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Hope for Hubble

yulek writes "It may not be over yet. space today reports that Bush's NASA administrator nominee, Michael Griffin, wants to revisit the Hubble decision. Space.com has some more details. The big question is: do we really want to save Hubble for the right reasons or is it more of a symbolic thing? Considering NASA's fiscal woes, is this a waste of funds? I have loved the Hubble images for the last decade, and the research that stemmed from them, but I think that the most incredible camera we've ever made may need more than just an upgrade. Perhaps it is obsolete."

33 of 241 comments (clear)

  1. Personally I think it would be worth repair by HunterSun · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It has been a very useful piece of equipment for the scientific community and would continue to be so. True the cost looks big, but compared to the many other expenditures NASA Makes its a small price for the gain you get from it. Unless you can put up a new telescope with at least it's capabilities for the repair cost its worth the investment.

    1. Re:Personally I think it would be worth repair by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We can lose human life over the ISS, and yet there are no plans to scrap that. Hubble produces science. The ISS produces a moving light in the sky every so often and props up the Russian space program. Unless and until a heavy lift booster is used to kick things into orbit so that the shuttle is used more like a contractor's pickup (hauling crew and tools to the site) than a cargo truck (hauling parts to the site), the shuttle is going to continue to be a drag on the station's construction.

      Then again, a simple replacement for the shuttle would be nice, too.

      --
      You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  2. Obsolete? Hardly. by samrolken · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I generally consider things to be obsolete when they have been replaced by something better. How does this apply to Hubble?

    --
    samrolken
    1. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by Shadow+Wrought · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think the issue is whether something superior to the Hubble could be built and launched for less cost than the repair mission. If that is the case, then we would be better off replacing the Hubble with somehting better. The Hubble has had an amazing run, but if we can place something even better up there, then I think we ought to do so.

      --
      If brevity is the soul of wit, then how does one explain Twitter?
    2. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by Shadow+Wrought · · Score: 2, Insightful
      That's the other end of the equation, how long can we wait? If reaplcing the Hubble takes two years, a year of which the Hubble is either gone or unusable, then is it still in our best insterest? I think the biggest risk with a replacement, as I sit here contemplating it, is that it either won't be ready to go, will go up and fail, or the funding for it will get cut. All of which are huge issues.

      I don't have a lot of faith in the current administration's commitment to continuing things which generate scientific results. In such a climate the waters would indeed become muddied as to the best course of action.

      --
      If brevity is the soul of wit, then how does one explain Twitter?
    3. Re:Obsolete? Hardly. by kevlar · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The issue is whether something exists on Earth that can replace an orbitting satelite for a fraction of the cost. The answer is YES. There have been an enormous amount of progress in adaptive optics since Hubble went into orbit. So much so that land-based telescopes can correct atmospheric distortion.

      The only benefit for an orbiting telescope now is to observe at wavelengths that the atmosphere naturally filters out.

  3. Save Voyager! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For what it costs to determine if Hubble can/should be "saved" we can fund Voyager until it runs out of power. We have never had a man made object communicate with us from outside the solar system.

  4. Too costly by L0C0loco · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Saving Hubble will cost at least $500 million. That money could be used to keep all of the other spacecraft that are being considered for termination operating for a few years. There is a more capable replacement, the JWST, on the way in 2011. The only reason they are revisiting the Hubble decision is to appease Senator Mikulski of MD. Oh yeah, Griffin came from APL which is also in MD. You connect the dots.

    --
    -- Instant Karma's gonna get you! [320848 = 2*2*2*2*11*1823]
  5. Voyeger is more important by sfcat · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Considering how low it takes to get a probe beyond Pluto and the strange pull on the spacecraft (it is off where it should be) and the low cost of continuing to monitor the probes, the voyeger missions should be continued too. Cutting them saves very little money but the budget is so tight that to save one or two mil, we are cutting these very important programs.

    --
    "Those that start by burning books, will end by burning men."
    1. Re:Voyeger is more important by Troy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is a great point. If we have to choose between Hubble and Voyager, frankly I think we should pick Voyager. It may not be as sexy as the Hubble, but at least with the Hubble we could get a working replacement up and running in significantly less time than it would take to get an object to the edge of our solar system.

