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Desktop Linux Usage Statistics

Ahkorishaan writes "Desktoplinux.com has put up their December 2004 survey results. Debian has fallen from their top rank as preferred Linux distro, and newcomers Thunderbird and Firefox have an impressive showing in their respective genres."

38 of 296 comments (clear)

  1. Debian falls. Well duh. by Neil+Blender · · Score: 4, Funny

    That's because desktop linux is making gains in the real world. Desktop linux: "It's not just in your parent's basement anymore."

  2. The problem with linux... by timecop · · Score: 5, Funny

    When you use linux, you participate in a communist scheme designed to prevent
    software professionals from being compensated for their work. So switch back to
    windows xp you scumbags.

    1. Re:The problem with linux... by PocketPick · · Score: 4, Funny

      Ahh, gut, Comrade. Gates, Yah, vee is good thinker, but you see: You do not capitalise on de useful of idiots like da OSS veel. Ve vill crush you!

      Gut! Gut!

    2. Re:The problem with linux... by Frumious+Wombat · · Score: 3, Funny

      I always thought Desktop Linux was a communist plot to get you to spend all of your time tweaking your desktop settings (Because You Can!), rather than doing actual work.

      Now we just have to find out who's plot making Windows users reboot all the time was.

      --
      the more accurate the calculations became, the more the concepts tended to vanish into thin air. R. S. Mulliken
    3. Re:The problem with linux... by Technician · · Score: 5, Insightful

      you participate in a communist scheme designed to prevent software professionals from being compensated for their work

      Are you kidding? The software professionals get compensated regardless of what OS I choose. It's simply cheaper for me to buy a box and pay the professionals for the software that I don't use than to buy a box without paying the software professionals.

      Now if only the professionals will produce software that won't run exploits as root, then I may consider using it. Why is IE and Outlook Express integrated to the manditory OS anyway?

      Can you say Target?

      --
      The truth shall set you free!
    4. Re:The problem with linux... by gunnk · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Why are OE and IE integrated?

      Back in 90's Microsoft became very concerned that Netscape's web browser could end up being the PLATFORM for which software would be written. If you wrote your software to run in a browswer window the underlying OS was no longer important. Microsoft needed to push Netscape over a cliff.

      To do so, Microsoft introduced IE which they began shipping free of charge with every copy of Windows (and just about every other piece of software). Netscape felt they were abusing their monopoly position by doing this and therefore sued. The courts agreed and decreed: "Microsoft may not bundle IE with Windows".

      Well Microsoft has never been one to let a legal ruling stop them. They went back to the developers mandated that IE be INTEGRATED with Windows Explorer. By making it a PORTION OF THE OS, they were no longer bundling. Suddenly they were legal again, but could keep behaving the same way.

      So, there is no good technical reason for integrating your file system browser with your web browser (and plenty of reason not do), but there is every reason to do so from a "crush the competition" perspective.

      --
      Life is short: void the warranty.
  3. Good News for Mozilla by ranson · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's great to see quality products from Mozilla having not only critical acclaim but also (hopefully) emperical usage data demonstrating how quickly these products are being adapted into online users' every day routines. I see good things for 2005 and beyond.

  4. One important detail... by ThatGeek · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The survey was done on the web site's own readers. Unless we can assume that the readers represent the Linux community as a whole, this survey is largely useless.

    --
    What are you eating? isItVeg?.
    1. Re:One important detail... by BoldAndBusted · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yeah, this is really a *poll*, not a survey, and, as evidenced by the Yoper stats, is very easily corrupted and skewed. And it isn't a poll of all Linux users (I didn't get an e-mail asking for participation...), it is a poll of this websites users. Sorry, worse than valueless, it is not what it purports to be. Love to have more statistically powerful data along the same lines, tho!

    2. Re:One important detail... by AstrumPreliator · · Score: 3, Insightful

      statistics
      n.
      1. (used with a sing. verb) The mathematics of the collection, organization, and interpretation of numerical data, especially the analysis of population characteristics by inference from sampling.

      The statistics are for desktop linux usage, the web site is aptly named desktoplinux.com. I don't see any major biased in the survey or viewership and the sample size is sufficiently large. I see no reason why this survey would be considered useless.

    3. Re:One important detail... by provolt · · Score: 4, Informative

      Its completely useless because it's a self-selected survey, rather than a random sampling. Self-selected survey's are basically junk if you want any good data.

