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A Countdown To Global Catastrophe?

An anonymous reader writes "From The Independent: The global warming danger threshold for the world is clearly marked for the first time in an international report to be published tomorrow - and the bad news is, the world has nearly reached it already. For the full story, see this article."

18 of 1,403 comments (clear)

  1. Venkman said it best: by AtariAmarok · · Score: 5, Funny

    Venkman: This city is headed for a disaster of biblical proportions. Mayor: What do you mean, biblical?
    Ray: What he means is Old Testament, Mr. Mayor... real Wrath-of-God-type stuff. Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies.
    Venkman: Rivers and seas boiling!
    Egon: 40 years of darkness, earthquakes, volcanos. Winston:The dead rising from the grave!
    Venkman: Human sacrifice, dogs and cats, living together... mass hysteria!

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
  2. Original Study? by The+Snowman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The possibility of changes to the world's ocean currents is a very real possibility, and could have catastrophic consequences. However, they are not irreversable. I have read reports citing the fact that these currents have cycles, where every 10 or 20 thousand years they shut off, only to restart a century or two later. Yes, that would be catastrophic to us, but not to the planet. Hell, it survived a fiery birth, multiple major meteor impacts, magnetic pole reversals, caldera supervolanoes, et al. and the planet is still around. We might not be around later, but good ol' Earth sure will be.

    Does anyone have a link to the actual report? This article just sounds like more scare mongering and dumbing down. As always, the devil is in the details, I want to see the details.

    --
    24 beers in a case, 24 hours in a day. Coincidence? I think not!
    1. Re:Original Study? by ggvaidya · · Score: 5, Funny
      We might not be around later, but good ol' Earth sure will be.

      Yeah, sorry about that, the fleet's a little delayed. But we'll get to it eventually.

      Cheers,
      Prosthetic Vogon Jeltz

  3. Nothing will change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    a Swedish scientist was warning about global warming in the early 20th century. Nobody did anything then, nothing meaningful is being done now. Nothing meaningful will be done until literally hundreds of millions or billions of people are killed. The world economic system is too narrowly focused in objectives to have people work for the wider good unless all individuals' survival is directly and personally threatened.

  4. This isn't about you. by khasim · · Score: 5, Insightful
    There is always some type of disaster that is "going" to happen. It's all propoganda just to keep everyone frightened into doing whatever it is the flavor of the month wants you to do. Here's an idea, let's just live .. because when the time comes to die, you will.
    And that was mod'ed "Insightful"?

    This isn't about you or your death.

    This is about leaving the planet in a habitable condition for the next generation.

    Or do you also suck on loaded revolvers because "when that time comes .. big deal.. death is the completion of life in whatever form it may take"?
  5. Re:Big Deal.. by The+Snowman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Stop worrying about every little thing that can kill you and start living.

    Yes, but I want my son to live, and his son, and his son...

    The environmentalists and some politicians may be a bit extreme to either side, but I think the issue is worth taking a closer look at... for my great great great grandchildren's sake.

    --
    24 beers in a case, 24 hours in a day. Coincidence? I think not!
  6. Head in the sand... by Undefined+Tag · · Score: 5, Insightful
    What I don't understand about this issue are the arguments against doing something to resolve the problem. They seem to be:
    1) We're in a warming cycle/trend and this problem is not our fault.
    2) The earth will survive the warming.
    3) The problem is not as bad as people say.

    Given that the earth is warming, and that this warming will cause catastrophes in excess of anything we've seen, shouldn't we be trying to do something about it? Does it matter if it's caused by us or something else? Does it matter if the problems will arrive in 100 years or 1,000 years?

    If we see a clear path to fixing a problem that could save millions of lives, shouldn't we do that?

    This whole thing seems like a server admin arguing against doing system backups. Sure, they *might* not be necessary, what what sane person doesn't do them?
  7. I for one welcome change. by Lifereaper0 · · Score: 5, Funny

    I think we need a good end of the world situation. I look forward to leading hordes of bad people in the search for pleasure. I plan on wearing a cool mask and driving a highly tuned car o' death while screaming "Give Me Your Oil!!"...but that's just me.

  8. Glad to see it is an EXPERT task force by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    "The countdown to climate-change catastrophe is spelt out by a task force of senior politicians, business leaders and academics from around the world."

    Obviously being a politician or business leader qualifies you for all sorts of fear mongering.

  9. Key point: it's not the planet, it's us by ianscot · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Yes, that would be catastrophic to us, but not to the planet.

    You just touched on the colossal, huge, central point that virtually every dimisser of global warming fails to "get." It's not that the world won't survive. Life on earth has survived, and thrived, at higher global temperatures than we have now. It's just that, when major transitions occur, the dominant forms of life do not remain dominant. And that would mean us.

    This ain't about hugging spotted owls. It's not about whether Sandhill cranes have a place to roost on their way north in the spring. The debate's about our survival. When we read:

    ...could include widespread agricultural failure, water shortages and major droughts, increased disease, sea-level rise and the death of forests - with the added possibility of abrupt catastrophic events such as "runaway" global warming, the melting of the Greenland ice sheet, or the switching-off of the Gulf Stream.

    Those are serious risks. Any *one* of those would stand a considerable risk of destabilizing the world as we know it. Imagine a Pakistan, armed with nuclear weapons as it is, whose politics were affected by a massive drought. That's the easiest thing to predict in the world; climate change precipitated the Mfcane, which set loose a huge migration of people in southern Africa, which in turn had a lot to do with the military dictatorship of Shaka Zulu. Governments, in a state of global climate change, would be made drastically unstable.

    The risk of nuclear war, during the cold war, was not a certainty -- it was a risk. We spent untold resources to address that risk, on both sides. The question is, how much do we commit to addressing this one? When an overwhelming majority of scientific opinion is playing the role of Cassandra, how seriously do you take the possible tragedy?

