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U.S. IT jobs Down 400K Since 2001

Cryofan writes "A research study shows that American information technology industry 'lost 403,300 jobs between March 2001, when the recession began, and April 2004.' Over half of those jobs - 206,300 - were lost after the recession was declared over in November 2001. In all, the job market for high-tech workers shrank by 18.8 percent, to 1,743,500, between March 2001 and April 2004. And the bloodletting continues -- as reported here on Slashdot earlier this year, the number of employed Software Engineers fell by 15% from April to July of 2004 (from 856,000 to 725,000)."

45 of 1,049 comments (clear)

  1. in other news... by Coneasfast · · Score: 5, Insightful

    india and china's economy growth is booming :)

    no really. it's true.

    --
    Marge, get me your address book, 4 beers, and my conversation hat.
    1. Re:in other news... by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, I've experienced all those things in bureaucratic offices across America and Canada. The only clear area was where their new computer was sitting, either running Solitaire or sitting under a layer of dust. Don't let a Western "progress" fetish delude you: bureaucracy is an international inertia that knows no borders.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    2. Re:in other news... by hazem · · Score: 4, Funny

      Don't worry... their IT people will find Slashdot, and their productivity will drop like ours!

  2. no fscking shit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm not the only one living with my mom again.

  3. Politics? by lawpoop · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Doesn't this belong in politics.slashdot.org? ;)

    --
    Computers are useless. They can only give you answers.
    -- Pablo Picasso
  4. nice by Chuck+Bucket · · Score: 4, Insightful

    and outsourcing to other counties doesn't help. ppl need to realize that the IT gravy train is over, it's time to put up or shutup. certificates and degrees no longer hold the water they once did. find a skill, hone it, and hunker down, cause it's going to get windy before there's another round of jobs with the 'wow' factor.

    CB

    1. Re:nice by Xaria · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In Australia most good IT workers are on reasonable money (not always spectacular, but reasonable) and work ordinary 9-5 hours. There was certainly an IT downturn here, but it's not as bad anymore. I have friends in a global company, and when they fly to the US to work on projects over there they can't believe how little gets done in your 70 hours. I think a lot of the difference is in work-ethic. I'm told that in the US most people work away individually at their tasks. I'm told that people don't ask each other for help because it affects their likelihood of promotion. Over here, asking for help with a problem you're having difficulty with is expected and encouraged.

      There must be decent work in the US somewhere, and if it's not in IT then maybe too many people did IT degrees. That's not the government's fault, and even if it is they're not going to do anything about it. So either move overseas, re-educate, or find a way to differentiate yourself. Be the person who makes sure projects get done on time, even if you have to ask for help sometimes.

  5. Hold on a minute. by Izago909 · · Score: 4, Funny

    I thought Bush has created more jobs, and that the recession was over. I can't believe the Washington Post would try to sneak such false statements into the transcript of the Presidents address at the RNC. They must be French owned.

    BTW, Here is a login for the Post.

    And before anyone get's pissy, may I remind people that flamers are joyless, humorless, SOB's. Don't trust a person who can't laugh.

    1. Re:Hold on a minute. by Eccles · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'm curious. Exactly *how* do you expect the president to get jobs back?

      Stop spending $100s of billions on counterproductive wars, farm subsidies, ineffective weapons systems, etc. Oh, and stop pretending that with as much as we spend on Medicare and Medicaid, we don't already have socialized medicine; we just have a form that provides a disincentive for the LMC to work, while imposing an HR burden on every business.

      Presidents can't fix the economy. But they can sure screw it up...

      --
      Ooh, a sarcasm detector. Oh, that's a real useful invention.
    2. Re:Hold on a minute. by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Exactly *how* do you expect the president to get jobs back?

      Instead of giving massive amounts of money to wasteful defense contractors & other government cronies (or having it lost in the rats-mazes of bureaucracy), use all that money to hire LOTS of front-line workers. E.g., teachers, firemen, policemen, social workers, forest rangers, etc. (Note: front-line != bureaucrats.)

      Not only does this directly give people jobs, but all of those types of jobs contribute directly to the infrastructure (which makes the general society have a better standard of living & creates opportunities for other non-government related jobs), plus all of those people are going to be _spending_ most of their money, which creates demand for goods & services, which causes companies to want to gear up to satisfy the demand, etc). It also increases opportunities for people in the low economic classes to save their way into more stable existences.

      I like to think of it as trickle-UP economics, like nutrition being injected at the bottom of the food chain (which benefits _everything_ in the food chain), instead of "trickle-down" economics which encourages class stratification.

    3. Re:Hold on a minute. by Brandybuck · · Score: 4, Informative

      Wow four years later and it's still Clinton's fault huh? Nothing Bush did in the last four years had any effect on the economy whatsoever huh?

      First, I didn't say it was Clinton's fault, I only said it happened during his tenure. Second, the effects of a market correction do not occur instantly, so you cannot expect all economic influences from the time of Clinton to cease the day Bush took office.

      I know the chic thing to do is to blame Bush for the bad economy, but from where I stand the economy isn't doing too badly. If the voters follow their pocket books, he'll win the election. The programming side of the tech sector got hit hard, and that probably affets you, but otherwise we're looking at a pretty good unemployment rate.

      To put a personal spin on things, I don't have any friends, relatives or neighbors that are unemployed. A coworker whose contract ran out last month has already found a new permanant non-contractor job at a higher salary.

      Thanks to Bush we no longer have to put up with booming markets, pool tables and laundramats in the workplace or those silly 75K salaries.

