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Microsoft May Become Major Opponent of Patents?

UltimaGuy wrote to mention a story positing that Microsoft may one day be a major opponent of over-reaching patents. From the article: "Speaking at the LinuxWorld conference in London on Wednesday, Mark Shuttleworth, founder of the Ubuntu Linux distribution, said that although Microsoft is seen as being very pro-patent at the moment, if every other software maker enforced its patents in the same way then Microsoft would find it very difficult and expensive to do business. 'I think in ten years you will see Microsoft become a major opponent of patents and we will see very large software vendors turn around their position on patents,' Shuttleworth said."

25 of 184 comments (clear)

  1. Yeah, that's gonna happen... by fragmentate · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Somehow I don't think money will speak any less loudly in ten years. I don't see Microsoft suffering terribly in the next ten years either.

    A company as litigious as Microsoft (themselves victims of the litigious) will just use the cost of litigation to stifle their opponents. Their opponents (the little guys) would have to first have something Microsoft was really interested in, and would have to have the financial wherewithall to pursue Microsoft.

    "...if every other software maker enforced its patents in the same way then Microsoft would find it very difficult and expensive to do business."

    That's a very big if...

    1. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by hkmwbz · · Score: 4, Insightful
      "Somehow I don't think money will speak any less loudly in ten years."
      That's the point of the story: Money will lead the way, and Microsoft would oppose patents if that had led to more money in their pockets. It's pure speculation of course.

      Microsoft will do whatever they think will make the most sense to keep the money flowing in. If that meant opposing patents, then Microsoft would naturally do so.

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    2. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by Iriel · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Here's another piece of kindling for your fire upon which the article rests:

      Microsoft has no foreseeable reason to ever become anti-patent. Even if the 'The big IF' situation you described (a little upstart having something Microsoft wants) comes true, then what will Billy do? Buy them. Microsoft has built an empire buying the technology they need to make them money. Any costs of subsuming smaller companies would become quickly overturned by the profits brought in by their newly acquired patents that came with 'the assimilated'

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    3. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by Mr.+Sketch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      'The big IF' situation you described (a little upstart having something Microsoft wants) comes true, then what will Billy do? Buy them.

      And if they refuse to sell? Just because Microsoft throws lots of money on the table, does not mean they have to sell. Some people have these things called 'principles' and will refuse to compromise on them.

    4. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by wackysootroom · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A company as litigious as Microsoft (themselves victims of the litigious) will just use the cost of litigation to stifle their opponents. Their opponents (the little guys) would have to first have something Microsoft was really interested in, and would have to have the financial wherewithall to pursue Microsoft.

      Good point. However, with the increasing popularity of tech companies suing each other, Microsoft may have met it's match. You can fight off a 300lb. gorilla (ahem) with a huge legal hammer but you can't kill a giant swarm of bees with that same hammer.

      Microsoft will have to adapt.

    5. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by michael_cain · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Even if the 'The big IF' situation you described (a little upstart having something Microsoft wants) comes true, then what will Billy do? Buy them.

      In the long term, I would expect something more like the early days of electronics, and the price that little players can get for their patents will be quite small.

      A handful of large corporations -- RCA, AT&T, Zenith, etc -- held extensive patent portfolios. So large and broad, in fact, that it was difficult to build anything involving electronic circuits without infringing on one or more of them. These big players had cross-licensing agreements with each other, involving no exchanges of money, so for example, RCA didn't have to worry about AT&T's patents. But if you were a little player, it was a dangerous playing field.

      Imagine you are a little player with a single valuable patent. If none of the big players will license it from you, you get no revenue from it. If none of the other little players can use it because they also have to infringe on big player patents, you still get no revenue from them it. As you go broke, one of the big players makes you a low-ball offer that looks pretty darned good. Once they own it, it's a freebie for all the other big players because of the cross-licensing.

    6. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by Stonehand · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A patent in Microsoft's hands may become a lot less valuable then it is in somebody else's. A company that focuses on obtaining patents for offensive use but does nothing else is not really vulnerable to retalliation in-kind, but a large tech company like Microsoft can't really litigate against other large tech companies (at least ones that hold their own useful patent databases) without risking Patent Armageddon. So while a small IP-only shop may be able to effectively extort large sums of money through patent abuse, Microsoft has far fewer potential victims against which to use patents without substantial risk to itself.

