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The Shuttle Mission No One Wants

Fourmica writes "USA Today (by way of TechNewsWorld) has a surprisingly insightful look at the planned 'rescue option' for Discovery's upcoming launch. The plan, which has been mentioned here before, is to have the crew hole up on the ISS until Atlantis can launch to bring them home. My question is, why shove everyone into the ISS? Why not just dock with it, and share the life support supplies between the two systems, instead of cramming everyone into the station?" See this earlier story on the same topic.

36 of 404 comments (clear)

  1. Answer by daveschroeder · · Score: 4, Interesting
    My question is, why shove everyone into the ISS? Why not just dock with it, and share the life support supplies between the two systems, instead of cramming everyone into the station?"

    Because the shuttle is only a supported flight platform for a very narrow range of parameters on a given mission. Yes, even with all the contingencies. We *know* the ISS is a predictable, stable environment, as opposed to a failed shuttle (whatever the failure is) requiring extended docking with the ISS.
    Therefore, living in cramped quarters for a while and losing/abandoning a shuttle is far desirable to potentially losing a shuttle due to yet-unknown circumstances, *and* the ISS, and all of the occupants of both.

    Better cramped and (relatively) safe than comfortable and (perhaps) sorry, no matter how remote the chances of a catastrophic event caused by unknown/unmanageable failures, even on orbit.

    Finally - jokes aside - wouldn't you think NASA knows at least marginally what it's doing here?

    Or maybe they can use...

    ...the *military shuttle*!! (Hello, WW fans.)

    1. Re:Answer by mat+catastrophe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "We *know* the ISS is a predictable, stable environment, as opposed to a failed shuttle."

      Yes. Rock solid and *very* predictable and stable, indeed.

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    2. Re:Answer by Amiga+Trombone · · Score: 4, Informative

      Because the shuttle is only a supported flight platform for a very narrow range of parameters on a given mission. Yes, even with all the contingencies. We *know* the ISS is a predictable, stable environment, as opposed to a failed shuttle (whatever the failure is) requiring extended docking with the ISS.
      Therefore, living in cramped quarters for a while and losing/abandoning a shuttle is far desirable to potentially losing a shuttle due to yet-unknown circumstances, *and* the ISS, and all of the occupants of both.


      Actually, it's probably simpler than that. IIRC, ISS has limited docking facilities, I believe it can only accommodate one shuttle at a time.

      In order to accommodate shuttle one, it would need to jettison shuttle one, and make sure it's a safe distance away from ISS.

    3. Re:Answer by daveschroeder · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Now, here's an interesting question: If the failure is really that serious and catastrophic, how do they intend to get the shuttle to the station - or vice versa?

      Well, this presumes that the shuttle is still functional enough to get to the ISS.

      This is just a typical reactive strategy, e.g., the last shuttle completed its entire mission, but just *couldn't land* because of the foam anomaly. So now they'll look for this one-in-a-who-knows-how-many occurrence, and have a "rescue plan", as all the people who don't realize how complex this is asked about last time. It's just a contingency plan, because is something even remotely similar ever happened again and they didn't plan for it, NASA would be raked over the coals and heads would roll.

      So, yeah, if something really bad happened, there's no guarantees the shuttle could get to the ISS at all. They just have to plan for the eventuality that it can.

    4. Re:Answer by Don+Sample · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The only sort of failure that would have them going to the ISS is something that would make impossible to land, such as damaged tiles. Any sort of life support system failure, they can still probably land the thing faster than they can dock to the station.

    5. Re:Answer by mat+catastrophe · · Score: 4, Funny

      So, do you suppose that somewhere in NASA's big manual of back up plans there is a page that says:

      1. Other incidents not yet mentioned...
      2. ???
      3. Mission saved!

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    6. Re:Answer by snuf23 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Hey that's not fair. In this case it's the PEOPLE on the space station who were unpredictable. After all they ate the extra food, not the space station.