  6. As a rule... by Otter · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The big question is: do we really want to save Hubble for the right reasons or is it more of a symbolic thing?

    In general, use of the word "we" around here refers to be people who don't, as a group, have the slightest idea what they're talking about, let alone any intention of making any contribution themselves.

    This is a perfect example. Given the inability "we" have to understand why false color images are used, I find it hard to imagine that "we" have an informed opinion on the utility of the Hubble.

    My impression is that the posters here who do know what they're talking about run about 80-20 against hanging on to the Hubble.

    1. Re:As a rule... by Astro+Dr+Dave · · Score: 3, Insightful
      My impression is that the posters here who do know what they're talking about run about 80-20 against hanging on to the Hubble.
      Really?

      Those who "know what they're talking about" will understand that:

      - NASA funding is being redirected away from science and toward flimsy "national pride" missions (ISS, the moon and Mars).

      - JWST is not a replacement for HST. At the moment there is no replacement for HST on the drawing board.

      - HST is one of the most productive science projects NASA has ever had.

      So explain to me again, why do the "informed" people think HST should not be serviced?

    2. Re:As a rule... by hylander_sb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, maybe you should talk to the end users, I think they're called astronomers and they might have some insight as to the usefulness of HST to their research. Why would we have gone through the time and expense to develop 2 gyro sciense if no one wanted to use it? There isn't a single terrestrial telescope that can touch HST in capabilities. It's only peers are other space telescopes and that's being charitable. They're all very good at doing only one thing be it X-Ray or Infrared. JWST isn't due out til '11 or '12 and it won't even be as capable as HST. It's primarily an Infrared telescope. HST after SM4 will see Infrared and Ultraviolet as well as Visible. We have no plans to truly replace HST. Why not get the most out of it?

    3. Re:As a rule... by quarkscat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      As a rule, posters that pull bogus numbers out of
      their very own "black hole" don't know what they
      are taking about.

      The HST (Hubble Space Telescope) is getting a bit
      old, technology-wise. It also seems that some of
      the replacement parts (gyroscopes come to mind)
      have not lasted as long as the originals. But,
      there is no scientific instrument either built
      or on the drawing boards that can entirely replace
      the Hubble. Period.

      The politicos and BS artists would like for the
      public to believe that the Cobb Telescope IS the
      replacement. In truth, it is an IR telescopic
      array, not an IR to visible to UV telescope.
      If there are any problems with the Cobb scope
      deployment (solar panel deployment, array element
      alignment, proper LaGrange orbit), it will be out
      of reach of any manned SST (shuttle) mission and
      could be considered lost (barring technology-defying
      advancements in robotic repair missions).

      All ground-based telescopes suffer from the very
      same environmental issues -- atmospheric distortion,
      atmospheric filtering (poor weather and/or air
      pollution) that limits bandwidth, and light
      pollution. Recent advances in stereoscopic
      telescopes have partially ameliorated the issue
      of atmospheric distortion, only.

      The Hubble WILL require some manner of servicing
      mission, if only to attach rockets for de-orbiting
      (originally planned for 2008).
      But the replacement parts have been built & tested
      for the continued (and improved) functionality of
      HST. A robotic servicing mission to perform the
      repairs and upgrades is 5 years and $2B USD away
      from reality. OTOH, NASA scientists/astronauts
      have already been trained to perform this mission.
      All that is lacking is the political resolve to
      (1) spend the money to complete the mission, and
      (2) risk the potential loss of life and spacecraft.

      Since any return of the SST (shuttle) into space
      already risks both spacecraft and human life,
      using such an argument against a manned HST
      mission is also an argument against any return
      of manned spaceflight. The current regime and
      NASA administrators need to "get a pair"...

    4. Re:As a rule... by mbrother · · Score: 2, Insightful

      While I think you have some valid points, you kind of crap out on it with statements like "Hubble observation time is only available to those in the inner circles of the elitist clique in the upper levels of the 'hierarchy' of the scientific group" and "Most of the hubble data that gets published for public consumption is borderline fraud, cuz those pretty pictures bear little/no resemblance to the actual observed data". Both of these are really ignorant and unfair.