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    7. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by Jason+Earl · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That's the reason that Microsoft is going to end up opposing patents. It used to be that large companies like IBM could use their patent portfolios against smaller companies. If a smaller company began to see some success a bunch of guys in suits would descend on them and demand a portion of the proceeds. That strategy worked fine as long as the basic strategy for getting rich involved releasing and distributing software, but that's not really the point any more. These days lots of companies are using patents as their path to fame and fortune. Instead of actually writing software these companies like Eolas (and others) simply patent ideas and then wait for someone else (preferrably someone wealthy like Microsoft, IBM, or Sun) to infringe on their patents. Eolas and friends can't be bullied in the traditional manner because they don't release software and aren't infringing on any of Microsoft's patents.

      Eolas' patent was recently held up in court, and that means that Eolas' $500 million lawsuit is that much closer to requiring a big fat check from Microsoft. Multiply that lawsuit times the 35 to 40 patent lawsuits that are filed against Microsoft each year and you start to see why it is that Microsoft (and IBM, and the rest of the large players software industry) want patent reform. Any lawyer worth his briefcase would give a large portion of his or her genitalia to get a shot at Microsoft's huge coffers.

      The best part is that these IP-only companies aren't more than a minor concern to Free Software projects. Eolas isn't going to go after Firefox because there simply isn't any money to be had.

    8. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by Air-conditioned+cowh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "Multiply that lawsuit times the 35 to 40 patent lawsuits that are filed against Microsoft each year and you start to see why it is that Microsoft (and IBM, and the rest of the large players software industry) want patent reform." (emphasis mine)

      Actually, this had me thinking. Certainly they would want the law changed to deal with the Eolas's of this world but I would be very surpised if they became totally anti-patent. More likely they would want the law changed in such a way to specifically remove the Eolas problem but preserve or enhance the usefulness and menace of their own patent portfolios. They aim is to keep patents as a means to keep software writting in the realm of the big boys and out of reach of any upstart startups that would threaten their business with any disruptive new ideas.

    9. Re:Yeah, that's gonna happen... by Jason+Earl · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What Microsoft and IBM want and what they are likely to get are two different things. For example, Microsoft and IBM would like there to be a cap on the amount of damages that can be assessed. Both of these companies are perfectly happy spending $100 million a year defending themselves against patents, but they neither want to see Eolas-style suits where $500 million is on the table for a single patent case. The problem is that the American Trial Lawyer lobby is unlikely to be happy with that, and those guys know how to lobby.

      IBM and Microsoft would also like patents to be harder and more expensive to file and receive. However, that's basically the opposite of what everyone else is asking for, and it's still not likely to stop the patent trolls from making a living patenting ideas that large corporations are very likely to need in the near future.

  2. Wrongo... by It+doesn't+come+easy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Microsoft collects patents today in part to have ammunition to file countersuits when other companies sue them (that's big business 101). However patents are also good for Microsoft's twilight years, when the only thing they will have left of any real controlling influence will be their software patent portfolio. Then they'll be hell bent on collecting any and all royalties from said portfolio just to bolster their waning proprietary business. You can bet that part of the reasoning behind Microsoft securing so many software patents right now is to provide a "retirement plan" for the business once their software products no longer dominate the market (they've got the money now, why not buy a little "insurance" for the future?).

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  3. Conversion to Buddhism by anandpur · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Conversion to Buddhism

    As the legend goes, one day after the war was over, Ashoka ventured out to roam the city and all he could see were burnt houses and scattered corpses. This sight made him sick and he cried the famous quotation, "What have I done?" The brutality of the conquest led him to adopt Buddhism

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ashoka

  4. Shuttleworth has it all wrong by kylef · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Mark Shuttleworth, founder of the Ubuntu Linux distribution, said that although Microsoft is seen as being very pro-patent at the moment, if every other software maker enforced its patents in the same way then Microsoft would find it very difficult and expensive to do business.

    What do you call the Eolas lawsuit?? Inexpensive? Give me a break! More than $500 million for one patent? And you don't think Microsoft is worried about patent disputes?

    In fact, why do you think that Microsoft patents so aggressively? To sue Linux? No! Historically, their extensive patent portfolio is used defensively. The problem is, defensive patents really only work against large corporations, who will usually settle rather than seeing all-out patent armageddon warfare, which just costs tons of money (e.g., Sun vs. Microsoft). Eolas is exactly the type of company that defensive patents don't work well against: small IP-holding companies looking to cash in by bringing targeted infringement lawsuits against the biggest money-makers. (Don't forget that every other browser on the planet was also infringing upon Eolas -- they just chose not to sue anybody else.)

