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Gordon Moore: Moore's Law is Dead

Golygydd Max writes "Moore's Law will not hold forever, claims Gordon Moore. In a Techworld article, he points out the limitations of the law, in particular, the limitations as we approach the size of atoms. He helpfully explains, however, that the law will hold for a few years yet." Still, sticking around for forty years is pretty impressive.

24 of 379 comments (clear)

  1. Title? by yotto · · Score: 4, Funny

    Don't you mean: Gordon Moore: Moore's Law is still alive

    He helpfully explains, however, that the law will hold for a few years yet.

    1. Re:Title? by Infinityis · · Score: 5, Funny

      I can see the exchange now...somewhere in a muddy field, a cart goes by, while Gordon Moore comes out to meet it

      CART MASTER: Bring out your dead!

      GORDON MOORE: Here's one.

      CART MASTER: Ninepence.

      MOORE'S LAW: I'm not dead!

      CART MASTER: What?

      GORDON MOORE: Nothing. Here's your ninepence.

      MOORE'S LAW: I'm not dead!

      CART MASTER: 'Ere. He says he's not dead!

      GORDON MOORE: Yes, he is.

      MOORE'S LAW: I'm not!

      CART MASTER: He isn't?

      GORDON MOORE: Well, he will be soon. He's very ill.

      MOORE'S LAW: I'm getting better!

      GORDON MOORE: No, you're not. You'll be stone dead in a moment.

      CART MASTER: Oh, I can't take him like that. It's against regulations.

      MOORE'S LAW: I don't want to go on the cart!

      GORDON MOORE: Oh, don't be such a baby.

      CART MASTER: I can't take him.

      MOORE'S LAW: I feel fine!

      GORDON MOORE: Well, do us a favour.

      CART MASTER: I can't.

      GORDON MOORE: Well, can you hang around a couple of minutes? He won't be long.

      CART MASTER: No, I've got to go to the Bernoulli's. They've lost nine laws today.

      GORDON MOORE: Well, when's your next round?

      CART MASTER: Thursday.

      MOORE'S LAW: I think I'll go for a walk.

      GORDON MOORE: You're not fooling anyone, you know. Look. Isn't there something you can do?

      MOORE'S LAW: [singing] I feel happy. I feel happy. [whop]

      GORDON MOORE: Ah, thanks very much.

      CART MASTER: Not at all. See you on Thursday.

      GORDON MOORE: Right. All right.

      lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter lame filter

  2. Oh sure mr. smarty pants! by Cylix · · Score: 5, Funny

    Who is the Gordon fellow? He thinks he is soooo smart that he can comment on the already tried and true Moore's Law.

    I'll tell ya, the nerve of some people, sheesh.

    --
    "You should always go to other people's funerals; otherwise, they won't come to yours." -- Yogi Berra
    1. Re:Oh sure mr. smarty pants! by Chyeld · · Score: 4, Funny

      Dude! Have you followed his research at Black Mesa? He's an up and comer! Oh wait....

    2. Re:Oh sure mr. smarty pants! by baudbarf · · Score: 3, Funny

      Overheard on a street corner in Europe in the 1600's:

      "Who is this Galileo fellow? He thinks he is soooo smart that he can comment on the already tried and true geocentric model of the solar system. I'll tell ya, the nerve of some people, sheesh."
      --
      You can run but you can't hide, except, apparently, along the Afghan-Pakistani border.
    3. Re:Oh sure mr. smarty pants! by elgatozorbas · · Score: 3, Funny
      Who is the Gordon fellow? He thinks he is soooo smart that he can comment on the already tried and true Moore's Law

      You moron! He is the one who wame up with the law. I can prove it, 'cause I have the original magazine lying around here somewhere. If you don't believe me, give me your address and I'll send it to you to check yourself. Tssk!

  3. Other laws, however... by Mr+Guy · · Score: 5, Funny

    still reign supreme. Godwin's, in particular.

    (Probably going to get modded down by nazi mods)

    1. Re:Other laws, however... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      supreme law? What are you some kind of nazi?

    2. Re:Other laws, however... by DigitumDei · · Score: 4, Funny

      Ahh you see, the secret is to demand that they do not mod you down...

      (Don't you DARE mod me down)

    3. Re:Other laws, however... by sconeu · · Score: 4, Funny

      Ah, but using the Nazis in an attempt to invoke Godwin's Law invariably fails.

