Slashdot Mirror


Presidential Debates Set

The debates are set, there will be four of them: Sept. 30, Oct. 8, and Oct. 13, and Oct. 5 for the VPs. All are at 9 p.m. Eastern. Get more details and read the memorandum of understanding (it is unreadable in Preview for me, I had to use Acrobat). There's not much different in here than in previous years. Says CNN: "A senior Kerry source said the Bush campaign was 'hung up' over whether a light or something audible like a buzzer would be used to tell the candidates when their time is up. A Bush official acknowledged that last-minute questions, mostly over the time cue issue, held up the agreement." In related news, it appears the first debate proposed by the truly nonpartisan Citizens' Debate Commission, scheduled for this Wednesday in Columbus, isn't going to happen.

31 of 207 comments (clear)

  1. Typical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Typical of politicians to get stuck on the least important decisison...

  2. useless - Kerry is already kebabized by dario_moreno · · Score: 2, Interesting


    According to "the Economist", however, Kerry is already "kebabized" over Vietnam and his changing mind over the Iraq war, while Bush is very hard to kebabize about his military record the silver spoon he had in his mouth when he was born, and "probably up his nose", and also because he is constantly underestimated.

    People have already started voting thanks to loose absentee rules in several states, electronic voting machines are everywhere, districts are gerrymandered, the vote is amplified by the electoral colleges, and everyone has already accepted the result thanks to biased polls.

    --
    Google passes Turing test : see my journal
  3. bush is hard to beat by the_unknown_soldier · · Score: 2, Insightful

    All this about bush being stupid, but Kerry was on the faily show and he said 'bush has never lost a debate he has been in'

    It should be an interesting battle. I doubt kerry will win

    1. Re:bush is hard to beat by fenix+down · · Score: 5, Funny

      Bush can't lose because everybody thinks he's stupid. That's why he wins, he wanders around stuttering and mispronouncing everything for 6 months, until the expectation is that he'll debate like a rotting fish. Then Bush just does enough coke pre-debate to create the illusion of competence, and victory is his.

    2. Re:bush is hard to beat by N3WBI3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Perhaps but it has more to do with someone assuming because he mispronounces something he is stupid (never mind the Harvard MBA). The guy is not the brightest president we have but I very much doubt he is actually below average, let alone stupid. He debates well because he is focused and knows what he believes, Kerry will have to stop trying to cover his ass on every issue (take both sides) if he hopes to do well.

      --
    3. Re:bush is hard to beat by DavidNWelton · · Score: 2, Informative

      He got the Harvard MBA and everything else thanks to his dad from what I can tell. I would much, much rather see someone like Powell or McCain in his place. Those are men I can respect.

      If Bush is not below average, who the hell are the presidents who pulled the average that low?! You've got to be pulling my leg...

      Sure there are people who are smart but poor speakers, but for someone whose job description includes speaking with the world at large and its leaders on a regular basis, I sure wouldn't hire someone with as tenuous a grasp on the language as Bush.

  4. The debates could be very good for Kerry by bskin · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'm personally a Kerry supporter, but I don't think his campaign has been handled terribly well. One of the most frequent complaints I've seen levied against Kerry has been that he hasn't presented a clear plan for what he would do if he were president. People seem to feel that, whether or not they agree with what Bush says, he seems very forward in his message and they feel like they have a good idea what to expect if he served another term. Kerry, on the other hand, has given vague suggestions about what he'd do, but hasn't presented much in the way of a solid plan. Now, his attacks this week about Iraq were quite a bit more specific than what he's done in the past, but Iraq is such a volatile issue that I doubt it's going to rally undecided voters much.

    Edwards will likely do well in the vice presidential debate, regardless of how Kerry does, just by virtue as coming across as generally more likeable than Cheney. This probably won't mean much, of course. But if Kerry comes out and answers questions directly, without trying to skirt the issues, he could see quite a gain from his debate performance. He's a much better speaker than Bush, and if he comes out directly with solid goals for when he becomes president, he could raise undecided voters' passion quite a bit.

