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NASA to Privatize ISS Missions?

Brian Young writes "Nasa is looking for private companies to take over the business of transporting astronauts and cargo to the International Space Station. "'Certainly this is an opportunity for the new space companies,' said Jim Banke, head of Florida operations for The Space Foundation industry trade association. 'They've been lobbying NASA hard for something like this for years.' NASA hopes to supplement, and eventually replace, crew and cargo flights to the space station that had been planned for the shuttle fleet." One has to wonder how much money can be saved by NASA that can be put to use elsewhere, such as trying to figure out how to put together a manned mission to Mars, if they no longer have to dish out the tremendous amount of money that getting astronauts and cargo to the ISS requires."

156 comments

  1. Duplicate! by Firethorn · · Score: 2, Informative

    Dupe. See NASA Seeks Help Carrying Cargo Into Space

    I still think it's a good thing that might end up saving money if it's done right.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
    1. Re:Duplicate! by geoff127 · · Score: 1

      I'd imagine it would save a lot of money. The article said spending would be about $500 million over thye next 5 years, and I've heard that one shuttle flight costs roughly the same. I can't cite that, unfortunatly. So, many smaller supply flights, or one big shuttle flight?

    2. Re:Duplicate! by ThreeE · · Score: 0

      The $500M is only for a single demonstration(s) by a private company(ies). Nothing close to replacing the shuttle's capability.

    3. Re:Duplicate! by georgewilliamherbert · · Score: 2, Informative

      The $500 million is hoped to fund several demonstrations, not one.

      It would be appalling if nobody was able to, at the end of this, also fly cheaper resupply missions than Shuttle's loaded mission cost (which is over $1 billion a flight now, with the lower flight rates post-Columbia).

    4. Re:Duplicate! by ThreeE · · Score: 0

      Yes, "several" (maybe 2) demonstrations by different respondants of upmass significantly less than the shuttle's capability. The $500M also doesn't cover the entire cost as NASA is hoping that respondants will also have other sources of funding.

  2. Efficiency and Safety by MntlChaos · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Hmmm... Which is better at providing safe and cost-effective missions: the government or a private company?

    On the one hand, being in a bidding situation forces companies to have a lid on their costs, while on the other it encourages said companies to cut corners whenever they can. If NASA were competently managed, then it would be obvious that outsourcing the missions would be silly. However NASA's management has some issues, so maybe this is the right move.

    1. Re:Efficiency and Safety by blueeyedmick · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Once an operation becomes routine, I think it should be privatized. In this case, NASA does a better job at developing the new (and highly risky) missions (like the one to Mars), and less well at doing routine things like lifting payloads into orbit. I'd put this akin to commercial freight hauling and less in the vein of the Apollo missions. Given this, getting someone in the commericial market to do the hauling should be cheaper, quicker, and probably safer than having the government do it. Sort of like the difference between the USPS and UPS... perhaps 100 years ago when delivering packages was a very risky endevor with zero profit margins having the government deliver them was logical, but it's hard to see the reason now. Perhaps we're turning that corner in the orbital lift business this decade.

    2. Re:Efficiency and Safety by khallow · · Score: 1

      Actually I consider this move to performance-based bidding a sign that NASA is more competently managed than it was. NASA should outsource stuff that's not in its core mission. Consider this. If NASA builds a specialty vehicle for ISS resupply, then that vehicle is unlikely to be reused for another purpose. However, if several private companies provide resupply, then those companies can also provide the launch vehicles for other commercial purposes and drive down the overall costs through economies of scale that NASA, no matter how competently it is managed, can't achieve.

    3. Re:Efficiency and Safety by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow. I wouldn't have thought the fourth post on an article could possibly be redundant. But I guess I was wrong.

    4. Re:Efficiency and Safety by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Ever heard of the "Pony Express"?

      That was a commercial venture letter/package delivery service that worked.

      The problem was getting a universal and affordable service into the smaller areas. Where somebody in Podunk town, NY could send a letter to Podunk town, CA for a reasonable price.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    5. Re:Efficiency and Safety by blueeyedmick · · Score: 1

      Well, actually, yes I have heard of the Pony Express. It may be a bad example for this situation, however. That service only ran for about 18 months just before the U.S. Civil War, and it was something like the "X prize" contest... the speculators that started it were hoping to gain a million dollar U.S. government contract, and ran the service for those 18 months more as a demo than anything else. The Civil War interrupted the service, and after the war, the railroads made it impractical. In the end, the sponsors lost a couple hundred thousand dollars. This may be a case that proves my point - a risky, financially unstable endevor that might have been better handled by the government...

  3. Scuttle the ISS by toddbu · · Score: 3, Insightful

    How about we fire the retro rockets and bring it down? Do we really want to put more money into the ISS when there are so many more interesting projects to pursue (Moon, Mars, deep space exploration)? Apart from creating jobs, just what have we gotten for the billions that we've spent on the ISS?

    --
    If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    1. Re:Scuttle the ISS by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

      I think the ISS is designed for general space research- which would help with things like long term zero g studies, plants, etc...

      Also, the ISS could at some point be a jumping off point for mars or other expeditions.

    2. Re:Scuttle the ISS by Eric+Smith · · Score: 1
      It may have originally been designed for that, but what we actually built and have on orbit isn't useful for anything more than keeping two astronauts/cosmonauts alive. Maintaining the station takes up most of their time.

      It was originally planned to be something useful, but they went through so many iterations of paring it down due to budget cuts that there's nothing worthwhile left.

      ISS is a colossal waste of money. We should negotiate to buy out the other countries' interests in it, and deorbit it. Using the money we save, we can try to build a useful space program. And in the mean time, use the shuttle one last time time service the Hubble.

    3. Re:Scuttle the ISS by bigben928 · · Score: 1

      I believe that what NASA is leading towards may in regards to expense travel to the ISS is tha they may be interested in furthering the privatization of Space travel. For example: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virgin_Galactic Also, the NASA program has invented ABS breaks. Kidney dialysis machines were developed as a result of a NASA developed chemical process that could remove toxic waste from used dialysis fluid. And medical CAT scanner searches the human body for tumors or other abnormalities, the industrial version, or advanced computed tomography inspection system, finds imperfections in aerospace structures and components, such as castings, rocket motors and nozzles. http://space.about.com/od/toolsequipment/ss/apollo spinoffs_2.htm

    4. Re:Scuttle the ISS by grozzie2 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Apart from creating jobs, just what have we gotten for the billions that we've spent on the ISS?

      We've gained a lot of knowledge, albeit, not quite the knowledge intended to gain, gained nonetheless.

      Science is a wondeful thing. You start with a set of assumptions, add either hypothesis or theory, then design experiments to validate the whole works, or, sometimes try invalidate it. In the end, knowledge is gained. sometimes, the experiments accidently invalidate the assumptions, so, altho they appear on the surface as a failure, valuable insight is still gained for future use, even tho the failure of assumptions means the hypothesis or theory never did get tested.

      The iss is a platform for developing and testing long duration mission technology. The goal is to reach the point where the technology for a mars mission exists (it doesn't today), and has been tested in the harsh environment of space. Low orbit is a good starting point, because it's a place we can go to 'routinely' to do this kind of testing. The iss was designed to take the best parts of the russian space program, combined with the best parts of the american space program, and get an international program in motion that could leverage it all. The iss itself is not an initial experiment in low orbit long duration, Mir already showed us that can be done, it carried on in that role for 15 years. ISS is a platform for hosting more advanced experiments and development.

      The problem with the iss program is, access to low orbit as routine turned out to be an invalid assumption, and, pretty much everybody had to step back and re-evaluate the fundamentals on which the program were built. In order to fulfill it's mission, the iss needs to be completed, but, it's slowly becoming apparent that the american space program is not up to the task of delivering into orbit the modules required. This was the 'strength' of the program that the entire iss concept was built on. As sometimes happens in science, the setup for the experiment invalidates the assumptions, now you have to step back and re-evaluate the basics before you can finish the experiment. The whole program was launched on the premise that us space shuttles would be available to lift specific modules for station assembly, and a lot of other countries bet significantly on that assumption. It's turned out to be flat wrong.

      The re-evaluation process is now ongoing. The usa took a couple years, spent a few billion, and 'fixed' the shuttle problem, then launched another shuttle. Up to that point, it was just a delay. The 'fixed' shuttle turned out to be not quite so fixed, the same old problem still exists. This really does now put the entire iss program in doubt, for a lot of reasons, some political, some technical. From a political view, other partner countries are asking a simple question. What happened during the 'fix the shuttle process'? A lot of time/effort/money was expended on the problem. Is this a core competency problem within the american space program ? Can other countries afford to continue investing billions into this program if the station is not going to be completed ?

      ISS partners have gained a LOT of knowledge from the program. It's just to bad most of that knowledge is in the area of politics, and engineering required to get to low orbit. Those were actually 'assumptions' at the onset of the program. The soviets were able to service Mir for many years, the ability of an american/russian partnership to service ISS was never questioned. It's turned out to be the achilles heel of the program overall. Shuttles are not flying, Russia cant afford to fly all the missions themselves, and silly laws in the us prevent american money from extending funding to soyuz launches.

      The ISS is proably going to die uncompleted. The biggest lesson learned for most of the partners, dont depend on the usa when large expenditure projects are involved, projects that extend beyond the 4 year election cycle hence they become suceptible to

    5. Re:Scuttle the ISS by mrfrostee · · Score: 1

      This is probably the most accurate and intelligent post about the ISS I've ever seen on Slashdot. Bravo!

    6. Re:Scuttle the ISS by khallow · · Score: 1
      Talking of moon missions and mars missions is easy for joe average. It's real easy to say 'lets scrap iss, and go to mars instead'. But, the bottom line, if the program is not capable of managing completion of the ISS, then there's no way it's going to produce a manned mission to mars that operates without resupply for the timeframes involved. that's like asking a baby to run a marathon, before it's even learned to crawl, not gonna happen.

      It'd be cheaper too. ISS doesn't serve a legitimate purpose now, and it's not clear to me that it ever did aside from generating a need for Space Shuttle launches. My take is that we need something other than interlocking pork barrel in manned space development. Until that happens, things like the ISS will continue to happen.

