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Flash Memory to Rival Hard Drives

Skal Tura writes "Samsung will start producing 16 gigabit Nand Flash chips this year, nudging the memory technology towards use in notebook PCs and maybe even edging out hard drives in some products in the next few years."

25 of 407 comments (clear)

  1. Gb or GB? by TripMaster+Monkey · · Score: 5, Informative

    Some more information about the NAND flash memory can be found here.

    One nice thing about this article is that it clearly explains the difference between a gigabit (Gb) and a gigabyte (GB)...something the article referenced in the story seems confused about.

    From the article referenced in the story:
    Samsung will start producing 16 gigabit Nand Flash chips this year...

    Gartner estimates that 16GB Flash drives will cost from about $90...

    And from the article referenced above:
    Memory chips are measured in gigabits, or Gb, but consumer electronics manufacturers talk about how many gigabytes, or GB, are in their products. Eight gigabits make a gigabyte, so one 8Gb chip is the equivalent of 1GB.

    Sorry to be picky, but I'm a stickler for detail.
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    1. Re:Gb or GB? by pdbogen · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The missing element here is that most flash drives, especially something in a hard-drive form factor, will have more than one flash chip. The news here is the new (much?) higher density flash chips.

    2. Re:Gb or GB? by Jozer99 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem as I see it is not really chip density, but cost. If you think of the size of each of these chips, you could easily fit 60 or so GB into a 2.5" drive shaped device, and 100's of gigs into a device the size of a 3.5" drive. The problem is that these devices would cost astronomical ammounts. If we could make 1GB flash chips that cost $5, then you could have $300 30GB flash drives.

    3. Re:Gb or GB? by Feyr · · Score: 4, Insightful

      in some applications this is actually not a factor.

      i could even see myself replacing my OS disk with a flash based one, and have a secondary larger hard drive for the less-accessed files with gobs of ram. that would be a real blessing to my poor ears! give me a 4gb flash drive and i'll be all over it!

    4. Re:Gb or GB? by Jozer99 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You would be supprised. Although linux can be built to use a flash (ie minimum writes to firmware) drive, Windows cant, without using Windows CE. It would be nice if Vista supported such ideas. The problem with windows is that many programs install system files. I installed XP on a 9.1 GB scsi disk, with an 80 GB IDE disk for everything but the OS. Even though I installed all programs on the 80GB disk, the 9.1GB disk was full within a year, as MS Office, Photoshop, and other stick stuff into your windows install.

    5. Re:Gb or GB? by penguinoid · · Score: 5, Funny

      The difference between gigabit and gigabyte needs to be explained on Slashdot about as much as the difference between the Moon and the Sun needs to be explained to astronomers.

      Judging by that +5, insightful, I'm tempted to make a snide remark about the ruling class (moderators). Why yes, I do have karma to burn.

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    6. Re:Gb or GB? by dnoyeb · · Score: 4, Informative

      Of course there is also that 'number of writes' issue.

    7. Re:Gb or GB? by Firehed · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Doesn't stop the article from using the wrong one, though. I always question something that seems a bit out there. So they will indeed be 16 gigabyte flash drives? My uncle keeps going on and on about his "80 Gigabit" hard drive. Boy could I nail him on ebay reselling 4Tb hard drives. And eight gigabits of ram on one module. And... oh, why not... the 11.5 megabit floppy disk.

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    8. Re:Gb or GB? by Belseth · · Score: 4, Informative

      There's other uses than computers for large flash drives. I'm getting ready to pick up a Panasonic HVX200. They use a P2 memory cards as their primary recording medium. For 1080 your only other option is external hard drives. It's about 1 gig a minute at 1080/60. That translates out at 8 minutes for the largest card availible the 8 gig P2 which uses 4 2gig cards. Right now the cards are running around $2,000 but they'll drop fast as capacity goes up. They really start getting interesting when you can get a 32 gig card for $500. Even in today's market it isn't a competitive price for a hard drive but for video use given the advantges it would be very attractive. Cameras will help get capacity up and prices down so may be one day they'll make sense for computer hard drives. Everytime some one says we don't need more memory another use is found and need goes up. Terrabytes will start maxing out need for most traditional uses though. The problem will start to be organizing files since in the terrabytes most people wouldn't need to delete files. Video and graphics people are the only ones that may never be happy. Storing a single full res feature would still take quite a few terrabytes to store so if you do it professionally or are simply a serious film fanatic there's no practical limit to the storage that could be used.