    Of course, who knows what Kerry will actually do. I don't have that much confidence that he'll be able to pull it off. But I think if he makes a solid effort to present himself as decisive in the debates, it could very well change the momentum in the election. Or he may just fuck it up like he's been doing the rest of the campaign. We'll have to wait and see.

    --
    hot foreign sheep.
    1. Re:The debates could be very good for Kerry by bhima · · Score: 2, Funny
      To be sure! "Not being Bush" will carry him so far. And I think the whole Vietnam thing is a waste of time.

      I've never heard him speak (I live in the EU) can he speak proper English? This is always a point of contention with my British friends, after they are done lambasting Blair for being a dishonest Bush lapdog, they point out that at least he has a grasp of the English language.

      One of them recently sent me a MP3 of Bush struggling with the concept of Native American sovereignty and it was just too painful to listen to.

      --
      Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
    2. Re:The debates could be very good for Kerry by mre5565 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > Edwards will likely do well in the vice
      > presidential debate, regardless of how
      > Kerry does, just by virtue as coming
      > across as generally more likeable than Cheney.

      I expect Cheney to eviscerate Edwards, a
      former litigator, on tort reform. Not that
      anyone really cares about the VP debates.

    3. Re:The debates could be very good for Kerry by Shihar · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I tend to almost entirely disagree with you. First, I think the debates have the potential to be horrible for both sides. The real question is how hard will the questions be. For Kerry, hard policy questions that focus on what he said in the past compared to what he is saying now are going to hurt him badly. Kerry has some very stupid things and latter done 180's on them. His waffling support of the Iraq war is probably the most notable of these issues. Even if the questions are not hard, you can pretty much assume that on certain key questions Bush is going to unleash a broadside on Kerry for the way he has voted for in the past. I think there is a real chance for it to be ugly for Kerry in this regard. Kerry also has to worry about not answering directly enough. As stupid as Bush sounds a lot of the time, it often makes Kerry look like an elitist who can't answer a question straight. The way Bush throws his arm over the podium, leans into the microphone, and bobs his head up and down while saying something bluntly and without elegance into the microphone might actually help him against Kerry. That said, if Kerry has any brains in his camp (and he does), they will likely be drilling him to answer questions directly. Kerry can't afford to look like he is dodging questions, and if his advisers have anything to say about it, I imagine he won't.

      As for Bush, I think there is less chance for something to go wrong, but if things do go wrong, I think there is a great chance for them going VERY wrong. Namely, Bush is a poor public speaker. Generally he gets through it by coming off as a 'down to earth kinda guy'. Every now and then though he gets hit by surprise with a question and he does a deer in the headlights response. I think the right question could cause Bush to freeze on an important issue, and if that happens he could be hurt very badly. So, while I think this scenario is much less likely then Kerry getting pined to a wall for something stupid he has said, I think if it does happen Bush is going to be hurt badly.

      As for the VP debates, I hand them to Cheney hands down. Edwards is a likable guy, but Cheney is an excellent and articulate speaker. Cheney doesn't have much in the way of skeleton's in his closet they can bring out, and I doubt anything can blindside him. Cheney, like him or hate him, is a very smart guy who is very convincing. I think the VP debates can only hurt the Democrats. A lot of people have the image of Cheney being a slimy guy who whispers in the president's ears (and you can bet that at that the later is probably very true). However, the VP debates will certainly not show this and instead give the impression that he is just a smart and articulate guy. Cheney has the opportunity to convince people that the general opinion of him is untrue. Edwards on the other hand doesn't have much to gain. People already like him. The Democrats really have nothing to gain in the VP debates. The VP debates can only lead the Democrats down hill, but of course the chances of many people seeing the VP debates are pretty slim.

      All of the above said, it is not a done deal by any stretch of the imagine. There are some big ugly landmines sitting out there that either candidate could hit and ruin them. There is also the October surprise (terrorist attack, sudden change in Iraq ,sudden change in the economy) that could thoroughly muddy the water. I just don't think the debates offer much promise for the Democrats.

    4. Re:The debates could be very good for Kerry by Keebler71 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      He's a much better speaker than Bush, and if he comes out directly with solid goals for when he becomes president, he could raise undecided voters' passion quite a bit.

