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U.S. IT jobs Down 400K Since 2001

Cryofan writes "A research study shows that American information technology industry 'lost 403,300 jobs between March 2001, when the recession began, and April 2004.' Over half of those jobs - 206,300 - were lost after the recession was declared over in November 2001. In all, the job market for high-tech workers shrank by 18.8 percent, to 1,743,500, between March 2001 and April 2004. And the bloodletting continues -- as reported here on Slashdot earlier this year, the number of employed Software Engineers fell by 15% from April to July of 2004 (from 856,000 to 725,000)."

55 of 1,049 comments (clear)

  1. in other news... by Coneasfast · · Score: 5, Insightful

    india and china's economy growth is booming :)

    no really. it's true.

    --
    Marge, get me your address book, 4 beers, and my conversation hat.
    1. Re:in other news... by neitzsche · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "O Zarathustra," it whispered scornfully, syllable by syllable, "you stone of wisdom! you threw yourself high, but every thrown stone must- fall!

      --
      "God is dead." - Frederik Nietzsche
    2. Re:in other news... by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, I've experienced all those things in bureaucratic offices across America and Canada. The only clear area was where their new computer was sitting, either running Solitaire or sitting under a layer of dust. Don't let a Western "progress" fetish delude you: bureaucracy is an international inertia that knows no borders.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    3. Re:in other news... by maxpublic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I was hired because I was a good student, because I had decent (in a relative sense!) networking skills and because I was perserverant.

      And let's not forget plain, old-fashioned luck. The successful always like to pretend that luck had nothing to do with their success, then blame (either directly or indirectly) everyone else for their failures on lack of character.

      But Lady Luck walks hand in hand with you every moment of every day of your life. Sometimes she helps you get a job, sometimes she pushes you in front of a bus; but she's always there, whether you believe in her or not.

      Max

      --
      My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
  2. Politics? by lawpoop · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Doesn't this belong in politics.slashdot.org? ;)

    --
    Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
    -- Pablo Picasso
  3. nice by Chuck+Bucket · · Score: 4, Insightful

    and outsourcing to other counties doesn't help. ppl need to realize that the IT gravy train is over, it's time to put up or shutup. certificates and degrees no longer hold the water they once did. find a skill, hone it, and hunker down, cause it's going to get windy before there's another round of jobs with the 'wow' factor.

    CB

    1. Re:nice by cubicledrone · · Score: 3, Insightful

      ppl need to realize that the IT gravy train is over, it's time to put up or shutup.

      Oh? So, what, 75 hour weeks instead of 70? I'm always glad to see "paying job" described as "gravy train."

      certificates and degrees no longer hold the water they once did.

      Best way to lower labor costs: raise qualifications to "unreachable" and ignore educational achievements. Now that's the way to build progress! Half of L.A. is illiterate (study released last week), and the other half is saying "so you graduated from college? Big fucking deal. Who gives a shit?"

      find a skill, hone it, and hunker down, cause it's going to get windy before there's another round of jobs with the 'wow' factor.

      I'd be impressed if there's another round of jobs at all. Skills are meaningless. Nothing is valuable to employers except the money grab.

      --
      Business isn't willing to pay for products, innovation and careers, so we get brands, mortgage commercials and layoffs.
    2. Re:nice by Xaria · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In Australia most good IT workers are on reasonable money (not always spectacular, but reasonable) and work ordinary 9-5 hours. There was certainly an IT downturn here, but it's not as bad anymore. I have friends in a global company, and when they fly to the US to work on projects over there they can't believe how little gets done in your 70 hours. I think a lot of the difference is in work-ethic. I'm told that in the US most people work away individually at their tasks. I'm told that people don't ask each other for help because it affects their likelihood of promotion. Over here, asking for help with a problem you're having difficulty with is expected and encouraged.

      There must be decent work in the US somewhere, and if it's not in IT then maybe too many people did IT degrees. That's not the government's fault, and even if it is they're not going to do anything about it. So either move overseas, re-educate, or find a way to differentiate yourself. Be the person who makes sure projects get done on time, even if you have to ask for help sometimes.

    3. Re:nice by polecat_redux · · Score: 3, Insightful

      and outsourcing to other counties doesn't help.

      In fact, it does help. It helps other people whp happen to be less privileged than US citizens. I'm really tired of that horribly ethnocentric viewpoint that people always seem to make. The US does not include the only people that are worth a damn. All people matter, not just the ones who live here. It's a changing world; one that's getting smaller by the day. Perhaps we should be less concerned about useless borders and begin to worry about humanity as a whole.

  4. How about the industry itself? by usefool · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While the IT job market has shrunk by close to 20%, how does the industry do? Was profit/revenue etc down by similar margin as well?

    --
    Uselessful technology (Air-Charged
  5. 21st Century Workers Need Not Apply by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If you work in one of the industries of the nineteenth century, namely farming or steel, the politicians call you "regular Americans" and bail you out with subsidies and trade protections. If you are one of the far more numerous IT workers whose taxes bankroll the nation, you get a shrug and a suggestion you go back to school.

    1. Re:21st Century Workers Need Not Apply by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And of course these loans are used to help US Airways compete against other Americans who do not have the benefit of a govt bailout. Why is the givt afraid to let the market pick a winner as it will anyway? So much for our "free market"...the US rammed free trade down the world's collective throat in the 80s but now it seeks the same type of protections and subsidies it once mocked as European socialism.

  6. Grr... by iamdrscience · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm really concerned that the prevailing opinion on Slashdot seems to be that outsourcing is horrible. I hate that it's hard for people to find work and that many IT workers have lost their jobs, just as much as anyone else, but stopping outsourcing is not the solution. We operate in a global economy, if companies did not outsource then they would not remain competitive in the global market and you would all lose your jobs. Despite the temporary hardships of the people who have lost their jobs, this is, in the end, for the good of the U.S. economy. It's just a restructuring of the work force right now.

