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Unpredictability in Future Microprocessors

prostoalex writes "A Business Week article says increase in chip speeds and number of transistors on a single microprocessor leads to varying degrees of unpredictability, which used to be a no-no word in the microprocessor world. However, according to scientists from Georgia Tech's Center for Research in Embedded Systems & Technology, unpredictability becomes a great asset leading to energy conservation and increased computation speeds."

15 of 244 comments (clear)

  1. Three cheers! by Electroly · · Score: 5, Funny

    Three cheers for entropy!

    1. Re:Three cheers! by chiok · · Score: 5, Funny

      Hurrah! Hurra! Hurry!

  2. Well... by Realistic_Dragon · · Score: 4, Funny

    I'd be a lot more trusting of their results if they had worked it out on a processor with 100% certainty.

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  3. Soo by NIK282000 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Will the number of windows errors increase or will they just occur at even more improbable times?

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  4. Acceptable uncertainty by swg101 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Degrees of probability and uncertainty have been in given in the communications industry for quite some time. This just seems to be pointing out that the same ideas can be applied to the actual processing of the data.

    Now that I think about it, it does seem to make some sense. I am not sure that I would want to program on such a chip right now though (I imagine that debugging could become a nightmare really quickly!).

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  5. TFA by shirai · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It is an interesting idea but I think there would have to be a lot of research that goes into this and here's what I mean.

    The article is right in that certain things don't need 100% accuracy and that small variations in the answers can yield very good results. This could be important when time is more important than 100% accuracy.

    That said, how do we know if the variations are small? Only 1 bit can change a huge negative number into a huge positive number in a standard integer (Okay, I haven't looked at the bit layout of an integer lately but I think it's encoded like this. If not, you still get my point right?).

    So perhaps then this idea sort of works when we are aggregating lots of small calculated numbers but then switch to a traditional chip to add them together.

    You see what I'm getting at? Computers don't really know that the small variation at the most significant bit is actually a huge variation.

    I think there would also have to be a lot of analysis based on understanding how the variations add up and their cumulative effect. For example, a well written app under this scenario means that the errors basically average out over time as opposed to errors that blow out of proportion.

    Anyways, I can think of a few good uses for this. Probably the most notable being down the DSP path (which the article metions). Our eyes probably wouldn't see small errors in an HD display during processing or hear small errors in audio processing.

    This is parallel to the fact that there is less error checking in audio CDs and video DVDs than their computer counterparts CD-ROM and DVD-ROM (or the R/RW/etc.etc. counterparts).

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  6. Pbit-chip prospects by craXORjack · · Score: 5, Funny
    Whether any Wall Street firms are getting regular briefs on Palem's research, as Intel and IBM (IBM ) are, he won't say. Wall Street doesn't like people blabbering about technology that promises a competitive advantage.

    Actually this sounds more useful to Diebold and the Republican National Committee.

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  7. Improbability drive? by mOoZik · · Score: 4, Funny

    You're sitting at your desk and out of nowhere, bam! You are transported to the edge of the galaxy. Weird.

  8. We have this now by drsmack1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Before I found memtest my computers were VERY unpredicable.

  9. random numbers, yay by layingMantis · · Score: 4, Funny

    so a "random" number could be ...actually random right, as opposed to the now deterministically computed pseudo random numbers....how could this NOT be useful!? The AI ramifications alone are fascinating to imagine...

  10. Re:Another use by thpr · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Probably and even bigger boon for encryption and key-generation.

    I vote key-generation and not encryption. Otherwise, how would you decrypt it? (given that the key generation and decryption are non-deterministic with one of these...)

  11. Analog Processor by 10101001+10101001 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It sounds like this is just another implementation of an analog processor, which is far from a new idea. Really simple analog processors are just a bit of plastic foam used as a manifold. There's even the idea of having 0, 1, and 1/2 (where 1/2 is seen as uncertain) in something called a Lukasiewicz Logic Array. Anyways, I wish the guy good luck with it, though it might be a good idea if he did some more reading on ideas already presented on the subject.

    Obvious google search link:
    Google Search for "lukasiewicz analog"

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  12. Indeterminate Voltage and Bad Fabrication by Inmatarian · · Score: 4, Informative

    Intel has hit a brick wall in terms of their processors. They invested heavily in their processor fabrication centers and are now coming to terms that they won't be able to produce reliably anymore. That said, lets discuss the nature of 1s and 0s. Typically, a 0 is broadcast across a chip as a lack of voltage, and a 1 brodcast as a +5 volts. Each transistor has to be capable of being just right of a resistor to not degrade the +5 volts. Heres where "unpredictability" comes into play: you have a handful of volts to play with. The article's talking about having unpredictable algorythms is the press agent not knowing what he's talking about, but certainly allowing a voltage threshold within the confines of the transistors is an okay thing. The only problem is when its across a lot of serial lines, because that compounds into significant loss. This is just my opinion, but I think this guy is talking about chip designs where the data isn't broadcast in 1s and 0s anymore, but in whatever multiples of electronvolts that would correspond to a number. I'm not comfortable with this, and I would like someone to tell me I'm just paranoid.

  13. more info by mako1138 · · Score: 5, Informative

    This article left me rather insatisfied, so I looked for a better one. I found it here, a collection of papers on the subject, with real-world results, it seems. The first article is a nice overview, and there's some pics of odd-looking silicon. They have funding from DARPA, interestingly enough.

  14. math analysis. clever algorithm by slashnot007 · · Score: 5, Informative

    Problem: find a number larger than the median

    proposed solution: pick 1000 entires at random and retain the highest.

    analysis: at first glance it might seem that the problem seems ill formed since the size of the array is not specified. But note that this is not a parametric problem. You are asked for the median, so the actual numerical values of the array irrelevant, only the rank order. Some wiseguys here have suggested returning the largest double precision number as a gaurenteed bound. While a wise ass answer it does raise a second interesting false lead. Even if the number were represented in infinite precision and this could be aribtrarily large or small the proposed solution does not care. Again this is because all that matters is the ranking of the numbers not their values.

    COnsider the proposed solution. pick any cell at random and examine the number. if this number is returned there is a 50% chance it is equal to or greater than the median of the set. (if this is not obvious, dwell on the meaning of the word median: it means half the numbers are above/below that number.). So the chance it is below the median is 0.5. if you choose 1000 numbers the chance that all are below the median is 0.5^1000 which is roughly 1 part in a google.

    So the author is right, this algorithm fails less often than the probability that there is a cosmic ray that corrupts the calculation or their is a power blackout in the middle of it or that you have a heart attack.