      I don't quite agree with you here. Sure, Bush is well-known for mis-speaking and mis-pronouncing things on a regular basis. However, the masses, for whatever reason seem to have given him a pass on this [non]issue.

      Kerry on the other hand is a seasoned Senate orator... one would think that he should trounce the word-fumbling president much like Gore in 2000(who also was a senator) ... but whoops! That didn't happen, the debates ended up hurting Gore. From Daily Kos (I can't believe I am citing daily Kos but what the hell,... here's to trying to be impartial):

      The first presidential debate was held on October 3 and despite the fact that Gore was widely considered the winner (by an average of 9%), his behavior at the debate coupled with media coverage that labeled him an exaggerator, denied Gore a bounce. The race was a statistical dead heat leading up to the second debate on October 11. This time, Bush was the clear winner (by an average of 9%) and did receive a bounce. Bush was leading by an average of 4% leading up to the third debate on October 17, of which there was no clear winner (people favored Gore slightly).
      Moreover, I have read a few articles like this one expressing concern for Kerry's 'meandering' speaking style. Personally, I think Kerry is a fine communicator, but then again maybe I am overestimating the listening comprehension of the average American.

      he could raise undecided voters' passion quite a bit.

      I think more interestingly will be the tone of the debates. This election is different than most. I don't believe that anyone is really 'undecided' given the polarization of the electorate. As opposed to past debates where the focus was on woo-ing undecideds (which has to be done somewhat gently and positively), I think that this series will be more about shoring up the base voters and trying to scare the decided but not stolid supporters on the other side. In other words... I think it will be quite ugly as debates go.

      --
      "It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your own ignorance." - Thomas Sowell
    5. Re:The debates could be very good for Kerry by Rayonic · · Score: 2, Interesting

      > I don't quite agree with you here. Sure, Bush is well-known for mis-speaking and mis-pronouncing things on a regular basis. However, the masses, for whatever reason seem to have given him a pass on this [non]issue.

      Actually, Bush often references and makes fun of his previous verbal gaffes.

  5. Re:useless - Kerry is already kebabized by N3WBI3 · · Score: 4, Informative
    According to "the Economist", however, Kerry is already "kebabized" over Vietnam and his changing mind over the Iraq war, while Bush is very hard to kebabize about his military record the silver spoon he had in his mouth when he was born

    That might be because Kerry decided to run on his Vietnam service and his 15 positions on Iraq..

    districts are gerrymandered

    In a presidential district the only state that districts matter are ME an NB (total 10 EV).

    the vote is amplified by the electoral colleges

    As it is intended to be, we are a federal Republic not a direct democracy

    and everyone has already accepted the result thanks to biased polls

    The same polls had Kerry Winning two months ago? If kerry loses this its because he refused to define himself as anything other than a vietnam vet who would do "everything" "different" in Iraq (note the specifics he has given)..

    --
  6. Go Citizens' Debate Commission! by quintessent · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A very good idea, no matter which side of the fence you're on. Debates have gotten so stale, even the most stalwart arm chair politicians have a hard time swallowing them. The 2000 Bush-Gore debates were just awful because of their predictability and the absense of real political discourse.

    Citizen's Debate Commission is made of people all over the spectrum who want to bring back real debates, where the candidates answer actual unscreened questions from actual human beings. Count me in.

    1. Re:Go Citizens' Debate Commission! by Veridium · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Unfortunately it looks like they aren't going to be attending a Citizens Debate Commision event. Assuming I've read everything right.

      They say this:
      "The debates will provide an opportunity for President Bush and Senator John Kerry to have a serious discussion about the important issues to be decided in this election," a joint statement from the campaigns said. "Both President Bush and Senator Kerry are pleased with today's announcement and look forward to the debates."

      and then we find out the format is this:
      In each debate, according to the agreement, "the candidates may not ask each other direct questions, but may ask rhetorical questions."

      Could somebody please tell me how you have a serious discussion about important issues to be decided in this election through the use of rhetorical questions when a rhetorical question is by defintion "one asked solely to produce an effect (especially to make an assertion) rather than to elicit a reply". Don't you guys on the right and left get it? This is the wool being pulled over your eyes.

      Maybe the townhall "debate" will be interesting. Yeah, who am I kidding. This is a joke and a sham.