    I'm sorry if anyone here disagrees (and I'm sure there are those who will) but I really think you need to look at the big picture and I hope you'll agree that it's for the best for all of us, despite the temporary problems it's causing for many of you.

  7. Losses compared to size of bubble? by earlgreen · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Why can't these studies ever give some indication of the number of jobs added during the bubble before the recession? And how about some info on number of people seeking the available jobs? Without that kind of background info, these numbers are useless.

  8. Don't be a girlie-man economist. by MarkPNeyer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Two consecutive quarters of negative growth consitute a recession. That's what the term means, and so there isn't anthing inaccurate about saying that the small recession we had ended years ago, even if the job situation is sucky right now

    As for the current lack of jobs and the patchy situation of a lot of americans, you can take it one of two ways.

    1. You can take it as a sign that the U.S. economy is falling apart
    2. Or, you can view it as a low point in an otherwise unstoppable march of progress.

    I choose the second option. Make fun of him all you want, but Schwarzenegger said it best - don't be a girlie-man economist. It used to be that germany and japan were going to crush our economies and that all americans were poor. Then, in the early 90's, many americans bought into the idea that NAFTA was a terrible peice of legislation that was going to send all of our jobs to mexico. There's never going to be a shortage of pessimists and naysayers claiming that now things are different - now, this time our economy is in trouble unless the government can do something to stop it.

    They're wrong. They've always been wrong, and they will always be wrong. Don't buy into the pessimism and anti-trade rhetoric out there. If you've lost your job due to oursourcing, of course that sucks. But no one ever accomplished anything by being pessimistic and complaining about their situation. Get out there and look for a job - any job. Don't tell yourself that you can't find one or that there aren't any - negative predictions are self-fulfilling. It's far better to be foolishly optimistic about your situation than needlessly pessimisstic.

    The US economy is an incredbily powerfull beast that has brought incredible wealth to millions of people. It's not going to stop working over night. Current trade situations are a result of an economy out of equilbrium. It'll adjust itself, and then we'll be back on track and new jobs will be created and we'll all be wealthier- you'll see.

    --

    My blog
    1. Re:Don't be a girlie-man economist. by GOD_ALMIGHTY · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No slave ever got freedom by happily pleasing his masters.

      Again, bad logic. You've provided a false dichotomy. Choose the second option all you want, it doesn't mean it's based in reality. NAFTA did send a lot of jobs outside the US, go ask anyone who lost a manufacturing job to Mexico. Outsourcing is a bad deal. It's sending middle class jobs and a strong tax base overseas for what? What has come back? Where are the new industries building on top of this and creating jobs? Why would you even start that industry in this country instead of India?

      Your response to someone telling you that you got screwed in a business deal is "don't be a girlie-man economist"? I call it being stupid, but don't take it from me: I Am an Economic Girlie-Man [Motley Fool Take] September 1, 2004

      Free Trade only works among equals. We are not equal to any other country or economy in the world. Free Trade is a one way street for this country where we lose. Fair Trade is the only way we can grow and ensure that the promises of globalization are realized.

      The current situation is being buoyed by the floating of our currency by China and other developing countries so that they can artifically lower their currency and keep the growth coming at our expense, literally.

      You're solution is to smile while we trade good middle class jobs and quality American products for cheap Chinese crap at Wal-Mart and non-service from India. Excuse me if I hold higher asperations for my country.

      --
      Arrogance is Confidence which lacks integrity. -- me
  9. Re:Thank you, outsourcing by bs_02_06_02 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You don't think that maybe the failure of all those dotcoms had something to do with it? Pets.com couldn't make it selling dogfood over the internet. How many employees did they have in their IT department? How much did they spend on servers, web site software, custom applications? How many thousand dotcoms also failed, and also laid off thousands and thousands of IT personnel? All of those companies that went down the tubes also bought a crapload of stuff from the carriers. What happened to the carriers? They got stuck with billions in infrastructure, and no one to sell it to. It's amazing that there's only been a 20% reduction. Most companies were living high on the hog from 1995 to 2000. IT departments were spending at record levels. They couldn't spend fast enough.

    Cutting 20% seems like a small number to me. And I don't blame it on outsourcing. Sure, there is an outsourcing problem, but the 20% reductions isn't as big of a factor as some make it out to be. I've been part of an outsourcing project, and it's a completely ugly proposition. Yes, there's some programming and lower level stuff, but it's stuff that we either couldn't find in the US, or stuff that no one else wanted to do. We contracted out help desk stuff to India, and it failed miserably. The language barrier was more trouble than upper management believed.

    I firmly believe that most companies trimmed a lot of excess fat, and the rest of lost jobs are from dotcoms that simply were bound to fail. End of story.

    --
    -- No sig for you!
  10. What a misleading summary by emarkp · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The recession begin Oct 2000, not Mar 2001. Note the DJ from the era.

    And is it really any surprise that after the bubble burst jobs were lost? Here's a reality check: those jobs were based on wishful thinking. They had no foundation. No offense to those who lost a job in the downturn, but I've met a number of so-called IT workers who were barely HS grads with an MCSE during the boom.

    Color me not-terribly-surprised.

  11. Is it a coincidence? by stox · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That profession's that have been traditionally supporters of the Democrats have been slaughtered, while the professions that have been Republican have prospered?

    Obviously, since some are doing very well, the failure of the other must be their own fault.

    Yup, nothing to see here, move along.

    --
    "To those who are overly cautious, everything is impossible. "
  12. Sources please.. by Clockwurk · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This little statement (new jobs created are lower quality) gets passed around quite a bit, and I'd like to see a source that confirms it.

  13. Get Out Now! by pudge · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The problem with the tech market is too many people got into it. In the late 90s, everyone got in the market, and we all know that many of them were not qualified. Some cab driver learns Word and Dreamweaver, gets a job, and then gets laid off because he never should have been hired in the first place, and he blames George Bush and people in India.