      The results of this tell us nothing more than if it were nothing more than a large, well-written slashdot poll. Mostly because it is nothing more than a large, well-writen slashdot poll.

    4. Re:One important detail... by shimbee · · Score: 3, Informative

      Perhaps what you fail to realize is that ANY statistic becomes MORE useful as it increases in randomness. It would be impossible to find (and survey) a completely random sample of the linux-using population.

      Moreover, just because a website is benignly named speaks nothing of the validity of the study. These statistics cannot and should not be used for real empirical study of the linux population, as it contains a number of very MAJOR flaws in statistical sampling, the most egregious of which is: SELF-SELECTING AUDIENCE (as reflected in the Yoper debacle).

      While it's fun to collect survey data, this IS pretty much useless.

    5. Re:One important detail... by ajs · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Unless we can assume that the readers represent the Linux community as a whole, this survey is largely useless."

      Well, there's a few other reasons as well. The one that jumps out at me is the fact that they compare desktop systems to window managers. A few of the WMs that they list are, in fact, quite capable of running as the WM for KDE, Gnome, or both.

      Then, of course, there's the fact that they split up the Debian distributions, but insist on calling Fedora, "Red Hat" which is too bad, because I'm curious how many old "Red Hat Linux" desktops there are vs RHEL Desktop vs Fedora.

      *shrug* Just more bad data.

  5. very un-scientific by bogaboga · · Score: 4, Insightful
    This "study" really, is very unscientific and somewhat disturbing to a statistian like me. Do people believe in these numbers? Sometimes, it reminds me of pundits (especially in the computer world), who might know so little to even know that they do not know anything.

    Overall, it does not look so bad for Linux. I wish you all a great week ahead.

    1. Re:very un-scientific by Xarius · · Score: 5, Funny
      This "study" really, is very unscientific and somewhat disturbing to a statistian like me.


      I don't see what coming from statistia has to do with it. Unless, of course, you mean statistician?
      --
      C17H21NO4
    2. Re:very un-scientific by jesterzog · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This "study" really, is very unscientific and somewhat disturbing to a statistian like me.

      I don't disagree. To its credit, however:

      • The article never claims to be a "study". It claims to be a survey, which is essentially what it is even if it's not well conducted.
      • The article is completely up-front about stating that the results should be taken with a grain of salt. The concerns are stated very clearly in the second paragraph of the article before any actual data is given, and are quite strongly repeated again, at the end. The text goes as far as asking readers for feedback about the survey's accuracy in the forum.

      I think the greater danger is when data, such as this, gets picked up by the media in ways that are completely out of context. Most responsible people who I know are very cautious about stating limitations with data that they're presenting. That aside, I've repeatedly witnessed the very same people being cited out of context by overzealous and lazy media who want an attention-grabbing headline, and pick out whatever words or data that matches the story they've decided to tell.

      If anyone's to blame for anything here, it would be the slashdot editors for presenting it as if it had some kind of authority. Even then, though, following the link from slashdot to the actual survey makes it pretty obvious... which is something that a lot of journalists in the real world won't even bother to provide.

  6. Not surprising by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    given the degree of GUI integration that SuSE provides. It's by far the closest thing to Windows in that sense, and the funny thing is that it's still not really even close to Windows. That is the only way that Linux has a chance of improving marketshare beyond it's current levels, is to increase the trend of providing GUI integration and support. There shouldn't be *anything* that you *have* to do use the command line to do other than very advanced sysadmin tasks.

    That said, does anyone know to what extent YaST is being used beyond SuSE?

  7. Skewed results by lakeland · · Score: 5, Insightful
    With so few entries, it looks like a single post to the (debian, yoper, sylpheed, whatever) mailing list would significantly skew the results in this test.


    Our readers were quick to report a fishy smell, and a trip over to Yoper's homepage today turned up evidence of a well-intended but survey-busting tendency to encourage Yoper users to boost Yoper's standing in online polls.


    We complain about Microsoft only surveying their customers and then claiming people think windows is as secure as linux but here we have (potentially) the same problem. Is yoper really the most popular distro, or just the most manipulative?

  8. Mandrake by dj245 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Its interesting that Mandrake is just as big as the other big 4 (5?) distros, but it sees little mention on /. Is this because it is a "new to linux" linux and because of this is too basic and dumbed-down for most of the /. crowd? In any case, they've got a lot of ambition, and seem to have a stable business model.