      If you were like me, you milked those years for all they were worth. But don't imagine for a minute that it represented the normal state of a healthy economy. Complaining about Bush not restoring a speculative market bubble is rather silly.

      --
      Don't blame me, I didn't vote for either of them!
    4. Re:Hold on a minute. by Guppy06 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      "Stop spending $100s of billions on counterproductive wars, farm subsidies, ineffective weapons systems, etc."
      All Bills for raising Revenue shall originate in the House of Representatives;

      (...)

      The Congress shall have Power To lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises, to pay the Debts and provide for the common Defence and general Welfare of the United States;
      Number of bills vetoed by President Bush since being sworn into office: 0

      I'm curious how many people who are quick to blame the White House for economic woes know who their congresscritters are, let alone who they're running against this November.
  6. How about the industry itself? by usefool · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While the IT job market has shrunk by close to 20%, how does the industry do? Was profit/revenue etc down by similar margin as well?

    --
    Uselessful technology (Air-Charged
  7. 21st Century Workers Need Not Apply by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If you work in one of the industries of the nineteenth century, namely farming or steel, the politicians call you "regular Americans" and bail you out with subsidies and trade protections. If you are one of the far more numerous IT workers whose taxes bankroll the nation, you get a shrug and a suggestion you go back to school.

    1. Re:21st Century Workers Need Not Apply by Ars-Fartsica · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And of course these loans are used to help US Airways compete against other Americans who do not have the benefit of a govt bailout. Why is the givt afraid to let the market pick a winner as it will anyway? So much for our "free market"...the US rammed free trade down the world's collective throat in the 80s but now it seeks the same type of protections and subsidies it once mocked as European socialism.

  8. same thing happened to advanced manufacturing jobs by Cryofan · · Score: 4, Interesting

    They are doing to us IT workers what they did to advanced, capital-intensive manufacturing jobs in America (as opposed to "assembly jobs"): they spirited it away to Asia. And we could have stopped it with trade barriers. But they sold us on neoliberal trade policies with $24 worth of trinkets.

    Read here:

    >>>>>>>>
    commentator Eamonn Fingleton speaks bluntly about what he sees as the frittering away of the United States' manufacturing base and what he regards as the consequent stagnation of the American standard of living. For those who believe in the superiority of the current U.S. postindustrial strategy, a reading of the OECD Economic Yearbook makes for a distinctly chastening study. As Fingleton puts it: "The United States trails no fewer than eight other nations, all of which devote a larger share of their labor force to manufacturing."

    Fingleton, who distinguishes between high-end and low-end jobs, insists that the former, advanced manufacturing, must be reconstituted if the United States wants to remain a superpower. And what are these eroded industries? Semiconductor materials, ceramic packaging for semiconductors, charge-coupled devices (CCD), industrial robotics, numerically controlled machine tools, laser diodes and carbon fibers, to name only a few.

    Where did the manufacturing of these items go? In most cases, Japan now dominates the more advanced areas of these industries, says Fingleton, who lives in Tokyo. Moreover, he argues, by dint of superior know-how and large capital investments Japan now enjoys a global lock on key manufacturing processes.

    Fingleton recalls an America where men and women went to work and made the nation great, the old-fashioned way, by producing products people wanted and needed. And he juxtaposes the loss of advanced manufacturing jobs in this country with what he regards as the overvalued dollar, America's compulsion to borrow huge sums of money to fund its deficits and an illusionary U.S. prosperity based on unsustainable debt. For now Japan and China, both running huge trade surpluses, pay the United States' bills, he says. Where does this leave the American worker? He puts the answer simply: Out of work!

    It is not true that Japan is in dire economic straits, Fingleton maintains. In a recent article in the London journal Prospect entitled "Japan's Fake Funk," he writes: "The Western consensus is that Japan is a basket case: It is not. That is a misreading by the West."

    Meanwhile, he says, ill-conceived U.S. policies have failed to protect home-based American industries, leading to the transference of the most advanced technologies known to mankind. Fingleton says flatly that Japan has built up its industrial base at the expense of the United States, and that China now is chomping at the bit to do the same. ....

    Eamonn Fingleton: I mean those engaged in advanced manufacturing. Specifically, industries that are both highly capital intensive and highly know-how intensive. They typically are many orders of magnitude more capital-intensive and know-how intensive than the most advanced of "New Economy" services, such as computer software developed in the last three decades.

    Although Japan is known in the West for its leadership in certain consumer products such as cars and television sets, its area of greatest leadership is in much more advanced industries that largely are invisible to the consumer. Specifically, Japan leads almost right across the board in the sort of advanced materials, high-tech components and production machinery that are driving the electronic revolution. Some products may be assembled in the United States, but their key manufacture - the manufacture of the advanced components and materials - is done in Japan. ....

    much more here: http://www.pushhamburger.com/edge.htmEconomic

    --
    eat shiat and bark at the moon
  9. To be corrected by coming Indo-Paki nuclear war... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny
    Predicted weather report from Microsoft's Bangalore Campus: Warm and dry, with temperatures reaching 30,000 degrees Centigrade, winds at 4000 kilometres per hour.

    It's a pleasant day to take a break: step outside, get some vitamin D and experience the full power of Shiva's spear.

  10. Grr... by iamdrscience · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm really concerned that the prevailing opinion on Slashdot seems to be that outsourcing is horrible. I hate that it's hard for people to find work and that many IT workers have lost their jobs, just as much as anyone else, but stopping outsourcing is not the solution. We operate in a global economy, if companies did not outsource then they would not remain competitive in the global market and you would all lose your jobs. Despite the temporary hardships of the people who have lost their jobs, this is, in the end, for the good of the U.S. economy. It's just a restructuring of the work force right now.

