NASA Releases Free Global Climate Model Software
ink_polaroid writes "NASA has released its Educational Global Climate Model (EdGCM) for high school and university desktop computers. The software incorporates a 3-D climate model developed at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), New York. It wraps complex computer modeling programs with a graphical interface familiar to most PC users."
It would be pretty cool to simulate enviromental doomsday scenarios such as the one seen in the movie The Day after Tomorrow.
That's great. One of my favorite software packages in the world is Nasa's World Wind, but when I tried to show it to my parents (both high school science teachers), the reaction was the same: we don't have time or computers to use this.
The state of public education (at least in California) is so poor that this is going to be great for college-level students, but much of the target audience will be left out due to budgets and a testing-centric curriculum.
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More interesting would be simulating the terraforming of mars. Could we raise the temperature sufficiently by introducing more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere? How about if we used a massive orbital mirror? Or maybe we could grind one of the moons into dust and make an artificial ring to increase ambient light. Inquiring minds want to know.
You might also want to check out the following (Distributed Computing) project:
ClimatePrediction.net
They have a followup article here., in which they comment a little more on the book, and they also comment on Crichton's lecture Aliens Cause Global Warming.
If you're not RealClimate.org, here's how the site describes itself: "RealClimate is a commentary site on climate science by working climate scientists for the interested public and journalists. We aim to provide a quick response to developing stories and provide the context sometimes missing in mainstream commentary. The discussion here is restricted to scientific topics and will not get involved in any political or economic implications of the science." I really think it's one of the better sites on the topic.
My personal take on it? Based on themes present in almost all of his fiction, Crichton really doesn't like scientists.
Well, now that we all have a climate simulation software on our computers we can all backup our claims what will happen to earth with good simulation data.
The problem we have is two-fold:
People can't accept the fact that our environment is not static. Temperature and other climatic effects has varied throughout the centuries way before humans started burning fossile fuel. These historic changes were not subtile either, some being quicker than we see today.
The other factor is financial. Most governments have their economy very much rooted around taxes and levys on fossile fuels. If the CO2-factor went away, it would be harder to justify taxation, and there would be problems.
The only thing we know for sure is that we know way to little about the impact CO2, water vapour (which is hardly mentioned in the UN Climate Report of 2001) and methane.
An interersting article about the water vapour-effect can be found at:
http://physicsweb.org/articles/world/16/5/7/3
Be careful of the quality of software. In the 80s there was a lot of hype about climate modeling based on a simple planetary weather program. The software represented the atmosphere as a single vertical profile of physical conditions. When modelers plugged in the post-nuclear dust clouds it prodicted huge temperature drops. However, more sophisticated "3D" models thta inorporated oceans and continents and wind currents found much smaller effects. These defects didnt really slow down biased scientists who kept on promoting their political agendas nonetheless.