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Linux Market: Absolutes / Percentages / Trends

vincecate writes "In their 10-K filing, Microsoft says that Linux server units rose slightly faster on an absolute basis than Windows server units in fiscal 2004. To project the trends it is helpful to look at the percentages. Some Gartner Inc. statistics report Linux server unit shipments are up 61% giving it 9.5% of the overall market share. Windows has a much larger base, so it can get the same absolute unit growth with a much lower percentage. Gartner expects Linux to continue growing faster and have more than 1/2 of the new server shipment market by the end of 2008."

31 of 233 comments (clear)

  1. Fast typist? Or prewritten? by DrInequality · · Score: 1, Insightful
    So early in the thread (6 posts), this smells like a pre-composed rant. Move along, nothing new here.

    (Even if he is a subscriber, that's an impressive typing speed with very few errors.)

  2. lies, damn lies and... by gregski · · Score: 5, Insightful

    i'm not really sure how important linux server shipment numbers are. Many copies will be installed on multiple machines or just downloaded for free.

    however it does show continual growth as a general indicater that linux is well accepted in the industry. i know my recent workplace was mostly windows on the desktop but had quite a few linux servers.

    --
    I have never let my schooling interfere with my education. - Mark Twain
    1. Re:lies, damn lies and... by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 4, Insightful
      The corporate world isn't geeks and freaks installing linux. You buy a whole system that includes hardware, software, and support. When the machine breaks, you don't start playing with .conf files and testing it, you call the manufacturer and they fix it, or tell you how. You wank with the machine, and it'll void your warranty.

      I know, it's a long way from downloading ISO's from bittorrent. But the business world does things differently (surprise).

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    2. Re:lies, damn lies and... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "But the business world does things differently (surprise). "

      No it isn't when you are the one providing the support for the box, then you prefer to install something which is low on maintenance and by this good for profit. As long as all desired functionality is preserved most people who already have taken the step to hire IT muscle don't bother what they run just that it runs.
      Ofcourse there is preference for a brand but thats way beaten by good price over performance/functionality.

      Heck when was the last time (inspired by pp name) a company exclusivly wanting a DNS server running on windows?

    3. Re:lies, damn lies and... by avdp · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Really? Because I work for a fortune 500 (not a software company) and we do just that: download the ISO and install it on whatever the HP servers come preloaded with. We have in-house experts in all operating systems we use, and to my knowledge never rely on the vendor for anything but hardware failures (and even then, we usually have the spares on hand, and do the replacement ourselves). We will buy support contracts for things like Oracle databases, but even there, we have an excellent DBA staff which is pretty self reliant.

      I think you're attempting to project the way your company works to the rest of the corporate world... Not every company hires phone operators instead of IT staff.

    4. Re:lies, damn lies and... by Thinman · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm Not sure about Enterprise as they alwas want something liable they buy supported servers.
      OTOH small bussines/Home offices ans some brave people use downloaded Linux. The question is which side is bigger than the other.....

      Any way, it's a good news for the community (e.g. Linux, FOSS, GNU).

  3. Re:I like linux by drmancini · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I appreciate you sharing your problems with us and all, but your entire post is entirely offtopic. Having read it though ... I must say that you know next to nothing about the organisation of OSS projects. It's not all about geeks with pimples playing slaves for IBM ... theres' more ... i'll leave you to discover it for yourself though ...

    --

    Never underestimate the power of idiots in large groups
  4. Re:Fast typist? Or prewritten? by lurvdrum · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Lifted directly off www.linuxsucks.org. Troll.

  5. Re:I like linux by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Some of us aren't shady recluses with no other goals in life other than to understand every little thing about computers.

    No, some of us are paid shills and astroturfers, aren't we.

  6. Re:I like linux by dJOEK · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Boy, you are just trapped inbetween college and corporate ...

    On one hand you bash the corporate linuxes, and in the same breath you judge the 'GNU assholes'

    oh and, try working in a corporate environment.
    And read up on the Software lifecycle, development is just a fraction of the cost. $400 for RedHat buys you a whole lot more than just the free software.

    But then again, why should you, you're an excellent software engineer.