    I'm sorry if anyone here disagrees (and I'm sure there are those who will) but I really think you need to look at the big picture and I hope you'll agree that it's for the best for all of us, despite the temporary problems it's causing for many of you.

  11. Re:Any project managers out there? by dffuller · · Score: 4, Funny

    First you have to get the lobotomy.

  12. Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Aliens by reporter · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Any high-tech job that can be outsourced will be outsourced. You will see a continuous shrinking of the high-tech labor force.

    Both political parties claim that free markets require the free exchange of goods and services (which includes labor) between the USA and other members of the World Trade Organization (WTO) and fusing the American market with the Chinese/Indian/Mexican market maintains the free market in the USA. Unfortunately, the politicians are just playing a verbal game with economics.

    Allow me to explain. The USA, in isolation, is a relatively free market -- with relatively little government intervention (compare to, say, China). So is Japan, Canada, and the rest of the West. However, Mexico, China, and India are not free markets. Excessive government intervention has damaged the markets in those economies, and they cannot provide jobs for millions of underemployed persons.

    When the USA interacts with, say, China, we have the interaction of a free market and a non-free market. The by-product (i.e. millions of underemployed Chinese) of non-market forces now affects the market dynamics in the USA. The underemployed Chinese are a continuing stream of cheap slave labor; jobs are then transferred from the USA to China.

    The USA is no longer a free market because non-market forces (in this case, Chinese government intervention) is altering the dynamics of the labor market in the USA. The verbal game that politicians play is to simply define the USA to be a "free market", ignoring the fact that the Chinese government is now grossly affecting the labor market of the USA.

    Similar comments apply to both India and Mexico. Similar comments apply to H-1B workers and illegal aliens from Mexico: the American government has, in effect, actively used H-1B workers and illegal aliens to intervene in the labor markets in both high tech and low tech. Illegal aliens have destroyed the upward pressure on wages in the market for unskilled labor. H-1B have hurt salaries for engineers. Shortages are a normal part of any labor market, and they are an upward force on salaries/wages and working conditions. When the government actively works to wipe out such shortages, the government is damaging market forces.

    If you hate what is happening to our country, the USA, then please write the following on the November ballot.

    president: Bill O'Reilly
    vice-president: Tammy Bruce

  13. Bubbles, there's and ours by AHumbleOpinion · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Those lost jobs, are they measured from when the bubble started, the peak of the bubble, a pre-bubble trend line predicting normal growth? India and China's high tech growth, is there a bubble over their? Have we, in typical American fashion, over reacted to one extreme and gone to the other? The only point I am trying to make is that things are far more complicated than a simple statistic suggests.

  14. Re:It is not just bush, but neoliberalism itself by Izaak · · Score: 4, Informative

    All politicians are liars. I'd rather have Clinton as president and get a balanced budget instead of national health care versus a talking chimpanzee promising whatever he's promising and getting "National Security".

    I've been recommending people to FactCheck.org to see past all the political spin and really learn about the issues before the election. Factcheck is a non-partisan voter advocacy group that does a great job of separating fact from fiction in the midst of all the mudslinging going on.

  15. Re:Sources please.. by Izago909 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Sorry for the broken links:

    http://www.poe-news.com/stories.php?poeurlid=32085 http://archive.salon.com/politics/war_room/2004/02 /23/mcjobs/ http://www.shortnews.com/shownews.cfm?id=37255 http://www.canuckflack.com/archives/000084.html http://www.bradcarson.com/pressreleases/archives/0 00416.php

    Are we to equate a worker on an assembly line to the punk messsing up my order at McDonalds? Saying fast food workers are part of the manufacturing sector is a clever way to say that America is gaining manufacturing jobs. Too bad it's like Enron filing debits to collectors as assets.

  16. And this is Why by weston · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Having spent the last year working as a project manager for a graphic design firm, coming from a development background, I think I now understand why: you must be task oriented, not system oriented, and you must have no aversion to telling someone (not something) else to do something, rather than doing it yourself, and finally, keeping schedules and budgets is not immersive work, it's work that requires lots of shallow and responsive handling.

    Programmers are inherently system oriented. When there's a problem to fix, they want to build something that solves it, or enables someone else to solve it. The old saw about the programmer who will spend hours to write a script that could do something (perhaps tedious) that he could have done in 30 minutes is what's at work here.

    Most of the programmers I know also have no problem telling a machine to do something -- or even talking about how an organization should run. But when it comes down to telling someone what they should be doing and when it needs to be done by -- that's a whole different thing.

    Most programmers I know like immersive tasks... something you can sit down, focus on, mull over, work deeply in, and then deliver. PM is about turning lots of shallow details fast. There's a lot more task switching (which is why if you try to do some of the work yourself, you're doomed to failure, because immersive tasks and having a large volume of shallow details to take care of don't mix at all).

    These are problems I share, and it didn't take me long to realize what they were, but it took me months to get over them (and also, to get the organization to stop thinking of me as a person they could *also* give web dev work to as well). I've gotten much better, but it was a hard haul the first six months, and sometimes I'd rather be back making cool things rather than dealing with this.

    But: the good thing is that most programmers are skilled at breaking a problem down into smaller, more easily solvable problems. Their systems thinking can be a great strength if the project allows enough slack to let them set the system. They're introspective enough they can self-improve. And if they've got deft enough social skills to get people to do what they're supposed to, they can become quite succesful.