      2 sides, same coin. Democrats and Republicans. Donkey tails they win, Elephant heads we lose.

      --
      Think for yourself, destroy your television.
  7. MOU comments and question by Malfourmed · · Score: 4, Informative
    The MOU outlining the debate procedures strike me as incredibly anal, cf:
    Notwithstanding subparagraph 5(c), the candidates may take notes during the debate on the size, color, and type of paper each prefers and using the type of pen or pencil that each prefers. Each candidate must submit to the staff of the Commission prior to the debate all such paper and pencils with which a candidate may wish to take notes during the debate, and the staff of the Commission will place such paper, pens, and pencils on the podium, table, or other structure to be used by the candidate in that debate.
    or:
    The stools shall be identical and have backs and a footrest and shall be approved by the candidates' representatives.

    Mindboggling, but I suppose given the stakes that's not surprising.

    I guess the following is to protect Bush or Kerry's ass if either stuffs up majorly:
    Neither film footage nor video footage nor any audio excerpts from the debates may be used publicly by either candidate's campaign through any means, including but not limited to, radio, television, internet, or videotapes, whether broadcast or distributed in any other manner.

    As if a major faux pas (or pratfall!) wouldn't get media coverage anyway, but I guess it's not as bad as if it was used in an opposition campaign ad...

    Can someone explain this to me? I'm not sure what is meant by it:
    The candidates shall not address each other with proposed pledges.


    But what irks me most is that the format does not allow sufficient time for comprehensive, you know - debate. Come on: 120 seconds for a statement, 90 seconds for a rebuttal and a maximum of a further 60 seconds split between both candidates for extended discussion (and then only at the moderator's discretion)?

    Coupled with the following:
    The candidates may not ask each other direct questions, but may ask rhetorical questions.


    I know there are a lot of topics and only so much time, but this isn't going to lead to debate (as I understand the term) but a series of extended and pre-rehearsed soundbites. And the inability to actually ask your opponent questions strikes me as stupid and cowardly (what are these guys afraid of?), but I guess I'm used to a parliamentary model where candidates are at each other's throats much more directly.

    Incidentally, I wonder how often the domestic/economic questions will be turned into homeland "security" questions, viz economic security, healthcare security, unborn child security, national park preservation ... security.
    1. Re:MOU comments and question by bug506 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The candidates may not ask each other direct questions, but may ask rhetorical questions.

      Basically, this is where one politician tries to be dramatic by saying "I pledge today that I will never X; will my opponent be willing to agree to this pledge also?"

      A famous example was in the Hillary Clinton/Rick Lazio debate for Senate from New York in 2000. Rick Lazio came with a written pledge to not taken any soft money. He literally demanded that Hillary Clinton sign it right then, during the debate. She offered to "shake on it" instead.

      It's dramatic enough so that it gets mentioned on the news, and in theory it's supposed to make people think "that pledge sounds reasonable, why won't the other candidate approve it?" The danger is that the person insisting on the pledge will look like an aggressive, petty jerk.

      In theory, since the rules for these debates state that the candidates can't ask each other questions, they couldn't ask them to sign a pledge anyway. They could say "I have a signed pledged here for X; I wonder if my opponent will be willing to sign the same pledge." It's technically not a question...

  8. Re:useless - Kerry is already kebabized by dario_moreno · · Score: 2, Insightful


    at least get your sentence in french correctly

    "les français sont des singes capitulards mangeurs de fromages".

    As Dave Berry said, the French on the opposite think that the Americans are overweight burger munching trigger happy ignorant religious zealots driving gas-guzzling SUVs, and like all nationalistic clichés, this is also true.

    --
    Google passes Turing test : see my journal
  9. Too late to decide by 99bottles · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Am I the only one that finds it frightening that someone could wait until a month before an election, and hope to make up their minds based on a debate? When you have a four year presidential record and a 19 year senate record to consider, how can a couple hours of talk convince you of anything?
    In my mind, the "undecided" voter is just about the most foolish creature on earth. A political campain will tell you what you want to hear. A record speaks volumes about what you can expect.
    The old cliche holds, talk is cheap.