    This isn't too complicated: the tech market had a huge boom in the late 90s, it crashed in 2000-2001, and companies cut way back in personnel to where they should have been in the first place, and many people got displaced. The simple fact of the matter is that there were just too many workers, and those jobs are not coming back, because the market cannot support them, and therefore should not support them.

    1. Re:Get Out Now! by Roger+Keith+Barrett · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I would be apt to agree with you DURING the boom, but now I don't think I can.

      It's the WELL EDUCATED workers that are suffering most in this I.T. backlash, not the lower end guys. The people being hired are the guys from the community colleges that are sharply focused... they might be able to code Java well but that's all they can do. They are paid on that level, too... they (that is the H.R. heads) don't want to pay the people with the real knowledge, those that can learn on the fly because they have all the background to do it. It would cost too much.

      --

      Why don't you embrace your slashbotness instead of living in a dreamworld?
  14. Bubbles, there's and ours by AHumbleOpinion · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Those lost jobs, are they measured from when the bubble started, the peak of the bubble, a pre-bubble trend line predicting normal growth? India and China's high tech growth, is there a bubble over their? Have we, in typical American fashion, over reacted to one extreme and gone to the other? The only point I am trying to make is that things are far more complicated than a simple statistic suggests.

  15. Re:Hold on a minute. by Eccles · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm curious. Exactly *how* do you expect the president to get jobs back?

    Stop spending $100s of billions on counterproductive wars, farm subsidies, ineffective weapons systems, etc. Oh, and stop pretending that with as much as we spend on Medicare and Medicaid, we don't already have socialized medicine; we just have a form that provides a disincentive for the LMC to work, while imposing an HR burden on every business.

    Presidents can't fix the economy. But they can sure screw it up...

    --
    Ooh, a sarcasm detector. Oh, that's a real useful invention.
  16. Wheat/Chaff? by Arrgh · · Score: 3, Insightful

    All the nerds I know who are smart and experienced and competent are at least as employed as they want to be. I've interviewed a couple dozen people for software development/management jobs in the last 18 months, and didn't see a lot of truly great candidates--by and large the good ones are still working, and we mostly saw marginal candidates.

    Times may be bad now but I think the late 90s "golden age" of companies trying desperately to fill seats with warm bodies is long gone. The free ride is over, and if you're not noticeably great at your job, your employer will eventually realize that there are a lot of people out there who can do it just as well, a great many of whom are willing to do it for less.

    There are a lot of world-class techs in India and other outsourcing hotspots, and even factoring in the costs and risks some companies report when outsourcing, it's more and more of a numbers game every month.

  17. Re:Anyone hiring in the Richmond, VA area? by ChopsMIDI · · Score: 3, Insightful

    A trade that requires proper theory... most "self-taught" programmers just read a "how-to in 21 days" book, and think they are masters. They need to read books about theory, algorithms, etc. (books you tend to read in university) to be a truly effective programmer.

    I use the word "most" here for a reason...there are exceptions...just look at John Carmack. But for most "self-taught" programmers, they lack necessary deep understanding.

    Computer science and programming are just a different form of Math.

    I used to think that Programming is just a "Trade" kind of thing, something that can be learned on your own, until I was getting close to finishing my degree, and started noticing the garbage code produced by "self-taught" SEs...it worked...but it wasn't "good."

    One guy I worked with, sent me an email "what is this push() function you are using? I've never heard of this." WTF? That's a History major turned programmer for you....and he was lead developer. (but he is an extreme case)

    --

    How could I say to men: "Speak louder, shout! For I am deaf!"? -Ludwig van Beethoven
  18. Re:Hold on a minute. by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Exactly *how* do you expect the president to get jobs back?

    Instead of giving massive amounts of money to wasteful defense contractors & other government cronies (or having it lost in the rats-mazes of bureaucracy), use all that money to hire LOTS of front-line workers. E.g., teachers, firemen, policemen, social workers, forest rangers, etc. (Note: front-line != bureaucrats.)

    Not only does this directly give people jobs, but all of those types of jobs contribute directly to the infrastructure (which makes the general society have a better standard of living & creates opportunities for other non-government related jobs), plus all of those people are going to be _spending_ most of their money, which creates demand for goods & services, which causes companies to want to gear up to satisfy the demand, etc). It also increases opportunities for people in the low economic classes to save their way into more stable existences.

    I like to think of it as trickle-UP economics, like nutrition being injected at the bottom of the food chain (which benefits _everything_ in the food chain), instead of "trickle-down" economics which encourages class stratification.

  19. Re:And if bush stays in office it will get worse by Izaak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    bush has put american in such a recession, not to mention his spending on iraq which put america in a huge debt, he could have used that money right here, to fix problems in USA.

    Here here. There was a great chart recently (in the New York Times I think) that showed how the money we 've spent in Iraq could be better spent here on home... on things like better border security, more cops on the street, etc. Very sobering.

    Bush has completely screwed up in the war on terror. He left things unfinished in Afghanistan, Bin Ladin is still at large, no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, increasing violence in Iraq, rising anti-American sentiment throughout the world, and strained relations with our allies. The Bush administration keeps beating the drum about what a steady and determined leader he is... but is anyone paying attention to where he is leading us?

    In Bush's convention speach he went on about all the stuff he would do in the next four years. Reduce the deficit, reduce our dependence on foreign oil, protect the environment, and make us safer from terrorism... but he had the last four years to accomplish that and he did the exact opposite. He rolled back environmental protections, ran up a record deficit, adopted an energy policy drafted by Enron, and engaged in a illconceived, preemptive war that has become a recruiting poster for the terrorists. And we are suposed believe he will do better in the next four years?

  20. It's the Policy, Stupid! by soloport · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I remember lots of grumblings about Gore being more "tech-friendly" than Bush, around that time. To me the recession seemed to follow the election's outcome quite fittingly. Remember the slap on the wrist Microsoft received in 2001? If economic logic holds that competition makes for a healthy economy, then Republicans (based on behavior alone) are quite anti-healthy economy.

