Slashdot Mirror


SpaceShipOne and Wild Fire to Go For the Gold

Fizzleboink writes "Space.com reports that with the upcoming January 1, 2005 deadline for the $10 million Ansari X Prize, Rutan and his team have given their official 60 day notice. Brian Feeney, leader of the Canadian da Vinci Project also reported today that his team is rolling out on August 5 with the balloon-lofted Wild Fire rocket."

18 of 281 comments (clear)

  1. I'll put my money on Burt Rutan. by MtViewGuy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Mostly because the White Knight/SpaceShipOne combination has demonstrated it can fly to 100 km altitude, even though the last flight wasn't perfect.

    Meanwhile, the da Vinci project has yet to prove it can fly to 100 km altitude with its final flight hardware; they probably need to do a couple of test flights before attempting to win the X-Prize.

  2. And James van Allen doesn't get it. by chill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Re-reading the earlier article about James van Allen questioning the validity of human spaceflight, it struck me that his only argument was about scientific knowledge and research.

    No mention of capitalistic exploit, such as mining of minerals; low-G manufacturing; etc.

    He's probably right as far as it goes, but I don't think any of the teams competing for the X-Prize have scientific research as their primary goal.

    If nothing else, just seeing the variety of launch vechile styles and different approaches to the same basic problem is worth the effort.

    --
    Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
    1. Re:And James van Allen doesn't get it. by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Or for that matter, population pressure. The way livable real estate is going on earth, within the next five centuries for sure and maybe even after just one century, land will be so expensive that it will be a good deal to put bubble cities on Mars to exile people to.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    2. Re:And James van Allen doesn't get it. by Christopher+Chang · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't buy the population pressure rationale. It will be cheaper to build underground cities than to build space bubbles on Mars.

    3. Re:And James van Allen doesn't get it. by jcr · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Think two hours from NYC to Sydney or Tokyo, compared to 17+ by passenger jet. It's a niche market, but there are people that travel very long distances like that who would like to be able to do it much faster, and are willing to pay a lot for the ability.

      It's not as small a niche as you think. Picture a factory that's down at a cost of $1M/hour, waiting for a technician to arrive and fix a critical piece of equipment. $10K for the ride? No problem!

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    4. Re:And James van Allen doesn't get it. by AuMatar · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm not so sure its niche. If I could fly to europe in 2 hrs, I could make it a weekend trip. As it is now, it'd have to be a week vacation. I'd definitely be buying some tickets.

      --
      I still have more fans than freaks. WTF is wrong with you people?
    5. Re:And James van Allen doesn't get it. by geomon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      ...low-G manufacturing...

      More budget-bloating propaganda from your friends at NASA.

      No one has ever shown the viability, or the necessity, of low-G manufacturing.

      Search the American Physical Society for the "What's New" newsletter archives. Bob Park and other renown scientists can give you plenty to chew on regarding the utility of low-G manufacturing.

      --
      "Rocky Rococo, at your cervix!"
    6. Re:And James van Allen doesn't get it. by mforbes · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That population isn't evenly distributed. Places like India and China are intensely crowded already, while vast areas of Canada, the US, and Russia are sparesely settled if at all. Additionally, if not for immigration then the population of the US would actually be declining. China's population still has a while to go before theirs starts to decline-- gotta wait for the elderly to start dying in droves. India's, I have no idea what the growth rate (current or projected) looks like. Unless a better treatment for AIDS is found in the next couple of decades, Africa stands to lose a LOT of population.

      The end result will be that some areas of the world, just like today, suffer from incredible population pressure; while others barely support anyone at all.

      The problem isn't leibenschraum (apologies to German readers if I spelled that wrong). It's scarcity of resources.

      Think about all the metals available in just one small asteroid, if only we had the technology to get there, bring it home, and mine it.

      --

      Allegedly real newspaper headline from 1998:
      Man Struck by Lightning Faces Battery Charge

    7. Re:And James van Allen doesn't get it. by mrchaotica · · Score: 2, Insightful
      if the lack of water doesn't get you, the winters will.
      What, and you think MARS is better?!
      --

      "[Regarding the 'cloud,'] ownership was what made America different than Russia." -- Woz

    8. Re:And James van Allen doesn't get it. by leeward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Don't take it personally, but I am always amazed when I hear someone say something like this. And that is entirely too often. I can only assume that a person who says this is a "city boy", who thinks that food comes from a store, and water comes from a faucet, and gas comes from a gas station, and electricity comes from a power outlet...

