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de Icaza: Rest of World Will Force US Into Linux

Eugenia writes "OSNews had an interesting discussion with Miguel de Icaza about all things Linux and Novell. Miguel talked about the general patent problem and how this will become the one single stumbling block of widespread adoption of Linux in USA, while he asserts that Longhorn uses some 'new' technologies already found on Gnome and elsewhere. Miguel believes that poor countries will be the first that will adopt widely Linux, and as long the EU won't adopt a similar system to US for patents, Europe will follow soon after, leaving no option to USA but to eventually adopt Linux as well in the long run (despite potential patent problems). Another strategy Miguel discussed was about moving as many F/OSS applications as possible to Windows in order to familiarize the casual users with open source. Among many other interesting tidbits he also mentions that Quark is now using Mono on Mac OS X." Of course, the EU not adopting software patents seems to be less and less likely.

16 of 786 comments (clear)

  1. Maybe Not... by dre80 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well, that's a nice idea and all, and the initial logic seems to follow, but... will the US actually follow suit? The US isn't exactly known for following the rest of the world. Think of the metric system, for one...

    1. Re:Maybe Not... by OECD · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The US isn't exactly known for following the rest of the world. Think of the metric system, for one...

      Well, the metric system has made inroads here. It's patchy--you buy liters of Pepsi, but gallons of milk. In certain occupations, though, it's the lingua franca.

      Linux adoption will probably be equivalent. It'll be here-and-there, except in areas where it's omnipresent. And that's a good thing, as it avoids a software monoculture.

      --
      One man's -1 Flamebait is another man's +5 Funny.
    2. Re:Maybe Not... by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 5, Funny

      In certain occupations, though, it's the lingua franca.

      Didn't some comedian say that the two major successes of the metric system in the US were the 9mm bullet and the kilo of coke?

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
  2. EU software patents. by Moderation+abuser · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Note: The European elections are due in a month or so, so contact your MEPs to ask why they exist if the parliament can be bypassed like this.

    --
    Government of the people, by corporate executives, for corporate profits.
  3. Re:it's up to everyone else, not us... by bigchris · · Score: 5, Informative

    Wrong. As has been pointed out oh-so-many times, not even Microsoft can open their own documents in different versions of Word in the same way. So close enough is good enough for most users.

  4. Re:A great idea by pubjames · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Absolutely.

    In the good fight with Microsoft, we must use every advantage we have. Coverting OSS packages to work on windows is a killer because Microsoft can't do it without aiding us! If we have applications that work across a variety of platforms, then we have a selling point that Microsoft doesn't. However, if they tried to do the same thing - for instance, porting Office to Linx - that would only benefit us anyway. So it's win/win for us and lose/lose for MS.

  5. Russia and China by thodu · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Two countries that simply refuse to be bullied by anybody. Watch out for Linux development heading eastwards - patents or no patents. China, as we have seen went out of their way to develop an alternative DVD standard just to get around patent crap. And they almost went their own way on WiFi too. I wonder what the terms of settlement between Intel and China amounts too. Japan too, for their consumer electronics industry adopting Linux in a big way. NTT DoCoMo's reference platform for the next generation phones is based on Linux.

  6. All that needs to happen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Is for the big important games to start coming out for Linux instead of Windows.

    Of course, while the U.S. sucks for console games, it rules the PC game market. So I don't know how likely it is for games to be a way for the world to force the U.S. into OS compliance...

    Also if De Icaza gets his way this won't happen.. since Icaza's glorified-Wine mono project is more likely to lead to crossplatform games than linux-only ones...

    -- Super Ugly Ultraman

  7. The Third World by aynrandfan · · Score: 5, Insightful

    From the article:

    Poor countries don't have the money to buy and maintain Windows; this is where open source software is becoming a real and powerful alternative," he said.

    OK, but if they are too poor to maintain Windows, doesn't that also mean that they are that much more open to pressures and special "deals" (to ensure lock-in) from Microsoft?

