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Firefox Growth Slowing?

ninja_assault_kitten writes "Silicon.com has an interesting article on the apparently slowing growth of Firefox. To quote the article, 'The slackening of Firefox's growth could mean that the browser has converted a substantial proportion of its natural constituency, thought to be early adopters and the technically savvy. It could also show that the browser's widely publicised security flaws have begun to undermine the foundation's argument that people should switch from IE to be safer.' One thing's for sure, with the release of 1.0.3 and now 1.0.4 we can probably expect to breach the 80 million download mark shortly."

19 of 433 comments (clear)

  1. How many unique downloads? by xquark · · Score: 5, Interesting

    80 million I'm assuming a composite...

    Arash Partow

    --
    Arash Partow's Philosophy: Be a person who knows what they don't know, and not a person who doesn't know.
    1. Re:How many unique downloads? by Keruo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      lies, damn lies, statistics..
      I've downloaded different versions and same version several times for my own use after several reinstalls.
      I'm pretty sure all those downloads(+20 of them) count in on that 80 million.

      --
      There are no atheists when recovering from tape backup.
    2. Re:How many unique downloads? by OverflowingBitBucket · · Score: 2, Interesting

      But there are also those of use who carry it on a usb key\cd\share\whatever and install it multiple times from a single download...

      I can vouch for this. I download a single copy of the latest version from time to time for both Linux and Windows and burn it to CD. I then install in on my machines, for my family, friends, so forth. This will show up as one download (per OS), even though we're talking a dozen or more installs.

    3. Re:How many unique downloads? by switcha · · Score: 2, Interesting
      OK, that's how you see it, and that's fair. But you just said "has had so many downloads." Downloads. Pulling the file off a remote server. Doesn't that strike you as perfectly legitimate to use the number of people who have pulled a version of the software off your servers as your count? If not, then you have what I would consider an odd definition of "downloads", but until you can admit "users" does not equal "downloads", then I guess we're at opposing sides, here.

      It is easy to see how people could misinterpret these numbers to mean something that they don't.

      Only if you use a very odd definition of the word "download". It's "downloads", just like the word implies, not "users".

      --
      You know what? ... A little club soda *did* get that out!
    4. Re:How many unique downloads? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Your comment is irrelevant because you have still purchased the burgers from McDonalds (and also wasted your money on crap). The point they are trying to make is Firefox has been downloaded once but put on several machines from that one download. I myself have downloaded FF once and put it on 130+ machines.

      Also, people who claim that it is buggy are probably looking for an excuse to bash it. In all of the 130+ installs only one person has complained about its performance. That is my boss and he is a lover of all things Microsoft!!!

  2. Re:Translation to layman's term- by dancingmad · · Score: 2, Interesting

    As opposed to Camino, Opera, Safari, lynx, or Shiira?

    --
    "There is no time, sir, at which ties do not matter," Jeeves, (Jeeves and the Impending Doom)
  3. Corporate Adoption by chill · · Score: 4, Interesting

    And IBM is encouraging in-house employees to use Firefox.

    There are still several "business" websites such as financial services, B2B and corporate intranets that rely on ActiveX and IE.

    While Firefox's growth may be slowing, it is still growing -- just not as fast. When the IE-only sites start to get more complaints about usability from their customers, then you will start to see a steady stream of corporate support for Firefox.

    -Charles

    --
    Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
    1. Re:Corporate Adoption by chill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually, I manage the network for a group of independent financial planners -- about 200 different offices.

      Many of them have already switched to Firefox and there are only one or two third-party services that are incompatible. These third party services offer 2nd-Level quotes and consolidated investment portfolio management for brokers. That is, hundreds of accounts -- not the stuff for the end user.

      I helped one major company make their site Firefox compatible just by pointing out "it already works if I make the browser lie and say it is IE". Their site is Java and the only holdback was the javascript checking for which version of IE to work around bugs.

      These brokers have tens of millions of $$ under management and when they say 'we want this", the firms DO listen.

      -Charles

      --
      Learning HOW to think is more important than learning WHAT to think.
  4. Whoo, great news folks! by coupland · · Score: 2, Interesting

    According to this article on silicon.com, Firefox is still growing! As of April 29th, Firefox had captured 6.8 percent of the browser market and IE slipped to 88.9 percent market share. Break out the champagne, folks!

    Uh yeah, nice article. Glass half empty...

  5. Growing? Slowing? by groupthink · · Score: 2, Interesting
    This is just silly... at the speed with which technology moves, to present data you think shows a trend is a waste of time. We live in a world of rapid inovation and rampant creativity... this time next year we may be buzzing over the new wiz bang browser, regardless of today's Firefox popularity.

    Don't forget about "sensitive dependence upon initial conditions", and inherant unpredictability.

  6. Re:Widely Publicized? by sriram_2001 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sorry - that's FUD. Mozilla knew the vulnerability long back but made the Bugzilla page secret. They released a fix a week after widespread hue and cry. This is not too dissimilair from Microsoft breaking its "patch Tuesday" policy for a critical fix.

  7. Re:Widely Publicized? by Swamii · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If you look at last week's security advisory, it was published by Secunia, the same company that's published various IE security holes in the past.