      I'm not real sure what your definition of "livable" is, but I think you will find that the environment will undergo total collapse long before all that space is filled with people.

  3. Re:Canadian Content by Pi_0's+don't+shower · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There's very little new information available from their website Da Vinci, but you can always look to the X-prize site for information about the teams. I personally think that the development of many different ways of reaching your goal is the best way to go -- facilitating as much development of future technology as possible! (Which is probably the whole point of this anyway.)

  4. Re:What the Devil is Bezos up to? by cmowire · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You do realize that lifters are absolutely useless for real space travel. Electrogravitic? No, just Ion Wind -- same thing as the Sharper Image Ionic Breeze, which also doesn't work as well as the designers claim. ;)

    You are laboring under the misassumption that all of the space activity is solely built around solving the prize. In fact, the prize is only the first step. The real prize is building a company that operates spaceflight JetBlue-style and/or builds the craft. Bezos is a little late to the game for an X-prize run, so if he doesn't give up partway through, I doubt anybody will know much substantial for another few years.

  5. Re:Is this supposed to be a new form of mass trans by AKAImBatman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    No, it's not supposed to be a new form of transit. It's a new form of developing space hardware in the private sector. Early NASA and USSR flights focused on putting a man up high enough, then bringing him back down. That allowed them to test airframe, recovery methods, and engines without jumping straight to building a Saturn V. The knowledge gained from these flights was then used to put Yuri Gugarin (sp?) and John Glenn into actual orbit.

    The point of the 100km flight is to reproduce much of that research. If we end up with 10 engines that can make the altitude, then at least some of those engines and airframes may be scalable to orbital flight. Even if they aren't, certain points in their design may be useful in designing cheaper and better airframes and engines.

  6. Wrong Wrong Wrong by Thinkit4 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You host consciousness just as the thalamus does, but on silicon instead of carbon. Its consciousness hosted on a computer, not a conscious computer.

    --
    -I am an elective eunuch.
  7. Re:Interesting Numbers by Coryoth · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You do realize that, as far as designing reusable space faring vehicles goes, $20 million is practically nothing and qualifies as a "true 'backyard' effort" as far as the aerospace industry is concerned?

    I agree that it would be nice to see the Da Vinci Project do well, but as it stands it's pretty much untested. It's worth noting that Scaled was doing test flights over a year ago. Da Vinci could work, but I have yet to be convinced. It will certainly be interesting to see how it pans out.

    Don't write Scaled off just because they have some cash behind them - in aerospace terms they have hardly any cash behind them (it costs way more just to buy a 747 than they've spent on the entire design, construction and testing of their project so far).

    Jedidiah.

  8. Re:Host humans on computers first. by 0123456 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Penrose is just a carbon chauvinist. A century from now our silicon-based overlords will be reading his books and having a good laugh at how stupid their carbon-based ancestors were.

  9. Yes of course you re-compress by Corpus_Callosum · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And you just dropped a 7200 lb rocket. Size of the compressor is not an issue.

    Venting the helium isn't a big deal either, btw: It's not like Helium is rare or anything.

    --
    The reason that it can be true that 1+1 > 2 is that very peculiar nonzero value of the + operator
  10. Re:Canadian Content by peacefinder · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Um, Rutan's dumb choice of oxidizer means that he [...] could never scale it up to orbital flight.

    Who said he wants to scale it up that far?

    Whe Rutan builds a specialized craft, it tends to be excellent at what he designed it for, and pretty much useless for anything else. For instance, Voyager went around the world on one tank of fuel, but you don't see FedEx trying to modify the design for long-distance cargo delivery, do you?

    SS1 is meant to win the X-Prize and demonstrate safe, shirtsleeve suborbital flight. Afterwords, the design might possibly be produced as a suborbital tourism vehicle. (I think that's likely.) But the evidence suggests that the design was never intended to see orbit. It doesn't have the heat shielding required for re-entry, it can't attain anything like the necessary speed, and it probably lacks sufficient life-support, too. It doesn't need that stuff to do its suborbital job, and that's why it doesn't have it.

    Rutan chose a good propulsion tool for the job he wanted SS1 to do. The hybrid rocket does its job, and does it safely. If Rutan decides to do something different (like go to orbit) I expect we'll see him roll out an entirely new craft with a different propulsion system.

    Calling his choice of oxidizer dumb is not helpful to your credibility.

    --
    With reasonable men I will reason; with humane men I will plead; but to tyrants I will give no quarter. -- William Lloyd