      --
      Sometimes my arms bend back.
    7. Re:Answer by tomhudson · · Score: 4, Funny
      After all they ate the extra food, not the space station.
      That's to be expected. The space station isn't exactly edible, you know ...
    8. Re:Answer by coopex · · Score: 5, Funny

      Scene: Really important looking high tech meeting room, deep in the bowels of JSC. The acting administrator Frederick D. Gregory, chief scientian Dr. James B. Garvin, chief of staff John D. Schumacher, chief safety and mission assurance office Bryan D. O'Connor, and the head of the shuttle program William Parsons, as well as several less important figures are huddled around a single computer. Suddenly, Gregory gasps.
      "My God!", he exclaims.
      The others all crowd even closer together to try to get a look, which would have been difficult even without the mass of people due to the thick smoke that had gathered over the course of this marathon meeting.
      Gregory regains his composure, and trying to keep as dignified as possible stammers out, "lostwanderer147 doesn't think we know what we're doing."
      A hush falls over the assembled chiefs of NASA.
      He contines. "He says we're in a death spiral, and unless something big happens soon, the US space program will be history."
      There's a low murmer as they discuss what must be done, but almost immediately Schumacher has a solution.
      "We've got to contact this lostwanderer147, and give him full control of NASA, as he alone is our hope for a future."
      Everyone agrees, and they set about trying to find him.
      Tragically, his email address is not displayed with his postings or profile, and NASA is no more.

      --
      The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
    9. Re:Answer by Dashing+Leech · · Score: 4, Informative
      "I believe it can only accommodate one shuttle at a time."

      There are actually 3 Pressurized Mating Adaptors (PMAs) on the ISS but one is the interface between the Unity (Node 1) module and the Russian FGB module. The remaining two can be docked to but if a shuttle is docked to one and a Soyuz is docked to the other (there is generally an "escape" vehicle always attached), then you are probably correct that that one of these vehicles would have to be jetisoned to accomodate the second shuttle.

      However, as to the "cramped" ISS versus using the shuttle too, I don't think anybody realizes the size difference. The shuttle has very small crew space. Both the mid-deck and flight-deck are about the size of walk-in closet. The ISS is HUGE in comparison. In the Unity module it's even possible to get to a point in the middle where you can't touch anything even fully outstretched. (For fun astronauts have put someone there to see if they could actually manage to get themselves out -- since they can't push off anything the only way to move is to throw something hard in the opposite direction you want to move. When all you have is your clothes, there's slim pickings -- and yes, it was a woman they did this to.)

      A "cramped" ISS would be a lot less cramped than using the shuttle.

  2. NASA has no choice by redswinglinestapler · · Score: 5, Interesting

    They may hate the shuttle but due to the short sightedness of the last few administrations they have no other viable space lift vehicle available. And they have contractual obligations on the International Space Station. The poor Russians (bankrupt as they are) are pulling more than their share and might get fed up soon if NASA doesnt start pulling its weight. After all the Russian part of the ISS is built independently. They can just close the doors and jettison all the US modules.

    1. Re:NASA has no choice by fm6 · · Score: 5, Informative

      It is true that the Russians are doing more than their share in terms of getting hardware, supplies, and people into orbit. But remember who's paying for those rockets. As long as they get enough money to cover their costs, the Russians are not going to bail on us. They can't afford to!

  3. double dock and share? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Sounds good to me. It ain't like this shit is rocket science

  4. New tech needed by redswinglinestapler · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The shuttles are masterpeices of engineering.... circa 1980. Unfortunatly they invested $$$ in a short production run vehicle that seems to still serve the original purpose. If you were to start building one new replacement it would take a long time and cost big bucks.

    If they were to start off with a new design they could apply modern techniques/materials to create a lighter, stronger, more reliable system (i.e. a carbon monocot frame, carbon heat shield skin, computers that have more than 640k of ram, etc)

    After working out the kinks on paper they could build a few dozen (price per unit should go down with increased volume) and launch more regularly. But then again, I'm just smoking crack here, NASA will never see that kind of budget again. Unless we can convience the public that Bin Laden is camped out in his secret moonbase.

    1. Re:New tech needed by XorNand · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Everyone likes to point out that a first gen Palm Pilot is more powerful than the systems on the space shuttle. However, keep in mind that these machines are highly specialized, unlike a general computing platform. While a Swiss Army knife might be more "advanced" than a hunting knife, which would you rather have when the only thing you need a blade for is field dressing a whitetail deer? Furthermore, more often than not, a system's reliability is inversely proportional to it's complexity.

      You make a valid point that the shuttle program (or it's successor) could hugely benefit from new tech. However, to imply that it's on it's way to being a usless antique is a mischaracterization.