    --
    Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
    1. Re:Mandrake by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Where does this impression of Mandrake being the 'new to linux' linux stem from?

      Sure, I recommend Mandrake to windows-converting friends, but that's basically because it has very good hardware detection and a first-timer-friendly installer (in non-expert mode), and (now) x86_64 support.

      I've been a long-time linux user (I have the redhat 5.0 box set), and I originally migrated from RH because Mandrake had i586/i686 compilation, plus (nice bonus) KDE support. (Remember MDK was originally a RH fork) - ahead of the game even back then!

      I've stayed because they've kept up the bleeding edge hardware support, with loads of 3rd party drivers in the stock kernels, plus have a large contrib repository (plus plf!). For me, they are a pretty good trade off between stability and cool-new-stuff.

      I don't know how people come to the 'dumbed down' impression, though - MDK don't castrate Gnome and KDE like redhat do, and you aren't forced to use the pretty GUI tools to do sysadmin, and they have lots of 'secure-by-default' setup.

      Perhaps you should actually try it for a while...

    2. Re:Mandrake by swv3752 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Many of us Mandrake users don't feel the need to aggressively promote our Distro as much as some other users. I can compile a kernel or other software, build rpms, write init scripts, but I prefer to spend my time doing other things.

      --
      Just a Tuna in the Sea of Life
  9. Re:Mandrake? Really? by biglig2 · · Score: 4, Informative

    Whatchu talking about Willis?

    Their final stats indicate about 17% each for Mandrake and Suse, and 15% each for Red Hat and Debian. Basically,

    As they point out though, Debian has suffered from creep to these Debian-based distros that are so popular these days. Basically, almost everyone is evenly divided between the big 4, with a strong minority using the source based distros, and everything else attracting dribs and drabs.

    This is I think less interesting than some of the other results; 61% for KDE vs. only 21% for Gnome, Mozilla still holding 30% of the browser, the lack of any clear favourite e-mail client.

    --
    ~~~~~ BigLig2? You mean there's another one of me?
  10. People leaving the sinking ship. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    KDE gained double userbase while GNOME drastically reduced. Wow. Looks like GNOME is really in deep shit now.

    1. Re:People leaving the sinking ship. by fux0r · · Score: 5, Interesting

      They've been in deep shit for a long time. Mostly since the developers decided that they are smarter than their users. Does anyone like spatial nautilus? what about that red-headed-bastard-stepchild called gnome-control-center? Sorry for the rant, but I used to use gnome and have really grown to dislike it. I guess I shouldn't bitch though, I wouldn't have started to use the gem that is KDE if not for the recent stupidity of Gnome.

  11. Re:Debian falls. Well duh. by turbidostato · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "Distrowatch counts downloads,"

    Not even this. They count visits to the "home" page within distrowatch for a given distro.

    So take a new distribution with good marketing and you will have your #1 disregarding ENTERILY its user base numbers.

  12. Not a very serious study by cyrax256 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think that the article in general is a bit too skewed. You could forgive them the fact that they don't really have a system to check double submits in the survey, or things like that, but some phrases like: "Third, and verging on dangerous over-generalization, open source software is a fast-moving and competitive market. Sharing code really can stimulate business growth." Are quite far from what the article wants to tell: what are the most popular applications in the linux environment. These are the kind of things that make linux users look like zealots, and take away credibility to these surveys. Next time these guys (or anyone who wants to do a similar survey) should stick to what the survey says.

  13. Re:Slackware? by datadriven · · Score: 3, Insightful

    You're a dickhead.

  14. Interesting, but not statistically accurate? by tacocat · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I find it more than a little strange that the following information gels into one picture.

    • After SuSE's purchase by Novell, it's been generally reported that people are leaving SuSE and anectdotally moving to Debian.
    • RedHat's mixed with a possible loss in customer base through the recent move to the "Core" distros. But the continuing American love affair with RedHat would tend to counter this. Yet RedHat is a distant third and behind Mandrake and SuSE.
    • Debian can drop almost 50% in one year? That's too many points in one year to be accepted as is. Being on the Debian mailing list I find very few mentions of people dropping or moving.
    • Considering that AFAIK the only distro that seriously supports WindowMaker in the upper curst of the list is Debian, I'm not surprised that WindowMaker has tanked since no one else ships it. Too bad, great desktop.
    • KDE would grow based on the exclusivity on SuSE. But it's also gaining a lot of ground. Not too surprising really.
      • It's an interesting report, but the statistical significance of the whole thing might be a little suspect.

