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Space Elevator Update

TheMadReaper writes "The 2005 edition of the Space Exploration Conference in Albuquerque, NM came to a conclusion earlier this week. A large fraction of the conference was devoted to the Space Elevator. Surprisingly, there hasn't been much news coverage of this conference, perhaps because it doesn't have Space Elevator in its name. The most interesting fact I got from the conference is that money is really starting to exist in the space elevator world mainly thanks to the work of Dr. Bradley Edwards at ISR and at Carbon Designs, Inc. The strong nanotube talk was also more promising than last year."

16 of 557 comments (clear)

  1. More practical update... by isny · · Score: 5, Funny

    Update: Still on ground floor.

    1. Re:More practical update... by Jerf · · Score: 5, Funny

      Right now our biggest practical problem is working out how to include roughly 23.5 million buttons for floors in the elevator compartment.

      Our previous best accomplishment in this domain, pioneered by the great elevator engineer Willy Wonka with his ground breaking, or rather sky-light breaking, Glass Elevator, is short by several orders of magnitude. (You can also see early Space Elevator technology there, but we've not been able to replicate his claimed performance without a tether; see the report in the sequel to the Chocolate Factory book.)

      I am confident once we overcome that problem that everything else should be easy.

      (If you're wondering where that number came from, that's geosync orbit at 22,241 miles, times two as I'm using the elevator variant that continues on out for counterweight and flinging ability, and estimating 10 feet per "floor", so 22241 * 2 * 528 = 23,486,496.)

  2. Getting stuck? by nxtr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    What if you happen to get stuck at some weird altitude out of reach of help? If you're stuck high and above, you might have the space shuttle come and rescue you. If you're stuck low, you might have a helicopter come and help you. At other altitudes, you're pretty much fucked.

    1. Re:Getting stuck? by StratoChief66 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      How about parachutes and airtanks?

      --
      Frylock: "We should have cloned twenties, Jackson wouldn't have given a fuck."
  3. More information by TripMaster+Monkey · · Score: 5, Informative

    In the interest of promoting more enlightened discussion, a lot of good information concerning space elevators can be found here.

    --
    ____

    ~ |rip/\/\aster /\/\onkey

  4. Space elevator: really a good idea? by boingyzain · · Score: 5, Funny

    The music in normal elevators is already driving me crazy...

    Imagine going upwards for hundred sof miles while having to listen to Julio Iglesias' songs, performed by some guy on a synthesizer. NOOOOOO!

  5. Is the space elevator a bit premature? by boingyzain · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A "space elevator" is totally unlike anything ever done before. As I read in a Slashdot post some years ago (referring to nanotubes, the favorite among space-elevator aficionados), "When somebody has built a 40,000 millimeter bridge across a creek on campus, then we can start to talk about a 40,000 kilometer bridge straight up".

    The fact that we have not yet achieved one millionth of the task (and in fact fall several orders of magnitude for that) suggests to me that, much as I would love to see a space elevator in place, the job today belongs to materials scientists who are looking at shorter-term goals.

    An eye to the future is great, but experimenting on climbers is like practicing the high jump: if you're jumping twice as high today as last year, I wouldn't start drawing any exponential curves. The ribbon is the really, really hard part, and we're currently so far away from it that research energy is better spent elsewhere for a while. 2010 is way, way too close.

    Maybe with enough motivation we could get that 40,000 mm bridge by 2010, but somehow I doubt you're going to raise $10 million to build a bridge. The X-prize shot somebody into space for that kind of money.

    I'm prepared to be wrong. I'm a software developer, and I've learned that as a consultant I can say, "Your project is doomed" with 95% accuracy before I've even heard your name. Being a nay-sayer is easy. But the real trick is being able to spot the 5% that will actually be profitable, and there are a lot of projects more immediately deserving of this kind of money.

  6. kg/lb by X1011 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Operating costs estimated at 100 kg/lb, ready in 15 years at most optimistic.

    Kilograms per pound? What is that?

  7. new extreme sport.. by sentientbeing · · Score: 5, Interesting

    As long as youre wearing a spacesuit theres no reason why you couldn't base jump off to escape... ...Or for the fainter of heart - atmospheric bungee jumping!

    Man what a rush.

    --

    ------
    beware he who would deny you access to information, for in his mind he dreams himself your master
  8. Have they considered terrorism? by boingyzain · · Score: 5, Insightful

    My first thought upon hearing of the space elevator was "what happens if it breaks?" Who cares if science suggests it won't be a catastrophe? Most terrorists do not exactly subscribe to the latest scientific journals. A lightbulb will go off in one of their dim minds and they'll try to ram a plane into the cable, or the tower, or whatever, hoping it will somehow dislodge the asteroid from orbit and send it crashing into Washington D.C. or something. It'd make a great scifi action movie, wouldn't it?

    And don't forget it'd be a tremendous icon of Western achievement. You'd better believe everyone in the US, or whatever country eventually builds one, would be proud as hell of it. The media would be going on and on about how it'll usher in a new age for mankind, and so on, and so forth. If terrorists could somehow take it out, wouldn't that have tremendous psychological value? Remember that they chose the World Trade Center and Pentagon to strike at us, two (or three) buildings that symbolized, to them, everything that's wrong with the US. Wouldn't a tower that reaches into the heavens (hello, Tower of Babel?) symbolize that even more?

