temperatures of about 1000 degrees, and since they don't need to use an angle of attack of 40 degrees like the shuttle, they only need to protect the leading edge. The max speed is only about mach 3.5, and the decelleration is 70 seconds. The shuttle on the other hand decellerates from orbital velocity for 20 minutes.

    9. Re:heat shielding by TamMan2000 · · Score: 1

      Did you even read the replies to your post? The fact that the TANGENTIAL velocity doesn't have to be high (since they only intend to go to space, not orbit, stricktly up and back down, not around...) is what is saving them. Angle of attack shouldn't enter this discussion.

      If the Shuttle carried enough rocket fuel to slow it's tangential velocity to near 0 before re-entry, it would need very little heat sheilding. But... that is a hell of a lot of fuel, so it is easier to use the atmosphere (with all the inhearant risk and needed shielding) to slow the tangential velocity to those of normal flight...

      --
      "I'll have a Guinness, no wait, make that a Coors Light" -Grad student I work with, who shall remain anonymous...
    10. Re:heat shielding by kevlar · · Score: 0

      Ahh, Wrong. If the wings fold up at 90 angles during re-entry, it will reduce the amount of friction on the wings, not increase it. Folding up the wings allows it to accellerate negatively at a slower rate, without having its wings snap off from the force.

    11. Re:heat shielding by golgotha007 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      consider the X-15, which could just reach beyond the 50 mile boundary

      so, basically you're saying that i can win 10 million bucks if i can reverse engineer technology developed before 1959? yes, that's 45 or more years ago.

      neato

    12. Re:heat shielding by Buran · · Score: 1

      And do it without the massive funding the USAF has. (yes, folks, the X-15 program wasn't a NACA/NASA effort.)

    13. Re:heat shielding by orac2 · · Score: 1

      ...SpaceShipOne isn't supposed to be one, only 100km. Perhaps NotQuiteSpaceShip would have been a better name..

      So Alan Shepard wasn't the first American in space, and the Mercury capsule wasn't a spaceship? That was a suborbital flight too.

      even at 100km I would think that re-entry like conditions would be encountered

      The conditions on re-entry are governed primarily by the re-entry speed. Sub-orbital speeds are less than orbital speeds, therefore the conditions are different, although both cases (sub-orbital and orbital) involve a re-rentry. It seems as if you're focusing on symptoms, rather than the underlying causes in your orbital mechanics analysis. Just thinking about the overall K.E. and P.E. involved can often save a lot of work before you try to consider second-order things like angles of attack.

      --
      "Just once, I'd like to meet an alien menace that wasn't immune to bullets." -- The Brigadier, Dr. Who
    14. Re:heat shielding by pavon · · Score: 1
      Ahh, Wrong. If the wings fold up at 90 angles during re-entry, it will reduce the amount of friction on the wings, not increase it. Folding up the wings allows it to accellerate negatively at a slower rate, without having its wings snap off from the force.

      Huh? I don't understand. How does less friction => slower acceleration? Also, their site did not mention anything about concern that the wings would snap off as a reason for the design.


      Why do you "fold" the wings to come back down?
      In space, the wings are folded up to provide a shuttle-cock or "feather" effect to give the ship extremely high drag for reentry. This allows the reentry deceleration to occur at a higher altitude and greatly reduces the forces and heating on the structure. Also, the ship, in the feathered configuration, will align itself automatically such that the pilot has a less-critical flight control task. We refer to this as "care-free reentry". The atmosphere orients the vehicle to a belly-first attitude without pilot input. Another benefit is that, since the altitude is higher, the pilot can glide further after the entry deceleration. A SpaceShipOne pilot can glide more than 60 miles after he converts back to the non-feathered glider shape.
    15. Re:heat shielding by PudriK · · Score: 1

      The entire wing does not fold, only the aft portion of the main wing and both tails. So there is still significant drag from the portion that remains parallel ot the fuselage.

      The reason the wings fold up is so that the vehicle becomes aerodynamically stable with the body across the airflow, increasing drag, and thereby increasing the magnitude of deceleration.

  17. How exciting! by SeaDour · · Score: 1, Redundant

    It looks like it's only a small matter of time before they actually launch this thing into suborbital flight. I'm willing to bet that the two flights will take place by the end of this year. How I envy the chosen pilot for the mission...

  18. Needed: Improved Fuels by stuffduff · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think that the work being done by Scaled Composites will prove very useful in the next few years. Where I thank we need to see a much greater effort is in the fuels to drive these kind of vehicles. With advances in physical chemistry we could see an improvement of 2 or 3 orders of magnitude. With those kind of fuels one could put a bottle rocket into orbit!

    --
    "Can there be a Klein bottle that is an efficient and effective beer pitcher?"
    1. Re:Needed: Improved Fuels by onkelonkel · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Give yer head a shake, lad. 2 or 3 orders of magnitude means 100 to 1000 times more (unspecified rocket fuel goodness).
      Improvements usually come a few percent at a time.

      --
      None of them can see the clouds; The polished wings don't care.
    2. Re:Needed: Improved Fuels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Uh, bullshit.

      Cryogenic hydrogen/oxygen (LOX/LH2) is about the best you can get without big handling difficulties. You can go with flourine combos, but that only nets another 3%-4% ISP with truely horrid handling problems.

      There's no "improvement of 2 or 3 orders of magnitude" coming anywhere.