    1. Re:Too late to decide by l4m3z0r · · Score: 2, Insightful
      In my mind, the "undecided" voter is just about the most foolish creature on earth.

      The person who can tell the difference between the two is the most foolish creature on earth in my book. Knowing who you want means that you believe the lies of one above the other. A true grasp of this situation means you have no clue who you want to vote for because not a single candidate would make a good president.

  10. Re:useless - Kerry is already kebabized by N3WBI3 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    As Dave Berry said, the French on the opposite think that the Americans are overweight burger munching trigger happy ignorant religious zealots driving gas-guzzling SUVs, and like all nationalistic clichés, this is also true.

    And I dont even think we should whine they are racist for saying that

    --
  11. Re:What part of the movie didn't you like? by N3WBI3 · · Score: 3, Insightful
    I did not like the part where moore edited out the part where a Minnesota senator told him that his son was too young to enlist but his nephew was.

    That stupid stunt (will you enlist your kid) is typical of moore who in bowling for columbine snipped part of different heston speaches together to make it look like he told the famlies to take their grief and shove it.

    Do you think that the Congress actually did read the "Patriot" Act before passing it?

    I dont think congress reads allot of stuff before passing it, thats not bushes fault.

    and a brother of Osama bin Laden

    Maybe Fahrenheit 9/11 is not expressed in a way you would like, but most of the problems it discussed are real, without question

    It was as accurate as any political commercial, take a few facts see them through very biased eyes and edit them to make your point.

    --
  12. Re:F9/11 is by far the most popular documentary. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    It is by far the most popular documentary of all time, in the entire world.

    My problem, is its not a documentary, it was nowhere near objective. His editing style make his moves more about entertainment and political knee padding than anything else.

    ut it is very difficult to present all that he did in just 2 hours.

    Not if you leave anything that does not fit your political message on the cutting room floor its not.

    --
  13. Re:Alcoholics: Often likable, not good speakers. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    "profitist" is accurate in a way, it's like the American spin on fascism, well put.

    Or a good way to describe the UN Oil for Food scam..

    --
  14. Slight difference. by khasim · · Score: 2, Funny

    Moderator: Targeted specific question about exact concrete details that you would do the next four years in your administration.

    Kerry: Patriotism, I am not Bush, purple heart, I am not Bush.

    Bush: 9/11, fear, terrorists, tax cut.

  15. Re:Average for US citizen or average for president by N3WBI3 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I see the average person (in your opinion) is smart enought to get an MBA from harvard and fly a fighter interceptor

    --
  16. What the Bush campaign got changed by elwinc · · Score: 3, Insightful
    ABC News' TheNote has a lovely nugget about what the Bush campaign got changed from the original debate proposal:
    Although Anne Kornblut's Boston Globe framing of the conclusion of the debate about debates is typical LINK ("Despite tussles over the timing and format, the 90-minute debates will take place more or less as initially proposed; only the subjects of the first and third debates have changed."), in fact, James Baker, by accepting all four debates (3 presidential and 1 veep), seems to have gotten some other key, little-Noticed changes in return.

    What the Bush campaign got changed:

    1. The first widely watched and covered debate will be on foreign policy and national security, rather than domestic policy.

    2. No direct engagement between the candidates is allowed -- the Commission's proposed plan had actually encouraged such dynamic-changing contact.

    3. As "Miss (Nicolle) Devenish" told the Washington Times : "the agreement reached yesterday also will make 'very clear whenever the candidates attempt to filibuster or grandstand. There is a light that will flash for TV audiences when that happens -- a historic first,' she said. 'Moderators have to sign on and say they agree with the rules, or we'll find new moderators.'"

    4. The voters at the town-hall debate won't be undecideds, but, rather "soft" supporters of each side -- and we have yet to figure out what that means or why Team Bush prefered that -- but Baker got it.

    5. The candidates can't address each other with "proposed pledges" (although rhetorical questions are allowed!!).

    6. The town-hallers can't ask follow ups or participate after they ask their one question -- avoiding any prospect of a "Richmond" moment.

