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Mac Install-Base Shown to Be 16%

Kelly McNeill writes "MacDailyNews has an editorial which summarizes reports from various research groups that analyzed the number of computer users affected by viruses. The conclusion was that 16 percent of all computer users are not affected by viruses because they use Macs. The lack of viruses on a Mac is commonly known, but the interesting thing is the fact that the results finally provide the first set of conclusive numbers which illustrate the Macintosh's install-base. So far only "market-share" statistics are commonly published for the public and do not convey install base. (If for example 2 people are using computers and one replaces his 2x in a 3 year period and the other only does once, market-share dynamics dictate that one demographic has 75% market share while the other has only 25% -- even though install base is still 50/50.)"

16 of 717 comments (clear)

  1. a questionable basis for a percentage by quinxy · · Score: 5, Informative

    Hmm, the summary of the article seems to include more facts than the article itself. The summary makes a big point of how TFA's 16% number if found from the virus infection percentage. TFA doesn't say that's where the 16% comes from at all. All the article body says is "In addition, the Software Publishers Association (SPA) estimates that 16 percent of computer users are on Macs." The headline says that 16% of users aren't infected because they use Macs, but it doesn't explain that or justify it. Besides, even if the summary was correct, then this would seem a very poor way to guess at install base. The browser's "user agent" header sent to a general interest site like Google would seem a far better way. Admittedly that would be skewed by Mac users using being "forced" to access Google from Windows in a work environment, but still. That seems like it would have to be more accurate than the approach hinted at in the summary. In searching for google stats on this I found on the Mac Daily News site a discussion which included this very topic when the issue of install base was previously discussed there.

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  2. no virus != apple. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Just because it doesn't have a virus or malware on it, doesn't mean it is an Apple computer. My Laptop is not an Apple, it doesn't have any malware on it (running Linux). My desktop doesn't have any on that I know of, it is running Windows.

    I have several other machines of both windows and linux that are completely clean. They aren't apple. I have a Powerbook, that is clean too, but it is an Apple.

  3. That wasn't the conclusion... by lxt · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...if you actually read the RTFA, you'd notice that the 16% statistic comes from the Software Publishing Alliance, not the editorial itself.

    In fact, the conclusion of the editorial is the following two points:

    1)More people use Macs than most people realize.

    2) People who use Macs don't get many viruses.

    Shock! Horror! What next - "The Sky is Blue"? I'm a mac user, and am all for increading market share, but this editorial seems rather vapid...where's the news?

  4. Great news, but in a way I don't care by TimmyDee · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is good news to hear. In a way, it confirms what I always suspected (especially since I keep my Macs longer than most of my equivalent PC friends -- and I'm a real gearhead). When you get down to it, though, I don't really care how much marketshare/install base Apple has, so long as they can keep cranking out the excellent products that they do.*

    *Please keep in mind that I do realize the connection between profitability and new product development. All I'm saying is that the numbers could mean less as long as I'm a happy customer. And boy am I happy.

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  5. further info about google's zeitgeist OS numbers by quinxy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    An interesting related article and discussion on interpreting Google's zeitgeist OS numbers. And what it might mean for % usage of OS (which for Mac ends up being the 3-6% people usually speak of, 3% from Google's direct number and another 3% from Google 'Other' OS).

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  6. Re:Inaccurate by October_30th · · Score: 4, Interesting
    People may buy a Mac, then install Linux or *BSD onto it.

    That's something I've never understood.

    Mac hardware's nothing special - it's primarily the software that makes Macs so great in comparison to a typical Windows/Linux/BSD PC. Why the heck would anyone buy a Mac and then install a Linux on it? Just doesn't make sense.

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  7. 16%? that seems a bit high .. by paranoidgeek · · Score: 4, Informative

    My web site's stats are 1-3% MacOS ( all version ). Even that figure is blown up a bit since a couple of webmaster's use Macs.

    Anyway full stats :

    Windows XP 495 60.37%
    Windows 98 117 14.27%
    Windows 2000 85 10.37%
    Windows ME 41 5.00%
    Other 22 2.68%
    Linux 21 2.56%
    MacOS X 13 1.59%
    Windows 95 11 1.34%
    MacOS PPC 6 0.73%
    Windows NT 4 0.49%
    Windows 2003 4 0.49%
    Windows 1 0.12%
    Total 820

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  8. BOINC says it's much lower. by Renegade+Lisp · · Score: 4, Interesting
    It's impossible to get the one true metric for this. But the statistics of the BOINC project (formerly SETI@home, now includes other projects as well) give another, perhaps more reasonable data point.

    They have

    • Windows -- 89.5%
    • Linux -- 7.8%
    • Darwin -- 2.3%
    • Other -- 0.4%

    Now, this data is obviously skewed with respect to the total distribution, since the people who run something like SETI@home are probably more technologically inclined than the average computer user. This would mean that the percentage of non-Windows OSes is higher in this sample. On the other hand, the software for BOINC (SETI@home) is still somewhat Windows-centric, which would in turn increase the Windows share in the sample.

    An interesting data point, nonetheless.

  9. Re:Long live closed source by kfg · · Score: 5, Funny

    I've just tried to fiddle in my Mac. You're right, I don't even come close to fitting in there, let alone have enough room to bow. My AMD box has a lot more room inside, but it's all taken up with cabling and fans. I can hardly hear my fiddle outside the box.

    My mom's mac is a PCI machine. I may not be able to fiddle in it, but I can install and change cards. She's running OS8. I'm running OS7 on mine.