      And LH2 has the problem with needing huge tanks because it's so non-dense. If you consider tank size, you can actually get more into orbit on a smaller/lighter vehicle using LOX/kerosene like the Saturn V. The smaller & lighter tanks offset the lower ISP.

    3. Re:Needed: Improved Fuels by Rorschach1 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Where do you get that information from? I'm not a physical chemist, but the rocketry books I've read say that chemical fuels aren't going to get much past 450 to 500 seconds Isp. The SSMEs get about 450, I think. Isp (specific impulse) is directly proportional to exhaust temperature, which is always going to be an issue in practical rocket design.

      The 1970's NERVA nuclear rocket program managed to get about twice the Isp of our best chemical rockets with a decent amount of thrust. Ion drives might give you an order of magnitude improvement over chemical rockets, but they don't have the thrust to be used in launch vehicles.

      The only propulsion system I've seen proposed that could realistically produce 2 to 3 orders of magnitude increase in efficiency is the Orion drive. The government doesn't like the idea of building hundreds of small, clean nukes, though. Greenpeace gets a bit riled up about it, too.

      Of course, if I had my way, they'd be welcome to protest right at the launch site.

    4. Re:Needed: Improved Fuels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know, those big Estes model rocket motors that Scaled seems to be using look pretty darned powerful. http://www.scaled.com/projects/tierone/New_Index/p hotos/images/800/SS1WTPS_800.jpg

    5. Re:Needed: Improved Fuels by stuffduff · · Score: 1
      All valid points from today's perspective on what constitutes a safe and stable fuel. However there are clearly many more unstable fuel possibilites. Perhaps a mechanism can be designed to use the stable materials to produce unstable materials in a pre-reaction chamber before introducing the unstable product to the reaction chamber. Look at the progress that's been made in chemical lasers. Just a few decades ago they were a joke, now they represent a credible advance in high power anti-missle technology. Maybe a chemical laser could act as a pump laser to excite some other highly volatile fuel into plasma.

      My point here is that if we choose to believe that our 'rocket science' is the best and that there is no alternative; then we will never find one! There are a lot of possibilities out there; most of which we aren't even aware of.

      --
      "Can there be a Klein bottle that is an efficient and effective beer pitcher?"
    6. Re:Needed: Improved Fuels by Short+Circuit · · Score: 1

      Play around with cubanes. But be very careful. octanitrocubane is considered the most powerful non-nuclear explosive yet sythesized. And it's shock-insensitive.

      Here are some links.

    7. Re:Needed: Improved Fuels by Cecil · · Score: 1

      I don't disagree that there are ways to get much higher impulse than we currently use. Programs like NERVA already accomplish this.

      I do take issue with your suggestion that it might be done with chemical fuels though. Hydrogen + Fluorine, which is to the best of my knowledge the most energy you will get out of the forming of a chemical bond per unit of mass, has a specific impulse around 450. The cryofuels in the SSME (Hydrogen and Oxygen, one step down on the periodic table) are very close to that as well. Surely some optimizations may be possible, but we're very close to the theoretical peak with chemical reactions already. Sure you can cut down on the weight of the tank and engines (although doing this by adding more equipment is somewhat dubious), but that isn't as much research as it is squeezing the last drop out of an orange.

      You are correct that there are a lot of possible energy sources for propulsion in the future. Fission, fusion, electrical, kinetic potential/gravitational. But chemicals are simply (pun intended) out of gas when it comes to getting off this planet.

    8. Re:Needed: Improved Fuels by TheHawke · · Score: 1

      I'll take Octol, thank you!

      BTW, Octol is what they use to initate nuclear reactions in atomic devices (IE, The Bomb)

      --
      First rule of holes; When in one, stop digging.
  19. Armadillo Dreamin' by Ephboy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Apparently, Scaled Composites is one of two teams to have applied for a permit from the FAA to launch a spaceflight. The other is Armadillo Aerospace, run by John Carmack of Doom fame. It's interesting to compare and contrast the two companies. Rutan has a sleek ship with lots of cool round windows that launches from a funky big plane, and they have some good solid live testing. The Armadillo team's site really shows you the nitty-gritty of building something that flies in your spare time, with pictures of them welding engines together, making a crew capsule out of whatever they could find, and building a landing gear with some thick cable springs. I'm guessing that Rutan will win, but I'll hold out hope that the garage engineer can pull off at least some type of flight to give courage to that old entrepreneurial spirit....

    1. Re:Armadillo Dreamin' by Skyshadow · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I'm not sure it's fair to characterize Rutan and Carmack this way.

      Neither of these guys are professional rocket builders. They're both private individuals spending their (ample) money to compete for the X-prize. Rutan has previous experience building aircraft and has worked more at putting together a team and securing infrastructure to help with the build, but it's not as if Rutan is leading a billion-dollar team of button-down 1950's engineers at Boeing or something while Carmack is competing out of his back yard shed.

      Just because Carmack posts his day-to-day struggles on the web for us all to enjoy (and I *do* enjoy it, BTW) doesn't imply that the SpaceShipOne team isn't encountering the exact same sorts of technical hurdles, supply problems, permit bullshit and etc. In other words, whichever wins will be a victory for the little guy because they're *both* the little guy.