    I've lived in third-world countries enough to know that the very poor are kept in poverty by the very wealthy -- who hold, not just most of the wealth, but most of the power. What my armchair-economist opinion says is:
    1) Robin Hood would have made a good Democrat and a great economist. To tax the rich to support the commoners (Welfare, Healthcare, decent Unemployment benefits, Social Security, etc.) forces money to "flow".
    2) When one cuts taxes for the rich it cuts off the flow of money -- plain and simple.
    3) "Trickle-down Economics" is pure myth. There is no such thing. It's a nice idea and, like a lot of get-rich-quick schemes, is based on a few grains of truth.

    Wealthy people *hoard* money. It's in their nature to do so. That's why they're wealthy. You have to incent them to invest their money. Taxes make for a great incentive to "shelter" one's money -- through investments. Use it or lose it! Ever wonder why VC's are being so stingie these days? Their money is much safer, today, from taxation. The most important factor in converting a stagnant economy (as found in so many 3rd world countries) into a bristling one is simply to get one's currency to flow!

    It's easy to think a recession couldn't just happen so quickly; Easy to think the resession was "inherited". But economic policies have very real, fast-acting consequences. If you don't believe it, then you haven't watched the reactions on Wall Street on the days when Allen Greenspan speaks.

    Well, I guess the earlier poster was right. This *does* belong in politics.slashdot.org ;-)

  21. Re:Thank you, outsourcing by forty-2 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    A thought on outsourcing. The latest industrial boom, the IT sector, seems to be following the same path that previous industrial revolutions have. Manufacturing & assembly line workers faced the same challenge when manufacturing of consumer goods shifted to the far east. While many who were unable to adapt found themselves unemployable, the population moved on. It created. Thats what we're good at. Much of the entry level IT work, in many ways, the modern day equivalent to the blue collar manufacturing jobs of the past. I believe that while much of the grunt work will be shipped off to the lowest bidder, the majority of the creative end will remain where it began.
    More will go as outsourcing increases, until so many are gone that people over here are willing to work for as little as those in the Far East
    You could make more at Starbucks. Comparable wages? I don't see IT guys working for $12/day, I'd like to think that most of them would adapt to the new market. I might be delusional, my job can't be outsourced. I'm also a freelancer. While I've never had the industry fall out from under me, I've had to re-invent myself a few times to keep up with current local market needs. I can't imagine the hardship of having your career disappear out from under you, but as technology moves on, it is inevitable in certain fields.

    --
    never drink kool-aid from a big vat
  22. Re:Don't believe this stuff by HuguesT · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You go tell that to someone in a trailer park near Saint Louis or Detroit, then if you live you can come back and tell us the tale of how it went.

    The gap does matter, because when a significant proportion of the population becomes richer and the rest doesn't or not as much, large items such as houses, access to private health care, private education and even cars become a lot more expensive and you have the making of deprived neighborhoods where everyone is a tenant in a shabby house, and then crime flourishes.

    In the US there is a lot of crime, a lot of drugs, a lot of people under a federally declared line of poverty who live a short and dangerous life that a Roman Emperor certainly wouldn't have chosen for himself.

    This is also true of most countries in the west. In Australia where I live Aboriginal people on average live 20 years less than non-aboriginal, even in the middle of Sydney. A lot of it is due to poor sanitation, lack of education and general poverty.

    There are poor people in the US and elsewhere who are not given a fair deal in life because they happen to have been born in a poor neighborhood and I can tell you that it does in fact suck.

    I'm pretty damn certain you wouldn't want to take their place next to the beautiful cell phone they have so please stop patronizing, you are insulting a lot of people.

  23. There are other ways of viewing it by msobkow · · Score: 3, Insightful

    India, China, and many other such nations also have a huge demand for infrastructure growth and development. Before they get greedy about the foreign markets, maybe they should take care of building up their local business market?

    Wouldn't that also help get a few more people employed in those countries instead of merely sucking jobs from other nations?

    Maybe we need to find ways to work more efficiently as well, and put more of our resources into actually doing our job instead of wasting it on IP lawsuits.

    Can you imagine starting a business nowadays? Before you could even think about approaching potential partners, you'd have to spend months or even years just working out how you're going to defend against Microsoft, SCO, and other overly-aggressive companies.

    It may sound trite, but imagine how much more actual work and revenue-generating business enhancements could do with, say, the money IBM has spent defending against SCO so far?

    --
    I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
    1. Re:There are other ways of viewing it by tupps · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unfortunately the goverments in these countries are unable to pay for all the infrastructure etc that is needed.

      The people in the IT sectors are making money for countries like India. The Indian government has put a lot of money into educating people and now the Indian IT sector is taking off. This will bring money into India and from those taxes generate revenue for the govt to pay for infrastructure etc. With a global economy Indian business men are just taking advantage of supply and demand, at present the supply side of things (heaps of people in India with IT skills) is larger than the demand (companies wanting to outsource) and therefore the price is dirt cheap.

      You saw the same thing with steel and cars. I remember when if you were looking at cheap/crap electronics you could be guarenteed that it came from Taiwan. Over time the reputation of Taiwan has improved and higher value goods are being produced there. Cheap electronics now typically come from China. Same thing happened with cars and Japan. I would like to see the look on a car sales person face in 1980 if you told them that Japan would be producing some of the top of the line cars, and that Toyota and Honda would both have Formula 1 and Indy cars.

      --
      Go out and get sailing!
  24. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by GOD_ALMIGHTY · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Uhhhh.... I was with you until this:
    If you hate what is happening to our country, the USA, then please write the following on the November ballot.

    president: Bill O'Reilly
    vice-president: Tammy Bruce


    Seriously, I've said the same stuff about the situation with India and China, just got finished mentioning it before I saw this post. But, and this is a big but, your conclusion makes abso-fscking-lutely no sense whatsoever. Bill OReilly can't keep left and right straight, much less understand how the hell to deal with pushing Fair Trade instead of Free Trade.