      There's just to many folks that look at the photos of the lunar missions from the 1960's and assume, just because it was done then, it can be repeated now. The reality of the matter is, the Nasa of the 60's did go to the moon, with manned missions. The Nasa of today is doing wonderful things with robotic missions, but, the manned missions are not even capable of doing low orbit, never mind heading off on long missions. Until Nasa can demonstrate the launch of a vehicle into low orbit, with human staff, and operate it for 14 months without resupply from earth, there's no point talking about going to mars. The iss was supposed to be the proving vehicle for that concept, it turned out to be the vehicle for disproving the fundamental assumptions. That's life, learn from it.

      It seems to me the problem is NASA. If, for example, we had a private non-profit with a sufficient amount of experience and funds, it could get the job done. I don't think a corporation would do such a thing unless the cost were very low and they could recoup the costs in reputation and licensing.

    7. Re:Scuttle the ISS by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, only a few of the wildest rants in the space community suggest to deorbit it. Now that it is up there, it would be a mistake to bring it down.

      We did it once with skylab and found that it was a mistake then. But, it has been suggested that we pay the Russians to service it for the time being (which would be maybe a billion or two a year), and then devote the savings to getting the new heavy launcher and the crew launcher going in a fraction of the time. Once the HLV is working in about 2009, we can in two shots, put up the rest of the station. From where I sit, that sounds like a great idea.

      My only problem with that, is that we are running up an outlandious deficit. With that going up, and more tax cuts coming, I suspect that once we ground the shuttle, then congress and bush will lose the motive for funding even this.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    8. Re:Scuttle the ISS by Eric+Smith · · Score: 1
      Putting up the rest of the station (as planned) still doesn't turn it into anything useful. Just a giant space rathole to throw more money into.

      That's why we're better off abandoning it and starting over. And the only reasonable way to abandon it is to deorbit it; if we don't do a controlled deorbit, it will do an uncontrolled reentry anyhow.

      We did it once with skylab and found that it was a mistake then.
      There was no other choice but to let Skylab reenter. We didn't have anything capable of saving it at the time, because the STS was not yet operational.
    9. Re:Scuttle the ISS by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, we were going to develop the unit to push it, but Nixon did not fund it. Carter also had the ability to send an apollo, but decided against it. Overall, it was felt by the 2 presidents that Space was not a priority.

      As to ISS, rather than deorbit it, we would be better of splitting it apart and using it with bigilows. But that will not happen. Instead, if we do not go forward it, then we will simply turn over to the others (Russia, Europe, Canada, India, China, etc) to use.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:Scuttle the ISS by Eric+Smith · · Score: 1
      They didn't build anything to raise its orbit because the Space Shuttle was going to be able to do it. That's what NASA was telling Congress and the administration. If the Shuttle hadn't been delayed so much, maybe it would have worked.

      If we could just turn over the ISS boondogle to another country that would be an excellent solution, but I don't think anyone else would be willing to take it over. Russia might, but we'd have to pay them to operate it. They can't afford to operate it on their own.

      If we're going to have a space station, it should in orbit around L4 or L5. The Shuttle can't get there, but a Delta-4H or Atlas-VH could be used to launch the station modules, and the SDLV can get manned craft such as the CEV there. (Though technically it seems like it would make more sense to develop a man-rated version of the Delta 4.)

    11. Re:Scuttle the ISS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "We've gained a lot of knowledge..."

      Name one thing that was learned on the ISS that was not already known through the building and operation of Mir. Building larges structures in space through multiple launches? Mir. Long-term effects of microgravity on the human body? Mir.

      Developing and testing long-duration mission technology? Name one example that was not already developed for and tested on Mir.

      You can't. Nobody can, because such examples do not exist. The ISS is a complete and total failure. It should never have been built, and every dollar spent on it today is a dollar utterly wasted.

  4. Money still comes from NASA... by blueeyedmick · · Score: 2, Informative

    I believe the money to pay for the payloads to the ISS will still come out of the NASA budget (for instance, the article mentions a $500 million price tag just to fund this privatization effort). NASA just hopes that the price tag will be less once competition takes over. And, I suspect they're correct, given the remarkably low cost of the recent X-prize contestants.

    1. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the recent X-prize contestants weren't exactly low cost, considering what they did. They got nowhere close to what it takes to send crew / cargo to the ISS.

    2. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by Rhinobird · · Score: 4, Interesting

      the recent X-prize contestants weren't exactly low cost,

      For what it did, I think it was very low cost. Could you imagine NASA developing anything with the same capabilities as Space Ship One for 20 million dollars? The closest thing I can think of recently was the DC-X project back in the 90's, and that cost 58 million dollars.

      They got nowhere close to what it takes to send crew / cargo to the ISS.

      True, but the X-prize's goal wasn't orbit, just up to space and back down. It was eminently do-able, but nobody was doing it.

      --
      If Mr. Edison had thought smarter he wouldn't sweat as much. --Nikola Tesla
    3. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by Comatose51 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's a very clever move on NASA's part. For the cost of the reward, $20 million, they managed to get all the contestants to invest their money to do the research. Even if each contestant invested less than the $20 million, the sum of their research investment will add up to be more than $20 million, even if you discount for some redundancy in their research efforts. I think it's a very good example of using public money to promote private investment in something that will eventually benefit the public.

      --
      EvilCON - Made Famous by /.
    4. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by MichaelSmith · · Score: 1
      research investment will add up to be more than $20 million

      Yes, but NASA doesn't get to keep the IP generated by the prize. This is a bit like spending $58 million and then selling the IP thus generated back to investors.

    5. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just to put the record straight, the DC-X was not a NASA
      project. Anyway, NASA does many things well, it's just that
      they'll never be able to compete on price with small entrepeneurial
      organizations.

    6. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For the record, X-Prize wasn't a NASA idea and NASA didn't participate at all.

    7. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      First, NASA and the military have spent trillions learning how to put things into orbit. But the bulk of that was in the 50's, 60's, 70's, and somewhat 80's. Now, we spend a fraction of what we use to, to research this.

      How much did Rutan spend on doing this research? just a fraction. Why? Because it was already done.

      Now, declaring the DC-X/black horse to be similar is a total farce. It was designed to be a one shot to orbit. That is one craft all the way to orbit. We have nothing that does that with any amount of payload. More importantly, Burt's craft was designed to be multiple stages. It was from the gitgo. How similar are they? NOT ONE IOTA. NADA. NOTHING. Declaring them to be remotely similar is a bit like declaring a kia to be similar to a GM's new hydrogen car. Burt's ship was go to 10 miles up via jets, and then to 60 miles via rockets. That concept was what was going to happen in the 70's via NASA, but Nixon killed it.

      Finally, yes, Rutan achieved 60 miles up. But the station is at 300 miles. There is a LONG way to go. And it will require more than a 100 million to make it there, and that is with a load of only several tonnes.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    8. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Yes, but considered as a research investment by the government, the generation of patents that will eventually run out and desired services such as cargo & personel transport to orbit.

      The government can afford to take the long view.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    9. Re:Money still comes from NASA... by mfrank · · Score: 1

      WTF did NASA have to do with it? The X-Prize came from a wealthy couple living in the Dallas area, not from NASA.

  5. NASA by paul248 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Perhaps they should change their name to "Not Attending Space Anymore"

    1. Re:NASA by mnmn · · Score: 1

      Not About Space Anymore. All About Beuraucracy Now.

      --
      "Give orange me give eat orange me eat orange give me eat orange give me you." -Nim Chimpsky
    2. Re:NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rather stupid statement .... this is about possibly getting out of the to orbit cargo carrying business and instead focusing more on space exploration.

    3. Re:NASA by khallow · · Score: 1

      IMHO, NASA shouldn't be competing with private industry for tasks that private industry can do. Resupply to the ISS is something that private industry can do now.

  6. Maybe if they hadnt spent half a trillion.... by voss · · Score: 0, Troll

    On Iraq...they could have sent a man to mars 2 years ago.

    1. Re:Maybe if they hadnt spent half a trillion.... by Loconut1389 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      despite the obvious troll:

      if they'd spent the trillion on space instead of iraq, people would complain it was better spent on education- which it would be. It would be better spent on a lot of things.

      But the truth is, we ultimately need to go to space, we ultimately need education, we ultimately need a lot of things which is why we have budgets and its not an all or nothing deal for one particular endeavor.

    2. Re:Maybe if they hadnt spent half a trillion.... by Homology · · Score: 1
      despite the obvious troll: if they'd spent the trillion on space instead of iraq, people would complain it was better spent on education- which it would be. It would be better spent on a lot of things.

      Yeah, anyone daring to be so un-American and unpatriotic as to critize the Iraq war and the huge sums spendt on it must be a troll.

    3. Re:Maybe if they hadnt spent half a trillion.... by voss · · Score: 1

      Maybe some of the Metamodders could look at the parent post and decide for themselves.
      Since I have never previously posted a troll post...

    4. Re:Maybe if they hadnt spent half a trillion.... by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

      not that- but anyone who brings up iraq in every possible subject is often a troll.

    5. Re:Maybe if they hadnt spent half a trillion.... by Loconut1389 · · Score: 1

      i've never consciously posted one, but one or two of mine have been interpreted that way by mistake. It happens, especially with topics people use as flaimbait/trolls a lot. The war on iraq is a polarizing topic and quickly leads to offtopic discussion.

      Good metamods will view context, decent ones sometimes don't.

      One 'troll' on your karma won't kill you ;o)

  7. Read... by TrevorB · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Read "NASA decides to scrap ISS, blame private industry for not picking up the ball."

  8. How much cheaper? by forkazoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Really, how much cheaper can we expect a private company to do this? After all, NASa just needs to do it, while a private company needs to do it and turn a profit. And, seeing as how all "NASA" hardware is built by private contactors, how much of a difference are we really going to see?

    1. Re:How much cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As an individual you have the ability to take an idea and try and turn it into something practical*. You may fail. You may succeed. But you are nimble and can make choices quickly. In NASA, you may have an idea, but you do not have the ability to try and turn it into reality without the permission and acceptance of those above you, Congress, and the politics of the day.

      Private industry will ALWAYS be more nimble than government becuase it allows the individual to make the best choice given a set of circumstances. (and yes, eventually if a private business becomes like a government a competitor will rise up and eat their lunch, unless restrained by a government) Who better to make that choice than the person closest to the problem? Certainly some centralized government won't have the perspective of the person actually interacting with a problem. It may have the ability to see interactions between nodes that the individual may not see. That's where govt should play but only if the individual still has the option to ignore the government, even if the government is correct. People have the right to be wrong because they may really be right.