    --
    Tech, life, family, faith: Give me a visit
  8. Exponential Growth... by dolphinling · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Or it could mean that firefox's growth just isn't exponential, 'cause that would be pretty hard to keep up for very long...

    --
    There are 11 types of people in the world: those who can count in binary, and those who can't.
  9. Re:Translation to layman's term- by dangrover · · Score: 2, Interesting

    It's funny, I read a web book ('The Unusually Useful Web Book') that said precisely that. Traffic trends on the whole web go down during summer, possibly due to people going outside. It also said that traffic trends go up in January after Xmas (maybe people getting their nwe computers).

  10. Re:It could also mean... by liangzai · · Score: 2, Interesting

    People using OS X are usually using Safari, for a good reason. It is the *only* browser taking advantage of OS X technology such as ATSUI. A few percent still use the bundled IE, and yet a few percent use a Gecko browser.

    Although the Gecko browsers (pick your choice) perform excellent on OS X, Safari is still a bit better in most regards, especially in rendering and standards compliance (Acid test passed).

  11. Re:Nah by evanbd · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Hey, there's nothing wrong with bogosort :) I was sorta guessing that anyone who bothers to write up bogosort is aware that it's not even remotely useful (unless you happen to have a handy quantum rng, a firm belief in the many worlds theory, and a system equipped with a functioning destroy_universe() call).

    And there's a difference between arbitrary coding standards, and expecting code to be intuitive. A function's behavior should at the very least not be inconsistent with what an educated reader would expect from looking at the signature. That sort of behavior is asking for someone to use the function in something and then have to deal with figuring out why their list got reodered (or worse, why what they thought were two lists are actually the same and are now causing interactions between disparate pieces of code).

  12. 'Check for available update' statistic? by silence535 · · Score: 2, Interesting


    Wouldn't it be better or augment the pure download numbers if they also ran some statistics over the 'Check for available updates' requests?

    Per default this setting is turned on and it is known at which intervals Firefox checks for new updates, thus it should be possible to calculate a ballpark figure on how many people are actually USING Firefox.

    --
    Dyslectics of the world, untie!
  13. Re:Phony Accounting? by ramblin+billy · · Score: 2, Interesting


    I had to download Firefox three times today because the first two times the files were 56K and corrupted. After uninstalling the old version (no automatic upgrade will help push up the download count) I dumped the old log and config files and fired up InCtrl5 for the install. I chose just the browser option. I was politely asked if I wanted extra shortcuts - then after I declined they were created anyway. I was given the option of using the Firefox 'start' page as my home page - once again I declined to no avail. The installer kindly put a 'View in Firefox' button on my IE toolbar, no notice required. None of those things are a big deal, and obviously less intrusive than many big name installations (what the hell is with Adobe?). Still, for what's billed as the 'alternative' browser it sure resembles the 'same old, same old'.

    Before I get told to "rot in hell" I want to point out that I cut my teeth on Navigator and used it exclusively until the REAL evil empire (AOL) got hold of it. After that it went downhill fast. Then I went to Opera, which in all ways was superior to IE. I PAID for Opera, partly because I was in an early stage of learning to defang Windows and would have slapped Bill Gates if I could have got a hold of him. I was naive and no longer feel that way, to keep the record straight. I also bought Red Hat Linux - I still have the box and all - but frankly, I'm a laptop kind of guy, and Linux in those days was a far cry from the functional, working option it is now. I was disappointed with Opera 7 and tried everything from K-Meleon to Lynx. I finally found MyIE2 which is now Maxthon. Maxthon is an IE based shell that features tabs, enhanced security, and built in RSS as well as ad, pop-up, and active-x filters. It also has built in mouse gestures, sidebars, and supports skins and plug-ins. It has a huge array of customization options, runs fast and lean, and there's an active user community. It has been downloaded just under 26 Million times. I tried Firefox, but I like Maxthon better. It even has an experimental mode that runs the gecko engine.

    The point of all that is that I don't have a hidden agenda or receive a damn thing from MS. I just believe that any real long-lasting answers to the problems facing the internet and IT in general can only be resolved in positive ways if they are based on the best estimate of the truth possible. Every sincere person's viewpoint adds value to our shared understanding. We live in a complex world without clear boundaries between good and bad. Most things are are somewhere in the middle, with good and bad characteristics dependent largely on the observer's point of view. Anything less than an open minded evaluation of the truth is a disservice to ourselves, our community, and our future. Fud is fud, no matter the source. Don't let ANYONE use your beliefs to cloud your vision. If it comes out of their mouths and it sounds like bull shit, it probably is.

    billy - no fud here...please read the warning at page bottom

  14. or it could mean that they need to advertise more by Drunken_Jackass · · Score: 3, Interesting

    You know about Firefox. I know about firefox. But Joe User might not know about it/remember it. And we can't tell everyone about it now, can we?

    AFAIK, its growth was pretty much tied to the full-page ad in the NYT. If growth is slowing, they need to pump out some TV commercials, start advertising on google, and keep up the print campaign.

    Non-technical people tend to have a very short attention span on things like this. They just need to be reminded that it's out there.

    --
    There are 01 types of people in this world. Those that understand binary, and me.