    How would an anti-Union, pro-Corporate shill for the right do jack to help the American Worker?

    I was really expecting to see you throw support to John Kerry, but WTF? Did I miss a joke somewhere?

    --
    Arrogance is Confidence which lacks integrity. -- me
  25. Re:Hold on a minute. by Brandybuck · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Considering that the dot.bomb came out of the Clinton administration, I really can't blame Bush too much. I know that will cost me karma, but my honesty won't let me blame him just because it's the karma-enhancing thing to do.

    I'm not a Bush supporter. I did not vote for him last time and will not vote for him this time. But that doesn't mean I have to kick him in the nads for something he didn't do. The tech industry crash might not have been caused by Clinton, but it started on his watch. Considering that it was a market correction, I can't blame Bush for not getting us back into an artifical bubble of paper millionaires.

    Our IT jobs are going overseas because we spent most of the Clinton years wallowing in six-digit salaries and stock options while the average worker didn't have half our income. We priced ourselves out of the market. We demanded pool tables and laundramats in our workplace, and we got them. I'm not talking about the top people in the field, I'm talking about Joe-Schoe the code monkey. Starting salaries were in the $50-75 range.

    I'm not blaming Bush, I'm blaming the collective "we".

    --
    Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
  26. bad advice by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You're recommending we send a delusional hack, who aspires to an imaginary childhood in Levittown, NY, to the White House? What, do you work for the Chinese? If you hate what's happening to the American workforce, go to a union, and ask them how to help organize your fellow info workers. That's the only politics that's ever protected American labor. It's no accident that such a successful movement would send O'Reilly into a spasmatic fury.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  27. Fake IT by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I can't help but wonder how many cabdrivers and their ilk, who asked me in the late 1990s how to "learn computers", are counted in those unemployed "IT workers"? Corporate management spawned thousands of HTML "programmers" who learned from books for "Idiots". How many graphic artists are still kidding themselves into applying for programming jobs, or at least saying so on their unemployment forms? The entire IT industry was destroyed by Baby Boomers who always believe everything they see on TV, and stayed glued to market-watch programs that peddled anything that said "Internet". We turned the profession into a joke, with no necessary qualifications, and now the joke's on us. Too bad we can't even distinguish the unemployed programmers from the unemployed fauxgrammers.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

  28. People vote with their wallets. by raehl · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And people buy the least expensive item possible.

    Who cares why Indians and Chinese are willing to work for less? It doesn't matter. If their governments are willing to force their people to sell their labor for cheap (an assumption I disagree with, but let's run with it anyway) that's just good for us.

    Americans want their own jobs protected, but then turn around and buy the imported item that's cheaper. And that *IS* a free market - Americans are deciding that saving a few bucks is better than employing other americans, and THAT is why jobs are outsourced.

    Because Americans WANT jobs to be outsourced.

    Just not theirs. But they lose that vote.

  29. Bingo. by raehl · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nothing is valuable to employers except the money grab.

    You can either be worth more to an employer than what they pay you, or you can start your own company and pay people less than what they are worth to you. Your call, but that's what makes the employment universe go around.

    BTW, I'd advocate the second option, but most people are too lazy for that.

  30. Re:Don't believe this stuff by GOD_ALMIGHTY · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There's no other way to say it. YOU ARE WRONG. Not just a little wrong, but really really wrong.

    It matters, it matters a lot. Concentration of wealth is the single greatest threat to our democracy and the American Revolution. Go read the Federalist Papers. This "class-warfare claptrap", as you call it, is real. Perhaps Marie Antionette or the Bolsheviks could give you a little refresher. Your example is crap to boot. The current recovery has seen corporate profits grow by 62.2% while private wages have fallen by .06%. In the previous 8 recoveries, since the Great Depression, the average growth was split at about 13.9% corporate profit and 9.9% labor with private wage growth of 7.2%.

    There is a point, which can't be defined, where the concentration of wealth becomes so great that the probability that the wealthy will wind up in a losing deal falls to such a point that there is no way to get ahead. New growth is dominated by the wealthy (see the cronyism of 90's IPO's), those without wealth have no choice but to scramble for scraps from the table. This results in defacto tyranny and lack of opportunity. It results in stagnation of innovation, just like when property was controlled entirely by royalty and the church in Europe.

    The purpose of the Revolution was to ensure that no citizen is forced to live the life of a slave (obvious exception for slaves, who weren't citizens). When you don't have choices, you are a slave. It doesn't matter if that lack of choice comes from government or private means.

    Some men can work 40 hours a week and easily support himself, but there are millions of Americans that can't. The number of people living below the poverty line has increased by 1.4 million in the last year alone. Your argument is like saying the serfs were better off because their lords protected them from roving gangs of bandits. The facts disagree with your estimate of the welfare of the poor in this country.

    Go look up Noah Webster, he wrote on the side of the Federalists and either Madison or Hamilton's request (can't remember which). Your arguements are nothing more than straw men. Go read some primary sources, look at the whole picture and apply some logic.

    Wealth is real power. If the scales become tipped too far, our entire country will fail. The parent isn't insightful, it's naive. It's a modern version of "If they have no bread, let them eat cake!".

    --
    Arrogance is Confidence which lacks integrity. -- me
  31. Re:Lest we forget the dot-com burst by finkployd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Bush's recent surge in the polls is likely in no small part because of the these ads.

    I'm willing to bet it had more to do with the speaches at the RNC having to do with actual, important, and relevent issues. The DNC degenerated into a "yay, I served in Vietnam" pep rally.