    --
    Exercise caution when modding this message up: the author acts like a jerk when his karma is excellent.
  7. Re:I like linux by McCall · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This has got to be a troll, but some points are just plain stupid..

    "have a root password since it was a single user machine" - This is totally normal, every version of Windows since NT has had this. Your probably confused because most peoples home Windows machine logs in with the administrator account. Most linux distro's can log straight into your user account from boot now too, IIRC RedHat 8 allowed this.

    "X Windows loaded up and I was in Linux" - This statement just proves you know nothing about Linux or UNIX in general.

    "CD ROM icon...where was it? Apparently I had to mount it manually" - IIRC RedHat 8 came by default with amd running, so I am starting to think you never actually intalled RedHat 8.

    "it wants the stupid root password again" - BTW you better get used to this, Windows 2003 and above tries to enforce good administrator procedures by getting users to log into their own account, then "Run as..." administrator.

    I am amazed that someone who has "studied the Linux kernel in depth" actually gave up on installing a distro because the automatic detection of the sound card didn't work.

    "even though its autoupdate some how corrupted my kernel and I had to overwrite it" - Didn't your studying help solve this problem?

    "I'm an excellent software engineer" - oh boy... I need to laugh... someone carry on for me please!!

    Ahem... /me wipes a tear from his eye...

  8. Surprised? No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why are we always shocked to hear that Microsoft might be losing market share to competitor X. When you have such a large segment of any market, you are bound at some point to see your lead eroded away.

    Regardless of whether or not you love or hate Microsoft/ Linux, the fact remains that both serve a different purpose at the corporate level. While Linux still leads as the most popular platform for hosting websites, Microsoft's IIS leads in intranet sites for most major companies.

    There is a place in the market for both Microsoft and Linux -- Microsoft's biggest problem is IBM and others push of Linux to the masses. Without heavy licensing fees, and with IBM's focus on small business consulting, they can easily modify Linux to suit individual companies wants and desires. This customization, currently, is not a key part of the Windows system. That is what direction, IMO, Microsoft should look in taking itself to compete.

    (For the record, the offering of the new stripped down version of XP to many developing nations is one example of truely targetting your market).

  9. Re:sales for the quarter crosses $1 billion ! by po8 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Keep in mind that the servers shipped running Linux may be a miniscule fraction of the total Linux servers deployed or being deployed at this point. Presumably one reason for the relative growth of Linux preloads vs Windows preloads will be more competitive prices of Linux preloads and a decline in Windows unloads.

    (BTW, when you directly quote an article, it is a good idea to use quotation marks. Otherwise people might think the text was yours.)

  10. I know the parent is flamebait but... by One+Childish+N00b · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...I'll bite anyway...

    I see this sort of opinion piece a lot, and can't help thinking I must have been extraordinarily lucky with my Linux installs - I can honestly say I've had more trouble configuring a Windows installation correctly than I have a Linux one, and the most complex thing I've had to do to get my CD-ROMs working correctly was create a link to it via the KDE desktop context menu - Before I worked that out (right-click should have been my first option, but no, I felt techy) I did it by creating a link to do 'mount -t iso9660 /dev/cdrom /mnt cdrom | konqueror /mnt/cdrom' - far more hassle than it would have been had I not had a techy moment, but certainly not complex - nowhere near as complex as trying to get my (network card/graphics card/soundcard - choose one) working under almost every Windows version I've used (from Win98 to Server 2003).

    So have I just been lucky and (honestly - Linux gurus, try to think from the perspective of a total newbie like I was) Linux is far from complicated and this guy is just trolling? I'm surprised by the amount of Linux horror stories out there, as I dived straight into Debian without almost any prior Linux knowledge (2hrs on RedHat on a friend's system) and have only managed to wreck things twice (I once nuked my graphics drivers trying an update from CVS and it didn't work at all well - X refused to start, and much poking around with the command-line brought it back to life - I was quite impressed as that was a lot deeper into the CLI than I had been before, and the other time was when I loaded a corrupt theme that managed to nuke my KDE - going in as root to the directory and 'rm -rf .kde*'-ing solved it - thank you Google!). So am I alone in finding all these horror stories about hideously complex interfaces and disasterously misplaced 'rm -rf' commands? I don't think I'm the only one.