      I've served on the panel that hands out Hubble time. It's pretty damn fair, with no elitist cliques (some big names in astronomy get savaged and some unknowns get time, based on the quality of proposals). And the "pretty pictures" ARE the observed data -- to claim otherwise if unfair. Those are real Hubble pictures, which contain valuable information.

      Other statements like "real data" vs. "color-corrected public consumption images" suggest you really don't have a good idea about this stuff.

      I'm fine with a public debate about the value of basic research like astronomy, and how much should be spent on it. I think current dollar values are in the ballpark, and don't really think the field needs/deserves lots more in the big picture. Nevertheless, the Hubble Space Telescope is one of the very best investments ever in astronomy, in terms of the overall science return and the science return by dollar (there have been papers published investigating this quantitatively based on publications and citations). Spending more money on it now is maintaining the mission, and is a lot less than starting from scratch. NASA says money is not the issue here, and I believe that.

      "Hubble was designed to be serviced and upgraded on station, on the premise that shuttle flights would be cheap. That premise has failed, and turned hubble into a huge cash sink." That premise failed long before 2004, when this decision not to service was made. The repair mission was on the books and approved before 2004 and the shuttle explosion -- that's the real issue, not the cost. That issue isn't really in play here.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
    5. Re:As a rule... by mbrother · · Score: 3, Insightful

      P.S. You do realize that all Hubble data, the "real" raw observed data, is publically available, right? You can go download it yourself, and do anything you want with it. There is no conspiracy of the elite to stop you, and, in fact, there are mountains of documentation and software to help you make sense of the data. Look at some ultraviolet spectroscopy, some infrared images, anything Hubble has ever looked at, available, for anyone forever. That's a scientific legacy.

      --
      Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
  7. Obsolete???? by hellfire · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Would someone mind telling me what exactly has made the hubble obsolete? What batch of super powerful telescopes has made the hubble unnecessary?

    Maybe the hubble is broken down, maybe it's too difficult to maintain, I'll even entertain the very unscientific assessment that the benefits of the hubble are outweighed by the costs now. However, you can't call something obsolete until something else comes along that's simply better and that can replace it fully.

    With repairs the hubble can still do tremendous things. The submitter calling it "obsolete" is an irresponsible use of words and that bothers me because it implies it has no further worth. That's simply wrong.

    --

    "All great wisdom is contained in .signature files"

  8. Symbolism or hedging your bets? by Tackhead · · Score: 5, Insightful
    > do we really want to save Hubble for the right reasons or is it more of a symbolic thing?

    If you don't have $400M to fix a space telescope, you're not going to get $4B+ to build a new one.

    Consider, further, that if a hypothetical new telescope has a $400M sticker on it today, it'll cost at least $4B by the time Congress is done splitting up the contracts so as to maximize the amount of pork (and therefore votes) allocated.

    Consider, still further, the probability that this (or any other) administration is ever going to agree to spending one thin time on science. People into science tend to think. People who think tend not to vote as predictably. It's therefore in every Congressman's long-term interest to reduce the proportion of such people among the population.

    This isn't an R-vs-D flame. Space telescopes harm Republican politicians by draining money away from faith-based initiatives that would otherwise be used to indoctrinate the next generation of Republican voters, but they also harm Democrat politicians by draining money away from social programmes that foster the kind of nanny-state dependency that produces the next generation of Democrat voters.

    I support keeping the Hubble - even if obsolescent, it's better than nothing. And "nothing" is what we'll end up with if we let it crash and burn.

    As prior art, I cite the X-33 and other Shuttle replacements, all of which were canned years ago.

  9. Wrong question by tepp · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think your question, is Hubble obsolete, is the wrong question to ask.

    Hubble IS obsolete. And will be replaced by the http://www.jwst.nasa.gov/JWST. But the JWST won't launch until August, 2011.

    Hubble will die soon. So what are scientists to do from 2006 until August 2011? Although we have many world class telescopes on earth, all of them have to contend with the atmosphere, plus earth's orbit - its rotation around the sun affect which part of our sky is visible at night, and because of this annoying thing called "day", those telescopes can only be used at night, which further restrict which part of the universe can be viewed at any given moment.