    --
    "Fundamentalism" isn't about divine morality. It's about human authority.
    1. Re:Key point: it's not the planet, it's us by cnelzie · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Except that we have enough time, before the death of the Sun, to travel the interstellar distances to any of a million? or billions? of stars that have planets we could support human life with...

      The perspective of that much time is vastly different then looking at the prospect of starving to death within our lifetime for no other reason then the human race failing to at least attempt to control the change of our climate. The survival of the human race should be important to us.

      We have the technology available to create large carbon dioxide scrubbers, they aren't cheap, but they are possible. We have the technology to decrease the absorbtion of heat in major cities which would decrease the impact major cities has on weather systems.

      Almost everything we need to lessen our impact and the impact of Nature on the global climate is at our fingertips. There is no reason for humanity to be so apathetic and downright stupid about our own ongoing survival.

      It's not about giving things up, it's about changing the means we reach our ways and fixing the problems we do cause. This is about owning our own existence and future survival. This is about owning up to our past mistakes, even though we knew not what we were doing. Now that we know what to do, we just need to do it and stop acting like the stupid s--ts we collectively act like.

      --
      If you ignore the other uses of a tool, does that make the tool less useful, or you less useful?
  10. Re:stupid tsunami by scatalogical · · Score: 5, Informative

    Global warming states that the maxima of BOTH hot and cold will increase. Nice to see people are too ignorant to even know what the actual theory is.

  11. Re:nota bad thing by mtg101 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Global warming means that the global temperature will rise. It doesn't mean that all areas will suffer/benefit from higher temperatures. It means we can expect a shake-up in global weather patterns as the world heats up. This could mean that the Gulf Stream moves and London becomes as cold as Moscow; or that el-nino is dissrupted occurning more or less frequently than ussual; or that Texas gets snow, or Israel gets a plague of locusts.

    The point is that our actions are causing changes, over and above the normal warming we'd expect to see due to normal ebb and flow of ice ages. Just because the phenemenon is called Global Warming doesn't mean that the effects to all will be a warmer domicile. To Floridians it might mean more hurricanes, and to Texans more of that snow stuff.

  12. Re:WND has an interesting take on this by anagama · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Well, I consider myself a radical moderate (because moderates are so rare - we must be the radicals now). The article you cite is as bad as the one in the article summary but from the other perspective. For example:
    • While some in the U.S. have offered sharp criticism of the ideology driving the global warming crusade, none of the rhetoric has been as penetrating as Illarionov's, who compared it "with man-hating totalitarian ideology with which we had the bad fortune to deal during the 20th century, such as National Socialism (and) Marxism."

    The slam against the global warming crowd by comparing them to militant feminists is just plain silly. But by the same token (from the summary article), there's just as much silliness on the other side:
    • The countdown to climate-change catastrophe is spelt out by a task force of senior politicians, business leaders and academics from around the world ...

    As if politicians and business leaders have the expertise to make this pronouncement? Right. I'd be interested in what the acedemics have to say (and interested in their qualifications), but the rest of the group? They're just along for the ride. And although the article makes a statement that 400ppm for CO2 is a critical point - it never explains what evidence supports this number. Now, the report may be correct, but when a news article reports only the conclusions and none of the methods, it is just so much fear mongering. Just as the opposing side is so much head-burying. As someone else said, the original results would be much more interesting.
    --
    What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
  13. Re:We've been in a warming trend by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Informative

    Apparently we have another person who was asleep in math class when they taught the concept of rate of change. The last ice age ended 10,000 years ago. They're talking about comparable changes in temperature possibly happening over the next 100 years.

  14. Re:nota bad thing by RayBender · · Score: 5, Insightful
    It doesn't mean any of them will occur. The fact of the matter is, all the computer models in the World and wildassed guesses mean that we know very little about how the planet

    Don't confuse knowing very little with knowing nothing at all. Take a pot of water and put it on the stove. Turn on the burner. You know that the water will get warm and eventually boil. Scientists could make some measurements and tell you pretty much exactly when it will boil, and how quickly it will boil dry. But no computer program in the world can accurately tell you exactly what the pattern of bubbles will be during the boiling. So what? It just means that there are some things we can't model/predict, like boiling or weather, and there are some we can, like climate and thermodynamics.

    We do know that our actions are causing changes, and we know that further actions will cause further changes - within a range of uncertainty. This won't change just because you want to continue to pollute.

    --
    Human genome = 3 billion base pairs = 6 GBit. Windows + Office = 20 Gbit. Which is more impressive?
  15. Disappointed by Cackmobile · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I thought slashdotters were intelligent. Every post here is saying global warming is a sham. If you actually spend some time looking you will find out that global warming doesn't just mean it gets hot. It means everything goes hay wire. Most likely is that we will have hotter summers and colder winters. Weather will be extreme. More tornados, more hurricanes, more droughts and more floods.

    --
    -- Karma Karma Karma Karma, Karma Chameleon - Boy George
  16. Re:Since we've already reached the threshold... by aaamr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Why is this marked funny?

    One of the key culprits in global warming is the increased use of large, fuel inefficient vehicles - like the Hummer whose fuel efficiency is best measured in gallons per mile.

    If we (mostly North Americans) could end our love affair with huge, wasteful vehicles that more often than not are driven by only one person at a time, perhaps we wouldn't be in this situation now.

    I for one make extensive use of public transportation, and the cars we own are small and fuel efficient. When our family grows to the size where we need a larger vehicle, it won't be an SUV, becuase we *never* go offroading, and frankly, a minivan gets better mileage.

    But I'll still take public transport whenever possible.

    In short, the parent comment is *not* funny. It's symbolic of the larger problem. I found it depressing.