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Task Force Finds Blackout Was Preventable

Shakrai writes "In what will probably be the last we hear of this subject CNN is carrying a story that states what we already suspected: the August blackout was preventable. One of the more interesting observations from this article is that this task force will remain active for the next year to push for their changes and improvements to be adopted. Does anyone think any change will come of this? If you lived in the Northeast US or Canada what were your memories of the August Blackout?" The full report is available at reports.energy.gov.

25 of 438 comments (clear)

  1. Always More Power... by deggy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why is it that we have this never ending need for more powerlines and more electricity rather than looking for alternatives with any real conviction?

    1. Re:Always More Power... by secolactico · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why is it that we have this never ending need for more powerlines and more electricity rather than looking for alternatives with any real conviction?

      What would the alternatives be? Household generated power? As long as your electricity is generated centrally (regardless of the source), you will always need powerlines. And as long as the population keeps growing, the demand for more power will require more powerlines.

      --
      No sig
    2. Re:Always More Power... by MoneyT · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Money. Plain and simple. It's still more money efficient to build more lines and more plants than to wait for or fund the science behind alternative energy. When science yields a cost effective solution and it gets mass produced, then we'll see a swtich.

      --
      T Money
      World Domination with a plastic spoon since 1984
    3. Re:Always More Power... by Type-R · · Score: 2, Insightful

      and translates it into energy lost in pumping the gas (natural gas? hydrogen gas? white gas?) to the home...

    4. Re:Always More Power... by geolane · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Households can purchase solar panels and more efficient appliances (dishwashers, clothes washer / drier, hot water heater, fridge, oven, air conditioning).

      Both will help reduce the amount of new powerlines required.

      In addition, laws can be passed requiring minimum efficiencies.

      There could be tax breaks given to companies that reduce their peak use (telecommuting / opening at night).

      None of these necessitate more powerlines.

      In addition, the blackout didn't happen 10 years ago.
      What has changed since then? Deregulation.

    5. Re:Always More Power... by uberdave · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What difference does that make? You should be modding the comment, not the person making it.

    6. Re:Always More Power... by ThisIsFred · · Score: 2, Insightful
      (long, get to the end before you flame)

      Households can purchase solar panels and more efficient appliances (dishwashers, clothes washer / drier, hot water heater, fridge, oven, air conditioning).

      I look into solar power every once in a while. As it stands, a typical suburban grid-addict like myself has almost no useful options. First off, those appliances you list form a tidy list of things that you can't run off of solar-panel charged batteries; High-current appliances really make the batteries work hard, and heat becomes an issue in the battery bank. Heaven forbid you try to run two of those appliances at once. As a matter of fact, google some solar-power forums and ask folks that use solar power about it. They'll probably say, "it's not worth (or is somewhat dangerous) draining the batteries for those appliancies, use LPG-powered ones instead." That adds a layer of complexity to maintaining the appliances, as well as the cost of fuel (and the fact that you'd have to give your current appliances the heave-ho).

      The second issue is the cost of the panels (and the location), wiring, batteries, and installation. I have less than a quarter acre of property, as do most of the people in my area. My neighbors would most likely lynch me if I stuck an array of panels out on the property. That leaves the roof, which would be the most expensive installation option. Even considering that, I don't get enough sun exposure per day to meet the power requirements of the lighting and smaller equipment in my house. I have to find a safe spot to place the battery banks, so I've lost a chunk of space in my basement. Even a modest set of panels, batteries and installation is going to total in the high end of a four-digit figure (USD). I priced a ~$4700 installation (before realizing that I couldn't legally do my own wiring). I'd only save about $20/month because my major appliances would still need to be on the grid. It would be nearly 20 years before I broke even on the cost, assuming (implausibly) that nothing needed replacement during that time.

      Third, the amount of maintenance (or the incovenience thereof) puts alternative power out of the reach of most folks. It's not like we hire our own linemen when the power lines need maintenance, it's all worked into the monthly rate. Alternative power is more expensive and a lot less convenient (you still have to be very mindful of your power consumption in a big installation). That's not a winning combination. Folks off the grid end up using alternate power sources like wind and water during to sun's "off months". Those are definitely not an option in urban/suburban areas, where consumption is highest. A few scattered rural alternative-power solutions aren't going to make a dent in the power consumption.

      Both will help reduce the amount of new powerlines required.

      Only if everyone on your street goes with alternative power sources. Doubtful, considering the downsides.

      In addition, laws can be passed requiring minimum efficiencies.

      Now you're talking. But the regulators are going to have to be careful. Sometimes these things have unintended consequences, like low-water-use dishwashers that force the owners to practically wash dishes by hard first, or high-efficiency air-conditioners that have to be run four times as long as a "less efficient" model to bring the room down to the same temperature.