    Paranoid Linux types are always worried about Microsoft using its patents to destroy things like FAT filesystem compatibility, but that has not happened. (If you recall, the recent activity surrounding the FAT patents were initiated by Microsoft competitors, not Microsoft.) That doesn't mean it won't, but it is an important distinction to make!

  5. It's about mutally assured destruction by sterno · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The thing is the patent climate has shifted a lot in the last few years. Traditionally most patents were being developed by big industry players and there was a kind of mutually assured destruction involved. That is, IBM never sued Microsoft because Microsoft could sue them right back. They make deals to use eachothers patents and thus the industry heavyweights get to control the industry. Small time players get shut out because they don't have the leverage of their own patent portfolios and don't have the money to license them.

    In recent years though there have been a lot of people building patent portfolios as a business in itself. They don't put money into R&D and product development, they just have lawyers who are there to do nothing but enforce patents. No matter how many patents Microsoft has, they have no leverage against a company that doesn't produce anything. Given the rather low standards the patent office has held for innovation is software patents there are tons of ways Microsoft can get in trouble without knowing it.

    The big problem this poses for Microsoft is that it's an unmeasureable risk. They don't know at any given time how many patents they might be violating and how much the damages are that they might be liable for because of them. With many of the patents they can settle quickly for relatively minimal license fees. But if some people want to play hardball for a big settlement there's little MS can do about it.

    In the long run this problem is only going to get worse for them. There are a lot of people who recognize this as a viable business model. The risk is somewhat high, but the reward is huge if it works out. While any one of these may be small change to Microsoft, they can add up pretty quickly and put product releases at risk. With new software releases comign every couple of years but patents lasting almost 20 years, the pool of potentially violatable patents will only grow.

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  6. Re:Doubtful by MightyMartian · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I think what we're seeing is an example of self-reinforcing behavior. It's quite obvious that if software patents go on much further, you won't be able to do much else then printf("Hello world") without potentially infringing. What begins as a bad way to protect your rights suddenly becomes the necessity of a portfolio to fend off other threatening patents, and before you know it, it can't be stopped. It becomes a self-destructive cycle.

    The commercial software world won't stop itself. Even if it wanted to get off the train, no one would do it unless the others did at the same time. If even one guy is left whose business model involves software patent litigation, then no one else is going to take that big chance. In the end, the politicians are going to have to close the door on the lobbiests, stop taking the bribes that they are so accustomed to, and see that they are contributing to a major meltdown in a few decades.

    But human behavior is nothing if not predictable. Instead of fixing the problem now, everyone will wait until the whole thing collapses and then go "Hmmm, maybe patents aren't the best way to protect software".

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  7. Business 102 teaches differently. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful
    Microsoft collects patents today in part to have ammunition to file countersuits when other companies sue them (that's big business 101).

    And that's exactly why our investors are contemplating that my startup ditch our product --- so that we don't have anything infringing on Microsoft, IBM, etc patents (obviously, since we won't have a product) and focus our efforts on our XML-processing-IP that they will eventually infringe on.

    Don't hate the player, hate the game. The new reality of the technolgy industry is that it's easier and more profitable to be an IP shop (Eolas, Rambus, Tessera, ARM, Dolby) than to acutally build things. And then sell licenses or perhaps the whole company to a manufacturer (Sony, Infineon, Microsoft, etc) to cash out.

  8. Nuh-uh by Red+Flayer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    So, in ten years, MS will become anti-patent? The logic behind this is that other companies will be enforcing their patents against Microsoft.

    You know why this hasn't happened in the past? Because MS has the kind of cash available to make selling out to MS a better deal for your shareholders than trying to enforce your patents against MS.

    MS will still be playing the "If you can't beat 'em, buy 'em" game.

    A question I see is whether developer/inventor ill-will against MS will outweigh the financial incentive for companies to sell out. Given that it is illegal to not act in the best financial interests of your shareholders, I can't see that happening.

    The other question I see is whether there will be a competitor with pockets deep enough to be a viable alternative to selling to MS... and I seem to recall a certain advertising/data mining company that's amassed a pretty big warchest...