    It's quite reasonable to take terrorism into consideration when designing a structure. While I may be obsessing over the whole "living in fear" deal, its definitely something that needs to be considered.

    1. Re:Have they considered terrorism? by Eternally+optimistic · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It seems you are already living in fear. That is a more immediate problem than a space elevator being planned, and it is all too common today. Not just because of terrorism.

      --
      What keeps me going is my inertia.
  9. Warning label you won't see by boingyzain · · Score: 5, Funny

    A warning label you won't see on the space elevator:

    In emergency, USE STAIRS.

  10. Re:Talk about a nonstarter! by TripMaster+Monkey · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The surviving fragments of an orbital tether would not have the requisite mass to produce the sort of wave disturbances you postulate. Actually, from most accounts, the worst health hazard resulting from a broken orbital tether would be small fragments of nanotube floating about in the atmosphere, eventually drifting to ground level and getting lodged in the lungs (as it turns out, carbon nanotubes are about the same size as asbestos fibers...perfect for getting lodged in the lungs).

    --
    ____

    ~ |rip/\/\aster /\/\onkey

  11. Re:Let it go. by mbrother · · Score: 5, Informative

    Your objections are very leaky.

    It is a single point of failure. If any one of the millions of potential problems with a space cable turns out to be a show-stopper, the whole investment is lost.

    It's possible to "prove" the space shuttle can't fly based on the number of parts and the failure rate in those parts. Yet it flies. It isn't like we've spent a fraction of the GNP on it. This argument comes down to "I don't think it will work because it seems complicated." It's actually much simpler than riding a bomb into space which is what astronauts currently do.

    The benefits are small. The energy needed to shift a payload from the bottom to the top remains the same with or without the structure. The amount of money and energy spent on building the structure needs to be recovered in improved efficiency, and that seems unlikely.

    This is just wrong. The benefits are huge! This would reduce cost to orbit by orders of magnitude. When you put material into space, you're not paying for the energy. It actually doesn't take all that much energy to put something into space. The calculation is easy. It's about 60 million Joules per kg (1/2 mv^2 with v=escape velocity). You can take a day to lift (which is 86400 seconds). That gives you about 700 J/s (which is the same as 700 Watts). It's the same energy you need to run 7 100 Watt light bulbs for 24 hours.

    All of the investment is up front. There is no incremental benefit to this - the elevator does not become useful until it's complete. Any return on investment (including to governments in the form of kudos or re-election benefit) is delayed until long after completion of the project.

    This objection is correct, but trivial. Edwards and Westling, the only ones who have done a realistic design study, put the cost at around $10 billion. That's less than the NASA budget for 1 year. That's much less than building a successor to the shuttle. That's factors of several less than the defunct superconducting supercolidor, and similarly less than the space station. Heck, Bill Gates could in theory build it for fun. Given the international nature of the problem, issues about security, the need for some additional bits of engineering/research, it is a government project. But not an outrageously expensive one.

    --
    Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
  12. Re:Money by hunterx11 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Anyone who wants to build another Tower of Babel because they read about it in the Bible clearly didn't finish reading it.

    --
    English is easier said than done.
  13. Re:Money by khayman80 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I see this whole concept as just being another aspect of people getting too influenced by Biblical sound bites - they want to build a tower of Bable for the sake of it, while similar ludrous schemes for launch like building a mass driver circling the equator would be orders of magnitude cheaper. Keep your religeon and your science seperate guys. People would argue this came from SF, from people that have heard of geostationary orbit but don't have a clue, but it gets rooted in our heads from Sunday School and the Bable story.

    You might find it surprising, then, to hear that I'm very excited about the possibility of a space elevator, despite being a lifelong atheist.

    It's true that the space elevator relies on technology that doesn't exist yet. But that technology is rapidly advancing, and there have been extensive studies of the material properties of carbon nanotubes in the context of use in a space elevator. Of course, you'll have to wade through pages of Biblical references to get to the actual science, but that's something you'll just have to get used to if you want to read about space elevator technology.

    In addition, a mass driver is simply NOT a substitute for a space elevator. Even if a practical electromagnetic mass driver could be built, each launch would require a large amount of energy that would never be recovered. The space elevator uses less energy to send each ton of matter to GEO than any other proposed system, but that's not the really cool part. You see, each ton of matter that is returned from GEO effectively recovers the energy required to send that matter up in the first place via regenerative braking.

    This is also where I should mention that, energy concerns aside, the space elevator removes one of the largest risks from space flight - reentry. Mass drivers help you get into orbit, but they don't help you return from orbit at all. In a space elevator, though, you just press the "down" button. Simple as that.

    Now, if you'll excuse me, I have to go do my religion homework. Oops, I meant to say science homework. I have such a hard time keeping those two subjects separate... but you can't really blame us clueless space elevator kooks for that, right?