  17. Re:And if bush stays in office it will get worse by Izaak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    bush has put american in such a recession, not to mention his spending on iraq which put america in a huge debt, he could have used that money right here, to fix problems in USA.

    Here here. There was a great chart recently (in the New York Times I think) that showed how the money we 've spent in Iraq could be better spent here on home... on things like better border security, more cops on the street, etc. Very sobering.

    Bush has completely screwed up in the war on terror. He left things unfinished in Afghanistan, Bin Ladin is still at large, no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, increasing violence in Iraq, rising anti-American sentiment throughout the world, and strained relations with our allies. The Bush administration keeps beating the drum about what a steady and determined leader he is... but is anyone paying attention to where he is leading us?

    In Bush's convention speach he went on about all the stuff he would do in the next four years. Reduce the deficit, reduce our dependence on foreign oil, protect the environment, and make us safer from terrorism... but he had the last four years to accomplish that and he did the exact opposite. He rolled back environmental protections, ran up a record deficit, adopted an energy policy drafted by Enron, and engaged in a illconceived, preemptive war that has become a recruiting poster for the terrorists. And we are suposed believe he will do better in the next four years?

  18. It's the Policy, Stupid! by soloport · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I remember lots of grumblings about Gore being more "tech-friendly" than Bush, around that time. To me the recession seemed to follow the election's outcome quite fittingly. Remember the slap on the wrist Microsoft received in 2001? If economic logic holds that competition makes for a healthy economy, then Republicans (based on behavior alone) are quite anti-healthy economy.

    I've lived in third-world countries enough to know that the very poor are kept in poverty by the very wealthy -- who hold, not just most of the wealth, but most of the power. What my armchair-economist opinion says is:
    1) Robin Hood would have made a good Democrat and a great economist. To tax the rich to support the commoners (Welfare, Healthcare, decent Unemployment benefits, Social Security, etc.) forces money to "flow".
    2) When one cuts taxes for the rich it cuts off the flow of money -- plain and simple.
    3) "Trickle-down Economics" is pure myth. There is no such thing. It's a nice idea and, like a lot of get-rich-quick schemes, is based on a few grains of truth.

    Wealthy people *hoard* money. It's in their nature to do so. That's why they're wealthy. You have to incent them to invest their money. Taxes make for a great incentive to "shelter" one's money -- through investments. Use it or lose it! Ever wonder why VC's are being so stingie these days? Their money is much safer, today, from taxation. The most important factor in converting a stagnant economy (as found in so many 3rd world countries) into a bristling one is simply to get one's currency to flow!

    It's easy to think a recession couldn't just happen so quickly; Easy to think the resession was "inherited". But economic policies have very real, fast-acting consequences. If you don't believe it, then you haven't watched the reactions on Wall Street on the days when Allen Greenspan speaks.

    Well, I guess the earlier poster was right. This *does* belong in politics.slashdot.org ;-)

  19. Re:Don't believe this stuff by HuguesT · · Score: 5, Insightful

    You go tell that to someone in a trailer park near Saint Louis or Detroit, then if you live you can come back and tell us the tale of how it went.

    The gap does matter, because when a significant proportion of the population becomes richer and the rest doesn't or not as much, large items such as houses, access to private health care, private education and even cars become a lot more expensive and you have the making of deprived neighborhoods where everyone is a tenant in a shabby house, and then crime flourishes.

    In the US there is a lot of crime, a lot of drugs, a lot of people under a federally declared line of poverty who live a short and dangerous life that a Roman Emperor certainly wouldn't have chosen for himself.

    This is also true of most countries in the west. In Australia where I live Aboriginal people on average live 20 years less than non-aboriginal, even in the middle of Sydney. A lot of it is due to poor sanitation, lack of education and general poverty.

    There are poor people in the US and elsewhere who are not given a fair deal in life because they happen to have been born in a poor neighborhood and I can tell you that it does in fact suck.

    I'm pretty damn certain you wouldn't want to take their place next to the beautiful cell phone they have so please stop patronizing, you are insulting a lot of people.

  20. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by GOD_ALMIGHTY · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Uhhhh.... I was with you until this:
    If you hate what is happening to our country, the USA, then please write the following on the November ballot.

    president: Bill O'Reilly
    vice-president: Tammy Bruce


    Seriously, I've said the same stuff about the situation with India and China, just got finished mentioning it before I saw this post. But, and this is a big but, your conclusion makes abso-fscking-lutely no sense whatsoever. Bill OReilly can't keep left and right straight, much less understand how the hell to deal with pushing Fair Trade instead of Free Trade.

    How would an anti-Union, pro-Corporate shill for the right do jack to help the American Worker?

    I was really expecting to see you throw support to John Kerry, but WTF? Did I miss a joke somewhere?

    --
    Arrogance is Confidence which lacks integrity. -- me
  21. People vote with their wallets. by raehl · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And people buy the least expensive item possible.

    Who cares why Indians and Chinese are willing to work for less? It doesn't matter. If their governments are willing to force their people to sell their labor for cheap (an assumption I disagree with, but let's run with it anyway) that's just good for us.

    Americans want their own jobs protected, but then turn around and buy the imported item that's cheaper. And that *IS* a free market - Americans are deciding that saving a few bucks is better than employing other americans, and THAT is why jobs are outsourced.

    Because Americans WANT jobs to be outsourced.

    Just not theirs. But they lose that vote.

    1. Re:People vote with their wallets. by DAldredge · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Well, till enought people in the USA have their wages reduced so much that they vote in people to fix the problem.