    I'm not insulting earth-based telescopes, but I do believe we need to keep Hubble functioning until the JWST is ready. For safety, Hubble should operate a few months after the JWST is launched, just in case the JWST has flaws that are only discovered after launch... remember Hubble's mirror flaw which required an additional flight to fix?

    --
    Tepp
  10. It's an icon by brontus3927 · · Score: 4, Insightful
    If the White House burned down and it was discovered that it would only cost a little more to build a new White House over in Arlington then to rebuild it at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, which would you choose?

    The Hubble Space Telescope stands for everything NASA has done right in the last 12 years. At the completion of STS-61, the mission to replace the warped mirror, NASA's approval rating was at it's highest since the launch of Columbia. Possibly since the Apollo missions. Besides saving a $1.5 billion dollar investment. The mission proved that servicing missions could be done. It opened the door to the idea that in orbit manufacutring and repairs weren't just science fiction.

    Since then Hubble has increased our understanding of the universe 10 fold. Its more than just a space telescope, it's a national monument. I think every effort should be made to keep it in working order until the technology exists to safely return it to Earth intact so it can be displayed at the Smithsonian Air & Space Museum

  11. It's not obsolete, it's just politics by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Even though 90 percent of the public is way more interested in pictures from Hubble than they are in the International Space Station (ISS) or any moon base, the scaredy-cats in DC don't want to risk fixing it with the military space shuttle, so they can send more spy satellites up instead.

    Sigh. It will soon be replaced with something better from the EU or Japan anyway.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
  12. Re:Hubble is obsolete by jhoger · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You're ignoring the aspects of time and matter.

    A better telescope could be placed in to orbit, sure.

    But time on the telescope is a finite resource. If you want to look at something, you have to create a proposal, and get time scheduled on the device, get it pointed, etc.

    If the Hubble still has some significant utility, and the cost to repair it is worth that additional utility, than it should be repaired.

    But just being "obsolete" doesn't make it worthless, and I don't see this as a "sentimental" argument.

    -- John.

  13. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by Martin+Blank · · Score: 2, Insightful

    You'd have to gring a new primary lens, which would take a long time to do (though it could be done the right way this time) and cost a small fortune. We have a known-good unit in place now, with upgrades to boost its primary capabilities by an order of magnitude. Better to go that route instead of adding in a bunch of new variables.

    --
    You can never go home again... but I guess you can shop there.
  14. Re:Let it fall.... by wcdw · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Bad analogy, actually. Many studies have shown that it is, in fact, cheaper to maintain a used car (per year) than the cost of making car payments for that same year.

    My experiences (save for the time I threw a head bolt through the hood ;) have supported this.

    Note that my (current) car is old enough to drink legally; this is not hypothetical.

    --
    If you're not living on the edge, you're just taking up space!
  15. Re:Nothing wrong with revisiting the decision by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Right but that "final" came out of the mouth of a clueless blow-dried MBA idiot.

    The current maybe comes from a card-carrying geek who's now heading up NASA.

    I'm willing to be flexible in this case.

  16. Re:Adaptive Optics by Tsiangkun · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And if I could ask a follow up to that question, Will ground based telescopes be able to adjust to increasing level of contaminants in the air, and changes in the atmosphere ?

  17. Re:Hubble is obsolete by RpbboeDo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How is it obsolete? Is the 200 inch Hale(?) telescope at Palomar obsolete? It was put in service about the same time as my mother,who is also still in service due to large government expenditures. Obsolete, hardly. How can you put a value on sentiment? People place great value on sentiment, not so much on the Hubble per se, but pictures taken from a fancy camera in orbit, which takes picture like no other. If work was already commencing on a new space telescope, a launch date set eith minimal downtime of the ability to take these pictures, then, ok. However, think of the true value of what the Hubble has done for all of us who are touched by its images, and how they have brought us all a little closer to grasping the immensity of what is out there and marvel of its beauty. The USA can afford this for both its scientific and spiritual benefits (like Dao and Buddist spiritual, not intending to imply or annoy Right Wing Religious Christian Fundamentalist zealots).

