Zogby Claims Mobile-Only Voters Swing to Kerry

Zogby released a poll yesterday that showed the ill-counted mobile-phone-only voters heavily in favor of Kerry over Bush. It should be noted that all participants opted in to the survey through a site run by Democrats, making the results non-random and therefore highly suspect. Further, the results tracked very closely ("virtually identical") to other polls run of the same age group, which means that if the results are to be trusted, mobile-only users in this age group are not any different from other voters in this age group, and their exclusion from those other polls is insignificant.

Comments

Parallels to previous elections

[stinerman]

This reminds me of when FDR won his first election. Traditional Democratic voters in the south did not have phones like the Republican base in the north (yes, it has switched over time).

Therefore, the polls were biased for the Republican and was generally thought to be a close election. Of course, FDR won in a landslide.

Re:Parallels to previous elections

[antifoidulus]

Um, the election you are thinking about wasn't won by FDR, it was won by the VP he picked for his 4th term, Harry S. Truman. That election is where the famous, "Dewey Defeats Truman" headline comes from. The press was so confident in the polls that they went ahead and predicted the election(you are right in that the polls were biased in favor of people who owned phones, which at that time leaned heavily Republican)