    1. Re:Interesting, but not statistically accurate? by iggymanz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      that's not the anectdotal stuff I've been hearing & seeing: people getting disgusted with RedHat moving to SuSE and a few going to FreeBSD for server, and alot of developers taking up mac OSX for fun. No one I know runs Debian anymore.

  15. Says one site by PhuckFonix · · Score: 3, Informative

    Well, users visiting that site may be inherent of their distribution/Linux personality. Anyways, this site covers a larger swath of Linux users anyways (~ 140 000 people versus ~ 4 000): http://counter.li.org/reports/machines.php Heh, get counted! http://counter.li.org/

  16. Re:Well umm.. by sn00ker · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Certainly for Firefox/Thunderbird, it's rather a tenuous link given their wide platform support. But with stuff like mutt and pine, the link is very clear - the userbase is almost exclusively OSS-OS.
    It's note-worthy that these surveys never investigate the penetration of BSD (not OS-X!) to the desktop. I'm using FreeBSD on the desktop, having given up on Linux as too much effort (wasted a day trying to get Linux installed on a box with ICH5 SATA, and then spent an hour downloading a FreeBSD ISO and installing it without any dramas), and I'd be interested in seeing how the BSDs rate against the various Linux distros. Does anyone know of any surveys that look into this?

    --
    "God, root, what is difference?" - Pitr, userfriendly
  17. wtf? by mshiltonj · · Score: 3, Interesting

    no fedora? or does fedoa == red hat on the survey?

  18. KDE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Nobody hasn't mentioned yet that KDE in a year went from 44% to 61%. Every other destkop environment/windows manager lost users in favor of KDE, except XFCE. That's the most interesting result of this poll IMHO, since it is.. well, unexpected.

  19. Ubuntu? by poofyhairguy82 · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I have to ask, where is Ubuntu? The article says the Debian spinoffs are not counted in Debian's totals and seeing as how Ubuntu the top distro on distrowatch it seems unlikely that is has such a small percentage of the desktop market as to not matter. I mean, it doesn't even have an option for Ubuntu in the poll. Distos like Peanut and Elx (which are fine distros by the way, but are less popular than Ubuntu) are on there for cripes sake... Debian's lost position could be due to the fact that Debian desktop users have gone to Ubuntu en mass, but this survey has no way to even try to figure that out.

    Oh well, maybe it was good that they didn' include Ubuntu. We have enough nerd advertising as it is, it just bugs me that this survey totally misses one of the fastest growing distros in recent memory....take any results that miss such a large distro with a grain of salt...

  20. Re:Linux on the desktop ain't gonna happen until.. by rolfwind · · Score: 3, Informative

    I hate the argument that Linux isn't ready yet....... or until...... this or that.

    Linux is never going to be perfect folks! Stop eluding yourself thinking that it has to be perfect to be accepted. Or that in 2 or 3 years it will be "just right" and Joe Average will slobber all over it.

    The more users that get converted now, the more folks will sit up and take notice. The more that take notice, the more that flock to linux. The more that flock to linux, the more the developers take notice and eventually be forced to make software for that market.

    But it will never happen with "in two or three year's time" attitude. I heard this attitude 2 or 3 years ago. And also 2 or 3 years before that. Ad infinitum. (Actually only 1998-ish.)

    There will always be a learning curve.

    With all the spyware/malware problems with Windows - now is the time to strike. Don't think Microsoft is resting on their laurels - maybe (probably) they won't fix the problem - but as the software they bought recently (last year?) and redubbed MS AntiSpyware it shows they will come up with a solution that's good enough for most users as to excuse them not to switch (Let's face it: people are lazy when it comes to change.)

    Requiring a Comp.Sci. Degree for Linux just because you couldn't get the printer to run? Save the 200 or so dollar XP installation and buy a compatible computer!

    You have to be kidding me with ease of use.

    Windows users practically need a degree to get rid of all the spyware/bloat/malware on their computers now, let alone hack the mystical registry when a program doesn't play nice when removed.

    Read this:

    http://kmself.home.netcom.com/Rants/spyware.html

    And then decide if you really want Windows.