      --
      Every year during my review, I just pray the words "slashdot.org" aren't mentioned.
    2. Re:Armadillo Dreamin' by RedWizzard · · Score: 4, Informative
      They're both private individuals spending their (ample) money to compete for the X-prize.
      Please note that neither of these teams got into this for the X-prize. Carmack wanted to put someone in space for the hell of it, and Rutan is trying to develop a commercial space tourism platform. For Carmack the advent of the X-prize meant aiming for an X-prize sized vehicle earlier than otherwise. In Rutan's case the X-prize will nowhere near cover the cost of development (which I've heard is around $30M, IIRC), but will certainly reduce it.
    3. Re:Armadillo Dreamin' by LS · · Score: 3, Funny

      Hmm, I don't know if I agree with your characterization either. So Rutan is not a rocket builder, but he has a massive aviation engineering background and physical infrastructure in place. The difference between the Carmack and Rutan teams is likely significant - to balance it out, I would bet that Rutan would have a hell of a time building a top-notch first-person shooter...

      LS

      --
      There is a fine line between being a cultivated citizen and being someone else's crop. - A. J. Patrick Liszkie
    4. Re:Armadillo Dreamin' by Ephboy · · Score: 1

      Your point is very well taken, and I didn't mean to characterize Scaled Composites as the Microsoft or Boeing of the contest. My point was more that Scaled designed a rocketship within a plane, funky folding wings, a hybrid rocket engine, etc. that comes off as a perfectly polished affair (and at this point looks the most likely to pull it all off). I love reading the Armadillo struggles/sucesses, really giving you the feeling of a down in the trenches "How the hell are we going to get this thing up in the air?". The difference is that Rutan has experience and infrastructure for building crazy aircraft (such as one that can fly around the world without refueling). Carmack, like most of us, doesn't have the experience or infrastructure, but just thought, what if I could pull this off? Unlike most of us, though, he went after this dream and has made some stellar progress. Whoever wins, it will be a tremendous advance (and I think NASA could learn a lot from looking at what these folks are pulling off versus the tremendous money spent to keep a 25 year old design flying).

    5. Re:Armadillo Dreamin' by TigerNut · · Score: 1
      I don't have any handy links, but for the last half-dozen years or so, John Carmack has been putting a lot of effort into creating some very fast Ferraris. If nothing else that experience will have prepared him for the "well that idea didn't work, now what?" stage of development, as it applies to building physical things that are pushing the limits in terms of material properties. You can't just put in some bounds checking and then recompile after you grenade an engine, and Carmack has demonstrated a great deal of stamina in pushing the mechanical boundaries as well as the software ones.

      Go Armadillo!

      --

      Less is more.

  20. I'm waiting... by Seoulstriker · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm waiting for Carmack to respond to the space race. I'm also waiting for a release date for DooM3! :)

    --
    I am defenseless. Use your button. Mod me down with all of your hatred.
    1. Re:I'm waiting... by TigerNut · · Score: 1
      He's just out perfecting the rocket launcher... what do you expect?

      --

      Less is more.

  21. A good thing too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    They better not have any more delays like that last one, if they want to win the X-Prize. The $10 million dollar prize expires at the end of this year, and a lot of other groups are competing for it.

    I think we'll see some exciting new developments in space technology over the next few years. I'm confident someone will win the X-Prize,(which is more a PR bonus for starting a space tourism company than anything else) the Bush Admin wants to send folks to the moon or Mars (probably using nuclear propulsion), and it's all but a foregone conclusion that someone will try to build a Space Elevator soon.

    1. Re:A good thing too by LS · · Score: 3, Funny

      Dude, you're not a prophet, but you are a good Karma whore. What does the Bush administration and Mars have to do with this? How could you know what propulsion system is going to be used without NASA even working on it yet? And this Space Elevator company is a bunch of nerds building Lego Mindstorm models of their fantasy elevator!!!

      --
      There is a fine line between being a cultivated citizen and being someone else's crop. - A. J. Patrick Liszkie
    2. Re:A good thing too by DoktorFaust · · Score: 1

      Yeah, boy, those Anonymous Cowards are real Karma whores...

      --

      Die Menschen verhoehnen was sie nicht verstehen. -- Goethe.
  22. Stop modding this up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    If you'd read anything about the X-prize, or even the other posts in this thread, you'd know that the ships are aiming for a sub-orbital flight (for those of you who went to public school, that means they're not coming back from orbit at the end of the flight, either), and therefore no space shuttle-style thermal tiles are required.

  23. Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital craft by Dr.+Zowie · · Score: 5, Informative
    Remember (nobody ever seems to) that getting into space is not nearly has hard as getting into orbit. We're used to descriptions of the amazing technology that is used to protect astronauts and such on re-entry -- but that amazing technology is only needed because of the enormous speeds that orbital vehicles have to attain.

    The kinetic energy required to accelerate a gallon of gasoline to orbital speed is more than the chemical energy contained in the gasoline.

    By contrast, "merely" lifting something up 100km doesn't require much energy at all.

    So, er, no, leading-edge heat shields ought to be just fine. Fiberglass or carbon-fiber composites might even survive a flight or two without any shielding at all.

  24. ANSWER ME! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    See it here in this article from Wired.

    I'm not fucking trolling you.

  25. Re:X Prize is impossible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dick Rutan? Weekend Warrior? Hmm. Ever hear of the Gossamer Albatross? Voyager?

    Mr. Rutan is FAR from a weekend warrior. All-week genius, in my book.

  26. Re:X Prize is impossible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    My bad. The Albatross was McCready, not Rutan.