    The Commission itself and the moderators have not been heard from, but our guts tell us two things:

    A. This deal will stick.

    B. If George Walker Bush already owed James Addison Baker big time after Florida, he owes him bigger time now.

    So how do these changes benefit Team Bush? Your comments are welcome. I think (1) will benefit Kerry, because the truth is Iraq is a mess, and Kerry can highlight that sixty ways from sunday. I think (2) is toothless; the candidates can always take time out of a current answer to lambaste the opponent's previous comment. I can see the benefit of (6) in that the candidate doesn't have to answer the question and won't get called on it.

    --
    --- Often in error; never in doubt!
    1. Re:What the Bush campaign got changed by overunderunderdone · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think most of these will benefit Bush, which makes sense since for the most part they are points he won as concessions for conceding to a third debate.

      #1 will NOT benefit Kerry. Everyone knows that Iraq is a mess. It's well illustrated every night on the evening news. The issue is already "priced in" to the equation - already knowing that Bush supporters are bush supporters and undecideds remain undecided. Kerry can maybe gain a bit marginally by restating the critique. His problem is that Bush's support is unified, Kerry's support is only unified in thinking Bush screwed up but NOT about exactly what should have been done instead or what should be done about it now. That's fine as long as Kerry limits himself to only criticizing Bush, but the moment he outlines his own position he risks alienating some part of his own support. Of course constant equivocation on the topic bleeds support as well and is unlikely to be sustainable during a debate. Kerry has to bite the bullet, chose whether he is a hawk with a different plan, or a dove... lose a bit of support and then try to build it back with a coherent message from here on out. Of course after months of equivocation and fuzziness he has left a bunch of statements out there Bush can use to attack him using his own words.

      The other points are all pretty minor, #2, 4, 5 and 6 seem designed to prevent Bush getting ambushed. #3 seems designed to play to Bush's rhetorical style (short, blunt, sometimes witty in a folksy way, sometimes uninformed) and against Kerry's (wonkish, detailed, sometimes longwinded, given to equivocations, caveats, provisos...) If Kerry gets too wordy in the debate he'll be only half way through his point when the little light goes on.. visible to the audience, cuing them in that he has exceeded his time limit and implying that he is being rude. Bush is far less likely to fall foul of that little trap.

    2. Re:What the Bush campaign got changed by Zeinfeld · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Well, he didn't come across as the sharpest knife in the drawer. But I think you are overstating it. We tend to perceive people who disagree with us as dumb. After all, how smart can they be if they don't see things that are obvious to us?

      There is intelligence and there is knowledge. The problem with Bush is that he is not interested in making any effort to learn any piece of information whatsoever. This is a real problem when you have to make decisions on the basis of complex information.

      in the debates Bush reacted to a series of questions with the non-existent 'call a friend option'. He made plain that he would be the creature of his advisors, a follower not a leader.

      On 9/11 he showed that he was not a leader by reading 'My Pet Goat' and waiting for his advisers to tell him how to act.

      --
      Looking for an Information Security student project suggestion?
      Try http://dotcrimeManifesto.com/
  17. Where are Nader, Cobb, Peroutka and Badnarik? by PackMan97 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Badnarik is on 49 ballots.
    Cobb is in 28 ballots.
    Nader is on 44 ballots
    Peroutka is on 39 ballots.

    All four candidates have the potential to win the Electoral College due to the states on which they have ballot access.

    Why does the "nonpartisan" debate commission insist on excluding every candidate that can win?

    With the Democratic Primary debates we saw that you can have a debate with 10 candidates, so why not have one with 6?

    It is a shame that Republicans talk about economic freedom and Democrats talk about personal freedom, but at the end of the day neither party wants you to have POLITICAL FREEDOM!

  18. Re:That's simple. by N3WBI3 · · Score: 2, Informative
    Yale students are at the extreem end of the scale. To be low there is to be well above average nationally. My GRE was the 92% percentile, nationally that would put me somewhere in the 99% range and I just went to a state school.

    He was not just above the averge he was more than 25% over it (keep in mind that in the 60's not everyone took the SAT only those intending to go to college which was a much smaller % of the population than today).

    Your proof he is of average intelligents is that he was below the median at *YALE*, pardon me if I dont buy that as some kind of "proof" he is just average. I bet a C student at Yale has more upstairs than B students at some other university.

    --