    --

    ----

    "Ours was a free culture. It is becoming much less so."-Lawrence Lessig

  8. *** marker *** by dash2 · · Score: 5, Funny

    This is an (un)official Slashdot repetition marker. Any further posts on the Lame Ass Metric System Analogy (LAMSA) are now Redundant, and their posters may be spanked with a metric ruler.

    Posts utilizing the LAMSA _above_ this marker may also be moderated Redundant, but you may not beat the poster for more than forty five minutes at one sitting. Thank you. Have a nice day.

  9. Cross-Platform by brolewis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think its good to see a leading F/OSS developer saying there needs to be F/OSS software made available on Windows. I am a developer that releases software under the GPL and try to make all of my software cross-platform. I believe that F/OSS developers needs to get out of the Linux bubble and realize that there are other platforms which are hungry for the software. I think that cross-platform is the next logical step for developers. I want to be able to use the same software at work (SolarisOS), home (WindowsXP), and develop environment (Linux).

    --
    A little learning never hurt anyone.
  10. Do not underestimate the EU by brunes69 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The EU is becoming more and more unified every year, and the economy of Europe is quickly becoming simmilar to the economy of the US, where you can compare a European country to a US state.

    United States:

    Total GDP (2002) - 10.4 Trillion $

    GDP/head - $37,600

    Ranked 1st (countries)

    European Union:

    Total GDP (2002) - 9.61 Trillion

    GDP/head - 21,125

    Ranked 1st if counted as a single country

    Europe is coming up fast... not to mention China and India. The days of the US as the economic superpoer of the wolrd are numbered by just abount any metric you use.

  11. Yes and No by Rick.C · · Score: 5, Insightful
    My first reaction to this was, "Look at past 'standards' that have not swayed the entrenched users."

    Metric vs. SAE
    240V 50Hx vs. 120V 60Hz
    Drive on left vs. drive on right side of the road
    EBCDIC vs. ASCII (IBM vs. everyone else)
    ... and a lot of other things

    But then this weekend something happened that changed my mind on the future of Linux. I downloaded Knoppix 3.4 and stuck the CD in a friend's WinXP box with a failing HD. WinXP wouldn't boot. Knoppix "just worked". It auto-configured all the hardware (a Dell 4550 series P4) and allowed me to back up most of this person's data to a CDR.

    This is the kind of thing that will make people take notice of Linux. They want a car that they can turn the key and drive away. People don't want a car that needs to have the engine tuned before they can drive it off the lot. Or one that they actually have to read the owner's manual.

    They want an computer that auto-configures and is intuitively obvious to use. Knoppix 3.4 is a step in that direction.
    --
    You were 80% angel, 10% demon. The rest was hard to explain. - Over The Rhine
    "Math in a song is good."-Linford
  12. Does it matter? by squiggleslash · · Score: 5, Interesting
    If by the time GNU/Linux is adopted throughout the world (assuming that happens), it's just a poor clone of Windows, will it matter if the US adopts it?

    And does anyone actually want a monopoly operating system? I know I don't.

    There are two or three agendas in the FOSS movements which can be summarized thusly:

    • "Why? What are we going to do tomorrow Brain?" "Same thing we do every night Pinky... try to take over the world!" Microsoft, goes the argument, is eeeeeeevil. We must topple it at all costs. While it may or may not be true, there's an element of 1918 here, toppling a cruel and dictatorial czar and not caring what the regime is that replaces it.

      Above all, the regime being proposed is frequently the worst of all worlds. People who hold this view tend to argue that Windows needs to be replaced with a version of GNU/Linux that looks like Windows. But a version of GNU/Linux designed to be as similar to Windows as possible to an end user is going to be dysfunctional by definition. GNU/Linux isn't Windows, it shares few of the same concepts, the solutions Microsoft came up with for interfacing the underlying OS with the user are unlikely to be relevent to GNU/Linux and rarely are in practice. And Windows is simply not a good example of a user friendly operating system, unless you're talking about the original version of Windows 95, which at the time was "pure", it hadn't been hacked to try to push certain competing middleware out of the market. And do you really want to switch to Windows 95 today? GEM and Mac OS System 6 were user friendly too, would you like to clone either?

