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The exhaustion of IPv4 address space

FireFury03 writes "Cisco has an interesting article talking about estimates for the exhaustion of the IPv4 address space, and the inevitable move to IPv6. It predicts that the IPv4 address space will be exhausted in 2 - 10 years and suggests that it isn't worth trying to reclaim old allocations. With the mainstream use of IPv6 now potentially within the ROI period of many products the manufacturers need to start including support, but will the ISPs roll out native IPv6 networks before they absolutely have to? IMHO, ISPs providing native IPv6 support would be a Good Thing since it opens up the door for peer-to-peer technologies such as SIP without needing nasty NAT traversal hacks, but a major stumbling block seems to be a complete lack of IPv6 support on current consumer-grade DSL routers (tunneling over IPv4 is an option but requires more technical know-how from the end user)." Of course, Cisco may have some vested interest in driving up the IPv6-compatible router sales *cough*, but the bottom line is that the transition will have to happen at some point in the near future.

28 of 589 comments (clear)

  1. Interesting by Legendof_Pedro · · Score: 4, Funny

    Interesting, but is 2 - 10 years as precise as they can be?
    8 years seems to be a long time, to me...

    1. Re:Interesting by kihjin · · Score: 5, Funny

      2 - 10 would be -8 years. So this already happened, 8 years ago.

      Welcome to Slashdot.

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      This slashdot-related signature is a stub. You can help kihjin by expanding it.
    2. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Maybe they were just being obtuse. 2 - 10 = -8, so what they really mean is that we needed IPv6 eight years ago.

    3. Re:Interesting by 'nother+poster · · Score: 2, Funny

      And nobody did a thing about it until about 1997.

    4. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      The REAL question is whether IP drilling operations in ANWR, Alaska will buy us any time. What about our strategic reserves? I believe our goal should be to reduce dependence on foriegn address space.

    5. Re:Interesting by LilGuy · · Score: 2, Funny

      Just imagine a world where all the address space is shared and free... we could go back to not thinking about Alaska *EVER*.

      --

      You're nothing; like me.
    6. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      2-10 years?? Sounds like a Microsoft release timeline.

    7. Re:Interesting by leathered · · Score: 2, Funny

      More worrying is that Iran are now believed to be in posession of a /24 subnet and are seeking to enrich it to a /16.

      --
      For all intensive porpoises your a bunch of rediculous loosers
    8. Re:Interesting by wildsurf · · Score: 2, Funny

      The REAL question is whether IP drilling operations in ANWR, Alaska will buy us any time.

      Yes, the range could certainly be extended by adding a few drill bits.

      --
      Weeks of coding saves hours of planning.
  2. Dupe. by haeger · · Score: 5, Funny
    I know I've read this statement atleast yearly for the last 2-10 years.

    .haeger

    --
    You are not entitled to your opinion. You are entitled to your informed opinion. -- Harlan Ellison
  3. It's a race! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Will *BSD die before the switchover to IPv6? Maybe a good Slashdot poll:

    [ ] Yes
    [ ] No
    [ ] Microsoft
    [ ] I don't know what IPv6 is, but I'll post anyway
    [ ] Cowboy Neal encodes my packets

    1. Re:It's a race! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      [ ] Depends on if Duke Nukem Forever supports IPv6

    2. Re:It's a race! by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 2, Funny

      [] Profit!

      --
      "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
    3. Re:It's a race! by aurb · · Score: 2, Funny

      [ ] Only if Netcraft confirms it.

  4. Re:Interestingly precise by saskboy · · Score: 2, Funny

    2-12 years is as precise an answer as Rummy can give about the Iraq insurgency lasting. If it's good enough for the main stream media, it's good enough for average joe six pack me.

    Dick "Netcraft" Cheney: I think IPv4 is in its last throes.

    --
    Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
  5. I predict that... by C0vardeAn0nim0 · · Score: 3, Funny

    in 2 to 10 years lots of things will happen. some people will die, some will be born...

    aw, c'mon...

    in a month europe, brasil and a few other nations will force a global netsplit, so we'll have 2 "internets". double the address space for the same price, so this prediction is not only imprecise, it's useless!

    my R$0,02.

    --
    What ? Me, worry ?
  6. All I know is by Hershmire · · Score: 5, Funny

    I have my IPv4 address. Why should I worry? Perhaps I can even sell mine to the highest bidder when the shite hits the fan.

    Hell, maybe the address shortage will create this crazy new "Road Warrior" world where IP addresses are a rare commodity and people have to fight each other with mad overclocked computers just to get some packets routed. And then Mel Gibson can play an ex-help-desk-guy-turned-hero whose Mac was killed by software pirates in the movie version.

    All I know is, I'm training my kids how to catch sharp boomerangs.

    --
    if(!toilet_paper) roll.replace(new roll); //Stupid roommates.
  7. Nasty NAT hacks by overshoot · · Score: 2, Funny
    Hmmm -- I wonder how many machines have been saved from being owned precisely because of NAT?

    I'd love to know the zombienet operators' take on the conversion to IPV6.