    The point about Mandrake is well-founded - I didn't try it out until after I had aquired technical knowledge from curiousity making me poke around in Debian and I just found it extremely limiting - can't log in as root? that would have fucked me right up if I'd nuked my KDE like I did with Debian - I'd be left with no way to fix it on my single-user-and-root system, but Linux in itself is not hard - by the time you've practiced enough to be a Windows 'power user' you'd have acquired the ability to do three times as much under Linux - I'm not even going to mention security, I'm just talking about ability to do things and do them well in an ideal-world system (no viruses, worms, etc). I'm not even trying to plug Linux over Windows here, I like Windows, I still have an XP machine for games and the occasional nostalgia trip, and it is a good OS in many ways, but Linux hugely technical and impossible to use? No sir. I genuinely find it easier to use Linux than Windows now, and I've only had it on my main machine for a few months. I don't think I could have made that switch in reverse that fast - even after just 3 months on Debian I found Mandrake hugely restrictive, and believe me, I am far from a technical person (studying in Psychology, not a hugely computer-related field). I picked up a lot about Linux without even noticing, just poking around with a curious cursor or command or two. A few months on Linux and without even trying, I've acquired enough knowledge about the OS to do many things faster and better than Windows, and I wouldn't go back - Like I said, I like Windows XP, but I find I can now do so much more with my time.

    So, Slashdotters, be honest with me - have I been lucky? do I have some sort of mysterious gift? or is Linux actually easy to get into?

    --
    Dealing with lawyers would be a lot less tedious if they all looked like Casey Novak.
  11. Re:I like linux by essreenim · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well, firstly, Im not surprised you got some flamebait modding. What did you expect??

    In your rant, you focussed on the install / setup issues with Linux. Firstly, as a loyal Linux user myself, your main problem seems to be that you are not prepared to get your hands dirty. This is what you have to do if you use Linux. You are no longer in your magical lala land where you click on the magical ice cream and everything is just fine - not true. Linux is more honest. Operating systems ARE complex, and if you want to use them then all the better it is that you learn as much as you can about them. Let me put it this way. And this is a classic ananlogy used by many. A car. With Linux you can look under the hood and see the gaskets, valves and battery etc.. In fact with some Linux distos - you are shown this as part of the install - especially my chose distro - Slackware. You actually find yourself learning as you install and configure the system. And this is a deliberate degign by these guys. I guess you have to an optimistic person to use Linux - you have to see the complexity as a learning journey, a right of passage as opposed to an annoying waist of your time. Linux IS honest. From the beginning, you have to learn and if you are prepared to, you WILL make it work, becuase its Open Source - there are documents to show how everything works, and the source code for those documemts to back that up. You set ip up, and you know EXACTLY what you are getting and what its going to do. So why do Linux sys admins get more money than Windows counterparts generally? Isn't it obvious? A Linux sys admin van guarantee you what the server is doing. You have so much more control expecially performance-wise control. You mentioned the kernel - good. What is benefical about compiling the kernel - significant performance gain. You really do have to try it in a different perspective. What if your server is going to perform some mission critical application. What if you need to run a brute force algorithm that (when finished) regardless of the result it generates, will be of Scientific imporance that benefits the commumity as a whole. Wouldn't you like to know you are squeezing every drop of performance you can. Wouldnt you like to know that it probably wont crash ( because you know what its doing) and if it does crash, you can potentially know what caused it to crash with much more ease. What if the algorithm need to run for 5 years on the server (cluster) you have? In these cases performance is everything. By compiling the kernel you are locking the source code down onto the specific architecture of the server. With Windows you get a generic binary ball that is not optimized. With a Linux kernelm you can configure it to remove any bloat you do not need. Lets see, sound drivers - not gonna need them I'll remove that entry, gnome (GUI) not gonna need that - outta there. You can tailor the kernel (the core, and most important ingredient of the OS) for your needs. You can strip it down to the bare minimum so that when its running flat out on a server it is tailored for that server in terms of optimization and what you need in terms of services, whatever they be - samba, bind, tcp ..all the unneeded stuff is removed.

    Essentially, the kernel compilation step is a sacred wonderful thing. If you took the time to embrace Linux, you would be enlightened by its power. You are not forced to use anything, particularly not 3rd party propreitary stuff. You make it into whatever you want.

