Space Elevator Update

TheMadReaper writes "The 2005 edition of the Space Exploration Conference in Albuquerque, NM came to a conclusion earlier this week. A large fraction of the conference was devoted to the Space Elevator. Surprisingly, there hasn't been much news coverage of this conference, perhaps because it doesn't have Space Elevator in its name. The most interesting fact I got from the conference is that money is really starting to exist in the space elevator world mainly thanks to the work of Dr. Bradley Edwards at ISR and at Carbon Designs, Inc. The strong nanotube talk was also more promising than last year."

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[TripMaster Monkey]

In the interest of promoting more enlightened discussion, a lot of good information concerning space elevators can be found here.

Re:Let it go.

[mbrother]

Your objections are very leaky.

It is a single point of failure. If any one of the millions of potential problems with a space cable turns out to be a show-stopper, the whole investment is lost.

It's possible to "prove" the space shuttle can't fly based on the number of parts and the failure rate in those parts. Yet it flies. It isn't like we've spent a fraction of the GNP on it. This argument comes down to "I don't think it will work because it seems complicated." It's actually much simpler than riding a bomb into space which is what astronauts currently do.

The benefits are small. The energy needed to shift a payload from the bottom to the top remains the same with or without the structure. The amount of money and energy spent on building the structure needs to be recovered in improved efficiency, and that seems unlikely.

This is just wrong. The benefits are huge! This would reduce cost to orbit by orders of magnitude. When you put material into space, you're not paying for the energy. It actually doesn't take all that much energy to put something into space. The calculation is easy. It's about 60 million Joules per kg (1/2 mv^2 with v=escape velocity). You can take a day to lift (which is 86400 seconds). That gives you about 700 J/s (which is the same as 700 Watts). It's the same energy you need to run 7 100 Watt light bulbs for 24 hours.

All of the investment is up front. There is no incremental benefit to this - the elevator does not become useful until it's complete. Any return on investment (including to governments in the form of kudos or re-election benefit) is delayed until long after completion of the project.

This objection is correct, but trivial. Edwards and Westling, the only ones who have done a realistic design study, put the cost at around $10 billion. That's less than the NASA budget for 1 year. That's much less than building a successor to the shuttle. That's factors of several less than the defunct superconducting supercolidor, and similarly less than the space station. Heck, Bill Gates could in theory build it for fun. Given the international nature of the problem, issues about security, the need for some additional bits of engineering/research, it is a government project. But not an outrageously expensive one.