  21. Why all the whining? by jvd · · Score: 3, Interesting

    What's the matter here? I'm seeing a lot of Slashdotters arguing whether this statistics are worthless because it represents the users of that particular website. But it's almost certain that when the statistics exceed the 10 thousand surveyed users it pretty much represent a whole community (That's why they are statistics!) And it represents it more, since it's a desktop Linux website, it doesn't represent a particular window environment. I don't understand why all the whining. People get mad when what they use "isn't winning". NEWSFLASH: Shut the fuck up, take a Xanax and relax pal, this is not a race, and it is merely a survey. Be happy, the overall growth that they show is good; it means more people have adopted Linux in their desktop.

    --
    Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.
  22. I like spatial nautilus (and other GNOME features) by arthas · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I used to think that graphical filemanagers all suck. I didn't like Windows Explorer, pre-spatial Nautilus, gmc or Konqueror. I used only command line for file management. The first time I tried spatial browsing was on MacOS System 7.5 running on Basilisk II Mac 68k emulator (this was a few years back) and after 15 minutes or so I found that it was something I actually enjoyed using. I thought: "This Finder thingy is insanely great. Why can't GNOME or KDE people do something like this?" And then, soon after GNOME 2.6 was released, I bought a new computer and installed Slackware 10 on it. Using spatial Nautilus and the entire GNOME 2.6 environment was absolutely wonderful! It was the best user experience I had ever had (I have used Windows, OpenLook, CDE, GNOME 1.x, KDE, FVWM, WindowMaker, Enlightenment, OS/2 Warp and Indigo Magic (on SGI O2 workstation running Irix)). Now I use GNOME 2.10 on Ubuntu and FreeBSD. I do most of my personal file management tasks using spatial Nautilus. I actually use command line only for file management related to system administration (bash + vi rule in those tasks). I have to wonder why I like GNOME 2.10 and spatial Nautilus so much?

    One reason for this is that spatial nautilus is extremely simple and fast to use. For me using spatial file managers is very intuitive and natural. A good analysis on spatial filemanagers is found at: http://arstechnica.com/articles/paedia/finder.ars

    Other parts of GNOME 2.10 are also very nice. I really like the way GNOME 2.10 handles filetypes and connecting them to certain applications. It is so intuitive and effortless to use that it puts the abomination known as Windows Filetypes dialog to shame!

    GNOME dialogs are also awesome. The new open and save dialogs are finally usable (again: simple, fast, effortless, efficient). They are vastly superior to the pre Gtk 2.4 dialogs. As for other dialogs, they are also extremely nice and logical. Finally we have gotten over annoying "Yes/No or OK/Cancel -dialogs should be enough for anyone". Using verbs in dialogs (when it makes sense, that is) is a huge improvement!

    In my opinion GNOME has become a lot better desktop environment than anything Microsoft has ever had. I used to hate gnome in the 1.x days because it was just like Windows 9x. If I wanted to use Windows-like environment I would probably use Windows.

  23. Re:uh... by Fred_A · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well, for lots of us who were born before the 80s (or the 70s for that matter), we've been using vi or emacs for so long that running nano really feels like we're back on some kind of braindead DOS box (especially the "are you really sure you want to save this file, and what name should I save it to, and should I really save it to that name, and press "y" to continue, and really do it Y/n...").

    When I first installed gentoo and the documentation said I had to edit this and that file, I actually spent ten minutes looking for an editor, trying all the variants of the names of vi and emacs I could remember. Turns out that the editor that comes with the gentoo live CDs is nano. I'd never even heard of the damn thing before. The only fancy newbie curses editor I knew of was pico (which I didn't like much either).

    But the crux of the matter is that vi (and to a lesser extent emacs) is the standard editor. You'll find it on every machine. So you just have to know how to use it. Ideally you even have to know how to use it on a broken or on a dumb (without arrow keys) terminal (navigating with the hjkl keys). Because it's everywhere and when the fancy shit is gone to hell, chances are vi will still be there. Likewise when you start your new job and you find yourself logging in for the first time to that SunOS box that's been chugging along for the past 12 years which certainly won't have nano or kate on it.

    And emacs is still useful to know a bit of because of all the key combos that found their ways in a number of other apps. I can't believe the number of people I meet who don't know how to edit a Bash command line (which by default uses Emacs commands). The basic Emacs commands like (C-E to go to the end of line) also work pretty much everywere (except in Windows which is a bit of a bug IMO). Besides it's still a nice editor because a lot of it's modes are relly very well made. Like all good tools, tou have to learn how to use it though.

    Anyway, if you wondered why some of us don't use nano, that's why.

    --

    May contain traces of nut.
    Made from the freshest electrons.