    Don't get me wrong, I am no friend of Bush (and I sure as hell will not be voting for him), but Kerry is running the saddest campaign I have seen yet. The Swift boat thing wouldn't have even BEEN an issue if Kerry hadn't made it the cornerstone of his early campaign. It is completely irrelevent. Not to mention the constant "I have a plan for the economy and Iraq but I can't tell you until after I am elected" comments.

    And the strange "let's blame Bush for letting the assault weapon ban expire" tactic. Nevermind that it was a completely symbolic law that accomplished absolutely nothing, and never mind that Bush (as president) doesn't introduce legislation. Say, isn't introducing legislation the job of congressmen? And what is Kerry again? hmmmmm. I'm pretty sure he is a congressman but the guy never shows up for votes. Sheesh.

    Given all the legit ammunition against Bush this election should be a cakewalk, yet we see Kerry consistently screw it up.

  32. Re:Hold on a minute. by macrealist · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Now, wait a minute, I work for one of them wasteful defense contractors, and the paycheck is very nice. The money being spent is an important part of fighting threats to our citizens and our values. Plus it is also one of the few IT jobs that won't be outsourced.

    Now given that, had the current President acted responsibly after 9/11, we could have been pooling the resources of the world to fight terrorism and not needed to waste so much money doing it alone. Any fool could have "led" the American people to bounce back after 9/11. But only a fool could have turned a world of countries united to fight terrorism into a coalition of the "willing" (aka bribed). Had the President not alienated the US from most of its allies and nearly all of the rest of the world, we could be spending a fraction of what we are now on defence, triming the budget, and actually giving the working class a real tax break.

    Or fix social security. Bush on social security, Muskegon, Michigan, Sep. 13, 2004: "And baby boomers are fine. We're in good shape, you know. The people who aren't in good shape are the children and grandchildren in this country..."

    I agree with you about trickle up, but also believe that the debt we are leaving our children and grandchildren will criple this nation. Paying interest to debts gives our tax money (that could be paying for the front-line workers) to rich domestic and foriegn investors.

    --
    I am living proof of the Peter Principle
  33. I'm OK with that. by NerveGas · · Score: 3, Insightful


    Really, I am. You see, for years I've been putting up with "I'm a techie, too!" people. The kind that have no idea what they're doing.

    They're people who go to a two-week certification class. They're people who take a 6-month class. They're people who go to ITT for two years. They're people who learned everything on their own. And they're even people with four-year degrees.

    For every 100 people that say "Yeah, I work with computers, too!", I'm lucky if I meet three or four that actually have a clue, and (here's the important part) actually have any marketable skills.

    Yes, they're the ones that whine and moan that "the market is flooded", "you can't get a job in (insert state name)", "it's all these people willing to work for nothing", or "the economy is so horrible."

    I know a lot of people who make their living with computers. And while "the economy was bad", I can honestly say that the job difficulties they faced were inversely proportional to their expertise. The better they really were, the less trouble they had.

    When we put an ad in the paper for a programmer who (a) has used Perl in a CGI environment, (b) has some knowledge of SQL, and (c) has some knowledge of HTML, you'd be amazed at how many applicants we get - literally, hundreds. And again, literally, without any exageration, over 85% of the applicants do not meet those requirements in any way, shape, or form. We're lucky if we get three or four people out of 150 applicants that can really say that they're proficient in those three areas - and to me, that's not asking much at all.

    The sad fact is that the tech job market was massively, grossly over-inflated during the "dot-com craze", and is now back at a more reasonable level. Yes, I know, that makes it tough for all of the "But I want to be a programmer, too!" people, but that's just fine. They've been making it tough on the rest of us for quite some time.

    steve

    --
    Oh, you're not stuck, you're just unable to let go of the onion rings.
  34. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by tunabomber · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When the USA interacts with, say, China, we have the interaction of a free market and a non-free market. The by-product (i.e. millions of underemployed Chinese) of non-market forces now affects the market dynamics in the USA.

    I'm not sure I understand how the influx of cheap labor would be any worse for the U.S. than if China truly did have a free market.
    If China had a truly free market, and your assumption about this improving the Chineses domestic job market was true, then who would all these workers be employed by? Chinese companies. And who would these Chinese companies compete with? American companies, which would have a competitive disadvantage since American workers are more expensive than Chinese workers, thanks to high living costs.
    The American companies would then lose business, forcing them to trim their workforces.

    The problem here is that if we try to compete with other countries in the unskilled or lesser-skilled labor markets, we will lose every time. In the long run, there are only a few things that we can do if we want to keep our jobs:

    a. Become exceptionally skilled workers (not difficult, considering the exceptional quality of educational institutions in the U.S.)
    b. Keep on moving into new markets as the old markets become dominated by companies that rely on cheap labor.
    c. Do something about the high living costs in the U.S., which are making this country extremely hostile to the working classes.

    --

    pi = 3.141592653589793helpimtrappedinauniversefactory71 ...
  35. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by jkrise · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Much as any politician would hate to accept, the economy is now well and truly in the hand of the Corporates, not the political forum. Anyone getting elected to the presidency will hardly make a difference to the economy. Consider the strength of the Chinese and the Indian economies, and consider for a moment who's been in power in those countries for some years now....

    -

    --
    If you keep throwing chairs, one day you'll break windows....
  36. Re:how about new grads? by C60 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is probably going to get my flamed to hell, but screw it.

    Join the military. Frankly, that's where the .gov is spending all the money. As a college grad, you start out with a rank increase, there are programs where they will pay off your loans. Add to that the fact that they will train you in the practical application of your skills, they'll pay you to continue going to school while you're in the military, and unless you're a total screw up you've got a fair paying job for at least 4 to 6 years. And it really is fair paying, as you get a paycheck, a housing allowance, and a food allowance, not to mention a whole crap load of other potential bonuses like extra pay for knowing a second language.

    The .mil of today isn't like the .mil of 10 years ago. When I started out in the IT industry the thought of the military was not even on my radar. After 2 years of being unemployed from the IT industry I started to really stretch my idea of what was acceptable and did a lot of research, and frankly, as a second career, the military really isn't all that bad as long as you aren't infantry. It's the only place where I can make a living, go back to school, and not be penalized by management for it.