      --
      Entrepreneur : (noun), French for "unemployed"
  5. NASA's ability to recover by gangofwolves · · Score: 5, Interesting

    NASA has a good record of recovering after a tragedy.

    If you take the Apollo program as an example, the very first Apollo mission was a disaster with three astronauts killed. And yet after that, the Apollo missions were great successes (although Apollo 13 was a close call, of course).

    The Hubble Space Telescope was launched with a faulty mirror, but this was fixed and Hubble's become a great success, too.

    This program will probably go the same way.

  6. Uh... by Moby+Cock · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How many shuttles can dock with the ISS? If its one , do they draw straws to see who moves Discovery so Atlantis can dock?

  7. Meanwhile in Russia by redswinglinestapler · · Score: 4, Interesting
  8. Re:Burt Rutan: 4 Days. NASA: 2 Years by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    rutan hasn't reached orbit he has just barely scraped the edge of space on an up and down

    for orbit you need LATERAL velocity as well as vertical velocity (with just vertical you will either escape completely or go up and back down you will not orbit).

  9. You did read your own submission, right? by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 4, Informative
    My question is, why shove everyone into the ISS? Why not just dock with it, and share the life support supplies between the two systems, instead of cramming everyone into the station?

    The ISS can only dock one shuttle at a time. Discovery would stay there, and be remotely undocked prior to Atlantis getting there.

    Seems someone else has thought of this:
    "If Discovery were damaged during launch or in orbit, Mission Control would determine whether the shuttle is capable of safely bringing the crew home. If not, the astronauts would be forced to take refuge aboard the space station and wait five weeks for Atlantis and its crew of four to come get them.
    The damaged shuttle would have to be jettisoned before a rescue vehicle could arrive, because the station cannot accommodate two shuttles. Mission Control would command Discovery to unlock from the station and fire its steering jets, which would send the vehicle plunging down into the atmosphere. If all went as planned, the remnants would splash into the Pacific Ocean far from any land."

    1. Re:You did read your own submission, right? by StarsAreAlsoFire · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Re landing gear: I heard it while in classes for Aerospace engineering, and I have repeated it as well; however, after looking around for links earlier I am wondering if is true. I'll ask my NASA friends and see what comes of it. After looking around it looks like the MC takes over just before or after crossing below mach.

      The GP is just full of crap and should be marked '-5 Trying to be impressive' or something.:

      Because landing the shuttle is hard.
      We can't even reliably auto-land
      a passenger plane, and they're incredibly forgiving airframces.

      Err, yes we can. When we implemented autopilot landings the system was so precise that the engineers had to go back and randomize the landing area; every single landing was basically right on top of the last, pulverizing that area of the runway. Not saying that we use these on commercial flights yet, but the technology is out there.

      The shuttle is an incredibly unforgiving airframe -- it comes in along a 1:1 glide path. Unpowered. At about twice the speed of sound.

      The System *IS* fully automated, that I know for sure. When humans take over the argument is that there is no redundancy in the onboard comp.

      The Space shuttle L/D (lift to drag, which equals glide ratio) is about 4 for most of the flight.

      Landing speed is a little over 200 nmph.


      Did I mention that the shuttle has no maneuverability beyond that provided by its control surfaces? Once committed, it's going to land; there's no second chance.

      Well, ok. That is certainly true.


      If we tried to bring it down on autopilot, it would only make a really big crater.


      Beh. Even assuming that we don't use autopilot because it isn't capable, which isn't the case, the human pilot is only in control for about 4 minutes, and only when the shuttle has dropped below about 600nmph.

  10. RC Landing? by eingram · · Score: 4, Interesting

    If I remember correctly, the Buran had the ability to land under remote control. Does the Shuttle have that ability? If the crew must ditch, it'd be neat to try to bring the Shuttle in with no one in it to see if it would make it or not.

    1. Re:RC Landing? by ShnowDoggie · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The shuttle will only be abandoned if there is damage. What if that damage causes the shuttle to blow up and a large chunk lands on a building, or several, in Texas? It would be neat to see a damaged unmanned shuttle safely land, but the risk of killing a lot civilians is most likely to great.

    2. Re:RC Landing? by covertlaw · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not so easy. It would require a complete redesign of the entire landing gear system and compartments. The reason why they never designed the LG for remote deployment was in case of a systems failure that would cause the doors to open too early causing loss of the vehicle.