      * yes, yes, given proper resources and opportunity

    2. Re:How much cheaper? by FleaPlus · · Score: 4, Informative

      Really, how much cheaper can we expect a private company to do this?

      Much, much more cheaply. The private space startup SpaceX is targeting the ISS contracts with their Falcon 9, which has a price of $35-$78 million. In contrast, a launch on an equivalent Boeing or Lockheed rocket costs up to $230 million, and a space shuttle launch costs somewhere between $500 million and a billion.

      The key thing to remember is that a truly private company has a direct incentive to make things cost-effectively. For a government agency the incentive is quite indirect, and in the case of a typical cost-plus contractor (i.e. Boeing or Lockheed), they actually make more money if a project costs more.

      And, seeing as how all "NASA" hardware is built by private contactors, how much of a difference are we really going to see?

      Again, the big difference here is that they'll be using fixed-price contracts for deliveries, rather than using cost-plus contracts.

    3. Re:How much cheaper? by theMAGE · · Score: 1

      The key thing to remember is that a truly private company has a direct incentive to make things cost-effectively.

      Indeed, at the expense of the environment, customers and shareholders. I wonder what kind of corners would they cut to get this "cost effective" launch.

      There should be a clause in the contract saying that the CEO and CFO should be part of the crew of each mission. That will give them a good incentive to make things reliable-effectively.

    4. Re:How much cheaper? by khallow · · Score: 1

      You just answered the question. There's no incentive in NASA (and in its usual contracts) to reduce costs (in fact there often are incentives to consume all available funds) while there is a strong one for a private company. There's no mystery here.

    5. Re:How much cheaper? by khallow · · Score: 1
      Indeed, at the expense of the environment, customers and shareholders. I wonder what kind of corners would they cut to get this "cost effective" launch.

      Well, we already know from looking at current launches of the Space Shuttle and various space probes. The answer is that you need to supervise and monitor this stuff otherwise you will have problems. NASA actually has the problem that they're overzealous about it. Ie, they supervise too much and make the safety and cost of the missions less than optimal IMHO especially after an accident has occured.

      There should be a clause in the contract saying that the CEO and CFO should be part of the crew of each mission. That will give them a good incentive to make things reliable-effectively.

      This would make sense for the manned missions. But not for cargo flights which are also being contracted out.

    6. Re:How much cheaper? by maraist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The key thing to remember is that a truly private company has a direct incentive to make things cost-effectively.

      You miss the whole point.. In a truely private "industry".. There is competition for consumers.. Each corporation MUST minimize costs, as that's the only way to maximize profit (technology, timing, etc help but are less reliabile). But the eact opposite is true of ANY government contract job. That "industry" works by a completely differnet set of rules. Yes there is competition, but only for the initial bid.. After that, there is a trick called "cost ovrerruns". The government will pay ALL over-runs, because they're in it too deep.. They can't afford to back out and switch to a competator.

      Imagine being a software programing and KNOWING that your boss can't fire you, but pays you by the hour.. How long is that bug going to take to fix?

      The incentives are completely out of wack. The gov-contract-industry is supposed to correctly estimate how cheaply they can do something.. Then their goal is to ahead-of-time estimate every innacurancy in the government-contract plan.. Each gov-err in their specification will require a renegotiation of the price, and almost always at a hansome profit for the contractor.. So the contractor that can find the most flaws in the specification knows they can reduce their estimatd bid the most, and ultimately turn the highest profit.

      Then, when the contract is being fullfilled, the company has trade-offs.. Money-based trade-offs.. At any given point, they can choose to do something money-efficiently or not.. The determining factor is whether the gov will pick up the tab for the extra cost or not. And if the contractor can get the service done for cheaper than they know the government can track, all the better.

      The end result is that the project will DEFINITELY cost more than anoter space shuttle mission the 1'st couple times; look at all the libability coverage; they can't just go out there with untested stuff. (NASA could, but a private firm couldn't).

      In the long run, space industry has to be purely based on a high-volume consumer demanded, competatively offered industry.. Otherwise, somebody is getting the shaft.

      --
      -Michael
    7. Re:How much cheaper? by georgewilliamherbert · · Score: 1

      I think you're entirely missing the point of the COTS program; NASA is putting some seed money in, but then expects to competitively purchase cargo and possibly crew transfer mission services to ISS from the companies who succeed with their demonstrators.

      The ISS cargo mission is enough to create a moderate and sufficient commercial market for cargo launch and delivery services. The crew mission (3 people every 4-6 months) is on the low end of supporting a sufficient commercial market for commercial manned spaceflight. However, there are other customer bases for that service (space tourists in general, Bigelow's station in particular). So hopefully capability developed for that mission will be sellable to commercial markets as well as the government ISS mission consumer.

      Ideally, NASA would be a big enough "anchor customer" that it supported the markets entirely itself, and would be fostering a competitive market for providing service. As it is, they are attempting to foster a competitive market. At the announcement briefing at JSC, the NASA presenters were talking like they wantes this to be effectively a venture capital pool for a directed industry, though it will be phrased as development/demonstrator milestone contracts. Never heard that before out of NASA management. The market is sufficiently big for the cargo missions, and the combination of known government manned mission market plus hoped for commercial / tourist manned mission market are probably big enough as well.

  9. Where's Russia, China, India, et al in all this? by PurifyYourMind · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I remember hearing something about Russia not being able to afford to help out the ISS project anymore, but what about China, India, France? These are hardly backwater nations... why aren't they helping more? Is it a contractual thing?

  10. Progress. by Hao+Wu · · Score: 1
    Ships that sailed without a flag were once pirates.

    Today, a nation needs them to function on the seas and in space.

    --
    I suggest you read Slashdot
    1. Re:Progress. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You must not have heard of the term 'privateer'. Google it up.

    2. Re:Progress. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ships? Flags? Or pirates?

  11. do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by way2trivial · · Score: 2, Insightful

    with base camps...

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    1. Re:do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by toddbu · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sure, but do you need a multi-billion dollar "tent" set up years in advance to put everything into? After all, during the debate on which mode to use to get to the Moon, an orbital station was never considered. The closest mode would probably have been EOR, which allowed for on-orbit assembly of components before departure for Earth's orbit. I'm not sure that I see how having a manned orbital outpost would make things any easier. To use your own analogy, base camps are set up while on-route to the top of the mountain. You don't set them up years in advance. You set them up as you go. (In partial defense of your argument, polar explorations often set up depots in advance of travel. This is necessary, however, because of the short windows of opportunity for travel.)

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    2. Re:do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by NoMoreNicksLeft · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You do if you plan on making the trip routinely. If a person goes up the moutain once a decade, put up a tent. However, if 25 ascend per week, maybe something a bit more permanent is in order...

    3. Re:do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by mnmn · · Score: 1

      A space base camp does much more than sleep and feed the mountaineers. Its the whole science of figuring out what space does to all things before all future projects, not just the Mars project, is carried out.

      The Mars project will take years. It will take months to get people there. Imagine a problem with the spacecraft a year after launch, killing everyone on board near Mars just because of a problem we didnt know about. We wouldnt even know what the problem was at that point, and will be bound to repeat it.

      Better have all projects fail close by so we can refine space technologies. After all, the two space shuttle disasters happened close enough for us to learn alot from it.

      --
      "Give orange me give eat orange me eat orange give me eat orange give me you." -Nim Chimpsky
    4. Re:do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by sbaker · · Score: 1

      The issue is that of the tradeoff between the cost of launching a base camp and the cost of maintaining it.

      The cost of putting a simple air-filled cylinder into orbit - with enough consumables to keep a handful of people alive for a week or two is MUCH smaller than the cost of getting the ISS up there. But the trouble with simple approach that is that every time you need a base station, you have to launch a new one. So over N missions that need such a base station, you pay N x LaunchCost.

      However, with the ISS, having launched it, you have to maintain it. The original plan for ISS was that it would pay for it's maintenance with science results - but because the crew have to spend 100% of their time maintaining the place - zero science ever comes out of it. So we are paying solely for maintenance. That wouldn't be so bad if we had a heck of a lot of missions using it as a stepping stone to wherever - but we aren't. We have not had a single mission actually use the ISS - and we're unlikely to have one for another 10 years.

      Even after 10 years, we'll probably only fly new missions that rely on a base camp every 5 years or so (and that's pretty darned optimistic).

      So we're paying decades worth of maintenance for just one or two uses (or maybe none at all).

      The cost of repeatedly launching cheap, disposable stations (such as SkyLab) is much less.

      NASA had all the right technologies in their hands with the Saturn V. It could launch moon missions, short-lived space stations, it was capable of reaching the Lagrange points - the works. The shuttle on the other hand can't even reach synchronous orbit where the big money is at for commercial satellite recovery and repairs! It's orbital payload is pathetic in comparison to the Saturn V and it's cost per mission is more - despite it's much vaunted reusablility!

      If the ISS and Shuttle debacles have taught us anything, it's that disposable spacecraft and disposable space stations are the way to go. IMHO, we knew that just a few years into shuttle operations. The ISS taught us nothing.

      De-orbit the sucker ASAP.

      --
      www.sjbaker.org
    5. Re:do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by toddbu · · Score: 1
      After all, the two space shuttle disasters happened close enough for us to learn alot from it.

      You mean like strapping an orbiter to the side of a booster is a really bad idea? Other than that, I can't think of a single major thing that we've learned by flying the shuttle. Virtually every technology that the shuttle represents (with the exception of the heat tiles) had been flown in some configuration before. In fact, the shuttle was sold to the public as a cheap means to space, not as a technology demonstrator.

      Every time I hear someone say "we've learned a lot", it doesn't carry much weight. I'd like to see specifics. The problem is that we all believe the crap coming out of NASA about how much more we know today than we did 30 years ago when the shuttle was in development. I agree that we do have additional expertise, but at an exceptionally high cost. Most of this is due to the fact that we don't have a real mission for any of our current hardware. The shuttle was designed and built for "easy access to space", yet many government agencies have reverted back to traditional boosters because the shuttle is unreliable. The ISS was supposed to be a commercial space outpost where businesses were going to conduct research, yet supply problems have plagued the entire system.