    Yes, its challenging but when you're done you can sit back and sigh to tourself "Heck that was painful at times, but I sure got that server stripped down to run flat out. You cannot compare it to Windows.

  12. a couple of points. by JaJ_D · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1) What do they mean by "shipped"? is this only the units sold by people like Redhat, IBM, etc.. Or does it take into account all the versions of Linux download and used? With Windows its easy to say "I have sold x many licences, therefore there are x many servers/users" but with Linux you cant - the numbers are likely to be a lot higher.

    2) It's nice to see the SCO lawsuit had such a dramatic effect that the total number of unit of Linux sold has risen. 30+Million dollars of MS^H^H SCO/Venture capital money burnt, with no tangable benefits - other than cementing linux place in the world of IT.

    I wonder how worried MS really is about this?

    I get an inclining of how the Ewoks/rebels must have felt as the sole destroy, all encompassing, stiffling empire fell apart around them. *sigh* Sometimes life is good...

    Jaj

  13. Linux Must Become Easier to Install & Use by mslinux · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Just yesterady, I got an email from a local sys admin about Win Server 2003. He said it wouldn't boot so he couldn't install it. To make a long story short, he was trying to boot the server with the MS Office 2003 CD (the office suite, not the OS).Later that same day, the same sys admin sent another email about needing to reboot the exchange server to "clear up" a problem.

    The moral of this story is that *most* sys admins are not capable of installing or using Linux (or any other OS) unless it's dumbed-down to the childish level of the current Windows OSes.

    1. Re:Linux Must Become Easier to Install & Use by tehanu · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Why don't they just hire a better admin? I keep on hearing about the high rate of IT unemployment and how many talented people are out of work. How on earth does someone so incompetent keep his job when it is essentially an employer's market out there? For home users and even small business offices (where the boss or random employee who looks like he might know more than average about computers ends up taking care of everything), well yes, ease of install and use is important, but surely anyone deserving of the title "sys admin" shouldn't need any "dumbing down".

    2. Re:Linux Must Become Easier to Install & Use by jimicus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      At least with Microsoft I have someone to "blame" when things go wrong

      You (or your boss) may like the warm fuzzy feeling of having someone to hold responsible if things go wrong, but have either of you either tried contacting Microsoft technical support or read the EULA lately?

      Unless you're a Super-Gold-Mega-Partner, my experience suggests: forget it.

    3. Re:Linux Must Become Easier to Install & Use by Tom · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The moral of this story is that *most* sys admins are not capable of installing or using Linux (or any other OS) unless it's dumbed-down to the childish level of the current Windows OSes.

      The problem is that that level of "competence" is accepted in the market place.

      You would never even think about hiring a car mechanic, an architect or even a plumber whose knowledge of the field is equivalent to that displayed by the typical windos admin.

      No surprise the IT landscape is as fucked as it is, whether you look at security, reliability or plain functionality.

      So let's not dumb down what's left of real computing. I'd rather prefer Linux to not follow that disastrous trend, lest I'll be forced to move on to *BSD or whatever is then left in systems that still believe an admin is first and foremost someone who knows what the fuck he's doing.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    4. Re:Linux Must Become Easier to Install & Use by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Please clairify that... Most MCSE's are not skilled enough... sys admins are generally smarter and more skilled.

      Just because your company put bungling boobs with cert's in those positions does NOT mean most sysadmins are brain dead morons.

      and yes, I just called your company's tech guys BRAIN DEAD MORONS. but I am betting they get paid a-lot less than a real sysadmin with real skills.

  14. Re:I like linux by lachlan76 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    But what I find most stupid is the philosophy behind it. Why make something so complex for free? I'm an excellent software engineer, good software is hard to make, it's beyond art, takes incredible amounts of education, hardwork and talent, and it should be kept proprietary and one should be paid to make it.

    Perhaps we enjoy writing code? Perhaps we want people who otherwise couldn't afford the software to have it? Perhaps we think it's a better way of programming.

    Not everything in life is about money, you know.

  15. Re:How do you measure it? by maxwell+demon · · Score: 2, Insightful
    If someone makes a virus that downloads a modified Debian and replaces MS-Windows, IIS and VBSCript with it without noticeably interrupting the services on the machine, about two weeks after that.

