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Red Hat Vs. The Lawyers
ajs writes "On July 13, Red Hat announced that they would be re-stating their revenues for the last 3 years. This sent a shock-wave through their stock price, but early analysis seems to indicate that it's not that big a deal (the end-result is the same for a given contract, but it will be counted toward a different month). But then the really bad news hit. [Opportunistic lawyers] are taking this opportunity to punish Red Hat for reporting the change and the resulting drop in price. Red Hat is doing well, but can they weather major class action law suits without harming the business? How have other technology companies dealt with this sort of suit?"
From reading the submission blurb it seems that those impeccable white knights on horse just made a mathematical error (must've been using an older kernel) and the resulting slump is pure emotion by the investors.
Well, it's not. RedHat's Q4 2003 earnings are now $0.02 instead of $0.03 which is either a 33% or 50% reduction, depending on which way you count, and the stock fall represents just portion of that.
Also, even after fall, Red Hat trades at 133 P/E, which is way overvalued even for this sector (MSFT, for example, is at 40.59).
People don't like to be lied by management when they invest their money into the company, and people will launch lawsuits when they deem something inappropriate had been done.
Huh? Reports are that SCO is being investigated by the SEC...
See This story on Newsforge for some info about it, reported back in March...
Insanity is a gradual process; don't rush it.
This isn't the typical "ooops, we recognized all the revenue of that 5-year contract this quarter" shin-an-igans that you typically read about - this isn't that huge of change - as referenced in the article, take a look at the restatement table and the net income/loss per share hardly changes.
Hulk SMASH Celiac Disease
umm... did you read the article? they are being responcable and the changes being made are the way they are counting some types of revenue. all the are doing is counting is daily instead of weekly/monthly ect. The reason newsworthy and was reported to the shareholders is because it gives insight into thier acounting practices and it is thier responcability to justify any changes to the apropriate officials including sharholders.
To put this in a more simple way, this is like you having a lemonade stand and counting your sales every week or month and then deciding to count them daily. the end result is the samer in the acounting proccess but now you have more of an insight into your daily operations.
If microsoft or SCO was doing somethign like this, of course there would be some scepticizm on the motives but the end result would be the same. "it is nothing". I would also bet that the only reason the SEC is even interested in this is to cover thier own asses if somethign turns wrong later. Lets wait for somethign actually bad to come out of thier investigations before we start trolling. Well i guess troll is to strong of a word for your comment. Somethign like quick to show you didn't RTFA or understand it is more reasonable. Besides the lawsuite is by lawers claiming to represent shareholders causing the problems in question, not the SEC. It would be interesting to find out how many sharholders actually feel they have been wronged by a proceedural change the has the exact saem end result. It will be even more interesting to find out the reasoning behind any legitamit judge not throwing the case out based on it merrit.
Unless somethign is being said or done here that isn't in the article or any of the coresponing article at redhats site, i don't see it gaining any traction. But then i'm not a lawer so i wouldn't know how to suite a companie for doing somethign by the books as the law states (ie.. reporting a change in the way they do thier acounting) especially when the change doesn't really change anythign as far as thier statments are concerned.
If you have yum. I swear to god... I did a fresh install, pointed yum at the appropriate mirror, and did a dist-upgrade. The only thing it didn't fix was the /etc/redhat-release still being used in the /etc/issue* banners.
THIS THING CAN TURN ON A DIME, MACROSSZERO STYLE ALSO FUCK BETA, ~NYORON
Yes some red hat 'fans' left but I monitor 3 of fedora's lists and I can tell you there is no shortage of suse/mandrake and a few Debian converts. After the initial "red hat shot my dog" emotional rants people settled down about the whole thing. Check out distrowatch Fedora has 1100 hits per day, second most popular distro behind Mandrake and It's only 9 months old; that's not exactly what I call 'abandon ship' everyone seems to be saying.
-- "of course thats just my opinion, I could be wrong." --Dennis Miller
Uhm, did you even read the article? They didn't lie about their earnings. Their overall earnings remain constant. Whats changing is when they are counting their income on individual subscriptions. Instead of it being agregated monthly it's going to be amortised over the life of the contract on a daily basis so that it matches up with the losses incurred for the contract. The previouse methodology was in no way weird, non standerd nor sneaky. This way is just better.
Realities just a bunch of bits.