      That is something the medieval history major that runs HP and others like her forget to take in account.

      Kind of like the only people who are supporting all the illegal immigration are those that live in gated communities and/or have their own compounds and private security.

      I also suggest you look up and see who the insurer of last resort is for all these overseas factories. HINT. it is the US Taxpayer.

  22. Re:Don't believe this stuff by GOD_ALMIGHTY · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There's no other way to say it. YOU ARE WRONG. Not just a little wrong, but really really wrong.

    It matters, it matters a lot. Concentration of wealth is the single greatest threat to our democracy and the American Revolution. Go read the Federalist Papers. This "class-warfare claptrap", as you call it, is real. Perhaps Marie Antionette or the Bolsheviks could give you a little refresher. Your example is crap to boot. The current recovery has seen corporate profits grow by 62.2% while private wages have fallen by .06%. In the previous 8 recoveries, since the Great Depression, the average growth was split at about 13.9% corporate profit and 9.9% labor with private wage growth of 7.2%.

    There is a point, which can't be defined, where the concentration of wealth becomes so great that the probability that the wealthy will wind up in a losing deal falls to such a point that there is no way to get ahead. New growth is dominated by the wealthy (see the cronyism of 90's IPO's), those without wealth have no choice but to scramble for scraps from the table. This results in defacto tyranny and lack of opportunity. It results in stagnation of innovation, just like when property was controlled entirely by royalty and the church in Europe.

    The purpose of the Revolution was to ensure that no citizen is forced to live the life of a slave (obvious exception for slaves, who weren't citizens). When you don't have choices, you are a slave. It doesn't matter if that lack of choice comes from government or private means.

    Some men can work 40 hours a week and easily support himself, but there are millions of Americans that can't. The number of people living below the poverty line has increased by 1.4 million in the last year alone. Your argument is like saying the serfs were better off because their lords protected them from roving gangs of bandits. The facts disagree with your estimate of the welfare of the poor in this country.

    Go look up Noah Webster, he wrote on the side of the Federalists and either Madison or Hamilton's request (can't remember which). Your arguements are nothing more than straw men. Go read some primary sources, look at the whole picture and apply some logic.

    Wealth is real power. If the scales become tipped too far, our entire country will fail. The parent isn't insightful, it's naive. It's a modern version of "If they have no bread, let them eat cake!".

    --
    Arrogance is Confidence which lacks integrity. -- me
  23. Re:Lest we forget the dot-com burst by finkployd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Bush's recent surge in the polls is likely in no small part because of the these ads.

    I'm willing to bet it had more to do with the speaches at the RNC having to do with actual, important, and relevent issues. The DNC degenerated into a "yay, I served in Vietnam" pep rally.

    Don't get me wrong, I am no friend of Bush (and I sure as hell will not be voting for him), but Kerry is running the saddest campaign I have seen yet. The Swift boat thing wouldn't have even BEEN an issue if Kerry hadn't made it the cornerstone of his early campaign. It is completely irrelevent. Not to mention the constant "I have a plan for the economy and Iraq but I can't tell you until after I am elected" comments.

    And the strange "let's blame Bush for letting the assault weapon ban expire" tactic. Nevermind that it was a completely symbolic law that accomplished absolutely nothing, and never mind that Bush (as president) doesn't introduce legislation. Say, isn't introducing legislation the job of congressmen? And what is Kerry again? hmmmmm. I'm pretty sure he is a congressman but the guy never shows up for votes. Sheesh.

    Given all the legit ammunition against Bush this election should be a cakewalk, yet we see Kerry consistently screw it up.

  24. Re:Don't be a girlie-man economist. by GOD_ALMIGHTY · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No slave ever got freedom by happily pleasing his masters.

    Again, bad logic. You've provided a false dichotomy. Choose the second option all you want, it doesn't mean it's based in reality. NAFTA did send a lot of jobs outside the US, go ask anyone who lost a manufacturing job to Mexico. Outsourcing is a bad deal. It's sending middle class jobs and a strong tax base overseas for what? What has come back? Where are the new industries building on top of this and creating jobs? Why would you even start that industry in this country instead of India?

    Your response to someone telling you that you got screwed in a business deal is "don't be a girlie-man economist"? I call it being stupid, but don't take it from me: I Am an Economic Girlie-Man [Motley Fool Take] September 1, 2004

    Free Trade only works among equals. We are not equal to any other country or economy in the world. Free Trade is a one way street for this country where we lose. Fair Trade is the only way we can grow and ensure that the promises of globalization are realized.

    The current situation is being buoyed by the floating of our currency by China and other developing countries so that they can artifically lower their currency and keep the growth coming at our expense, literally.

    You're solution is to smile while we trade good middle class jobs and quality American products for cheap Chinese crap at Wal-Mart and non-service from India. Excuse me if I hold higher asperations for my country.

    --
    Arrogance is Confidence which lacks integrity. -- me
  25. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by tunabomber · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When the USA interacts with, say, China, we have the interaction of a free market and a non-free market. The by-product (i.e. millions of underemployed Chinese) of non-market forces now affects the market dynamics in the USA.

    I'm not sure I understand how the influx of cheap labor would be any worse for the U.S. than if China truly did have a free market.
    If China had a truly free market, and your assumption about this improving the Chineses domestic job market was true, then who would all these workers be employed by? Chinese companies. And who would these Chinese companies compete with? American companies, which would have a competitive disadvantage since American workers are more expensive than Chinese workers, thanks to high living costs.
    The American companies would then lose business, forcing them to trim their workforces.