    A virus that transforms a running Windows machine into a Linux machine without even rebooting (which would certainly noticeably interrupt the services on the machine)? And Web services are transferred from IIS to Apache without any interruption? Including the rewrite of IIS specific stuff to Apache specific stuff? And all VBScript code is automatically rewritten in functionally completely equivalent JavaScript? While the whole thing is running?

    Anyone who is able to do that would be silly to release it as virus. He could make big money by selling that stuff!
    --
    The Tao of math: The numbers you can count are not the real numbers.
  16. Incompetent IT Workers by Prior+Restraint · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The reason incompetents don't get fired is because competent people cost more, at least from a hard-dollar perspective. Incompetence costs a company money, but in ways that are hard to pin down. It's far too easy for someone to shift blame; one of the keystones of Dilbert-esque companies is that it's virtually impossible to point to one person and say, "The buck stops here." Where I work, you can't even volunteer for the position. People think you're trying to make some kind of power-grab. Management wants to pretend the developers are all interchangeable cogs, shuffling us between teams as staffing needs dictate, and then they wonder why the overall result is mediocre.

  17. Re:Wait for Longhorn by JeremyGL · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I really don't think Microsoft is going to be able to keep to this plan of rolling out an OS on all servers and clients at the same time. No medium to large company is going to buy into such a "Big Bang" implementation plan and if the problem is compounded by breaking the link between Linux and Longhorn then I think there'll be a whole lot less Microsoft desktops and servers around the globe post Longhorn.

  18. Re:Wait for Longhorn by Zapdos · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This would haunt Microsoft for a long time.
    Where I work 80,000+ employees, we naturally have separate server and desktop teams. Making Longhorn networking incompatible with current networking, will make it impossible for us to migrate to longhorn.

    Changing the required number of server and client systems to longhorn in order to have a working system would take at least five full weeks.

    What company wants to be out of business for five weeks.

  19. That's bullshit by njdj · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The corporate world isn't geeks and freaks installing linux. You buy a whole system that includes hardware, software, and support. When the machine breaks, you don't start playing with .conf files and testing it, you call the manufacturer and they fix it

    This is simply not true. I've spent the last 8 years working for big multinational banks. They all have internal support organizations. When something breaks, you call the tech support hotline, which is usually to the bank's internal support group. In a few banks, this function is contracted out to a company like EDS, whose people would be on-site. Nobody ever calls the manufacturer or the software publisher. I've watched the tech support guys fix problems, and they don't call the manufacturer or software publisher either, they fix the problem themselves (which might sometimes involve replacing the machine or reinstalling the software).

  20. Which is not the point... by Kjella · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...the point is "you tried". If the market leading OS craps out your production machine, it is Microsofts fault, or Dells, or computers in general, unreliable PoS as they are.

    If it is your Linux ISO running on noname (but solid) hardware and it craps out, it is your poor management, incompetence and sys admin skill.

    It may be *equally* little your fault, equally little you could have done to prevent it, and nowhere to get damages, yet the perception is completely different. That's the problem.

    Kjella

    --
    Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    1. Re:Which is not the point... by jimicus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You're absolutely right. But the increase in Linux server shipments says to me that acceptance is increasing.

      Sooner or later, a Linux system crapping out will be perceived as being "one of those things", just like you described an MS system on Dell hardware. If/When Linux has reached that level of acceptance, the writing is almost certainly on the wall for traditional proprietary server systems - be it Microsoft, Sun or whatever.

      Quite frankly, if it's that business critical you should have a recovery plan and possibly redundant systems anyhow.

  21. those numbers don't sound right by jeif1k · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's good to see that even Gartner believes that Linux and Windows will be comparable in 2008. But they are probably greatly underestimating the number of machines that run Linux as a server OS: most Linux installations aren't "shipped" and are hard to count. I suspect there are already more actual Linux server machines than there are Windows machines.

  22. definitely overlooked by Skeezix · · Score: 2, Insightful

    This is something that the articles and reports often fail to mention. I know at our company every Linux server we have (and we have quite a few) is running a downloaded distribution. The original server shipped with either no OS or with Windows.