Tech Punditry In 2005
Wired has an article looking back at some of the most obvious, some of the most topical, and some of the least accurate predictions for 2005. From the article: "Wireless will continue to replace land line at a faster pace: Internet telephony pundit Jeff Pulver's prediction seems somewhat obvious, but nonetheless accurate. In 2005, personal calling on wireless phones in the United States exceeded that on residential land lines, even though 35 percent of the U.S. population doesn't have wireless, according to the Yankee Group."
he is the only pundit that i feel is ballanced, (reasonably) impartial, does his research well, and most important: is not afraid to admit when he is wrong.
/. , ars or digg, but cringely is the only one who deserves a bookmark. most other guys seems to be industry whores, riding on hypes and/or cutting and pasting company's press realeases as if they were prophecies of the next Big Thing(tm).
i read some of the other guys, usually when thy're linked in sites like
cringely's column is here
What ? Me, worry ?
For a number of us, the mobile phone is now the primary communications medium. I'm a student and in many halls of residence landlines aren't even an option so everyone needs a mobile if they wish to communicate.
The majority of people talking on mobiles are doing mundane things, the exact same mundane tasks that you do on your home phone. If I'm phoning up my housemates to tell them I'll be back late and will meet them at the pub, that's not a deep or meaningful conversation, it's not even that necessary, but in a world where such a communication is available to me at almost no cost, is it not considerably ruder not to make it? Mobile phones do occasionally intrude too far into our lives as Richard Griffiths recently discovered, but to resist them because you consider their use impolite is to miss out a whole variety of ways in which we can be more polite through their use.