    • "Freedom!" - Proprietary software is eeeevil, we must topple it at all costs, toppling dictators whereever we might find them even at immense cost to ourselves.

      There's some legitimacy to this view, but again it has a tendency to be undermined by its own supporters who frequently assert that, as a starting point, you need to clone whatever's already there. Again, the Pinky and the Brain scenario springs to mind here, with the more vocal supporters being in favour of a dysfunctional system "because it's what users know." In fairness, most also argue that free software, by its very nature, improves choice because if you don't like the way something works, you can modify it. However, it's not "free software" that's taken hold so much as "open source", where programmers across the world collaborate. This is both a strength and an Achile's Heel, because just as Microsoft and other proprietary vendors cannot keep up with such a freight train, neither can most ordinary users who'd like their software to work with a better paradigm.

    • "Choice" - The problem isn't Microsoft, it's Windows. If Windows was what we wanted, we wouldn't be so hostile to it.

      This is the only one of the three scenarios that has immediate and obvious benefits to end users. A view based on choice works best when people create Free Software, when programmers try to do original things, and when people try new things.

    My problem is I see too many people who see GNU/Linux as a chance to create an alternative Windows. And I don't see how anyone really benefits from that. We replace one monopoly with another, that monopoly might be less "evil", but we don't even know that. What we do know is that an inappropriate clone of someone else's work isn't likely to be as good as the original. And many, many, of us do not like the original.

    Personally, I love free software. Given the choice, however, between One (Supported) Free Operating System (the "Supported" is important), an Operating System whose design choices have made me dislike it intensely, and a miriad of supported proprietary systems, at least one of which works in the way I prefer, I have to go with the Devil and chose the latter. It's not Microsoft I dislike, it's their operating system and the dull grey rock of monoculture. Changing who owns that rock doesn't make things much better.

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  13. Re:Evolution Win32 (Slightly OT) by MooCows · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I've been trying to get them off Outlook/OExpress for ages (for safety purposes) but most refused to go to Thunderbird as it was "too different"

    Exactly the same problem here.

    I've tried to get our administrative staff to switch to Thunderbird.
    Really just for safety reasons. (because our email addresses are in many attachment-clicking-OE-users' addressbooks, and it takes only one non-attachment OE-exploit to infect our staff's computers)

    However after a week they told me in unanimity they wanted to switch back to OE.
    Naturally, I asked: Why? Doesn't Thunderbird do everything OE does too? (and better, like filtering and searching)
    They answered: Well, yes that's true, but it's still different!

    So grudingly I had to switch them back.

    Moral of the story: We need a better Outlook skin for Thunderbird. :P

    --
    The path I walk alone is endlessly long.
    30 minutes by bike, 15 by bus.
  14. Re:The European Union is not "Europe" by ErroneousBee · · Score: 5, Interesting

    There is a very good chance the UK will withdraw from the EU after the referendum. There is an unholy alliance of little englanders, anti-immigration parties, free-marketeers, beaurocracy haters, democracy lovers, and now software developers. Straw polls indicate 60% of the population will reject the new constitution.

    I wouldnt be suprised if Denmark breaks away too, possibly taking the rest if Scandinavia with it.

    Germanic cultures will then find itself isolated with Latin countries to the West, poor ex-communist states to the west, and independant states to the north and south. Cant imagine Germany will hang around when its having to bankroll everyone elses peasant economy.

    After that, I think its Britain's turn to invade France. Or maybe Germany's, its hard to keep track these days.

    --
    **TODO** Steal someone elses sig.