  27. Despite what it looks like... by CBob · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Rutan and Scaled are prob the Ultimate Gargage Engineers. He's done stuff that "experts" called impossible for years.

    The "early" kit planes he designed are still works of "art".

    (bad news, the site is /.ed)

    1. Re:Despite what it looks like... by captainClassLoader · · Score: 5, Informative

      Yeah, no kidding. Bert Rutan has not one, but 3 aircraft designs displayed at the Smithsonian's National Air and Space Museum. These are the around-the-world Voyager,, and the experimental homebuilts VariEze, and Quickie.

      --
      "The plural of anecdote is not data" -- Bruce Schneier
    2. Re:Despite what it looks like... by mnemonic_ · · Score: 1

      He's also regarded as somewhat of a showman (like Dean Kamen) who easily attracts less-informed fans.

    3. Re:Despite what it looks like... by shadowbearer · · Score: 1


      Rutan is probably going to win the Xprize - but more importantly, he's probably going to be the founder of the first serious orbital delivery system. He's certainly the leading contender if one considers startup companies - and he has the experience and funding to back it up.

      That said, I also consider it likely that Carmack's team will contribute some good research into rocket motor design (and particularly WRT to the software that controls it). It'd be neat as hell to see the two of them combine their experience down the line...

      Man, sometimes I wish I were 30 years younger...

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  28. You're teh ghey. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sho' nuff.

    1. Re:You're teh ghey. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That may be, but nonetheless, I still want to know is Rutan some sort of closeted NAZI?!!!! His damn "SpaceshipOne" looks supiciously like a 12-st century re-enginering of the V2.

  29. Insightful? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Insightful? He didn't say anything.

    Praytell, exactly which advances which produce a 200x+ improvement in rocket fuels are you referring to, sir? Which brand new propulsion tech did the SpaceShipOne folks come up with? Or are you just talking out of your ass?

  30. Re:Already slashdotted by 1SmartOne · · Score: 0

    The mod who chose that probably thought he was karma whoring. Should have posted it as an AC.

  31. Re:Already slashdotted by Zathrus · · Score: 2, Informative

    For the good of the community :)
    [...]
    Results:
    Slashdot's editors are facists.
    Launch conditions were 48,500 feet and 125 knots. All systems performed as expected and the vehicle landed successfully while demonstrating the maximum cross wind landing capability.


    If it's for the good of the community, then don't put in your personal opinion in the middle of the post.

    There may have been more random crap in there, this was the first one I saw. Feel free to remod the karma whore appropriately.

  32. Love that Ship! by Papatoast · · Score: 2, Funny

    It is soooooo Buck Rogers-esque!! Not the late 70's/early 80's TV show Buck Rogers, I mean the 1930's - 1940's Buck Rogers.

    --
    We were somewhere around Barstow on the edge of the desert when the drugs began to take hold. - HST
  33. Cute text changes by dschl · · Score: 1
    Did anyone notice this in the first section?
    Objectives:
    The twelfth flight of SpaceShipOne. Objectives included: pilot proficiency, reaction control system functionality check and stability and control and performance of the vehicle with the airframe thermal protection system installed. This was an unpowered glide test.
    Results:
    Slashdot's editors are facists.
    Launch conditions were 48,500 feet and 125 knots.
    All systems performed as expected and the vehicle landed successfully while demonstrating the maximum cross wind landing capability.

    Parent comment is at +5 as I post this. Either some moderators were sleeping, or else they agree with the assertion.
    --
    Slashdot - the place where you can look like a genius by restating the obvious
    1. Re:Cute text changes by TwistedGreen · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Either some moderators were sleeping, or else they agree with the assertion.

      It's probably a bit of both, if you ask me.

  34. Re:X Prize is impossible by kclittle · · Score: 1
    Uh, you mean Burt Rutan, yes? Dick is no slouch of a pilot, but the genius in the family is Burt.

    --
    Generally, bash is superior to python in those environments where python is not installed.
  35. be careful what you wish for by John_Sauter · · Score: 1
    With advances in physical chemistry we could see an improvement of 2 or 3 orders of magnitude. With those kind of fuels one could put a bottle rocket into orbit!
    With those kind of fuels, a suicide bomber could destroy a medium-sized city.
    John Sauter (J_Sauter@Empire.Net)
    1. Re:be careful what you wish for by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no need to include your name and email at the bottom of your message when it is clearly stated in the header.

  36. Re:X Prize is impossible by SmackCrackandPot · · Score: 1

    It's about reaching 100KM, with at least 1 person, in a vehicle capable of carring 3, twice in 2 weeks.

    Which is slightly more frequently than your average rural bus service.

  37. Re:Already slashdotted by MrScience · · Score: 1

    Just wanted to point out that they're getting more than 2 hours of unpowered flight. That's pretty cool.

    --

    You quitting proves that the karma kap worked. The most annoying of the whores shut up. --CmdrTaco

  38. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by ThosLives · · Score: 5, Informative
    I can't resist:

    The energy content of gasoline is about 42e6 J/kg.

    Orbital velocity (at the surface of the earth) is about 8000 m/s. Kinetic energy of 1 kg at 8000 m/s is 32e6 J. (That is, you need about 32 MJ/kg)

    However for those who want the whole story, the parent to this is correct: to get all that energy out of the kg of gasoline, you *also* need about 2.8 kg oxygen. Gasoline-oxygen gets you about 11 MJ/kg, which is about a third of what you need to hit orbital velocity.