      I just don't understand why you don't expect more for your dollar. The reason that NASA is in such pitiful shape (except for JPL) is that we have such low expectations.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
    6. Re:do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Sure, but do you need a multi-billion dollar "tent" set up years in advance to put everything into?
      Where else are you supposed to test the equipment you'll need for a years long mars mission or moonbase occupation?
      After all, during the debate on which mode to use to get to the Moon, an orbital station was never considered.
      Apples and oranges. A brief flags and footprints stunt has very little in common with serious exploration work.
    7. Re:do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by Firethorn · · Score: 1

      Agree 100% on the shuttle, and the ISS might be salvagable, if we were to either accept a loss of safety or get off our buts and build a proper escape vehicle to allow enough people up there to do the maintenance and get some research done.

      My idea is to have a permanent space station built on the tinker toy model. Individual modules might not be permanent, but you launch new modules as needed, then assemble into the station. Number 1 priority would be research into reusability and recycling. Modules would be designed to be strippable to be re-purposed.

      I'd look into having a solar furnace/forge to change materials into something usefull, if only as extra shielding.

      The idea is that it costs enough to get stuff up there, so we're leaving it there unless we have a need to bring it back, such as people or experiments needing examination back on earth.

      Hydroponics should be easy, you have the solar, and the traditional fertilizer is going to be produced.

      --
      I don't read AC A human right
    8. Re:do you know how to climb a really big mountain? by bitbiter · · Score: 1

      You need to do some reading...the ISS won't work for a base camp. During the design section, It was desided to use an obit position that would let both the US and Russia launch sites access it. That put it in an obit that made it useless for launching anything to the moon or beyound. Thus I believe why noone really wants to pay for it now.

      --
      "They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety." -- Ben
  12. Incredible opportunity... by Cherita+Chen · · Score: 2, Interesting
    This is an incredible opportunity for the aerospace industry as a whole, spurning competition, new jobs, etc... There is some really good info on the subject, and its impact on the economy and space program (USA).

    http://www.angelfire.com/pa/sergeman/issues/techno logy/space.html

    Manned space flight has all but died, perhaps this will spark a new era - The one we geeks have been waiting for...

    --
    I'm not fat, just big boned...
    1. Re:Incredible opportunity... by BewireNomali · · Score: 1

      ... sometimes I doubt your commitment to Sparkle Motion!!!!!

      Seriously, back on topic: I'm ambivalent about manned space flight. Developing to accommodate man in space is a serious engineering hindrance, not to mention that there are serious medical issues that we've yet to address about man's ability to survive after prolonged space exposure. Then there are payload issues - too much weight for life support et al that we haven't been able to optimize yet. If you're talking manned space flight - it's really like 1969 all over again - we haven't developed much since then, other than to put a couple of exercise bikes in space and some MREs.

      In other words, manned space travel have been poorly actualized. Whereas probe space exploration can move quickly and without new research, we have the tech, we have the means... and it can only get cheaper as soon as we can start mass producing them things and firing them off.

      I guess I'm in favor of a dual-headed dragon approach. Full speed ahead on the probes - which only an entity like NASA could fund... and do research and develop manned flights. But both have to be done concurrently... not this one at the expense of the other bullshit we do now.

      Launching satellites and junk can totally be privatized and it should be. It's just ferrying now; it's not like you've got to reinvent the wheel or anything.

      Donnie Darko is the shit.

      --
      un burrito me trampeó.
  13. Yet another step.... by aussie_a · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This is just another step in NASA's eventual demise that I spoke about earlier.

    With NASA not even putting people in space, instead paying others to, it will be yet another step in furthering NASA away from... well anything involving space. After all, once a company does this, eventually people will begin to ask "what is NASA needed for? Can't we just have this company do it? We'll be able to save money if we cut out the NASA overhead and replace it with a smaller group."

    Thank god this will be help in furthering private space-flight. If NASA has to be destroyed, at least they're doing it in a way that will give a boost to the private space industry.

    1. Re:Yet another step.... by Cherita+Chen · · Score: 2, Informative

      Don't count on NASA going anywhere anytime soon. Shifting strategy, and scientific objectives, yes - but "an eventual demise", no. Though it is not widely advertised, NASA is embedded deeply in the defense research industry. This is a vital conduit for government contracts and congressional funding - all of this is outside the media-spun "Manned Missions" hype. Remeber, the DOD relies heavily on NASA for direction, new technology, etc...

      --
      I'm not fat, just big boned...
    2. Re:Yet another step.... by Planesdragon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      eventually people will begin to ask "what is NASA needed for? Can't we just have this company do it?

      When folk ask that, the answer will be "research and exploration, like they've always been good at."

    3. Re:Yet another step.... by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      With NASA not even putting people in space, instead paying others to, it will be yet another step in furthering NASA away from... well anything involving space.

      NASA's mission is "to understand and protect our home planet; to explore the Universe and search for life; and to inspire the next generation of explorers."

      As far as I can tell, transporting cargo and people to a space depot isn't part of NASA's mission. If they can pay a private company to take care of logistics so that they can focus on research and exploration, more power to them.

    4. Re:Yet another step.... by Andy+Gardner · · Score: 1
      The point is though if the smaller, private company can put people into LEO and do the engineering more efficiently, than whats the point of NASA being involved in the engineering at all? Why not just devolve/evolve NASA into a pure theoretical research outfit and let a private company handle the engineering/exploring.

      The problem then becomes there isnt really any money in space exploration. Your private company contracted by NASA is essentialy government funded. In 40 years your back where you started, but with two NASA's...

    5. Re:Yet another step.... by Halfbaked+Plan · · Score: 1

      Plus, NASA is packed full with unionized Civil Service deadwood.

      Yer not gonna just wave your hands and clear that mess up overnight.

      --
      resigned
    6. Re:Yet another step.... by deepthought90 · · Score: 1

      "With NASA not even putting people in space ... what is NASA needed for?" Well, what happened to the first "A" in NASA, aeronautics. Space has consumed the lion's share of NASA's budget to the point where very little aeronautics is being done anymore. Having worked with Dryden and Langley over the past several years (I work in an Air Force agency), aeronautics at NASA is a shell of what it used to be. Funny thing is, there is probably as much to be gained from the aeronautics research as the space research. I wonder what the score would be if we took the ratio of scientific merit and money spent for aeronautics and space at NASA. As pathetic as the aeronautics side is, I bet its score would blow space's score away. What I would like to see is aeronautics and space be split into two separate agencies so that aeronautics doesn't have to fight for funding. Let's go back to the days of NACA.

    7. Re:Yet another step.... by dustinbarbour · · Score: 1

      Is it commercially viable to go to Mars? How about smash a big block of steel and copper into a comet? What about sending probes to the furthest reaches of space? You think a small private company such as SpaceX is going to get men on Mars just for the science of it? Doubtful. Thus, we need NASA to perform the large and risky missions. So, IMO, NASA isn't going anywhere. Just outsourcing the simple stuff... much like private corporations do now.

    8. Re:Yet another step.... by aussie_a · · Score: 1

      Is it commercially viable to go to Mars?

      I doubt NASA will get there anyway. But I hope to be wrong.

    9. Re:Yet another step.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The point is though if the smaller, private company can put people into LEO and do the engineering more efficiently, than whats the point of NASA being involved in the engineering at all?

      Because there's more to space the LEO? NASA's position should be on the frontier, moving with it and doing the things that the private sector CANNOT do. If (and this is still a significant "if") several companies (note the plural) can do LEO sufficiently, then NASA should move their focus to intraplantary space and interplanetary missions.

  14. SAFETY is the key issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The problem with privatization in space flight is the same concern with airlines. You'll have more flights at cheapers costs, but the ride will not be comfortable unless you pay the same old fair you always have. And if you knew how many times you BARELY touched down in one piece, you would NOT want to fly.

    In the case of space flight, this means getting the commercial industry "off the ground" which is great. But if the industy moves more quickly too early on and there are too many accidents before the industry gets established, it may not ultimately move the industry much faster into a mainstream option of travel than it is moving now. 6 one way, half a dozen the next...

    1. Re:SAFETY is the key issue by toddbu · · Score: 1
      The problem with privatization in space flight is the same concern with airlines.

      Are you trying to say that flying is dangerous, or that commercial airlines are reckless? Depending on how you read the statistics, flying has roughly the same rate of passenger death as riding on a train. If we could get people and cargo into space with the same fatility rate as riding on a train, I think most people would be thrilled.

      --
      If you don't want crime to pay, let the government run it.
  15. Government outsourcing saves money ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I can understand this working if the task was already being done somewhere else by someone else.

    But NASA have the track record, and any privateer will have a really steep (and costly) learning curve to master. Of course they could take existing management skills from NASA and .. oh - that's not good :-(

    I guess that leaves the Russians and the French.

  16. Outsourcing Core Competencies a Poor Idea by dgallina · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But why would NASA outsource the very skills they'll eventually need for future Moon, Mars, and beyond missions? They'd win the immediate budget battle but loose the war.

    1. Re:Outsourcing Core Competencies a Poor Idea by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      But why would NASA outsource the very skills they'll eventually need for future Moon, Mars, and beyond missions? They'd win the immediate budget battle but loose the war.

      Sort of like how NASA lost the ability to take advantage of airflight when private companies took over air transportation of people and cargo?

    2. Re:Outsourcing Core Competencies a Poor Idea by quarkscat · · Score: 1

      Any nation voluntarily losing core competencies isn't just a poor idea, it is a sign of its' eventual demise.

      Imagine a nation that reliquishes its ability to feed its' own people, or of a country that gives up on its' core industries (aluminum, steel, chemicals, electronics, or manufacturing) just because it can been done more cheaply elsewhere. Or a nation that hires contractors/mercenaries to protect their borders or to fight their wars.

      International commercial ties and economic alliances have a historically 100% chance of changing, frequently for the worse, for one or more of the parties concerned. Trade wars and/or hot wars sometimes takes decades to evolve and may reach a tipping point well before a government becomes aware of the situation.

      The Roman Empire failed through government corruption, a loss of its national identity, and reliance upon foreign mercenaries to protect itself. The USA's economic embargo of Imperial Japan had predictable but ignored results that led to the attack on Pearl Harbor.

      Just because a task can be, in the short term, done more cheaply by another country or by private enterprise, does not mean that there are not forseeable potential negative consequences for following that path. Does anyone out there really think that an Airbus or Boeing or Halliburton as a private corporation would not, at some point, have views/policies/goals that might be in direct contradiction to the wishes of their client government?

