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What's Next in the New Private Space Industry?

Cesaro asks: "I'm as thrilled as every other geek out there with the success of SpaceShipOne. But what are realistic expectations of our next steps into this new industry? The Economist clearly thinks the next step is high paying 'space tourism' at a whopping $200k+ per trip. That is all well and good, but what do *we* think the goals and schedule should look like?" "How about travel? A flight to Australia will currently take me 20+ hours. How long down the road until I can take off from the US and land SpaceShipOne in Australia where another White Knight is waiting to ferry it back into the air again? (Anyone know how fast I could get there?) I only get 10 days of vacation a year and spending two of them in a metal cylinder is not such a good deal. How many years until we can start carrying cargo and DHL/UPS/FedEx can promise around the globe next day delivery? So I ask Slashdot: What should be the next steps and what is a realistic expectation of when those steps could occur?"

4 of 360 comments (clear)

  1. Longer stay, lower price by erick99 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    For about $210,000 a pop, the two men intend to offer seats in SpaceShipOne, or a similar craft, for anybody eager to be thrust into space. For that amount, well-heeled customers will get three days of training before being treated to about three minutes of weightlessness. The first customers are expected to go into space in 2007.

    Hopefully we can get to something more along the lines of spending the night in space for, say,$50,000. If we could do that within five years that would be awesome. I don't think I would spend 210K for three minutes even if I had it.

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  2. Re:They were on Jay Leno yesterday by erick99 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Jeeze, this makes you wonder if there is going to be "dot.space" phenomena where people will throw money at anything that hints of private spaceflight. I envy the folks like Rutan who are positioned to catch this cash. Hopefully they'll hang on to it, unlike a lot of dot.com folks who thought the gravy train would never end.

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  3. Bad news: Suborbital bill hijacked by FleaPlus · · Score: 5, Insightful

    As seen on Transterrestrial Musings, spacepolitics.com, and RLV News:

    Just got this message Jeff Greason of XCOR Aerospace that the current legislation to assist the development of the suborbital spaceflight industry has been distorted by Senate staffers into something that will instead smother the industry in the cradle:

    There is a last-minute move by some staffers in the Senate to heavily amend HR 3752. The amendments would completely change the charter of the office of commercial space transportation (AST), placing the safety of the crew and passengers on equal footing with the safety of the uninvolved public. Since that is well beyond present technology, it would effectively stop development of the industry in the U.S.. It is too late to fix the bill before the session adjourns, but not too late to stop it. If you or people you know have connections to any Senator, please ask them to put a "hold" on HR 3752. That prevents it from passing by unanimous consent. We may have less than 24 hours.

    If the bill is "held" there may be opportunity to fix it in a post-election session -- but if not, we would still rather the bill die than pass with these poison-pill amendments.

    If your Senator is on the Commerce Committee, that's even better: http://commerce.senate.gov/about/membership.html


    Personally, I'm in favor of having the AST in charge of the safety of the uninvolved public on the ground, as the bill was originally worded. However, I think that the last-minute changes to have the same agency regulate the safety of crew and passengers (and require the corresponding mountains of paperwork) would be an excellent way to kill off the budding US space tourism industry.

    MSNBC has a more in-depth article on this.

  4. Re:There isn't an industry yet (circa 1903) by kippy · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Sorry, but Kitty Hawk was a stunt, nothing more. I respect the engineering involved, but this is not flying. I don't care that some faceless person somewhere defined an arbitrary point as "the sky". Flight is CONTROLLED flight, minimally a transcontinental trip.

    Unfortunately, the Wright Brothers' technology is not applicable to intercontinental travel, as near as I can tell, so I'm not sure that this does anything for the aero-plane industry, except as a something for the press to report (which may be worth something, but I tend to doubt that it means much).

    The question is how many people are going to be fooled that this is really flight.