    To get to 100 km altitude, you need only 0.96 MJ/kg, which is no problem for gasoline-oxygen.

    --
    "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
  39. Lack of information=geeky gambling opportunity? by ferralis · · Score: 1
    *heh* Yeah... I guess it's down to how good our "intelligent agents" are- humans are durned chaotic in their article submissions.

    I had given up on Scaled for a while after the landing gear issue- I checked faithfully every day, then every week hoping to get some news, afraid something had gone disastrously wrong.

    My guess is they're going to do a flight or three with burn (with the new heatproofing) before the actual suborbital flight. Somebody ought to start a pool. $5.00 says they've 100km by July 4 :)

    --
    Any generalization is a stupid one.
  40. He / She's right by titzandkunt · · Score: 1


    IIRC, about the best available chemical combo is ClF5 / N2H4, which is absolutely horrendous in terms of handling, inflammability and toxicity.

    T&K.

    --
    Political language ... is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable...
    1. Re:He / She's right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You said a mouthfull. Hydrazine is mostly harmless compared with chlorine pentafluoride.

      Hypergolic with all common extinguishing agents. Jesus Lord God.

    2. Re:He / She's right by titzandkunt · · Score: 1


      You speak the truth there, friend.

      Apparently, water is a good agent to start a ClF5 fire...

      T&K.

      --
      Political language ... is designed to make lies sound truthful and murder respectable...
  41. The why (and some of the difficulties) of NERVA by Dr.+Zowie · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Yup, chemical rockets can't get much past about 500 seconds because there just isn't any more energy in chemical bonds. The game in rocketry is to dump as much momentum as possible into as little propellant as possible. The rub: putting momentum into mass requires energy. Momentum scales linearly with your rocket's exhaust speed; but the kinetic energy of the exhaust scales like the square of the exhaust speed! Hence, the more propellant efficient you are, the more energy you need per unit mass. If I recall right, the most energetic-per-unit-mass reaction is atomic hydrogen bonding with atomic fluorine, yielding 0.1 eV/amu of fuel -- that translates to 9.6 megajoules per kg of fuel, or (with perfect conversion) about 4500 meters/second exhaust speed. Divide by 10 m/sec^2 to get Isp, and you find that 450 seconds is the limit for chemical rockets.

    Nuclear reactions yield about a million times more energy per unit mass than do chemical reactions, so it's natural to try to get the energy that way.

    NERVA got OK Isp (about a factor of 2 better than chemical rockets, something like 1000 seconds), but its thrust-to-weight ratio was pretty low, about 4 if I remember right. That's because it included a critical, operating nuclear reactor with an actively controlled chain reaction, and them thar things are heavy.

    Thrust-to-weight is just as important as Isp to a rocket: higher thrust-to-weight means you can tote more fuel, payload, and structure for the same Isp, since you always have to have the mass of the engine itself around. By contrast to the NERVA's thrust-to-weight of about 4, the Space Shuttle main engines have a thrust-to-weight ratio of around 75. Since solid rockets are technically made out of their own fuel, their effective weight is much lower for this calculation (pretty much just the bell nozzle) and you might see numbers in the several-hundreds range.

    Of course, one could always work on making the NERVA more lightweight -- but do you really want to optimize a nuclear reactor for mass, rather than safety? I didn't think so.

    Now, for use in space, thrust-to-weight isn't so important. The rocket doesn't have to support itself against gravity, so low-mass engines that also produce low thrust are perfectly OK.

    Of course, international treaty bans the use of critical nuclear reactors in space, but that alone wouldn't slow down our current administration very much.

    [Nuclear reactors get flown into space all the time, but they always have much less than critical mass, relying on spontaneous decay to keep the chain reaction limping along at a constant rate. NERVA would require controlled reaction rates, hence a critical-mass reactor.]

  42. Three people not necessary by jmichaelg · · Score: 5, Informative
    To win the X-Prize they would need 3 people in the SSO.

    The ship only has to have accomodations for three people. The rules allow for substituting ballast for the passenger's weight and letting the single pilot go up alone. The relevant rule is

    3. The flight vehicle must be flown twice within a 14-day period. Each flight must carry at least one person, to minimum altitude of 100 km (62 miles). The flight vehicle must be built with the capacity (weight and volume) to carry a minimum of 3 adults of height 188 cm (6 feet 2 inches) and weight 90 kg (198 pounds) each. Three people of this size or larger must be able to enter, occupy, and be fastened into the flight vehicle on Earth's surface prior to take-off, and equivalent ballast must be carried in-flight if the number of persons on-board during flight is less than 3 persons.
  43. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by Buran · · Score: 1

    This design also uses the wing itself as a massive air brake by tilting the wing, eliminating (or reducing) the need to assume a nose-high attitude (shuttle orbiters pitch up by 30-40 degrees for most of the re-entry phase of the mission, by comparison.)

  44. Well... by mnemonic_ · · Score: 1

    The X-15 was relieved of having to rely on its own propulsion (for the most part) to reach that altitude. The aircraft was carried under the wing of a B-52, then dropped off at 45,000 feet after which the four hydrogen peroxide rocket motors would be ignited.

    1. Re:Well... by orac2 · · Score: 1

      Which is exactly the same model that Burt Rutan is following.