      I think some sincere encouragement is the way to go first. For example: Compact fluorescent lightbulbs come in more styles now that ever before. They are instant-on, quiet, flicker-free, brighter than standard bulbs, and they last at least five times as long. People don't buy them. Why? Because they're penny-wise and pound-foolish. The super-twist bulbs may cost $5 as opposed to about 78 cents, but they use a quarter of the power. I just counted 15 bulbs that I replaced with super-twist fluorescent models. The bulbs have alre

      --
      Fred

      "A fool and his freedom are soon parted"
      -RMS
  2. Didn't they by Kethinov · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Didn't they say the same thing about 9/11? The human need to blame stuff on other stuff is unstoppable isn't it.

    --
    You're right, I wouldn't steal a car. But if it were possible, I sure as hell would download one!
  3. Everything is preventable... by Boss,+Pointy+Haired · · Score: 1, Insightful

    ...if you have 20:20 hindsight.

    1. Re:Everything is preventable... by timeOday · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Certainly. But I think what people really mean by "preventable" is that *reasonable foresight* would have precluded the incident.

  4. got me outside by Zeppelingb · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The blackout was one of the best excuses to get away from my computer for a few days. A bunch of us gathered outdoors, barbequed, and played beerpong by car light. Sometimes I think this is exactly what we need to get us back into the "real world".

  5. What were -my- memories?! by danuary · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I was lucky -- I live in NYC and got off the subway 10 minutes before the blackout. If I had missed that train I probably would have ended up having to walk out from the middle of one of the east river tunnels. 350,000 people were on the NYC subway when the blackout hit. That had to -suck-....

  6. Re:Economist Article by wilsonjd · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's very difficult to implement this when the prevaling attitude of most Americans is: "I need my electric power, but I don't want a power plant anywhere within 100 miles of my home."

  7. First they blamed CANADA by darthcamaro · · Score: 2, Insightful

    First they blamed CANADA then they reneged on that - then they said Ohio, and now the whole thing was 'preventable.'
    No shit it was preventable, we've got a 50 year old electric grid in desperate need of repair. Maybe some of the $87 Billion that going to rebuild Iraq's infrastructure could rebuild our electrical grid. The sad reality is that by the end of 2004, Iraq will have a more modern Power Grid than NYC and the whole golden horseshoe

  8. Blackout by Rotting · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The blackout, while annoying was made far worse by the media than it actually was. My power was out for more than 25 hours so I opted to read a book instead of bitch and complain. Perhaps others were affected in a manner worse than I, but I imagine there are others in this world that go through far worse every day.

    I agree the system has problems that need to be addressed as I do not know how long hospitals/fire/police can last on battery power but this really seems like the media wanted to drag it out too long again until the next big story came along.

  9. Always More Power... YOU BETCHA! by Saeed+al-Sahaf · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I take it you live on a commune, and run your computer on hampster and wind power? Fire up your heater with methane from your farm animal's shit, do you? Peddle to work on a bike? Use newspaper for toilet paper just to get maximum useage?

    Seriously, as a society we consume the amount of electricity we do because we demand the standard of living that we do. When you are ready to give up your computer / TV / radio / stereo / CD player / car / iPod (yes, your iPod will have to go!), then go ahead and harp all you want about energy consumption. Untill then...

    --
    "Who are in control, they are not in control of anything - they don't even control themselves!" - Glen Beck
  10. Should happen more. by Lord+of+Ironhand · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Since I live in the Netherlands, I didn't experience the blackdown this article is about. There was, however, a local blackdown here shortly before that, and it lasted 24 hours.

    My experience: Absolutely fantastic. People who are normally spending all day watching TV or behind a computer (yes, I'm guilty too) sat outside reading books, playing games, enjoying the sunset or taking a stroll through the forest.

    And the sight of an entire town lit by nothing but moonlight is not something I'll easily forget. I'm probably sounding like a whiny bastard, but that event made me seriously doubt whether all the technology we have today have actually made life better as we like to tell ourselves.

    1. Re:Should happen more. by diamondsw · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I also don't know about all of the technology making our lives better. However, I do believe two things are indisputable:

      1) Medicine. Any time I feel bad about technology's effects, I look at things like infant mortality, rates of disease, average lifespan. It's incredible what we've done there to improve the human condition.

      2) Communication. The sheer fact that we can communicate instantly, anywhere in the world, is amazing. This helps to expose us to so much more information and so many viewpoints. It allows cultures to connect in ways that were never before possible.