      It's along the lines of "washing your car to make it rain doesn't work", or to put it more succinctly:

      Silverman's Paradox: If Murphy's Law can go wrong, it will.

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
  4. Trumping the CEO! by plover · · Score: 4, Funny
    It must suck to be Intel's CEO and be quoted 43 days ago as saying "No end in sight for Moore's Law." Especially when the person pronouncing it dead is its author.

    Oh, well, it's been pronounced dead more often than BSD on Slashdot, so it actually means very little. Even coming from Gordon Moore.

    --
    John
  5. On another note by Nimloth · · Score: 4, Funny

    Meanwhile I suspect that the number of articles saying Moore's law can't go on forever will double every month on /. starting now.

  6. This techworld article.. by ackthpt · · Score: 5, Funny
    Will it be worth $10,000 in forty years?

    it may well buy a couple gallons of gas

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
  7. It's not dead by katana · · Score: 5, Funny

    It's only mostly dead.

  8. Moore and the Future by Flywheels+of+Fire · · Score: 5, Funny
    From the TFA:Finally, asked if there were any new laws for next 40 years, he said: "I'll rest on my laurels on this one! I'm not close enough now to make new predictions - several things have been called Moore's Second Law but I can't take credit for any of them."

    Here's are some thoughts from me:

    1. Quantum Technology and/or Bio-molecular computing will become the next big thing.
    2. Software Patents will effectively make software development exclusively a big player game
    3. Virus infected nano-bots will wreak havok.
    4. High fuel prices will effectively slow the pace of technological development all around.
    5. Slashdot will hire paid editors.
  9. Perhaps dead with silicone by argoff · · Score: 3, Funny

    .. but there are lots of other technologies, esp quantum... where once established you can doubble the calculation capacity every 18 months without very much dificulty.

  10. Re:40 years is impressive? by Phleg · · Score: 3, Funny

    Modern computers already match us in terms of raw power. However, our operating system is *way* cooler, and we get better peripherals :)

    --
    No comment.
  11. Re:forever? by SmokeHalo · · Score: 5, Funny

    Will anything hold forever?

    Krazy Glue and anyone on the phone with Symantec.

    --
    I'm not good in groups. It's difficult to work in a group when you're omnipotent. - Q
  12. Re:It can be done now by RealAlaskan · · Score: 3, Funny
    ... we can't even make a machine as intelligent as a honey bee (only about 1 million neurons), what good would a system with a hundred billion neurons be other than to sit and vegetate?

    But think how fast it could vegetate!

    The real strength of computers is that they can make mistakes so much faster than we puny, limited humans. A vegetative system system with a hundred billion neurons would obviously be superior to us puny humans because it could make human-scale mistakes unimaginably quickly, as it sat there, quietly vegetating ... inert.

    Right! A vegetative system system with a hundred billion neurons would obviously be superior to us puny humans because it could sit there and do nothing, and do it very fast indeed.

  13. Re: It can be done now by dfn5 · · Score: 4, Funny
    what good would a system with a hundred billion neurons be other than to sit and vegetate?

    I guess nothing. Remove the feeding tube.

    --
    -- Thou hast strayed far from the path of the Avatar.
  14. Re:40 years is impressive? by Odin's+Raven · · Score: 5, Funny
    I guess Ray Kurzeil's predictions that computers will have the same power as the human brain by 2020 will not be met...

    I think you underestimate the rate at which human brainpower is decreasing... ;-)

    --
    A marriage is always made up of two people who are prepared to swear that only the other one snores.
  15. In other news by objekt · · Score: 3, Funny
    --
    -- Boycott Shell
  16. Of course Moore's Law is dead by utoddl · · Score: 3, Funny

    Of course Moore's Law is dead. And I predict that in 18 months it will be twice as dead.

  17. Re:Fox News take on the subject... by reezle · · Score: 3, Funny

    But at 1:23 p.m., Fox News Channel anchor Shepard
    Smith reported that {Moore's Law} had died. At least
    initially, he did not cite sources.

    By 1:30 p.m., Fox reporter Greg Palkot in Rome was
    sending signals of caution, saying the report had not
    been confirmed and the network was checking into it.

    "The exact time of death, I think, is not something that
    matters so much at this moment for we will be reliving
    {Moore's Law} for many days and weeks and even years
    and decades and centuries to come," Smith said.