    And to be honest, with the discussions flying around about reinstating the draft, it's a great way to avoid being drafted ;)

    --
    Karma: 0 (But I wield a mean +10 Vorpal Apathy)
  37. So how poor were YOU by SuperKendall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Ok, when I was growing up I had to help pay the electricity bill for my mom with the money I earned from my own job. I have a great career now, that I built with sheer willpower. I worked hard every summer, I bought a car for $100 and learned to maintain it myself. I got scholarships for college (my parents paid probably less than $1000 total, the rest was loans and grants) and worked my way through college as well until I was out. Then I spent months finding a good entry level IT job (that was a few years before the boom and it was pretty hard then).

    Don't tell me the poor have it so bad and they are stuck. I worked my way out, through education and a whole damn bunch of HARD WORK. Anyone can do it, if they choose to do so... I did have one advantage, I had a great family that really helped me learn and motivate me (though my parents were divorced before I went to college).

    I firmly believe the "GAP" is there in part because the people are TOLD there is a gap. If you cease to believe in a gap you can do whatever you like instead of being trapped in your own situation. Sure there is a real advantage for people that have money - but those kids generally squander that opportunity anyway and leave very large holes for those willing to try outpacing them.

    The message that being poor is an insurmountable barrier is a terrible reinforcement for the populace at large. It's hard to pull yourself up when you're constantly told it's too hard to even try. If something sucks, that should motivate you to work all the harder to escape it, not force you to live with it forever and just endure it because no-one else will help pull you out. A few summers working grounds maintenance at a golf course taught me that I'd rather be working with computers for a living than working grueling hours outdoors for minimum wage, and I made that happen myself.

    And aren't you just buying the media feed about what it's like to live in the US? I was living far under that "line of poverty" but managed to escape without turning to a life of crime or peddling crack.

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  38. Outsourcing is an effect, not a cause by cshotton · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Saying that outsourcing is the cause of US job losses in the tech industry ignores a very crucial point about the DotCom bubble and subsequent crash. As someone who hired many engineers during the late 90's through 2001, I saw an interesting trend in the US labor pool, due mainly to the shortage of qualified tech workers. Specifically, many, many people who were not formally trained in computer science, information science, or engineering were representing themselves as programmers, software engineers, and other technology workers. I cannot tell you the number of English, History, and Communications majors whose resumes crossed my desk, all claiming that because they could author some HTML and knew Visual Basic, they were entitled to the "programmer" job title.

    What has happened is now that all of the failed companies and wacky business models are out of the market, these marginal tech workers are returning to the industries they were trained for. Yes, lots of good, highly trained programmers and analysts got caught up in the crash, because even the lamest of DotComs had to have someone to do the real work. But I would be willing to bet that the vast majority of technology jobs "lost" to outsourcing simply represents a shift of these cross-industry workers back to the areas they are trained in and a decision by US industries to pick a lower cost (and therefore, lower risk) alternative for staffing these lower end tech positions. Why pay $75k and full benefits for an informally trained web developer in the US when you can get the same skills (likely formally trained) offshore?

    I'm not defending the trend, but I think that it IS fair to point out that a lot of people were working in the tech industry, far outside their areas of expertise and far ahead of their skill levels and that imbalance has simply been corrected. To call it a loss and to blame that loss on outsourcing is to ignore the incredibly rapid gains that preceeded it.

    --

    Shut up and eat your vegetables!!!
    1. Re:Outsourcing is an effect, not a cause by cthulhuology · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Now, I happen to have my masters in Medieval History, and have to object to this notion that having a college degree qualifies you as a programmer. I worked through college and gradschool as a programmer (started programming grammar school). I've worked for VA Linux and designed games for MLB and Fox Sports. I do contract work now, porting software to linux and doing game design for cell phones and things. I know guys who work as release engineers at VMWare, who design Linux based disaster recovery software used by IBM, and a hoard of other applications. And they all like me either have a degree in something not computer related or don't have a college degree at all. At my last full time job we hired two kids out of Harvard, near the top of their class in CS, and neither knew how a compiler actually worked, or how a system bus operated, or how one programmed a device driver. This priesthood mentality derived from the farce of academia is antitheical to American ingenuity over history and real world results. Formal training only makes for a more delusional monkey who thinks he knows more than he does. I know more informally trained people working in the industry now, than I do formally trained ones. And most of the formally trained ones have given up and gone to business school. But that's my 2 cents.

  39. Re:Hold on a minute. by Guppy06 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    "Stop spending $100s of billions on counterproductive wars, farm subsidies, ineffective weapons systems, etc."
    All Bills for raising Revenue shall originate in the House of Representatives;

    (...)

    The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States;
    Number of bills vetoed by President Bush since being sworn into office: 0

    I'm curious how many people who are quick to blame the White House for economic woes know who their congresscritters are, let alone who they're running against this November.
  40. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by Genda · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The system is broken.

    We keep playing the game like it's an open system, and it never was, and now we are quickly discovering the end stops.

    Designing an economic model which awards wealth to those who grow, is doomed when a company, any company reaches market saturation.

    The American economy no longer exists, American business is multinational, global, and not limited to our borders. It finds cheap labor and brings the saving in production back to the U.S. where American consumers rejoice at the low cost of service and goods. Sadly it's all a sham. It's as unsustainable as a constant diet of junk food. It tastes good while you're eating it, but it's slowly killing you. It's all take and no give, the dollars fly out of the country faster and faster, until the nations fundamental wealth is gone, and the citizens of the nation notice they are now the collective bag holders.