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  9. "Intellectual Property" companies are the driver by Rogerborg · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Traditionally, companies made things and filed patents. When two companies crossed paths, they waved their stack of patents at each other much like two stag beetles comparing the size of their antlers. The company with the larger stack obliged the smaller company to pay up to continue making things. That situation suited Microsoft, IBM, Sun et al rather well, as they had a lot of patents which gave them leverage over each other.

    Now along comes a rash of companies who exist for no other reason than to buy patents and use them to sue people. They don't make anything, and so they never infringe anybody else's patents. Now Microsoft finds itself with a jillion patents to Bucaneer Holdings Corp's one patent, but none of those jillion are relevant, while Bucaneer only needs their one patent to sue Microsoft with.

    We joke that someone should patent the business practice of piratical patent abuse, but in truth, it's the only thing that could be used defensively against these leeches.

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  10. Re:In 10 years.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    We should be pushing for the opposite. Let's get every obvious software thing patented *now* so in 17 years we won't have to worry about this crap anymore.

  11. Re:woops by GoClick · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm seriously impressed that you're willing to admit something like that.

    I'm now going to admit something.

    I'm very pro patent, I think we SHOULD have VERY strong patents, however they should expire just 5 years after their filed OR give the patent holder the option of a much less restrictive patent with for examplke forced licenses at a fixed price for 10 years.

  12. Well of course they would be against patents... by ThaFooz · · Score: 2, Insightful

    afte all, where would MS be if Apple patented its UI's for the past ten years?

  13. Re:I asked Bill Gates about exactly this, this sum by ExoticMandibles · · Score: 5, Insightful
    Communism is an economic system in which the government regulates the market.
    Capitalism is another economic system, in which the market regulates itself.

    A patent is a statement from the government regulating the market.
    In which system does this belong?


    larry

  14. FUD by idlake · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There has been concern that if the FAT patents are upheld, Microsoft may claim that Linux infringes on Microsoft technology and will seek a royalty. Any monetary compensation could threaten the operating system, which under GPL terms may not be distributed if it contains patented technology that requires royalty payments.

    That's pure FUD. Even if Microsoft's preposterous claims were upheld, the FAT file system would simply be removed immediately from the default kernel installation and the Linux kernel distribution would continue unchanged otherwise. Anybody who needed FAT access would have a variety of short-term workarounds available, and in the long term, there would be some non-infringing implementation, at least for reading the format.

    Painful though this would be in the short term, I would consider it a good thing in the long term: FAT really deserves to be shot and killed, and Microsoft patent claims on it are just the thing to do it.

  15. Re:woops by micheas · · Score: 2, Insightful
    I'm very pro patent, I think we SHOULD have VERY strong patents, however they should expire just 5 years after their filed OR give the patent holder the option of a much less restrictive patent with for examplke forced licenses at a fixed price for 10 years.
    That might make sense for things that are not copyrightable, and not business methods.

    But patenting the Harry Potter books is entirely insane. (one could start by patenting quidich, and horcruxes.)

    I would be willing to consider software patents as reasonable if software was then exempt from copyright law.

    The multiple layers of artifical monopolies is a sign that something is wrong. There is a very reasonable arguement that one of the things that lead to the United States becoming a super power was the blatant disregard for IP laws.

  16. That's so wrong it's not even wrong. by zippthorne · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What's the opposite of insightful. Because that's what this post deserves. It is almost uncanny how very incorrect is the poster's understanding of the two systems.

    The main principle of capitalism, in fact the principle for which the system is named, is the concept of property rights. It is the idea that if a person can do what he pleases with what is his (land, items, money, etc.) he will direct its use toward profit which will benefit himself and ultimately society at large. The capitalist believes that the primary function of a government is to secure for its citizens property rights. That means catching and punishing robbers as much as it means avoiding wasteful government spending. The fruits of your labor are your own.

    the main principle of communism is the absence of property rights. It is the idea that the primary goal of a society should be an equitable distribution of wealth. You have no right to your land, posessions, and in some implementations, even your person. The fruits of your labor belong to the community.

    There are some valid and reasonable points to both systems, but only one has shown to be practical in the real world. Interestingly, although communism would seem to be called for by application of Millsian ethical principles, practice has shown that the correct utilitarian choice is apparantly some form of capitalism.

    Both of these are relevant to the discussion at hand. Are patents the logical extension of property rights to include "intellectual property" rights?

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