    The problem here is that if we try to compete with other countries in the unskilled or lesser-skilled labor markets, we will lose every time. In the long run, there are only a few things that we can do if we want to keep our jobs:

    a. Become exceptionally skilled workers (not difficult, considering the exceptional quality of educational institutions in the U.S.)
    b. Keep on moving into new markets as the old markets become dominated by companies that rely on cheap labor.
    c. Do something about the high living costs in the U.S., which are making this country extremely hostile to the working classes.

    --

    pi = 3.141592653589793helpimtrappedinauniversefactory71 ...
  26. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by jkrise · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Much as any politician would hate to accept, the economy is now well and truly in the hand of the Corporates, not the political forum. Anyone getting elected to the presidency will hardly make a difference to the economy. Consider the strength of the Chinese and the Indian economies, and consider for a moment who's been in power in those countries for some years now....

    -

    --
    If you keep throwing chairs, one day you'll break windows....
  27. Re:There are other ways of viewing it by tupps · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unfortunately the goverments in these countries are unable to pay for all the infrastructure etc that is needed.

    The people in the IT sectors are making money for countries like India. The Indian government has put a lot of money into educating people and now the Indian IT sector is taking off. This will bring money into India and from those taxes generate revenue for the govt to pay for infrastructure etc. With a global economy Indian business men are just taking advantage of supply and demand, at present the supply side of things (heaps of people in India with IT skills) is larger than the demand (companies wanting to outsource) and therefore the price is dirt cheap.

    You saw the same thing with steel and cars. I remember when if you were looking at cheap/crap electronics you could be guarenteed that it came from Taiwan. Over time the reputation of Taiwan has improved and higher value goods are being produced there. Cheap electronics now typically come from China. Same thing happened with cars and Japan. I would like to see the look on a car sales person face in 1980 if you told them that Japan would be producing some of the top of the line cars, and that Toyota and Honda would both have Formula 1 and Indy cars.

    --
    Go out and get sailing!
  28. Re:how about new grads? by C60 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is probably going to get my flamed to hell, but screw it.

    Join the military. Frankly, that's where the .gov is spending all the money. As a college grad, you start out with a rank increase, there are programs where they will pay off your loans. Add to that the fact that they will train you in the practical application of your skills, they'll pay you to continue going to school while you're in the military, and unless you're a total screw up you've got a fair paying job for at least 4 to 6 years. And it really is fair paying, as you get a paycheck, a housing allowance, and a food allowance, not to mention a whole crap load of other potential bonuses like extra pay for knowing a second language.

    The .mil of today isn't like the .mil of 10 years ago. When I started out in the IT industry the thought of the military was not even on my radar. After 2 years of being unemployed from the IT industry I started to really stretch my idea of what was acceptable and did a lot of research, and frankly, as a second career, the military really isn't all that bad as long as you aren't infantry. It's the only place where I can make a living, go back to school, and not be penalized by management for it.

    And to be honest, with the discussions flying around about reinstating the draft, it's a great way to avoid being drafted ;)

    --
    Karma: 0 (But I wield a mean +10 Vorpal Apathy)
  29. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by maxpublic · · Score: 5, Interesting

    You're missing a big piece of the picture here. Putting aside the fact that America isn't a free market and hasn't been for quite some time, let's pretend for a moment that the entire world - every single country - is happily following Adam Smith's theory as closely as possible.

    What happens? The overall wealth of the entire world rises, probably markedly. The system as a whole benefits from free market economics. Let me repeat that: the system AS A WHOLE benefits from free market economics.

    This DOES NOT MEAN that EVERY NATION benefits from this situation. All free market economics guarrantees is that the world, taken as a whole, will be wealthier than it was before. Some areas will see their wealth increase by vast amounts; others by lesser amounts; and some areas will actually see their wealth DECLINE. But when you add them all up, the world - as a whole - will be wealthier.

    The free market doesn't distribute wealth fairly nor equally, nor should it. That's what socialism - the antithesis of the free market - tries to do. It could very well be that even if every nation in the world were as close to the free market as possible, that the U.S. could end up being one of the losers while many other nations wind up being the big winners.

    The free market doesn't guarrantee an increase in wealth for every part of the system, just for the system overall. Smith himself mentioned this but saw it as a good thing, standing apart from national interests to give a (mostly) objective rendering of his theory.

    As an American I'm concerned with the welfare of myself and my fellow citizens first and foremost, and this only makes sense. If I were more concerned about Nigeria, it would behoove me to move to Nigeria and become a citizen of that country, since I'm putting Nigerian interests before that of any other country. But seeing as how I'm an American and I don't have any hankering at all to be a Nigerian, my primary focus is on increasing the wealth of AMERICA. It would be incredibly stupid of me to sacrifice my own rational self-interest - along with that of my countrymen, my relatives, my friends, and my children - to argue for free-market economics in a situation where America stands to lose and others stand to gain. Deliberately depriving yourself, your friends, your family, and your chilren of opportunities, shipping them overseas for others to take advantage of, isn't 'altruism'; it's foolishness bordering on the criminal (or the insane).

    Oddly enough, both the Democrats and the Republicans argue that this is a good thing and that we do all this in accordance with the 'free market' (again, despite the fact that America isn't much of a free market). That selling out American workers is fine and dandy because it upholds the mantra 'free market', and that in some magical fashion all the jobs lost will eventually be made up through the invention of new technologies. In the interim between the old economy and the imaginary new one which has yet to come, we lose more than 2 million jobs, 1.1 million of which are replaced by jobs which pay nearly $9,000 less than the ones which were lost. Unemployment is still higher than it's been since the recession year of 1983, but so many workers have been off the unemployment rolls for so long the government no longer counts them - and therefore, in some bizarre bureaucratic fashion, they're no longer unemployed.