    * Money that leaves never supports U.S. economy and infrastructure. * Money that leaves undermines U.S. labor, costing jobs and quality of living. * The growing gap between haves and have nots in the U.S. suggest a growing economic instability. Loss of jobs starting with manufacturing, but now quickly moving up through intellectual "white collar" professions, points to a growing joblessness with no end in sight. As the government services fail (and if you haven't been reading the paper or watching the news at 11:00, local government everywhere in this country is on the verge of collapse), the means to manage and provide basic life needs to the growing disenfranchised evaporates. The middle class vanishes. We are all reduced to the same level of living enjoyed by billions of starving people all over the world. Already 3% of our population owns 75% of the wealth, this is the greatest desparity in wealth in our history. And still the insanity accelerates. This is just the beginning ladies and gentlemen. What will you do, when your kids fresh out of college, with hundred thousand dollar college loans to pay, can't find work. What will you do, when you haven't received a raise in 4 years, and the boss says "Sorry, the work is heading to China."

    I've personally spent the last 6 months looking for work, I've had my resume tuned, I have 25 years of technical experience, and I've made it clear I'll do almost anything, and I have not had a single interview. I'm not alone, I have a couple hundred friends and acquaintances who've been unemployed for between 2 and 3.5 years.

    I keep hearing neocons mouthing the lines of Scrooge from a Christmas Carol... "the surplus population shold just get on with the business of dying...", or some variation of that. It's not bad yet. It may well get there. If it does, our government, is going to have a very bad time. Our society is going to have a very bad time. We need to begin addressing sustainable business practice from an economic, environmental, and ethics based context. To simply let the train go where it will is to insure a crash none of us will walk away from.

    Genda

  41. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by sixteenraisins · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The cost of living isn't controlled by corporations or by any other company, it's controlled by economics.

    If you accept that corporations set the prices of all the things that fall under "cost of living," then you must accept that consumers will willingly pay any price for those items, something which we know isn't true. Think about it, when gasoline prices start skyrocketing, some people started buying smaller cars and driving less.

    The cost of living is set by both firms and consumers at a price index that both sides are agreeable to. It's often called "supply and demand."

    --
    When you're not looking, this sig is in Latin.
  42. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Can someone explain to me exactly why the government meddles in things just enough, and refuses to protect our rights just enough, to cause any potential jobs to wither on the vine?

    I'm all for this "look out for yourself" libertarian bullshit, but make corporate charters temporary, renewable every 2 years, and that they can be dissolved with *no reason* whatsoever. Give me back the 14/28 years of copyright, only with providing an unencumbered version to LOC. The list goes on, but start with those, and I'll start considering that my lack of a job is solely my own fault.

  43. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by smallpaul · · Score: 3, Insightful

    As an American I'm concerned with the welfare of myself and my fellow citizens first and foremost, and this only makes sense. If I were more concerned about Nigeria, it would behoove me to move to Nigeria and become a citizen of that country, since I'm putting Nigerian interests before that of any other country.

    Frankly: I find this logic (common though it is in the US) to be totally bizarre. It makes no fscking sense. Try this analogy: "I understand that having free trade across county boundaries is good for the well-being of the entire State and even the country but as a resident of King County I put my needs above those of the rest of Washington State and those of America. If I was primiarily interested in the needs of (say) Orange County then I would move there. The job of King county's government if first and foremost to provide for King county residents: the rest of the country be damned."

    There are many levels of government and at this moment at the beginning of the 21st century we've somehow deluded ourselves into theinking that the nation is somehow special. During the early 20th century it was otherwise: most people thought that their allegiance belonged to their empire (which was larger than their nation). And before the civil war, many Americans had primary allegiance to their State, not to the federation.

    Each of these views was short-sighted and temporary. As yours is. Your allegiance logically belongs either to a community small enough that you can participate and influence it (i.e. municipality) or to all of humanity (based solely on the Golden rule).

    In fact, the *sole reason the government of the United States exists* is to provide for the American people.

    That is incorrect. The United States government exists to exercise the collective will of the American people. Sometimes this will is to "do good" elsewhere. It looks, for example, as if Americans will put George Bush back into power based on his (shaky!) argument that he is going to democratize the Middle East. It is also the case that many Americans criticize the Bush administration for doing nothing in Darfur. According to your theory, there is nothing to criticize because it would be a breach of responsibility for him to do anything. Ditto, I suppose, for the intervention in Europe in WW II.

    I am unashamed about the fact that my allegiance is first and foremost to humanity. My local national government has dual roles as the local provider of laws and a tool I use to advance the needs of human beings everywhere. When I look across a border and see human beings on the other side I don't see their needs as being less important than mine by virtue of the fact that they are on the other side of the border and neither should my government. That said: for practical reasons the government must distinguish between citizens and non-citizens and treat citizens differently.

  44. Yep. I'm a fake IT guy. by xyote · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Despite being an expert in lock-free multi-threading (or at least playing one on usenet) and having citations in some of Paul McKenney's later RCU papers and in the latest Linux RCU documentation patch, I'm having difficulty finding work. Now I realize it's because I'm a fake.

    And all this time I though it might have had something to do with my resume sucks because it doesn't look like an HR wet dream. Or maybe something to do with age bias, I'm older than 20. Or maybe that companies are reluctant to hire even when they're severely understaffed. You figure something is up there when you seen the same job posted for over a year.

    Look, all the dotcommers who where cabdrivers and pizza delivery guys have long gone back to their old jobs. They have previous experience that allows them to do that. Have you ever tried to break into another trade when all you have is programming experience? I have news for you. You are considered totally unskilled and your competition for the jobs that take no skills are the dregs of the workforce and they are willing to work for a lot less than you are or even can. Ever try to live on sub minimun under the table wages?

    There's some kind of psychological factor here that kicks in when bad things happen to other people, that people use to convince themselves it won't happen to them because the people it did happen to somehow deserved it or brought it upon themselves. Nope. It's pure luck. You either got laid off or did not get laid off. Getting a job again seems to be pure luck (though personal connections or having a HR wet dreame resume seems to help). Think otherwise? Go ahead and quit your job and find out.