  11. Re:Fuel by JWSmythe · · Score: 4, Interesting


    I thought docked shuttles and supply ships were used to adjust orbits.

    According to This Story a Russian supply ship was used to move it by 3 kilometers. As long as the shuttles OMS thrusters were working, it should have no problem maintaining its orbit. If the thrusters weren't working, well, they wouldn't be docking in the first place. :)

    --
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  12. You've got it wrong by dsanfte · · Score: 5, Informative

    Burt Rutan never got his ship into orbit. Not even close.

    --
    occultae nullus est respectus musicae - originally a Greek proverb
  13. Re:Burt Rutan: 4 Days. NASA: 2 Years by JonGretar · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Also remember that Burt Rutan (a personal hero of mine) is able to do this BECAUSE of the shuttle and other accomplishments of NASA. As he himself has pointed out. All the variables have been found out. You can't make cheap things without somebody making an expensive version of them first. Do you think Ford would have been able to make cheap cars without other people having made cars before him.

    Also remember that the Burt Rutan space ship is a LOT more dangerous than the Shuttle. The Shuttle's track record is better than anything humans have ever designed before. And that is one of the reasons why it is expensive. In government spending a fatality is unacceptable. In private industry well... Shit happens.

  14. If Mohammed cannot come to the mountain... by abb3w · · Score: 4, Funny
    On the one hand, re-entry is the most dangerous part of the mission after initial launch, and most of the scenarios involve discovering that the shuttle has developed a defect that will not allow it (and the crew) to survive that reentry. On the other hand, the shuttle's computer can probably be programmed to do a timed minimal dock-and-move-off burn without a human aboard. On the gripping hand, the space station also has thrusters for minor maneuvering; it might be possible to undock, and then move the station.

    Mind you, that last wouldn't be pretty, but this is already an emergency scenario. In such cases, people think way outside the box, equipment gets used for alternate purposes, and plans get modified. Sometimes literally.

    "All right, Aquarius, this is Houston. do you have the flight plan up there?"
    "Affirmative, Andy. Jack's got one right here."
    "Okay, we have a... an unusual procedure for you here. We need you to rip the cover off."
    Disclaimer: I am not an astronaut, I just work with one.

    --
    //Information does not want to be free; it wants to breed.
    1. Re:If Mohammed cannot come to the mountain... by StarsAreAlsoFire · · Score: 4, Interesting

      What is interesting to me is that they want to ditch the *possibly* damaged shuttle.

      Why? The programmers lost a fight to fully automate the landing; but the code is in the machine. Just have the damn computer land the thing. It already applies the brakes! If I recall correctly, pretty much the only thing the pilot gets to do on landing a the shuttle is tell the computer to put the gear down. Maybe parent can confirm/deny this for me? :~)

      Not sure about flight paths crossing over cities; I suppose that is probably the driving concern about tossing the shuttly in the water. That, and how would it look if the damn thing actually landed fine? ;~)

  15. Re:Star Trekin' Across The Universe by frdmfghtr · · Score: 4, Informative

    They're not solar panels, they are radiators. The shuttle must have the cargo doors open while in orbit to radiate the excess heat generated onboard.

    --
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  16. Re:Fuel by Rei · · Score: 4, Informative

    First off, the mass is not the critical issue; it's the resistance. In fact, more massive objects tend to decay in orbit slower because cross-sectional area tends to rise O(N^2), while mass tends to rise O(N^3)

    At extreme speeds, resistance tends to be proportional to the cross sectional area - it's the main reason that you'll see the fuselage of modern, very fast aircraft/spacecraft often "pinch" near the wings. So if the shuttle is aligned with the orbit of ISS, it won't make too much of difference in terms of resistance. Now, the increased mass will make the ISS's fuel less effective at boosting orbit, but even still, it's not a major issue.

    Decay isn't *that* fast or that hard to compensate from. At the very least, the incoming shuttle can provide ample replacement fuel, in addition to boosting the orbit itself. ISS is at a very high orbit, as far as LEO orbits go. It has a long way to go if it is to reenter; I'd imagine that irreversible orbital decay with the shuttle attached would take more than a year, and would probably be closer to a decade.