    (How all of this innovation is supposed to occur under the new IP laws is beyond me, but that's a discussion for the next RIAA/MPAA/Disney news item.)

    As the parent poster mentioned, the situation becomes even worse when you embark on free market economics with nations that themselves don't practice anything like the free market. Massive government intervention along with vastly lower standards of living almost assures movement of jobs from the free market (or pseudo-free market) nations to the non-free market nations. Exactly what we're seeing right now, actually.

    The only way to stem the tide is

    --
    My god carries a hammer. Your god died nailed to a tree. Any questions?
  30. You can still blame Bush a bit. by Civil_Disobedient · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The tech industry crash might not have been caused by Clinton, but it started on his watch.

    I'll agree with you on this point. But there are smart things you can do, as president, to minimize the impact of such a crash, and then there are dumb things you can do that will only exacerbate the situation.

  31. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by shobadobs · · Score: 4, Informative

    No, free trade helps both countries. Just look at how hurt many industries were when Bush raised protectionist tariffs on steel: the steel industry was happy, but the rest of the country got hit with higher supply costs.

  32. Outsourcing is an effect, not a cause by cshotton · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Saying that outsourcing is the cause of US job losses in the tech industry ignores a very crucial point about the DotCom bubble and subsequent crash. As someone who hired many engineers during the late 90's through 2001, I saw an interesting trend in the US labor pool, due mainly to the shortage of qualified tech workers. Specifically, many, many people who were not formally trained in computer science, information science, or engineering were representing themselves as programmers, software engineers, and other technology workers. I cannot tell you the number of English, History, and Communications majors whose resumes crossed my desk, all claiming that because they could author some HTML and knew Visual Basic, they were entitled to the "programmer" job title.

    What has happened is now that all of the failed companies and wacky business models are out of the market, these marginal tech workers are returning to the industries they were trained for. Yes, lots of good, highly trained programmers and analysts got caught up in the crash, because even the lamest of DotComs had to have someone to do the real work. But I would be willing to bet that the vast majority of technology jobs "lost" to outsourcing simply represents a shift of these cross-industry workers back to the areas they are trained in and a decision by US industries to pick a lower cost (and therefore, lower risk) alternative for staffing these lower end tech positions. Why pay $75k and full benefits for an informally trained web developer in the US when you can get the same skills (likely formally trained) offshore?

    I'm not defending the trend, but I think that it IS fair to point out that a lot of people were working in the tech industry, far outside their areas of expertise and far ahead of their skill levels and that imbalance has simply been corrected. To call it a loss and to blame that loss on outsourcing is to ignore the incredibly rapid gains that preceeded it.

    --

    Shut up and eat your vegetables!!!
  33. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by Genda · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The system is broken.

    We keep playing the game like it's an open system, and it never was, and now we are quickly discovering the end stops.

    Designing an economic model which awards wealth to those who grow, is doomed when a company, any company reaches market saturation.

    The American economy no longer exists, American business is multinational, global, and not limited to our borders. It finds cheap labor and brings the saving in production back to the U.S. where American consumers rejoice at the low cost of service and goods. Sadly it's all a sham. It's as unsustainable as a constant diet of junk food. It tastes good while you're eating it, but it's slowly killing you. It's all take and no give, the dollars fly out of the country faster and faster, until the nations fundamental wealth is gone, and the citizens of the nation notice they are now the collective bag holders.

    * Money that leaves never supports U.S. economy and infrastructure. * Money that leaves undermines U.S. labor, costing jobs and quality of living. * The growing gap between haves and have nots in the U.S. suggest a growing economic instability. Loss of jobs starting with manufacturing, but now quickly moving up through intellectual "white collar" professions, points to a growing joblessness with no end in sight. As the government services fail (and if you haven't been reading the paper or watching the news at 11:00, local government everywhere in this country is on the verge of collapse), the means to manage and provide basic life needs to the growing disenfranchised evaporates. The middle class vanishes. We are all reduced to the same level of living enjoyed by billions of starving people all over the world. Already 3% of our population owns 75% of the wealth, this is the greatest desparity in wealth in our history. And still the insanity accelerates. This is just the beginning ladies and gentlemen. What will you do, when your kids fresh out of college, with hundred thousand dollar college loans to pay, can't find work. What will you do, when you haven't received a raise in 4 years, and the boss says "Sorry, the work is heading to China."

    I've personally spent the last 6 months looking for work, I've had my resume tuned, I have 25 years of technical experience, and I've made it clear I'll do almost anything, and I have not had a single interview. I'm not alone, I have a couple hundred friends and acquaintances who've been unemployed for between 2 and 3.5 years.

    I keep hearing neocons mouthing the lines of Scrooge from a Christmas Carol... "the surplus population shold just get on with the business of dying...", or some variation of that. It's not bad yet. It may well get there. If it does, our government, is going to have a very bad time. Our society is going to have a very bad time. We need to begin addressing sustainable business practice from an economic, environmental, and ethics based context. To simply let the train go where it will is to insure a crash none of us will walk away from.

    Genda

  34. Long hours != more productive by Anonymous+Brave+Guy · · Score: 4, Interesting
    In Australia most good IT workers are on reasonable money (not always spectacular, but reasonable) and work ordinary 9-5 hours. [...] I have friends in a global company, and when they fly to the US to work on projects over there they can't believe how little gets done in your 70 hours. I think a lot of the difference is in work-ethic.