  17. The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 by Baldrson · · Score: 3, Interesting
    I was initially as cynical about Michael Griffin as I was about Dan Goldin when he took the helm with grand plans to "reform" NASA. This is sounding like a new NASA and it indeed may be in the offing in response to the public pressure generated by the Shuttle failures combined with the popularity of the Ansar X-Prize. Seminal figures in the technological advances that lead to basic advances in transportation technology were conducted by private individuals competing for privately funded prize awards. These included the Wright Brothers, Henry Ford and Charles Lindbergh.

    This sort of incentives-based policy is in the tradition of American values. It should be no surprise that such values are being eroded as the 'nation of immigrants' changes from pioneering independence to bureaucratic dependence. The use of a socialist bureaucracy to explore space is a fundamentally different experiment that other proven American approaches to expanding the resource base available to humanity.

    In 1989 I was working on grassroots legislation to reform NASA's launch services policies. This led to the passage of P. L. 101-611, The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 which required NASA to procure launch services from private vendors whenever possible. This is common sense if proper boundaries between public and private functions are to be maintained. As radical as this may sound to many who see NASA as a space transportation company, it was, in fact, Presidential policy at the time and the legislation was therefore, in fact, redundant, but bureaucratic inertia demanded separate acts by the Legislative branch to reinforce the Executive's own command structure. This legislative effort started out as an attempt to passsomething along the lines of the Kelly Act of 1925 (which formed the basis for Jerry Pournelle's recommendations first put forth by his Citizen's Advisory Council for Space Policyin 1980), but compromised when it became clear that resistance from NASA, and its contractors, to citizen involvement in space policy was so intense that serious reform would be impractical. My testimony before Congress legislative follow-up to P.L. 101-611 made recommendations for a focus onincentives for commercial investment, rather than plans or "programs". An example of incentives-based legislation, applied to fusion energy policy, was recommended for passage by Bussard, R. W., one of the founders of the US fusion program in a letter confessing some of the subterfuge to which technical leaders resorted. It is still quite relevant today given the reliance on Middle Eastern oil and problems with fission energy. The point here is that incentives are more effective in general than governmental programs.

    The first settlers in America experienced enormous causalities their first years they were in America. Entire colonies were lost. The original colonies included a substantial variety of fundamentally differing approaches to settling North America. America's frontier wasn't built by a centrally controlled bureaucracy -- and there is no reason to expect such a bureaucracy will take Americans to their next frontier.

    Space policy is a touchstone of American values since Americans are spiritually a pioneering culture. Let's not forget who settled the frontier, how those "immigrants" differed from later immigrants, and what sort of "program" they had to settle the new frontier.

    If Michael Griffin is for real about this he may just reawaken the very pioneering character of Americans. We must hope he is not just sincere but will be successful doing so.

    1. Re:The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Racist

    2. Re:The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have you heard about all these other countries on Earth? You really need to get out more.

    3. Re:The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 by mnmn · · Score: 1, Troll

      "The first settlers in America experienced enormous causalities their first years they were in America. Entire colonies were lost."

      How do you know that?

      "The original colonies included a substantial variety of fundamentally differing approaches to settling North America."

      Thats not true. All the original nations respected a tribal lifestyle and had great respect for nature. There were several waves of settlement, the last three being the arrival of the Inuit (I bet you dont know what that is, its ESKIMO), the Viking visits and the Europeans (white settlers). It was the last group of settlers who had fundamentally differing approaches to settling North America.

      "Let's not forget who settled the frontier, how those "immigrants" differed from later immigrants, and what sort of "program" they had to settle the new frontier."

      Indeed. Let us NOT forget.

      --
      "Give orange me give eat orange me eat orange give me eat orange give me you." -Nim Chimpsky
    4. Re:The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 by JabberWokky · · Score: 1
      Thats not true. All the original nations respected a tribal lifestyle and had great respect for nature.

      You mean engaging in land wars for water sources and wiping out species though overhunting? Running buffalo off cliffs, camping in the gore and gorging until the rotting corpses drove them off?

      All this happened *before* the Europeans arrived. There has been a glamorization of the 'Noble Savage', but keep in mind that these were people who collected parts of their enemies' bodies. Europeans also did some pretty terrible things, from the Inquisition to the Crusades, but the people inhabiting North America before the Europeans got there were happily engaging in their own warfare, atrocities and ecologically unsound practices.

      People are people -- we're all the same species, and all capable of the same acts. Civilization has had great moments of peace and development (the Roman Republic in Europe and Asia Minor, the Five Nations in North America), but even during these moments, there has never been a society that was free of nasty, brutish events. We like to picture the past as romantic, but that is a false view, blind patriotism to a culture already gone.

      --
      Evan

      --
      "$30 for the One True Ring. $10 each additional ring!" -- JRR "Bob" Tolkien
    5. Re:The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 by Halfbaked+Plan · · Score: 1

      You neglected to mention that the fossil record shows that there were horses in North America before the 'noble savages' arrived over a land bridge. Said 'noble savages' killed and devoured said horses, driving them to extinction, without ever figuring out how to ride them or use them as draft animals. It took the Europeans hauling over horses before the 'noble savages' ever adopted horses for riding.

      --
      resigned
    6. Re:The Launch Services Purchase Act of 1990 by khallow · · Score: 1

      What of them? It isn't NASA's job to help those countries get in space. We have here a US-centric government organization. So it makes sense to look at US centric approaches for this organization to actually perform its role.

  18. Unfounded Rumor Mill by kgfowler · · Score: 4, Funny



    I didn't realise that the Halliburton Space Agency (HSA) was that far along in development.

    kgf

  19. NASA put more people in space this year than any1 by ThreeE · · Score: 0

    NASA isn't putting people in space? NASA had one flight and put more people in space than any other entity. Check your facts.

  20. How is this going to create money? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "One has to wonder how much money can be saved by NASA that can be put to use elsewhere, such as trying to figure out how to put together a manned mission to Mars, if they no longer have to dish out the tremendous amount of money that getting astronauts and cargo to the ISS requires."

    Why? What's going to happen to this money? Is it going to be cheaper for a private company to do it than NASA? Are these private companies going to do it without profit? Are they going to do it for free?

    I'm not knocking the idea OR private industry at all. I think private industry space travel is a good thing. But I don't understand how *paying someone else* to do the same thing is somehow going to *save money* that could be diverted somewhere else. There's a law of conservation of money at work here. It it costs person A a total of X dollars to do some activity, the cost isn't going to magically drop just because it's now person B doing it. All the planning, research, development, payroll, etc. will be rolled into the bill NASA receives.

    In the long run, competition might drive price down... sure, I'll concede that. But the "industry" is nowhere near that level of competition, and I seriously doubt it will be anytime soon.

  21. What if the chinese put up their hand... by Traf-O-Data-Hater · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ...and offered to fly their new taikonauts to the ISS?
    I bet NASA woould suddenly receive all the funding it needed, ASAP, and no questions asked!

  22. Not necessarily a savings. by Irvu · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Despite what people claim "privatizing" something does not necessarily entail a cost-savings. I'm not saying that it won't here but people (on /. and elsewhere) have a tendency to assume that private companies are necessarily cheaper/faster/better than a public function. This is the mantra of both Republicans and Libertarians (as well as many Democrats).

    Consider the costs of privatized schools, privatized prisons, privatized utility companies (California anyone?) etc. In many cases of privatization the promised cost savings never appear but people still press ahead as if it will necessarily come.

    NASA already contracts out much of their work. In a sense contracting for the whole shuttle rather than each part is not an illogical step. I just hope (for the sake of NASA and my tax dollars) that they privatize the flights if and only if real savings emerge not the expectation of savings.

    1. Re:Not necessarily a savings. by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      True, what I see priavte comapnies do well is maximise profits. In the case of privatised industries, then you have a watchdog who forces a cut in prices once profits go too high. But the way this profit is achieved is normally to find a cheaper way to supply the contracted service.
      Whether that is through better management, less beurocracy, new technology or just plain cutting corners, the shareholders don't care. But this is still a good thing for the space industry, let them get the underlying cost down and start making a profit from space - then either a force in the charged tarifs can be forced, or some competition might spring up.

      Also getting the cost out would tend to remove a lot of the politics too...

      mmmm Sunday morning rants...

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    2. Re:Not necessarily a savings. by Irvu · · Score: 1

      I would say most of that is "in theory". Private companies are good at maximizing profits but that does not mean that they actually do so by simply "doing things cheaper", especially not through any less burucracy. Nor is that necessarily a good thing. When California chose to privatize their power they suddenly found themselves being given the choise of paying more, or having none. No cost saving appeared and the way that Enron and others maximized profits was actually to delay use of new technology and force the state into a blackmail situation. By having older technology they put themselves into a place where the state was forced to shill for upgrades and lose power in the process. In some cases they caused deliberate shutdowns so as to make power more 'scarce' and thus increase the price.

      With respect to "watchdogs" In the free-market view such watchdogs don't exist. Are you calling for government price regulation, or are you invoking Adam Smith's fictitous hand? In the case of the former I agree with such regulation, the problem is that people with money (those in favor of privatization) tend to purchase politicians who can weaken such regulations. Just look at the end runs that have been done around the FDA with Aspertame, or the FCC with Clear Channel.

      With respect to the "invisible hand" that only works in an ideal marketplace where everyone has the same access to everything and, no less-than-savory methods of biasing the market exist. In such markets, even the ideal ones, monopolies tend to form thus eliminating any "watchdog" position the market might take.

      With respect to cost-cutting there is a difference between finding a "better" way to do something in the idealistic sense (some magical improvement exists that has yet to be tried) and finding a "cheaper" way to do it. The former is hard and typically requires truly inovative people and, just as often, long-term investment. Neither one tends to be supported or sustained in the marketplace economy.

      The latter is what ends to be favored "cutting corners" or using cheaper products, processes etc which can maximize profit for the company but lead to a worse product/service for the end user. To go back to utilities consider the case of California, or other areas around the world where utilities have been privatized. The goal of a company is to make money doing the minimum amount. The goal of the end user of the infrastructure is to have it available, period. Cheaper power plants that break down more often or less-reliable water supplied cause other costs that make everyone worse off.