      --
      "Just once, I'd like to meet an alien menace that wasn't immune to bullets." -- The Brigadier, Dr. Who
  45. Quite a difference by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 1

    This one is to be flown by a single pilot, so it has a jet engine to make it faster, but they still expect it to take 3 days. I don't know how much auto pilot they expect to use, but it won't be nearly as much an achievement if they use it at all. That would almost turn it into nothing but a drone.

  46. How do you know? by mnemonic_ · · Score: 2, Interesting

    How do you know how what sort of cooling mechanism is in place or how effective the heat shield will be? Just looking at pictures? For all you know there could be some elaborate fluid cooling system internally distributed, making blunt edges less necessary. Or that heat shield could be more effective than what your extensive calculations and research indicate.

    My point is is that you shouldn't be so quick to judge. Or maybe you're just shoehorning some semi-related facts in an insightful-sounding post to raise your karma.

    (btw I am an aeronautical engineering major)

  47. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by TigerNut · · Score: 1
    Then all the orbital energy gets bled off by the drag induced by the wing, which means it will have to absorb and then radiate that energy. You don't get something for nothing. As mentioned, though: For sub-orbital flight, the energy to be dissipated is minute compared to orbital re-entry.

    A question: Is this design even intended as an orbital vehicle, or just a stepping stone (incidentally aimed at meeting X-prize requirements)? If it isn't intended to make it to orbital speeds, then there's no need to build in infrastructure that an orbital vehicle would need.

    Another question (or two): What are the shallowest and steepest practical re-entry profile? If you could descend from orbit slowly enough, then you wouldn't need to decelerate at such a high rate that you would get the leading edge temperatures reached by the Shuttle. Then again, tearing through even the upper atmosphere at Mach 25 while trying to slowly burn off speed might cause too much heating. On the opposite end of the envelope, if one had sufficient retro-rocket capability, you could bleed off most of your orbital velocity while 100 km up, then freefall to an altitude where aerodynamic conditions are more friendly - but that would take a huge amount of fuel.

    On the assumption that the Shuttle presents the state of the art in re-entry vehicles as it was 25 years ago, how have materials and fuels changed to push either end of the re-entry envelope (shallower vs. steeper)?

    --

    Less is more.

  48. Re:The why (and some of the difficulties) of NERVA by Rorschach1 · · Score: 1

    Yeah, NERVA demonstrated at least 900 seconds Isp if I remember right. The thrust-to-weight wasn't 4:1, but 3:4. In other words, it'd never be able to get itself off the ground.

    Orion gets around the exhaust temperature problem by having the reaction external to the rocket. You've got a series of small nukes that create superheated plasma that pushes against a huge steel plate. 'Project Orion: The True Story of the Atomic Spaceship' by George Dyson goes into a lot of detail and presents some of the history behind the idea.

  49. I called it.... by theirishman · · Score: 2, Funny

    Shotgun!!!!!!

    1. Re:I called it.... by TheHawke · · Score: 1

      Nuts on shotgun, i'll drive!

      --
      First rule of holes; When in one, stop digging.
  50. Re:The why (and some of the difficulties) of NERVA by Rorschach1 · · Score: 1

    You know, now that I try to find the specs, it's not clear if it's 3:4, or '3 to 4'. Either way, it's not a lot. More recent designs have supposedly had ratios up to 27 or so, but I don't know if any have actually been built.

  51. Re:The why (and some of the difficulties) of NERVA by Rorschach1 · · Score: 1

    Who said anything about an RTG? Go look up Cosmos 954. It was one of several powered by a BES-5 reactor.

  52. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by Buran · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't have every answer, but here are a few facts:

    You've got it right on the heat dissipation, though I mentioned that more to address comments that all the heat would be "taken" along the leading edges of the wings, which isn't the case even though they do tend to get pretty hot - which you can see in infrared pictures of the Shuttle as it descends.

    This isn't an orbital vehicle, no. A flight will take around half an hour and it'll reach an altitude of 100km or so - across the official space boundary, but it won't stay there long. A lot more fuel would be required to reach orbital velocity, and a lot more heat shielding to make it back.

    Re-entry profiles are usually "corridors" only a few degrees wide; come in too shallow, and you skip off the atmosphere; too steep, and you're crushed by G forces. The exact profile differs from design to design, I'd imagine.

    Most of the envelope is determined by fuel and the shape of your ship. Amazing things can be done by designing your vehicle well and taking advantage of physics... take a look at the Sanger skip bomber", a suborbital craft designed to fly once around the world and make an unpowered glide landing, "skipping" off the atmosphere like a stone off water.

    Notice how flat the underside of the spacecraft is ...

  53. Re:The why (and some of the difficulties) of NERVA by Dr.+Zowie · · Score: 1
    Hey, whaddaya know -- you're right! Sorry to say, though, the Wiki is at least partially wrong on this point. The RTGs on (for example) Cassini get most of their energy from alpha decay of the Pu-238 on board, but a significant number of both spontaneous and induced fissions also occur. (Wiki seems to say that no fission is occurring, perhaps in a bid to soothe activist nerves). Also, a significant amount of the energy comes from subcritical multiplication -- a non-self-sustaining chain reaction. The neutron-absorption -> fission cross section for Pu-238 is pathetic (less than 10% the cross section for Pu-239, which is what goes into nuclear weapons). But it's nonzero, so a measurable amount of chain reaction is occuring.

    My mistake was in remembering subcritical multiplication being the dominant process when in fact it seems not to be for the RTG's we all know and love (the ones on Cassini).