    Neither one of them gets counted in the market share statistics, although at least my mom's gets counted in web statistics. She's never gotten a virus. Neither has my Mac, but I cheat . . .I've never hooked it up to a net. Pretty much nobody but me, (and you folks look like I can trust you and you won't tell) even knows it exists, yet it has remained part of the installed base for many years.

    And I can state catagorically that the installed base of Tandy Color Micros may be small, but it is not zero.

    Can't even kazoo in that puppy.

    KFG

  10. Let me see if I can follow this. by mcc · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Given the data points:

    - The vast majority of studies estimate the installed base of the macintosh at somewhere around three to five percent.
    - One study estimates it at sixteen percent.

    The conclusion is:

    - The studies estimating at three to five percent must have been doing something wrong

    D...id I miss something here?

  11. Re:I dunno.... by iCEBaLM · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I work for an ISP. I get maybe 2 or 3 calls from Mac people in a 5 day week. I handle more than 40 calls in a day. And in my professional opinion, you have to be completely retarded to think that PC/Mac usage is anywhere even in the same ballpark to 50/50.

    While I agree it's nowhere near 50/50, your anecdotal evidence makes a few assumptions. The biggest assumptions it makes would be that macs break down at the same rate PCs do and that mac users require the same amount of technical support PC users do.

    Speaking as a mac user I've got to say 16% sounds high, but your 1.5% sounds quite low.

  12. Why this preoccupation with 'bias'? by MrHanky · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This statistic is clearly pulled from someone's arse, but for some reason you think it's OK because the arseman isn't a well known Mac zealot?

    There are several ways to test the validity of a statement, and none of them have to do with who made the statement. In this case, you could ask how the statistic was collected and how large the sample was. You'll notice the number 16% is a fantasy based on an assumption that has no base in any evidence. It's bunk, 'bias' or not.

    I can understand how someone would dismiss out of hand something coming from Rob Enderle or a politician, but not how it's possible to accept something just because the source seems neutral. That's just stupid, and shows an incredibly unscientific mindset.

  13. Certain metrics tilts the board in favor of Macs by wootest · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I can't personally find a link to the SPA web site, but if it includes shareware developers, and I think it does, this could very easily be explained.

    There's a creeping suspicion that the average Mac users spend more on software than the average PC (and by PC in this context I mean Windows on x86, because it's shorter to write) user. Why is this?

    Most PCs sit around in offices and do stuff you'd normally do with Office - word processing, spread sheets, emails. Far from all PCs, of course, but definitely *most*.

    A sizable part of the Mac installed base are those who do publishing, or video editing, or DVD production, or something with media in general. These people go out and buy font managers, editing software and plug-ins, each probably running up an average of 80 bucks per product, with the actual editing software running from 200 bucks and up, not uncommonly into 500+ territory. People do this on PCs too, but I would bet on the percentage of the installed base being a lot smaller.

    Another sizable part of the Mac installed base are those who sit at home and buy lots of shareware. This has a direct counterpart in the PC world, and they're probably about the same size percentage-wise. Note that games fall in the same price spectrum, that the hard-core gamer is likely to spend more on extra hardware (mice, gpu, keyboard, display) than on software, and that piracy probably helps inflate this segment.

    And then there's also the fact that, *for whatever reason*, people seem to use Macs longer. Getting three years out of a Mac isn't extraordinary, it's average. Macs also have a higher value on the used market, so there's no rush to sell it.

    I think all of this adds up to a skewing of these statistics.

  14. Sigh ... by Udo+Schmitz · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I work for an ISP. I get maybe 2 or 3 calls from Mac people in a 5 day week. I handle more than 40 calls in a day.

    Now, can you think of any other reason why that may be? Like making an internet connection is the easiest on the Mac compared to all platforms I know of?

    you have to be completely retarded to think that PC/Mac usage is anywhere even in the same ballpark to 50/50

    Submitter didn't imply that. That figure was an example.

    I constantly hear Mac zealots all excited about their new shiny G5 in some overly pretentious colour like magenta or something

    Hmm, now this is a lie. Because for years Apple only made machines in white, grey or aluminium.

    Most PC people I know are more interested in buying a $600 video card for their 5 year old PC.

    I have the strong feeling you are trying to make a point there, I only can't see what that may be ...

  15. I say bullshit by Udo+Schmitz · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Seti@home was well known for denying PPC/AltiVec optimizations to their software. So the project was abandoned by most Mac user who then went to distributed.net. Read about it. Excerpt:

    "SETI@Home 2.0.4 was the fastest version of SETI for Macs. It relied heavily on the amount of L2 cache on the processor. Since most modern macs have 512K or 1MB of cahe it was able to produce results far better than a PC of the same MHz. But when 3.0 came all that changed. The L2 cache programming was removed and the speed was based solely on the MHz. So then Macs fell behind in WU times." [...]

    "The best part of RC5 is that it is Alti-Vec and multi-processor aware, and Macs crunch data 5 times faster than a PC of the same MHz. It is a great way to show off the speed of your CPU."

  16. Re:Who made the claim? by borg · · Score: 4, Informative

    if i had to guess, it would be that the parent is from the US, and the grandparent is from Australia or the UK. in those countries, the "6 monthly" formulation is the norm for every six months. having been a visiting physician in papua new guinea (ex-australian protectorate) i had to get used to a medication dosage schedule of "6 hourly" meaning once every six hours and not six every hour.

    just FYI

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