      Politics will always be there, in fact, if there is money to be made I believe that it will be more prevalent not less. When there is money to be made then people will fight over it, and when there are decisions to be made that affect people (upgrade the wiring in the poor neighborhood? Cut costs by offshoring many of the support staff? Ban publuic wireless networks because they threaten private carriers?) then politics will always, always be there. Just look at Enron, they got where they were because of politics and played politics significantly (backing both bush and Arnold) to keep it.

      In my opinion, there are cases where you don't want the profit motive to be involved at all because it places the end goal at risk. In such cases extra cost is preferable to failure or other problems.

      There's an old Army joke that gets retold constantly: "Always remember, your rifle was made by the lowert bidder."

  23. The best part... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, the best part is, if you want to take a trip to Mars on the government's tab, you just need to buy Duke Cunningham a yacht to get the contract.

  24. Double threat with America's Space Prize by saifatlast · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't a company have even more to gain than just money from NASA by using similar technology to win America's Space Prize? Maybe someone can correct me here, but it seems like it would be feasible to complete the two missions with similar enough technology that the two applications might offset the cost.

    --
    note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't regist
  25. Re:Think of the Children!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is Ahhnold Schwarzenegga and you are totally wrohhhng. I'm a Republican and before I went to Sacramento to clean howwwwse i had my memory erased and I went to Maaas. When I was on Maaas there was these woman with these 3 breast and air cost moneyyyy. It was fantassticc. after we kill the girrrly men we need to go to Maas!!! that is why i am proud to be a paaht of the republican paahty

  26. Cheaper and safer by ishmaelflood · · Score: 1

    But if you were to plot journey cost vs safety, you'd find strong correlation, that is, flights are getting both cheaper AND safer. Of course, corrleation does not imply causation.

    1. Re:Cheaper and safer by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But if you were to plot journey cost vs safety, you'd find strong correlation, that is, flights are getting both cheaper AND safer. Of course, corrleation does not imply causation.

      It's a matter of flight rate. As more and more flights took place and it became a part of everyday life, people got a better understanding of how to make airplanes fly more cheaply and safely. The hope is that the same thing will happen with spaceflight.

  27. Businessweek article on SpaceX by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

    (Here's a copy of a comment I made the last time this story was posted.)

    SpaceX is one of the private launch firms mentioned in the article and considered by many alt.spacers as the foremost contender for the ISS commercial crew & cargo contracts. Businessweek just published a pretty informative article on them, The Final Frontier At Costco Prices. Here's some relevant quotes from the article:

    If SpaceX succeeds in lofting its rocket and an Air Force Academy research satellite into orbit, Musk will vindicate his vision and his investment. Financed almost entirely out of his own pocket, the company is the South Africa native's attempt to carve out a lucrative niche in the wildly expensive launch business. Musk believes that he can blast military and commercial satellites into space at Costco prices -- $6.7 million for a small payload and $38 million to $78 million for a heavyweight launch. By comparison, the Air Force's total cost for a Boeing or Lockheed Martin launch of a big payload comes to about $230 million, up from an inflation-adjusted $95 million in 1998. ...

    So far, satellite customers have rewarded Musk's optimism with $200 million in advance launch contracts. The company faces just two problems. While SpaceX, based in El Segundo, Calif., has fired off plenty of press releases, it has yet to get a rocket off the ground. Its first launch, already two years behind schedule, was scrubbed on Nov. 26 because of a balky computer and a liquid-oxygen leak from a valve inadvertently left open. The company expects to try again in mid-December. ...

        Such rock-bottom fees -- and a belief in the reliability of SpaceX's gear -- have attracted a range of clients, from an unidentified U.S. intelligence agency to the Malaysian government to Las Vegas-based Bigelow Aerospace. The startup is betting that companies will want to do research on the inflatable space stations it plans to put into orbit. ...

        Musk says he has overcome many technical hurdles by simplifying launch hardware. For example, SpaceX uses the same engine on all its stages instead of different units. Its electronics are on chips instead of circuit boards, which reduces wiring glitches. To slice costs, most SpaceX rocket stages are reusable instead of expendable. And SpaceX intends to save money by recovering sections from the ocean instead of rebuilding an entire rocket. Musk also brought a Silicon Valley business model to Southern California, forming a small, innovative, 150-employee company, a sharp contrast to the bureaucratic legions who toil on launches for Boeing and Lockheed Martin Corp. In an age of outsourcing, SpaceX makes its engines and boosters in-house to avoid high-priced suppliers such as Pratt & Whitney (UTX ), General Electric (GE ), and Rolls-Royce. If he used those manufacturers' components, Musk says, he would be trapped in "the high-cost culture of the space industry." ...

    For Musk, beating the big guys out of a share of the launch market is just the start. His ultimate goal is to turn everyone into a highflier by making launches so cheap, easy, and common that humans will become, in his words, "a space-faring, multiplanet species." Musk wants to colonize Mars as a backup planet because Earth is vulnerable to manmade and natural disasters. Beachfront property on the Red Planet? Maybe someday. But first, Musk has to get off the beach at Kwajalein and show the doubters that his rockets can soar as high as his rhetoric.

  28. NASA should focus on the mission by schwit1 · · Score: 2, Interesting
    1. NASA should get out of launch vehicle operations. It's become a commodity business.
    2. NASA should sell it's stake in the ISS. It's a toy and a money sinkhole.
    3. NASA needs to focus on space based research and exploration. Leave terrestrial flight research to the Air Force, DARPA and the private industry.
    4. NASA needs to focus on robotic planetary research, astronomy related projects and deep space vehicle research.

    BTW, a manned mission to the moon or Mars is the ISS on steroids sinkhole wise.

    1. Re:NASA should focus on the mission by Osmosis_Garett · · Score: 1

      Manned missions lead to colonization, which is the primary reason they are valuable. I don't want to diminish what has been accomplished with robotic explorers, but they are only prelude to the expansion of humanity beyond Earth. As great as our planet may seem, there are plenty of other planets out there and we're only a few generations away from them.

      We will not evolve as a species if we stay here.

    2. Re:NASA should focus on the mission by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      I agreee with all that you say, but can I add:
      5. NASA to go back to doing X projects to push vehicle technology (DC-X for example)
      6. NASA (or equivalent agency) should have some manned presence (for things like servicing hubble's replacement)

      If you want to talk about surviving catastrophy, at the moment we'd be better placed to forget about trying to do that in outer space and set up a few self sustained colonies here on earth to do that first (if there aren't places like that setup already).
      Once space technology is comparable to planes, then let's talk about setting up similar survival colonies off planet, but until then lets go into space for things we can get out of it now.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
  29. Well... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Based on what we know about government contractors today (Halliburton, Bechtel etc.) if anything, this is going to increase spending (http://multinationalmonitor.org/mm2004/04march/ma rch04corp3.html). On top of that, the money will probably be funneled into offshore accounts without due tax.

    NASA needs to practice some interpreneurship instead - motivating managers and engineers to choose cost effective solutions to problems instead of buying into the privatization scam which will do nothing to help the economy and everything to strengthen the position of a few megacorporations.

    /2eurocent

  30. DC-X (Re:Money still comes from NASA...) by bensch128 · · Score: 0

    I still can't understand why NASA killed that project.
    It was cheap, seemed effective (the demo flight was amazing to watch on the net) but they tore out the legs from underneth it while it was just starting up...

    Maybe NASA needs to be dumped for being stupid

  31. Re:Where's Russia, China, India, et al in all this by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

    Dunno, why are europe being slackers - sending a robot to do a Man's job???
    http://www.spacedaily.com/news/rlv-02g.html

    --
    "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
  32. Fallacy by perrin · · Score: 2, Insightful

    if they no longer have to dish out the tremendous amount of money that getting astronauts and cargo to the ISS requires.

    They will still pay the tremendous amount of money that getting astronauts and cargo to the ISS requires. The only difference is that the money will be going to a private company instead of doing it in-house. What did the OP expect - that the private sector will do something like this for free?

    Of course, it is possible that a private company can do it cheaper. However, since there are currently no private companies that can do this, it is equally possible that it will cause no end of scandals, court battles, disasters and bankruptcies that may force NASA to pick up unexpected bills. The good thing about doing things in-house is that a large number of variables can be trusted to be under control without the overhead of armies of lawyers, miles of contracts, thousands of accountants and unbelivably expensive insurance.

    I would like to see the insurance company that would insure a small space company against the possibility of astronatus being stranded in space, or a failure to deliver setting a space program like the ISS back so long that it would have to be scrapped. Who can even provide an objective cost of such losses?

  33. Saving Money - The Eternal Issue by Joska · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This may not be all bad but I don't advise any holding of breath. We have some insightful comments, yet judging by the scores, the moderators know nothing about economics or monetary policy. This is hardly surprising in view of the fact that it is not generally taught. The accepted belief system for most citizens is that money came from God or the Big Bang and as populations grow and society becomes more complex, we have to do more and more with a fixed amount of money, necessitating a sort of social, economic and environmental triage. What makes this silly model even sadder is the implicit assumption in all discussions of cost, that money once spent is simply gone. This is clearly contrary to everyday experience, yet we as a species simply don't often make these connections without serious study once a belief system is established and widely held. Sorry guys, but it is a fact that when the human resources, raw materials and infrasructure are available, then claims of a government being unable to afford something it purports to want or that the citizens want, is nothing more than Orwellian doublespeak meaning "We don't want to do that." The struggle to get by in a world of limited money helps keep people off the backs of the unelected real government that detests and fears democracy. Who has not noticed how infrequently the elected government does what was promised in the election campaign? Look into this or struggle, fight or pray for more money. When can we move on? The choice is up to us.