  18. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by shadowbearer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We SHOULD be doing both. Or, at the least, (as you so eloquently put ;) we should be preserving the old one, which is still doing useful science, until we have a real replacement, and meanwhile, FUND a replacement.

    I hope Mr. Griffin realizes that, and has the moxie to browbeat the money out of the Administration. It's just a few drops out of the bucket after all compared to what everything else gets.

    Sigh. I'll just wait and see how serious he is about this.

    SB

    --
    It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
  19. Re:Symbolic, Of Course by bluGill · · Score: 2, Insightful

    And it would be a better Hubble too because they would use a mirror ground correctly. That alone would make it better than Hubble can ever be.

    I take that back. It would be just like bureaucrats to grind a new mirror to the wrong specs just so everything is the same as Hubble is now. (or is it for political reasons? Makes no difference)

  20. Re:Symbolic? by mbrother · · Score: 2, Insightful

    As much as I'm a Hubble fan, this isn't true. There are a number of other successful and productive NASA missions like Chandra, and a couple of dozen others, that NASA performs. And NASA also supports astronomers like myself and our space-based research programs (they've given my group over $200k this year). Hubble is the crown jewel, but far from the only one, coming out of NASA.

    --
    Professor of Astronomy, Author of Spider Star & Star Dragon (Tor)
  21. Re:Space telescopes are obsolete by DerekLyons · · Score: 2, Insightful
    My physics professor said in a lecture two years ago that the Hubble is long obsolete; in fact it's nothing but a toy now.
    Frankly, he's badly wrong.
    Ground telescopes have advanced their techniques for correcting atmospheric distortion of the image to the point that taking a picture with a telescope in space is less desireable.
    Mostly true, in that a couple of telescopes on their *best* nights can correct for enough distortion to be almost as good as Hubble. Someday it maybe more than a few, and it maybe better than 'almost as good'. Maybe. (But resolution isn't everything. In facy, it's just one of a dozen or so possible functions to rate a telescope on.

    But let's look at what he didn't tell you:

    • I bet he didn't tell you that Hubble is more sensitive than any earthbound scope - even the giant at Palomar. All earthbound scopes have to deal with skyglow, the Hubble doesn't.
    • I bet he didn't tell you the Hubble can see into the UV, which no earthbound scope can, or ever will... because the atmosphere filters it out.
    • I bet he didn't tell you Hubble can look at targets that would be in the daylight sky for any telescope on Earth. (This means that any given target in the sky is visible to Hubble for 8-9 months out of the year, as opposed to 3-4 for an earthbound scope.
    In fact, he suggests that putting telescopes in space is not even a worthwhile venture anymore, because updates in technology can be rolled out on the ground so much faster than in space that it doesn't make sense to invest your funding in a space launch.
    Not really. Owners of big and expensive research instruments are loath to allow them to be out of service for weeks or months in order for modifications to be made. So in the end, you prove your stuff on smaller scopes and lesser instruments, and after years you move up to big boys. (Or, if you need a new instrument like the Keck, designing and funding and building takes years or decades.)
    The same cost of putting a telescope in space is the same as putting a 2x-10x better telescope on the ground, which can be more easily upgraded in years following.
    That's true. If you ignore and handwave away the things a ground based scope can't do that a space based on can.
    In fact, the technology improves so fast that a telescope in space becomes essentially useless for research purposes within a fraction of its operational lifetime.
    If your professor told you this, he was quite frankly smoking crack. You can still do useful science with a telescope built in 1990 and utterly unmodified since then. (You can useful science with older instruments too, just less of it.)
    It looks awfully silly when you've spent millions on putting a tool way up in orbit when it becomes a toy in less than twelve months.
    And you wouldn't look silly after spending the same amount of money groundside only to have it be obsolete in that time?
  22. Gotta factor James Webb into the equation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    If NASA is serious about the James Webb Space Telescope, then I say yes, put the money allocated for Hubble into JW. But if JW is too far out, then keep Hubble alive until JW is ready.

    That's my opinion.

  23. Re:Obsolete? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Now the president can be blamed for the safety of shuttle missions?

    I know; maybe we could cut back welfare payments to cover the cost.