Slashdot Mirror

← Back to Stories (view on slashdot.org)

Zogby Claims Mobile-Only Voters Swing to Kerry

Posted by pudge on from the with-a-straight-face dept.

Zogby released a poll yesterday that showed the ill-counted mobile-phone-only voters heavily in favor of Kerry over Bush. It should be noted that all participants opted in to the survey through a site run by Democrats, making the results non-random and therefore highly suspect. Further, the results tracked very closely ("virtually identical") to other polls run of the same age group, which means that if the results are to be trusted, mobile-only users in this age group are not any different from other voters in this age group, and their exclusion from those other polls is insignificant.

8 of 111 comments (clear)

  1. So... by wizbit · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The big question, as always with this age group, is still turnout. Zogby predicts the group accounts for 12% or more(!) of the electorate, so they could play a huge factor in determining the election. And Zogby adds (which you conveniently left off) that there are zero undecideds. Suspect or not, Zogby declares that to mean "this group is definitely going to vote."

    Don't be so quick to discount this poll.

  2. In other news by MarkPNeyer · · Score: 1, Interesting

    It was confirmed that half of all americans earn less than the median income...



    Seriously, how is this news? Even rigorously scientific polls are highly suspect, so how does a nonscientific poll merit anything other than an nod?

    --

    My blog
  3. Re:I predict... by stinerman · · Score: 1, Interesting

    A low turnout ... but higher than usual, which could make a difference in a close race.

    In my experiences on campus, it seems to be popular to vote for Kerry. You know, all the cool people are doing it.

    Furthermore, it is considered cool if you are voting for Kerry even though you hate him due to the fact that Bush is so incredibly bad. Its like the popular thing to do is pretend Bush is the anti-christ and then vote for Kerry based on that alone.

    Yes, my generation is a bunch of sheep.

  4. Run by democrats? by squiggleslash · · Score: 4, Interesting
    It should be noted that all participants opted-in to the survey through a site run by Democrats, making the results non-random and therefore highly suspect
    I thought "Rock the Vote" was originally an MTV (Viacom), campaign, whose CEO has come out in favour of Bush? On their front page, I can see a petition aimed at both the DNC and RNC about the draft,

    Or is it Motorola that counts as "The Democrats" for this particular campaign?

    Or is this just a "Republicans would never encourage people to vote, therefore it's those lousy Democrats that are behind it" thing?

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  5. Ok, so we have by revscat · · Score: 4, Interesting
    1. Boston Red Sox win the World Series
    2. Washington Redskins lose
    3. Cell-only people are swinging to Kerry
    4. Voter registration is way, way up
    5. The Economist endorses Kerry, as do most American newspapers (including many which endorsed Bush in 2000)
    6. More Republicans are endorsing Kerry (Eisenhower, son of the President; Milliken, guv of MI, Cook, Sen-KY, etc.) than Bush (Miller, Sen-GA)
    7. GOP vote blocking efforts are being shut down by those damn "activist judges"
    8. John Stewart's book is #1 on the bestseller lists

    Yup, things are looking good for the good guys.

  6. Great work /. editors by aztektum · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I see you're just posting user comments as front page now

    --
    :: aztek ::
    No sig for you!!
  7. Re:So..... by MindStalker · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Just a side not from that.
    Nickolodeans poll which has been running for 5 elections and always was right picked Kerry.
    While Scholastic which has been running a kids vote since 1940, has only been wrong twice (1948, and 1960) picked Bush. So ones going down. Lets see!

  8. Re:Wow by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Zogby is a little more sophisticated in his reasoning than what is presented. He is simply pointing out that there is a huge portion of this years electorate that is essentially unmeasured and unmeasurable by design. That demographically, they'd favor democrats. And that for all the talk of undecideds, they don't really exist, they just resist commiting to an answer for a pollster, and have ALWAYS broken in favor of the challenger, AGAINST the incumbant. In a race where it's known to be very close otherwise, these factors hint strongly and convincingly for a Republican loss in a race for the Whitehouse.