  34. A suggestion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The design of the ISS is fatally flawed inasmuch as no provision for artificial gravity such as a rotating crew work and sleeping area is provided. The old plans from the 1950's featuring a large rotating wheel at an altitude of about 20,000 miles are much more appropriate and would be much more valuable to us. Zero gravity research could be easily carried out in the central hub which could have a non rotating part. Rotation rate need not be very much to give an acceptable level of gravity in the ring to prevent the known debilitating effects of zero gravity. To reach such a thing and build it is within our grasp. Take a visit to
                                    www.nuclearspace.org
    and look at the article about the 'liberty ship'. It is a nuclear spacecraft. It is a true spacecraft in that it can go to space in a single stage, deliver a cargo of a thousand tons of goods or whatever in a shroud envelope of over thirty feet diameter; and return to earth without having to refuel and do so safely. It can do so at low enough speeds that air friction is not a huge factor. It does not require failure prone 'heat tiles'....no bathroom tile needs to be glued to it with school paste like the shuttle. It is heavily shielded with real metal and is very sturdy. It can land safely in a vertical position, ready to be refueled and take off again. Just like an aircraft! It uses pure hydrogen fuel accelerated by Nuclear Thermal engines of the NERVA design that we created in the sixties and never used. Those engines developed one million six hundred thousand pounds of thrust per engine. The designers of the liberty ship envision a take off weight of 5 million pounds, so propose using seven of the NERVA engines for redundance safety should one engine falter. The hydrogen exhaust would not be radioactive as there are no stable radioactive isotopes of hydrogen. One day a forward thinking American population will build this. It could easily haul up entire sections of a wheel shaped station to the desired altitude for space assembly. It is our design. Why don't we build it before someone else does. Anybody can read this website or think up a similar design even without the website. A mirror fusion device comes to mind, and it is a more recent invention but it produces a bit of radiation and may be more suitable to deep space exploration within our solar system. The Russians may even think to build it, especially in partnership with some moneyman like China. If they do it then think of it. The money you spent today on fashion tennis shoes for your kids at a hundred bucks a pop can and maybe just will pay for it. Quite a profit since those shoes probably cost less than fifty cents to make in a Chinese factory. Chinese won't have to bother with protestors or other luddites if it is built and launched in China. The Indians might even consider building it! They could also finance it on the profits of outsourced American jobs just like the Chinese. There is a different culture about the use of nuclear in all those countries as they have never been subjected to or countenanced foreign fear mongerers among them like we tolerated in the 1960's. They celebrate the developement of nuclear facilities, especially in India and Pakistan. Those energy poor countries know to the poorest citizen that nuclear power means a better life for them and more respect for their countries. So does Iran.
        So why don't we build it first?

  35. Enter UAC:-D by EMR · · Score: 1

    We all know and love that space corporation:-D

  36. Politics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


    How to get funding from a Republican government:

    A. a project needs 100 billion dollars

    B. privatize it and ask for 200 billion

    C. Politicians laud the efficiencies of privatization
            and pass it with praise for NASAs new initiative.

    Yes, NASA has been floundering but I guess the nice thing about privatization is that it takes some of the uncertainty out of life. You _know_ it will cost more.

  37. Have to differ here by WindBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The ISS is proably going to die uncompleted.

    For several reasons, it will not die. Since it is already jointly owned, it can not be re-tasked. That is, we can not take it apart and use the parts for another station (Bigelow's).

    More important, Europe, Japan, and Canada all own parts of it. Assume that USA and/or Russia make it to the Moon. It will be years before we set up a perm staffed base. Until then, we will need a base to keep testing equipment. But assume that we establish a base in 2010 or we decide to go to Bigelow's. So we abandon the ISS. The other countries will continue on with it. Why? For the simple reason that they need to test their equipment. Nobody wants to go to the moon and part way there, find out that they are losing O2.

    I suspect that in about 3 years, China will send up a mission that will dock with the ISS. They will then join the team as well.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  38. The Immediate Budget Battle: by Tavor · · Score: 1

    All this is, is a chance to get NASA back up and functional. You see, Katrina hit Nasa while it was down, destroying the infrastructre to support the Space Center/Fuel Tank/Repair Facility in NOLA. Just as they were working on fixing the Shuttle Foam problem. So, what can Nasa do: Support the Shuttle, flogging the dead horse mercilessly, to support the ISS at great cost? Or offload the mission to Private Industry, and give NASA a chance to invest in the Crew Exploration Vechile? I think the choice is easy, but the problem is I'm not sure that the CEV design is the way to go.

    --
    Windows has detected an undetectable error.
  39. ISS Misconceptions by amightywind · · Score: 1, Insightful

    You don't deserve to be upmodded for this post. You should be flogged.

    We've gained a lot of knowledge, albeit, not quite the knowledge intended to gain, gained nonetheless.

    We have learned to construct a sizeable structure in space using equipment that will not exist in 5 years. ISS is the most criminal waste of money in the name of science of all time.

    The iss is a platform for developing and testing long duration mission technology. The goal is to reach the point where the technology for a mars mission exists (it doesn't today), and has been tested in the harsh environment of space

    The occupants aboard ISS aren't testing anything. They are marooned campers trying desperately to keep alive between resupply flights. The Russians shouldn't be involved at all considering their negative progress in democracy, human rights, and nuclear proliferation.

    The iss itself is not an initial experiment in low orbit long duration, Mir already showed us that can be done, it carried on in that role for 15 years. ISS is a platform for hosting more advanced experiments and development.

    Mir was a veritable carnival of danger - spacecraft collisions, explosive decompression, deadly fires. It taught the US never participate again in Russian lead ventures.

    The ISS is proably going to die uncompleted. The biggest lesson learned for most of the partners, dont depend on the usa when large expenditure projects are involved, projects that extend beyond the 4 year election cycle hence they become suceptible to the short term political cycles of the usa.

    Blame it on the USA. Perhaps it is going to die because our partners (besides the Russians) don't have manned space programs at all. The program has survived 25 years, 4 presidents, and $100G in funding. Seems to me that is consistent enough. The US deorbit its modules and walk for the program. That would leave a Russian module and the Canada arm remaining.

    But, the bottom line, if the program is not capable of managing completion of the ISS, then there's no way it's going to produce a manned mission to mars that operates without resupply for the timeframes involved.

    The assembly of ISS was very well managed by NASA. It is gone perfectly. The problem is they must use the most dangerous manned space vehicle ever launched.

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
  40. Trifecta! by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1
    First post, calling a dupe, rated redundant.

    Love those mods!

    I'll have whatever they're smoking.

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  41. boondoggle begets contracted extortion by swschrad · · Score: 1

    well, let's see here now... NASA learns everything it knows by putting up space flights. now they want to outsource it but keep paying for it. so NASA gets dumber and dumber and loses its ability to do anything except write checks.

    sounds like a job for Halliburton!

    prove me wrong.

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
    1. Re:boondoggle begets contracted extortion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Pizza delivery guys only deliver pizza by driving around, yet they outsourced vehicle production and are still pretty successful.

  42. Re:Trifecta! (moderation) by hackwrench · · Score: 1

    The system is so broken that I've started meta-modding all moderations unfair, as they can only be that in this unfair system. You can do it too!

  43. And why not make use of Russian capabilities? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As the title says. Why waste time & money when the Russians have all that is needed *NOW*, can get stuff up there ASAP and, more importantly, *cheaply*?

    Or are there some stupid geo-political inspired, usually short-sighted reason not to? /ac

  44. Hate to be the one to tell you this... by Chmcginn · · Score: 1

    but the USA is, primarily, descended from Europeans. When talking about the USA, as a country, you can pretty much assume that people aren't talking about the natives that lived here before the 16th century.

    --
    Have you been touched by his noodly appendage?
  45. Privatization = saved money?! Don't make me laugh! by intnsred · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm amazed that no one has bothered to note the inherent biased assumption that privatization will save money.

    There are tons of examples that suggest that privatization, far from being the be-all/end-all cure to gov't bureaucracy, results in even shoddier service and actually costs more in the end.

    One can pick out tons of examples: States that have privatized the investigation of welfare fraud find that it costs more. Privatized prisons not only cost dearly, but result in barbaric treatment for the inmates (not that state-run prisons are any prize!).

    The US military has privatized many combat tasks to private mercenary corporations -- but does anyone think that privately hiring now-ex Green Berets and Rangers and paying them hundreds of dollars per day as mercenaries is really cheaper and more effective than paying them $30K/year as members of the US Army?! The Army is having to pay out huge bonuses to elite troops just to keep them from leaving the service to go work for the private mercenary corporations -- taxpayers pay to train them, then we pay through the nose because of privatization. Halliburton and mercenary corporation stockholders may benefit by military privatization, but the taxpayers certainly do not!

    We can also have ample evidence that privatization doesn't work in health care. The US has the world's most expensive health care, yet Canadians live 4+ years longer and the cheaper Canadian system outperforms the US privatized health care system in almost every measure. (Standard disclaimers: The US system performs great -- expensive, but great -- if you're rich and/or have good insurance, and the Canadian system is far from perfect; but on a national scale there is no comparison -- Canada's public system is cheaper and far more effective than the US private system.)

    I think there are very, very few people that will claim that Bush's privatization of FEMA resulted in an effective Hurricane Katrina response.

    Privatization may be effective in some rare instances, but it is far, far from the cost-saving, effectiveness-creating cure-all that the article's lead-in portrays it to be.

  46. Who other than Boeing & Co. can play in this s by cprice · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I seriously doubt that Scaled Composites or other 'up and commers' will have any serious shot at any dollars from this. I think we'll see more of the typical Big Business orientation that the US gov't tends to align itself with.

  47. Quality? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    If NASA can't afford it, they can pay someone else without a lot of experience in this field to do it cheaper? Of course...
    Is the world gone crazy?

  48. Mod parent UP! by awfar · · Score: 1

    ... and, if nothing more, privatization allows funding to come from different "pots", simply hiding the true cost in an accountants dream world, ultimately allowing future expenditure. Does anyone think the costs of running NASA, like any government administrative-heavy organization, will go DOWN?

  49. Bah. by superdude72 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Privatization is always a scam. ALWAYS. It is always backed by well-placed insiders who want to line their pockets by providing the same-or-lesser service at greater cost. If you expect any such scheme to work out well for taxpayers while the current GOP is in power, you're a rube.

  50. about time by FLoWCTRL · · Score: 0, Troll

    This is long, long overdue. There is no reason that space exploration needs to be monopolized by government. The private sector can and would do a much better job of making the whole enterprise of space travel and access more efficient. In 40 years, public institutes such as NASA haven't reduced the cost of getting to space by a single cent. Its pathetic, and a monumental waste of public funds. The commercialization of the space industry is the only way we'll see real technological progress. Additionally, it opens up a giant new industry for the developed world to occupy themselves with. See the economist Patrick Collins commentary on Space Tourism for an in-debt, well thought out point of view on this matter.