    --
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  17. Re:Burt Rutan: 4 Days. NASA: 2 Years by Vellmont · · Score: 5, Insightful


    Granted, the Shuttles goes into a much higher orbit,


    If by that you mean AN orbit. Spaceship one is a dinky little 3 man craft that didn't achieve orbit in the slightest. The space shuttle on the other hand is a giant bus that can haul tons of payload into orbit. It's like the difference between a bicycle and a Mack Truck.


    it, like every bureaucracy, has become an entrenched special interest, more concerned with preserving its budget than in actually moving the cause of space flight forward.

    Nasa has quite a small budget, and more than just a mission of space flight. The main mission Nasa is pursuing is one of science. The secondary (and FAR more costly one) is manned flight. Nasa simply doesn't have the budget to develop next-gen spaceflight (Rutan is pursuing yesterdays spaceflight at cheap prices, a VERY different goal). No politician in there right mind wants to give Nasa the huge amounts of money it'd take to develop these new technologies.

    The shuttle monopoly has strangled the development of alternative launch vehicles,

    The shuttle has done about nothing either way to the development of alternative launch vehicles. Satelite launch technology has been steadily developed. If you're talking about manned missions, lack of public interest in the whole endeavor is what killed that. Public interest == money. No bucks, no Buck Rogers.

    A lot of people had predicted we'd not only have launched a manned mission to Mars by now, but set up a colony.

    A lot of people are idiots and don't realize how much more difficult Mars is compared to the moon.

    Until there's a serious shakeup among the upper echelons of NASA bureaucrats, expect for the U.S. manned space program to creep along rather than soaring.

    No, until the majority of the public gets motivated to dedicate massive funding to Nasa the manned US space program will creep along. During the 50s and 60s the US was motivated by the Cold War. We reached the moon, and defeated the "bad guys". After that everything was just anti-climactic. Now that we've been to the moon and the Cold War is over, what's motivating the public?

    --
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  18. uh...no by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    "wouldn't you think NASA knows at least marginally what it's doing here?"

    No, NASA is terrified of losing life.

    Along with too many Americans.

    Here's the thing...when the 6 astonauts died in the last shuttle accident it was too bad. Terrible.

    But...it was no more terrible than 6 anonymous people dieing in an accident on the interstate. Its the same thing morally.

    In people's minds though, its worse...and it is, but mainly because of the loss of equipment. People are cheap and plentiful, shuttles are not.

    And shame on NASA and the bureaucracy for not having the b*lls to find a nice way to say the truth.

    So to answer your question, no, I don't think they use their best *scientific* judgement; they're concerned about image.

    1. Re:uh...no by robertjw · · Score: 4, Insightful

      But...it was no more terrible than 6 anonymous people dieing in an accident on the interstate. Its the same thing morally.

      Actually, that's not true. I would say some poor schmoe dying on the interstate is MORE tragic than astronauts dying in space. The guy on the highway is probably just going from his crappy job to his tiny house with his bitchy wife (or her abusive husband - let's not be sexist) and bratty kids. The astronauts that die in space are actually doing something they probably have dreamed of doing since they were children. They all know the potential risks and signed on anyway.

      Unfortunately, while we value human life, the reality of the situation is that everyone dies and any type of exploration is dangerous. Where would we be if every exploration expedition in the world was scrapped because of a loss of life. I think we should take every reasonable precaution, but scrapping a space program because a few astronauts lost their lives is just dumb.

  19. Re:Public Choice raises its ugly head. by alienw · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Whatever. Flying on a space shuttle is considerably less riskier than many jobs out there (police officers, construction workers, etc.). I don't even know why such a huge deal is made of shuttle accidents. There has been what, 15 dead astronauts in the last 40 years? Compared to thousands of traffic fatalities a year? Thousands of dead and injured soldiers in Iraq? Sure, flying on a space shuttle is not the safest job in the world, but it's not unacceptably risky.

  20. That's particularly sad by fm6 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Working on two shuttles at once is not unusual for NASA. But it is unusual for NASA to prepare two shuttles to launch a month apart, as a rescue mission would require. To stay on schedule, NASA had to pull workers away from servicing the third remaining shuttle, Endeavour. "It's really tough to have those vehicles lined up that close together," says Steven Lindsey, the astronaut who would command Atlantis if a rescue were needed.
    Here's what's really sad. I seem to recall that the original plan was to work towards have a shuttle launch every month, indefinitely. That was the whole point of the shuttle program -- to be able to go into space on a schedule. A reminder how thoroughly the program has failed.