    --
    Lacking <sarcasm> tags, /. substitutes moderation as "Troll."
  8. One Giant Honking DHCP Server by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 4, Funny

    To make most efficient use of the 4.3 trillion possible IPv4 addresses, all we need is one giant honking DHCP server for the world to use. Of course, the USA should run it forever.

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
  9. Re:Is NAT Better? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Thats like preventing STDs by amputating your penis. Effective, but there are better solutions available!

  10. the 10.x.x.x net is mine! Get off my lawn you kids by infonography · · Score: 3, Funny

    I have had 10.x.x.x addresses for a long time and I am gonna keep them. You varmits need to find your own, your not taking away my net addresses. Same goes for the 192.168.X net. That's mine too, it's just my summer home.

    --
    Sorry about the writing. Robot fingers, you know? Cliff Steele in DOOM PATROL #23
  11. Re:My cold, dead hands by Mondoz · · Score: 5, Funny
    I'm with you. This scares the hell out of me.
    Unless my host file grows to be the size of Montana...

    Do host files and IPITAV6 work together anyway?

    Besides, this is going to make my "There's no place like 127.0.0.1" shirt obsolete in 10 years!
    I'll have to get one with colons in it!
    Jeeze...

    --
    /sig
  12. Re:Is NAT Better? by MSZ · · Score: 5, Funny

    The benefits of IPv6 are numerous, however.
    Cisco marketing rep:
    NOBODY expects the IPv6!
    Our chief benefit is length... greater length of the packet header and and unrememberable addresses...
    Our two benefits are greater length of packet header and unrememberable addresses... and rewrite of all network apps....
    Our three benefits are length of packet header and unrememberable addresses... and rewrite of all network apps.... and an almost fanatical devotion to some broken standard....
    Our four... no...
    Amongst our benefits... Amongst our array of benefits... are such elements as greater length of packet header and unrememberable addresses...
    I'll come in again.

    But seriously, if IPv6 was so good, it would not require so much pushing. If the IPv4 exhaustion was real and imminent, it would not rquire so much pushing.

    --
    The moon is not fully subjugated. I demand a second assault wave preceded by a massive nuclear bombardment.
  13. RE: "I think IPv4 is in its last throes." by infonography · · Score: 2, Funny

    oh great, now we got to worry exploding IPs and routers. People shooting spam at us from every direction. You never know when your gonna step on a 419 and end up buying the "low rate M0RTgaT3".

    Maybe we better give control to the UN after all.

    --
    Sorry about the writing. Robot fingers, you know? Cliff Steele in DOOM PATROL #23
  14. Re:Is NAT Better? by Armour+Hotdog · · Score: 2, Funny
    Login: kenmore
    Password: admin

    Welcome to your Kenmore Refrigerator administration console! Please choose from the following options:

    1. Refrigerator compartment configuration
    2. Freezer compartment configuration
    3. Ice maker configuration
    4. Fault generator configuration
    >4

    Kenmore Fault Generator (tm) configuration menu. Please choose from the following options:
    1. Enable random grinding/creaking/moaning noises
    2. Enable random blowing/dripping noises
    3. Enable random refrigerator temperature fluctuations
    4. Enable random freezer temperature fluctuations
    5. Enable strange odor generator
    6. Enable random faults from all categories (recommended)
    7. Disable faults when human detected in proximity to refrigerator (recommended)
    >
  15. ipv4 is underutilized by austad · · Score: 5, Funny

    We had an IT person in our london office at a previous job. When I was out there, I had mentioned that they were running out of IP's for the office and we'd have to assign a new block. She pulls out her spreadsheet which is fully poplated up to something like .253, and proceeds to show me all the empty space up to .999.

    Obviously we are underutilizing the ipv4 space, no one seems to use anything above .255. We should just all follow her lead and go to .999. It's like a network that goes to 11 man.

    --
    Need Free Juniper/NetScreen Support? JuniperForum
  16. Re:My cold, dead hands by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 3, Funny
    Besides, this is going to make my "There's no place like 127.0.0.1" shirt obsolete in 10 years! I'll have to get one with colons in it!

    Good point. Imagine the joy:

    Cute girl: There's no place like... colon?
    You: *sob*

    Think maybe I'll pass on that one.

    --
    Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
  17. Re:Simple fix.. by BinaryCodedDecimal · · Score: 2, Funny

    I do IP MASQUERADING. I get only 1 ip address from my provider.
    I've got a wireless webcam, a zaurus wireless pda, company assigned laptop, my linux development desktop computer, my Apple G3 running LinuxPPC (my gateway, web, imap server), My oldest son't room with a Linux based AMD 64bit server, a
    mini mac, a sharp zaurus, my 2 youngest boys room and thier computer and a laptop up in thier room, my hombrew robot, a hacked compaq IA-1 that runs linux that I use to monitor my firewall, email, etc.. All these devices get to the outside world on 1 ip address. I have multiple servers that are accessed by the outside world via port redirection as well.


    That was a lovely story, but you could have just said, "I use NAT and port forwarding."

    Also, what's the difference between IP masquerading and IP MASQUERADING? Is the latter more l33t?