    You can check the cross sections and decay rates at the online chart of the nuclides, hosted in South Korea. (Until recently, that was hosted at BNL; does anyone else find it ironic that the Koreans are now exporting nuclear information to Berkeley?

  54. TPS report by Apogaion · · Score: 2, Funny

    I wouldn't trust any Thermal Protection System until all the employees have submitted their TPS reports in triplicate.

    --
    This account verified sig-free since..., uh, never mind.
  55. If you read the site, you'll see it is Paul Allen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hmmm, no one apparently actually reads anymore..... A brief glance at the site makes it clear that Paul Allen is the financier.

  56. no pilot will fly a pink spaceship... by black_widow · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If you don't believe me, look at the x-15 x-15 in full ablative coatings. The pilots wouldn't fly it unless they put a painted on top of it...

  57. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by PudriK · · Score: 2, Informative

    You forgot to include the potential energy required to get from earth's surface to orbit.

    For LEO (200 km), circular orbit velocity is 7789 m/s. KE is 30.3 MJ. PE for 200 km altitude (from earth's surface to orbit) is 60.7 MJ. If you launch at the equator, prograde, then you gain 464 m/s, for an intial KE of 0.1 MJ.

    So total energy required to transport 1 kg to 200 km LEO from stationary at earth's equator, is 90.9 MJ.

    Of course, if you're burning the fuel along the way the energy requirement drops as mass decreases, and you also have to add in oxidizer mass, but I don't know the equations for that.

  58. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by PudriK · · Score: 1

    From what I've read, you can enter with almost any profile, as long as the vehicle is designed for it. The corridors are a function of the vehicle's limitations. Ballistic weapons enter using a ballistic profile, which has lower heating duration which is easily taken care of by ablative materials, but large G-forces. The capsules, Apollo and Soyuz, are close to ballistic, but generate some small lift, but again, it is mostly a short duration of heating and larger G-forces.

    The Shuttle uses a low-G entry, requiring it to spend much more time exposed to the reentry heating, this is why ablative materials were not used.

  59. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by Fzz · · Score: 1
    This design also uses the wing itself as a massive air brake

    This isn't quite correct. Here's a picture of SpaceShipOne feathered while descending. The fuselage is more or less parallel to the ground, with the wings and tail trailing above/behind to provide stability. I believe the wings are not used as an air brake but rather the fuselage is.

    This makes sense because it allows for a wing design that is much lighter than it would otherwise have to be, and hence they can make the ship into a pretty good glider (unlike for example the space shuttle or X15) for the same take-off weight.

  60. Re:The why (and some of the difficulties) of NERVA by TheHawke · · Score: 1

    NERVA/KIWI was a cute run, but was messy as I recall.. About the only way at the time to get a NERVA vehicle into orbit was to perch it on top of a Saturn V and kick it off into orbit. With the premature termination of Apollo/Saturn, NERVA became a victim of circumstances.
    Bring back the Saturn V and then we'll put NERVA back in business.

    --
    First rule of holes; When in one, stop digging.
  61. Re:The why (and some of the difficulties) of NERVA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Tell that to the bunch up in the Yukon that had a BES-5 drop on their heads from a failed apogee kick motor ignition.

  62. Rutan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Rutan isn't a brilliant designer. He is a brilliant marketer.

    In the 70's, he wants to make a canard (a plane with the tail in the front) because he like the shape. He did the VariEze, wich is not a very bad plane but was far behind other classic designs of the times like the lancair or the glasair in terms of performance (with the same engine) or in terms of mass, wich lead to cost in aeronautics. This is due to the shape.

    In the 80's, he did the world-around voyager. It's not an astounding piece of engineering, anyone could have done it, it's build light an fragile. It's more a piece of corones from the pilots (including his brother) who fly it: for example, it lost some parts on the takeoff, and they continue their trip however. It couldn't have been certified, and with a pretty big margin.

    He also did another canard, the beech starship, a twin turboprop for eight people. It was canceled after one billion dollars of investment, and if it have been done, it would have been largely inferior to concurents like the piaggio avanti.

    In the 90's, he done an assymetrical airplane, the boomerang. 500 million years of evolution tending to symetry doesn't bother him.

    And now, the spaceshipone. honestly, i thought he can done it, even win the x prize. i hope. he's not stupid. but don't think he's a genius.

    Hey slashdotters, doesn't this remind you of anything, someone who isn't very good at his stuff, but very smart in marketing, and is the leader?

    --
    Croco

  63. Who wants to bet... by waferhead · · Score: 1

    Scaled Composites succeeds, refuels, and turns it in 24 hours. Or perhaps even same day...

    I got $50 on Burt Rutan... As much as I respect Carmacks group, Rutan is the Man with his own private Skunkworks for decades, and does a lot of work for... Uh... Large Governments, with lots of guns.

  64. Re:The why (and some of the difficulties) of NERVA by lommer · · Score: 1

    According to wikipedia it was powered by an rtg. Now it's entirely possible that wikipedia is wrong, so if you can show me something credible that says otherwise I'll go change it...

  65. Just give the X-Prize money to them already! by bondjamesbond · · Score: 0

    They're the only ones with successful test flights already, right?

  66. Re:Already slashdotted by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where do you see 2+ hours?

    Flight 49L / 12G
    Date: 11 MAR 04 Flight Time: 1.3 hours / 18 mins 30 secs

    Reads like 1.3 hours with White Knight to altitude, then 18:30 falling from 48000ft (seems about right for a flying brick, 2600 fpm).