      I was going to say transportation as well (goods, services, people), but with the rapid spread of disease and pandemics, I'm not quite as sure of that.

      --
      I don't know what kind of crack I was on, but I suspect it was decaf.
  11. The question I haven't seen them address by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Why wasn't Quebec affected by the blackout?

    Quebec borders the blackout area and has it's electric grid integrated with the affected area, yet it was shielded from the failure. Ottawa, on the Ontario side, was in darkness while right beside it Hull, on the Quebec side, was unaffected.

    So the question is what did Hydro Quebec do better than the others? Or maybe the more pointed question is why did they do better than the others? Maybe the answer is with Quebec's government run utility.

  12. Preventable my ass by stratjakt · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Without government regulation, and reliability standards set by the feds, it'll happen again.

    Why would any corporation invest in equipment it might need, when it could just oversell what it has and pull a higher profit? Why would they run redundant transmission lines, or even retrofit the 50 year old ones if they aren't broken yet?

    When a natural disaster hits, what comes back online first? Your landline phones. That's if they even go out. I can't remember the last time there was a phone outage - ie; the whole city/block without phone service.

    The government, way back in the olden days, forced Ma Bell to meet a certain standard of reliability, and boo hoo if it means they spend more on infrastructure.

    --
    I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!!!!
  13. Preventable? Yes. Fixable? No. by shepd · · Score: 2, Insightful

    With our current liberal government insisting on cutting short Ontario's hydro supply (both nuclear and coal) (and at the same time raising rates), we're going to be screwed awfully quickly.

    Expect more. Much more from the next blackout.

    Remember Ontario: You elected the government you deserve.

    --
    If you could be told what you can see or read, then it follows that you could be told what to say or think - BoC
  14. memories? by Frag-A-Muffin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Actually, it was one of the most beautiful nights I've seen in Toronto, ON, Canada. :) I could actually see the stars, and it happened to be around the time when mars was nice and visible to the naked eye.

    In fact, I wish we didn't have so many lights on at night. I don't think we need all the lights that we do have on after the sun sets. I'd say we could do with half, it'll save a lot of energy and it'd be a lot more pleasant. Of course the flip side of this is safety. Would people feel as safe walking around downtown anymore? Probably not. Oh well. It was fun while it lasted.

    PS I live in downtown Toronto, and it's generally quite bright even at 3am.

    --

    AirSpeak - http://itunes.com/apps/AirSpeak
  15. Sure, everyone will remember the blackout... by Mastadex · · Score: 2, Insightful

    because in a short while, all the kids will start poppin' out...as scheduled, 9 months after august :)

    --
    A morning without coffee is like something without something else.
  16. Re:Memories? by re-Verse · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I live in Toronto, Canada. The largest city in Canada, and it was completely peaceful. In fact, people with generators threw parties down town, there were a few djs spinning outside of a record shop, hooked up to a generator... Japanese food and wood oven cooked stuff was everywhere, and there was a real sense of community. Neighborhoods came alive with communal barbeques, and you could see the milky way so clearly at night. There was a real sense of beauty to everything. I brought water to the elderly women on the floor of the highrise i was in, and when the power came back, they brought me endless dishes of delicious indian food. Its one of my fondest memories of this city. So much that I've heard more than a few people wish we could have a "blackout night" once a month in the nicer summer months.. to erase our technology and embrace human culture, and nature, if only for a little while. I didn't even really think about my computer while the power was out, and I usually live on it. I know there was a lot of damage and harm from all of it, but a lot of us experienced something beautiful.

  17. Re:Fruits of reckless privatization by Orne · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Your fears are born of ignorance; have no worry.

    Environmental Issues are not self-regulated; "fortunately" (tongue-in-cheek) we have the government to police it for us. Bulk power generators are very regulated on emissions, even to the point that generators will take outages for "opacity" indicating they have reached their "pollution credit" limit and can't generate electricity anymore.

    Market Monitoring, however, is self-regulating, and so far has proven to be a critical source of improvement. They are tasked with finding market power issues, and defusing them so noone has unfair advantages over any other players. For the east coast players, PJM, NYISO, ISO-NE... California ISO used to have one, until they dismantled their market, not sure what happened to it. S.E.Trans (~4 states in SouthEast) agreements fell apart. ERCOT (Texas) is pretty well along (I seem to recall a market overhaul brought on by recommendations on local pricing), and MISO was going to start a market, but after the blackout decided to delay theirs... and the rest of the country is barely ready to de-regulate.

    I fear more about the regulated utilities, because they operate in a closed fashion, socializing the cost of their problems over all their customers, and preventing outside entities from building improvements in their systems...