    That may be true, but there's also a much simpler explanation: saying that someone working a 70 hour week will be twice as productive as someone working a 35 hour week is simply wrong. In fact, as good management has long known, most people's performance degrades fairly dramatically not much beyond those 35 hours; you can do it for a short period in a crunch, but it's not sustainable. Moreover, the diminishing returns start to become negative after a while: someone who works 70 hour weeks regularly is likely to make so many mistakes that they become counterproductive, actually eating into other people's time to fix the problems they create.

    Can anybody remember the study (from Switzerland, I think) where a company dropped its work hours to 9-3 Monday-Friday and insisted its employees did not work significant overtime? Their staff were more focussed because they had limited time to get the work done, and because of the earlier finish they weren't always worrying about collecting kids from school, getting to the shops/doctor/dentist/post office, etc. Their productivity rocketed. I saw several reports about this, around the time of the tech boom when many companies were pushing for ever longer work hours, but I can't find a citation now...

    --
    If you disagree, post your argument. (-1, Overrated) isn't your personal censorship tool for views you don't like.
  35. Yep. I'm a fake IT guy. by xyote · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Despite being an expert in lock-free multi-threading (or at least playing one on usenet) and having citations in some of Paul McKenney's later RCU papers and in the latest Linux RCU documentation patch, I'm having difficulty finding work. Now I realize it's because I'm a fake.

    And all this time I though it might have had something to do with my resume sucks because it doesn't look like an HR wet dream. Or maybe something to do with age bias, I'm older than 20. Or maybe that companies are reluctant to hire even when they're severely understaffed. You figure something is up there when you seen the same job posted for over a year.

    Look, all the dotcommers who where cabdrivers and pizza delivery guys have long gone back to their old jobs. They have previous experience that allows them to do that. Have you ever tried to break into another trade when all you have is programming experience? I have news for you. You are considered totally unskilled and your competition for the jobs that take no skills are the dregs of the workforce and they are willing to work for a lot less than you are or even can. Ever try to live on sub minimun under the table wages?

    There's some kind of psychological factor here that kicks in when bad things happen to other people, that people use to convince themselves it won't happen to them because the people it did happen to somehow deserved it or brought it upon themselves. Nope. It's pure luck. You either got laid off or did not get laid off. Getting a job again seems to be pure luck (though personal connections or having a HR wet dreame resume seems to help). Think otherwise? Go ahead and quit your job and find out.

  36. Re:Analysis of Outsourcing, H-1Bs, and Illegal Ali by admiralh · · Score: 4, Informative

    "I was a couragous soldier in Vietnam!" "What do you mean everyone else that was with me says I was a coward and an idiot! SHIT the truth is out!"

    All of the claims by that Swift Boat group that ran those ads have been thouroghly debunked. One of them even got the same award Kerry did from the same incident. And ask the guy Kerry pulled from the water if Kerry was a coward?

    It's also been well-documented that that Swift Boat group consisted of mostly Republican activists who had, if not direct/illegal ties to the Bush campaign, at least a wink-wink-nudge-nudge ties.

    The fact is that you wing-nuts can't stand it when someone who served in Vietnam criticizes the Bushes, but let's look at the record.

    • John McCain - Vietnam POW.
      Bushies say: Manchurian Candidate - fathered a child with a black woman.
    • Max Cleland - Lost three limbs in Vietnam.
      Bushies say: He's unpatriotic because he thinks Homeland Security workers ought to be able to unionize.
    • John Kerry - 3 Purple hearts (and still has sharpnel in his thigh), Bronze Star, Silver Star
      Bushies say: Didn't earn the medals. Wounds not sufficiently serious. Vietnam vets had their "feelings hurt" when Kerry testified as to the war crimes that soldiers were ordered to do.

    Yeah I want a guy that cant make up his mind and lies about is service duty. And you cant say Bush lied because its all there. Even though they try and make something out of his record theres nothing there to bash him about. :) I love liberal media.

    Nothing to bash Bush about? Let's look at the President's "record"

    • Gained entrace to Yale as a "legacy", since his entrance exam scores would not have qualified.
    • Scored the minimum on the pilot qualifying test, but still jumps ahead of thousands on a waiting list to get into the Texas Air National Guard's "Champagne Unit", along with sons orf other prominent Texans (including Democrat Lloyd Bentsen) and members of the Dallas Cowboys. It was well known that this unit would never get called to go into Vietnam, since the decision had been made early on in Vietnam not to callup reservists or Guard members, but to use regular army and draftees.
    • Did not report for a mandatory physical (right after drug tests were instituted, but I'm sure that's just a coincidence) and was stripped of his pilot's wings as a result, effectively throwing a million or so dollars of pilot training down the drain.
    • Requested a trnsfer from Texas to Alabama to work on a Senate campaign, but the records of what he actually did there, if anything, are spotty at best.
    • Was released from his guard duty months early so he could attend Harvard Business School, where he routinely got "gentlemen's C's". One professor said he would sit in the back row of class wearing his flight jacket, and throw spitballs during class.

    His business record is no better.

    And as to the "liberal media", they have given Bush a free ride for a long time now. They held Al Gore to far tougher standards of "truth" then they've ever held Bush, and they're doing it again to Kerry. If you want to continue your delusional right-wing thinking, go ahead, but don't go crying "liberal media" whenever they bring up inconvenient facts which challenge your pre-conceived notions.

    --
    Hopelessly pedantic since 1963.