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Meshing Developmental Evolution and Technology
Jerry23 writes "IT Conversations has free audio of a very provocative talk by futurist and developmental systems theorist, John Smart. He weaves a big-picture narrative featuring developmental evolution, technological acceleration, computational autonomy, the emergence and behavior of human social systems, why prediction has such a poor history, the unique growth properties of Information and Communication Technology and the limitations of biotech, finally culminating in his case for the inevitability of digital personality capture and a ubiquitous Linguistic User Interface. Among many other things, he asks 'What will Windows (and the Google Browser) of 2015 look like?'"
By 2015 the codebase will be so unstable that all M$ developers will have to gasp in horror, hold their breath for 15 minutes, and pray for the gods of software development to have mercy every time they commit a patch to the repository, lest Bill's children take away their pension for life.
all you have to do is spew meaningless bullshit? man. I've been doing that for years when can I get one of these futurist jobs?
The best education consists in immunizing people against systematic attempts at education. - Paul Feyerabend
In 2015 Microsoft will be releasing Longhorn 'next year' and everyone will be talking about how Google is going to release a browser...
I'm still waiting for my robot wife!
What will Windows of 2015 look like?'
If history is any indication, it'll be a poorly implemented version of something mac users have been using since 2012. (I kid...only a little).
I'm sure it will be Google's Macwinix and we'll all be bitching about it.
This Developmental "Evolution" stuff is very much in doubt. I propose that people consider the concept of Developmental Creation Science.
Yes. It's the theory that much technological development was supernaturally begat by a Creator. The idea that man develops technology in an evolutionary manner is just absurd! Each of the major kinds of technology was created functionally complete from the beginning and did not "evolve" from some other kind of technology.
Oh, and I think kids should be taught this in school. It's time for them to stop thinking they can control anything. Just let go and let God (so if God intends for them to develop some form of new technology, he'll dump it in their lap. Until that time, they should just sit tight. Maybe take up macrame or watch more TV).
Oh yeah. Vote Republican and join the Pro-Life/Pro-War coalition: We take the hyp out of hypocrisy.
One massive virus, named meteor, will drive the dinosaur that is Microsoft Windows to extinction. It will seemlessly replace Windows XP with a copy of one of the many mature Linux distributions targeted at the desktop (Ubuntu, Fedora, etc.). Microsoft's share of the desktop market will plummet to .2% in a matter of hours. Once the replacement is complete a message will be displayed to the user indicating that their PC has been liberated, and they will be informed of the Linux distribution and the desktop environment they are now using (Unbuntu Linux w/ Gnome for example). After 20 seconds they will be redirected to /. where they will immediately be subjected to someone posting a comment about how Gentoo is better than Ubuntu, or vice versa, and KDE is hands down better than Gnome. Enraged by the insult they will flame back calling the original poster and ass hat imbicile and although they have no idea what KDE is or how it compares with Gnome they're certain it sucks and if they ever do use it will only learn that they're original belief was true. And thus begins the successful entrenchment of Linux on the desktop. Only through the purity of a flamewar will the desktop be purged. 2007 cannot come soon enough. So sayeth the prophecies.
In 2015 we'll all ask ourselves, "What did we do before the Hurd was released?"
in the future cheques will be spelled checks.
The best education consists in immunizing people against systematic attempts at education. - Paul Feyerabend
Google browser written in python will run on your latest Apple iBorg brain augmentation, hacked to run up to date linux 2.10.x kernel instead of MacBrain OS. No retina projector will be required for recieving google ads, they will be pushed directly to /dev/eye/right neural uplink interface no matter if you are awake or sleeping.
For Windows, things will be different. Google will buy Microsoft in 2013, releasing full Windows XXL source code under one of the following Google Directory entries:
Final selection of the topic will be performed by Slashdot poll, which result of is unpredictable at the moment.
There you are, staring at me again.
That is true, but microsoft will change to whatever the "next big thing" is. Infact they might even be the ones to create it.
Of course Microsoft will create it...
Right after Apple does.
I just hope that it's an open source singularity. Otherwise the future could get ugly.
One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
Right after xerox does.
There's also a pretty good Wikipedia article on Karma Whoring