  51. Re:Where's Russia, China, India, et al in all this by dmdb · · Score: 1

    In the same way that robots have taken over roles on earth in various industries this is a sensible and more effective method of transporting materials to the ISS. The additional costs of life supporting systems and of course the payload space for humans are surely not warranted for this sort of mission. The ATV is one of a number of projects coming out of Europe although there is admittedly a smaller budget over here for space projects than NASA have!

  52. Re:Where's Russia, China, India, et al in all this by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

    I think you missed I was _trying_ for humour!
    Damn good thing using robots for routine stuff like this! Shame the shuttle can't do such, then it'd be less of a worry if it goes wrong...

    --
    "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
  53. Re:Who other than Boeing & Co. can play in thi by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

    I seriously doubt that Scaled Composites or other 'up and commers' will have any serious shot at any dollars from this.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T/Space

  54. Boo! To privatization of NASA ISS flights by CyberAlibear · · Score: 1

    Let's be serious, when it comes to performing certain tasks, the government does it best. Two of the most notable examples that come to mind are military operations and space operations. It's a well publicized fact that contracting out military support and logistics is a terrible and wasteful idea. Private companies charge obscenely high amounts for their services, they rip the government off. There are private contractors that are being employed in Iraq, where upwards of 95 percent of their profits come from the U.S. government. How does this save the governmnet money when they end up supplying the contractor with the vast majority of its revenues? Now we want to privatize trasnsport to the ISS? These companies' revenues will come solely from NASA! Not only is NASA paying for the costs involved, they'll also end up paying bloated profit margins that would be unnecessary if they were handled by NASA itself! It'll end up being a greater waste of money. I sense meddling by the Bush administration.

  55. Re:Who other than Boeing & Co. can play in thi by cprice · · Score: 1

    The point is that NOBODY ELSE HAS DONE IT YET. Good to see up and commers trying to get it done, but when there is a couple of hundred million on the line, NASA and the US Govt will pay the $$$'s to their old buddies.

  56. Outsourcing by NoMorePoints.com · · Score: 1

    Just one more item that the Gov't thinks they can actually make money on by outsourcing. Think about it: Going into Space in a Low Bid spacecraft? Just get the Russians to do it. NoMorePoints.com

  57. Re:Privatization = saved money?! Don't make me lau by Firethorn · · Score: 1

    States that have privatized the investigation of welfare fraud find that it costs more

    Did they sell it as a contract, paying a set amount, or as a bounty system? I'd set it up as a bounty system where the company is awarded for each case of fraud caught & stopped.

    As for the health care system, I feel that it's suffering from the same symptoms as Lockheed and Boeing. Consumers are too insulated from costs on the whole. I've read studies that say that half the cost of a procedure is paperwork.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  58. Yeah, which one ??? by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    So you will kindly point out the private firm capable of doing this!!!

    Those things that the private sector can do, they SHOULD do. That is, things that NATURALLY happen in the private sector without needing public sector help (financing) should be left to the private sector.

    The problem with what is happening now is that they are trying to artificially create private sector companies do fill the role of public sector agencies. Think Halliburton and military services. The ONLY thing they are doing is creating a profit where there was no profit before. And along with it, a fair amount of kickbacks to political backers.

    This is ALL about graft.

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    1. Re:Yeah, which one ??? by khallow · · Score: 1
      So you will kindly point out the private firm capable of doing this!!!

      Boeing, Lockheed-Martin, Orbital Science.

    2. Re:Yeah, which one ??? by khallow · · Score: 1
      To elaborate on my previous reply, the usual suspects for space-oriented graft also have the technological capability to fill these contracts. It's probably connected in the obvious way.

      But seeing as the US is going to spend money on the ISS boondoggle anyway, this graft could yield considerably more useful work than continuing with a specialized NASA vehicle, the Space Shuttle whose sole purpose appears to be servicing the ISS. It'll depend on how the contracts are structured. "Cost plus" will be pure graft while "performance-based" probably will result in some level of useful work. Given how few launches there were this year in the US (12 or 13), the boost from ISS resupply will be significant.

      Finally, this does give another opening to the so-called "alt space" companies, particularly SpaceX who looks close to being able to supply relevant launch capability, perhaps at a significantly cheaper price.

  59. Re:Think of the Children!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't come here often, do you? YHBT, YHL, DNHAND. Fuck off and die you conservative scum bag.

  60. Hubble by Luyseyal · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Save the Hubble or bite me. That's all I have to say about that.

    -l

    --
    Help cure AIDS, cancer, and more. Donate your unused computer time to worldcommunitygrid.org. Join Team Slashdot!
  61. Re:Think of the Children!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your uber-l33t spe4k abbreviations so terribly confuse me!

    As for whether I come here often... pffft. Yeah, I've been here long enough to see the rampant, tunnel-visioned, liberal mindset thrown around unquestioningly and treated as dogma rather than examined for what it is.

    Let me demonstrate. Rather than refuting any argument, you've retreated to cowering in a cave and throwing "you're an idiot" type of insults and wishing death on the person who responded. That's supposed to prove your superiorly massive intellect and the justification of your social program policies? How dare someone hold an opposing view!! And speaking of, isn't that what tolerance (supposedly energetically supported by the left) is all about? For people promoting tolerance and protection of freedom of speech, the left seems to be pretty quick to do the childish fingers-in-ears "la-la-la-la I can't hear you la-la-la-la!" Or is it only leftist-approved spech worthy of protection? Care to recall the past presidential election where leftist activists wanted to cause a DoS attack on Republican websites? Gee, that sorta sounds like censorship to me. Based on your position, I'd have to assume you were eager to jump on that boat. And speaking of censorship, the left loves to whip out references to Orwell's 1984 all the frickin' time. Sorry to be a party-pooper, but anyone who actually read 1984 would realize the true danger was not the government's police state, but the fact that vocabulary/speech had been restricted. "Doubleplus good" come to mind? And gee, as mentioned, the left seems pretty intent on shutting off opposing viewpoints. And the left is also the side always advocating for political correctness. Nobody should *offend* anyone else. Instead of saying "blind" say "sight challenged" or instead of saying "handicapped" say "differently abled." It's so sad that the left doesn't realize they are pushing for the very thing they fear the most. The left is going to create the police state because they're going to continue to restrict vocabulary by removing "offensive" words. What happens when the offensive words are removed? Other, previously non-offensive, words will take their place and become offensive.... and then removed, and so on, and so on.

    I'd give you a buck to go buy a clue, but I'm worried you'll go buy some pot, and then come back with open hand expecting me to buy you dinner because now you're hungry from the munchies. That is, after all, the logic you're advocating.

  62. Re:Think of the Children!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh, and one other thing...

    Just so you know, I bought into the liberal/leftist drivel a while back. In fact, /. was part of the reason I decided to go to law school. I have a computer engineering degree and am now pursuing a license to practice law. I find it funny that the incessant "conservative sux0rs" crap has driven me to the "other side." Yeah, I'm conservative. Yeah, I'm going to practice IP law. Yeah, I'm going to support software patents.

    OMG!! Weak! That's so lame! You have to stick it to the man!

    Great. I'll see you later and refer to you as "defendant."

  63. How is this different... by HappyMeal · · Score: 1
    ...from the current arrangement where NASA had contracted out its entire operations to a private company called United Space Alliance (USA)?

    http://www.unitedspacealliance.com/

    USA [as in the company, not the country] has been running NASA ops for about 10 years now per a large contract and having won the bid.

    There are currently relatively few 'non-contractor' people working at NASA; the sheer majority are contractors.

    Granted, the current NASA/USA arrangement is a shell game of sorts; the government still pays out the USD $12B+ budget and the same people still do it (albeit with checks signed by someone else).

    The new proposal, in theory, might see the government moving to reduce payout and let private industry assume the risk and expense?

  64. Do they WANT to run the show ??? by willtsmith · · Score: 1


    Look, if Boing and Lockheed Martin could run these operations privately, wouldn't they have already done it by now???

    NASA source's it's equipment to Aerospace. However, they keep overall mission management in house.

    If Aerospace wants to cut out the government and service the private sector directly, I say all for it. Don't forget that these guys have to pay rental fees for NASA's launch and mission control facilities (unless they want to build and maintain their own).

    BTW, the purpose of the space shuttle was to make NASA appear as if it had a full fledged re-usable vehicle more alike to something people had seen in science fiction movies. In reality, it was a space station that could be launched and recovered.

    I support ISS. I don't support the Shuttle's role in either launching components or servicing ISS. But that's what we had to go with. Hopefully we can get back to launching "flying washing machines" soon that are disposable and ultimately a lot cheaper than the shuttle.

    --
    -------- -------- Support Wesley Clark for president!!!
    1. Re:Do they WANT to run the show ??? by khallow · · Score: 1
      Look, if Boing and Lockheed Martin could run these operations privately, wouldn't they have already done it by now???

      It's not Boeing or L-M's call. Besides they might prefer it this way. You know, public risk, private profit.

      I support ISS. I don't support the Shuttle's role in either launching components or servicing ISS. But that's what we had to go with. Hopefully we can get back to launching "flying washing machines" soon that are disposable and ultimately a lot cheaper than the shuttle.

      If the Space Shuttle could have made the ambitious schedule that originally was set for it, then it wouldn't be anywhere near as expensive as it currently is. That is one of my points from my previous post. There are substantial economies of scale when you're talking about launch vehicles that only go a few times a year. Even a few more times a year is a big deal to the economics of the system. A private system can achieve higher launch volumes than a government system because it can serve a wider array of customers.

      The ISS just doesn't have a compelling reason for existence right now. It can't even fulfill most of its science goals due to the limited crew size and is part way through it's design life. Would be a shame to throw away that much mass in space, but I don't see who's going to maintain this in a few years if the US finally bails on the project.

  65. Re:Think of the Children!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    God you're a depressingly stupid individual. I certainly hope you're never a lawyer representing anyone worth a dime because if you come to Slashdot for serious political discussion, you've got a few screws loose and a deficient IQ. There is only one reason to come to Slashdot Mr. Moron: to troll idiots like you. Did I say I was a leftist? Did I say I'm a liberal? Did I say I do or don't like Bush? Take a few steps forward and pull that pole out of your ass. Maybe then you might have a prayer of seeing straight. For your information, I'm a Republican who got sick of being raped by the Bush administration. Our party needs a better candidate than we've had for decades. But I digress... there's no point in talking politics on Slashdot because it's mostly filled with raving lunatics like you. Fuck you and have a rotten day bitch.