  67. SS1 At 100 km This Year by Long-EZ · · Score: 2, Insightful
    Burt Rutan and the Scaled Composites team will win the X-Prize. They are a lot closer than many /. pundits seem to believe. A lot of rocket test programs are scary because there can be no progressive testing. Test some subsystems, then put them together and "light the candle". The Scaled approach is more like an airplane test program, with a gradually expanding envelope. There is still work to be done, but they are very close.

    The rocket engine has been tested on the ground at full power for an entire burn. The boost phase on the previous flight was stopped to keep the test program progressing in incremental stages. Binnie could have just as easily kept going well past 100 km, but they're still wringing out the subsystems. The rocket engine works. It's a very clever and simple system that uses nitrous oxide as the oxidizer and rubber as the fuel. The rocket can be throttled by changing the flow rate of the liquid oxidizer. A low cost, safe and throttleable solid rocket booster is quite an achievement (but not invented at Scaled).

    To correct a couple of falacies in previous posts.... 100 km is the internationaly recognized limit for being an astronaut. Parabolic suborbital flights do not require heat shielding because they are much slower than orbital flights, not because they have less atmosphere to penetrate on reentry. Both are essentially in the vacuum of space.

    I like the Armadillo Aerospace research too, but it isn't going to win the X-Prize. I think they should have called their rocket engine the BFR-9000.

    And to the person who said the older Rutan aircraft designs are works of art, I'd have to agree. A picture of my Long-EZ is here.

    The X-Prize is going to change the way we look at space. No longer will a $1B shuttle launch be required. We will all have access to space. This is long over due. My appreciation to those who are making it happen. As always, all that is required is big dreams, intelligence and determination.

    --
    >> My ultraviolent Linux switch video.
    1. Re:SS1 At 100 km This Year by celerityfm · · Score: 1

      Wow I really loved your writeup and story of your Long-EZ, great stuff, thanks!

      --
      ...unfortunately no one can be told what The Mat^H^H^HGoatse is...they must experience it for themselves...
  68. Re:X Prize is impossible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    WTF does Rutan have to do with the gossamer planes? That was Paul McReady.

  69. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wouldn't it be easier to reach orbital speeds once ur mostly out of the atmosphere?

  70. Re:Heat shielding is minor compared to orbital cra by ThosLives · · Score: 1
    Check your exponents (meters to km): Potential energy to get to 200 km is only 1.9 MJ/kg. (slightly less than twice the 0.97 MJ/kg required to get to 100 km). (Quick rule of thumb: if gravity were constant, you need about 10 kJ/km/kg of altitude. 100 km = 1000 kJ/kg; 200 km = 2000 kJ/kg). Since 2 MJ << 32 MJ, I neglected it in my orbital calculation. In fact, since I overestimated orbital velocity to be 8000 m/s my original estimates are not that far off).

    You're 60.7 MJ/kg is actually for an altitude of ~200,000 km, not 200 km (gotta love those exponents!)

    Incidentally, 91 MJ/kg will get you well past escape (escape potential is only 62.5 MJ/kg).

    --
    "There are a dozen opinions on a matter until you know the truth. Then there is only one." - CS Lewis (paraprhase)
  71. What about XCOR by sadomikeyism · · Score: 1

    XCOR has applied as well, though they are being even more coy than Scaled with what they are doing with their Xerus vehicle.

    --
    "Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves
  72. Remember, NERVA was a prototype by Tau+Zero · · Score: 1
    Of course, one could always work on making the NERVA more lightweight -- but do you really want to optimize a nuclear reactor for mass, rather than safety? I didn't think so.
    Why not do both?

    Long ago I recall reading about a successor to NERVA, dubbed Dumbo (after the flying elephant). The limitations of NERVA were due to the design of the reactor (using reasonably standard fuel "pins" in a coolant/propellant) which gave it rather low limits for its rate of heat transfer and thus thrust. The idea of Dumbo was to redesign the fuel elements to be something like corrugated cardboard, with fissionable fuel in one half of the corrugations and open passages through the other halves. You'd have fuel elements composed of washers of some refractory, non-hydrogen-embrittling metal and Ruffles-style corrugated plates between them with the top half of the wavy plate full of fuel. The amount of surface area this would give you would be an order of magnitude or more above a standard design, so the potential heat transfer for a given delta-T would have more or less the same multiplier. Heat transfer translates directly to power level and to thrust. With modern machine welding, electrical-discharge machining and automated inspection I'll bet that such elements could be fabricated to a very high degree of isolation of fission products while keeping the performance near the theoretical limit.

    More recently, DoD was talking about a heavy-lift hybrid nuclear rocket using a pebble-bed reactor design and anhydrous ammonia propellant (which might dissociate under the heat, lowering the MW of the exhaust from 17 toward 8.5 and further boosting the impulse). To allay the concerns of the environmentalists, it would have been boosted by a conventional first stage and only brought critical once it was high enough to expel things above the atmosphere. I don't recall the application, it might have been pop-up laser stations for ballistic missile defense.

    We both know and can do a lot more now than we did then. If we really wanted to do it, we could do it. I have seen and walked around one of the NERVA nozzles, and I think it's a shame that such capability has never been put to use. The places we could have gone, the things we could have seen...

    What the hell are we waiting for?

    --
    Time is Nature's way of keeping everything from happening at once... the bitch.