    9. Re:Gb or GB? by nacturation · · Score: 4, Informative

      Samsung will start producing 16 gigabit Nand Flash chips this year...

      Gartner estimates that 16GB Flash drives will cost from about $90...


      Where's the conflict? Flash chip != flash drive. Flash drives can often comprise multiple chips. Let's say we stack 8 of those 16Gb chips into one drive. How big is the flash drive going to be?

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  2. gigawhat? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 4, Informative

    Seems like they're playing fast and loose with capacity: "will start producing 16 gigabit Nand Flash chips this year" vs. " currently in products such as USB drives and digital cameras in capacities of up to 8GB." Correct me if I'm wrong, but doesn't 16 gigabits = 2GB?

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  3. Flash is ready even now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    There are linux distros that happily run on flash. Damn Small Linux comes first to mind. It's possible, in fact many people have done it, to build a computer with no hard drive; just flash.

    The current problem is that you get only a limited number of writes to flash. TFA doesn't mention that. It is a problem but not an insurmountable one.

  4. Congratulations! by dbucowboy · · Score: 5, Funny

    Good job Samsung. I've got to NAND it to you...

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  5. Flash is a complementary technology, not a rival by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Hard disks may be physically larger and slower for random access, but they are faster than Flash for large sequential reads, much in the same way that the hare is faster than the turtle in that old fable.

    We'll most likely see Flash storage grow in cell phones and PDAs, not in notebook computers. If you were a pilot, you wouldn't just have the mechanic swap out the propeller for a Rolls Royce jet engine. You'd want the whole plane overhauled to handle the increased stress on it. Better to have a system designed from the ground up that could handle the new engine rather than try to bolt it onto an older, proven design.

  6. Not a total replacement by Shamashmuddamiq · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Hard Drives will be useful for the forseeable future in lots of areas. Hopefully, however, in many applications, we can get rid of them altogether. With the correct wear-leveling algorithms, flash can last a long time. And there aren't big seek penalties like in hard drives, so read performance can be much better. And for applications where seek times dominate, this will boost performance big time. You'll be able to get good performance out of a fully normalized database without requiring nearly as much cache.

    I, for one, welcome... oh never mind.

    As flash drives become more and more popular, more dollars will pour into flash research and development. And applications will learn to accomodate the strengths and weaknesses of flash. I think we'll be seeing some really neat things over the next 10 years. Terabyte flash drive, anyone?

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  7. Re:Flash is a complementary technology, not a riva by joto · · Score: 4, Interesting
    We'll most likely see Flash storage grow in cell phones and PDAs, not in notebook computers. If you were a pilot, you wouldn't just have the mechanic swap out the propeller for a Rolls Royce jet engine. You'd want the whole plane overhauled to handle the increased stress on it. Better to have a system designed from the ground up that could handle the new engine rather than try to bolt it onto an older, proven design.

    It's not like it's something new and completely unproven. Solid-state disks (SSDs) have been used for years in server-applications, especially for large databases, where the speed of harddisks or RAID just won't cut it. This is an expensive solution, but if you have gazillions of transactions (think mastercard), it might still be cheaper than more traditional solutions (add more servers, add more disk-cache, make sure things don't fail).

    Given that it has worked pretty well at both the server-side as well as in gadgets and appliances, I'd say flash-memory notebooks are going to happen pretty soon. It's just a matter of hitting the right pricepoint. Today you can (theoretically) get a 2GB SSD for the same price as a 200GB HD. This is pretty uncool, although I would believe many enthusiasts would buy it, if there were producers of cheap SSDs (today only high-end SSDs exist).

    But if you could get a 20GB SSD for the same price as 200GB HD (which is a sane estimate, given the article), things start to make sense. It would be enough for running MS office on a laptop, and seriously reduce startup-time, as well as battery usage. Given it's performance, it would also be a great add-on for desktop computers (put the OS, most used applications, and swap-space on it, and use traditional harddisks for your videos/music/porn).

  8. Re:One Thought... by BadassJesus · · Score: 5, Informative

    Flashdisks are much more reliable then any conventional harddrive. They claim >5,000,000 write/erase cycles and unlimited reads. Unites States defence department is using them for reliability issue alone.

    M-Systems (top flash disk producer) states this:
    (copied from the website)

    Top Reliability & Endurance
    ** 99.999% reliability
    ** >1,400,000 hours of actual (in the field) MTBF
    ** Embedded EDC/ECC, based on BCH Algorithm
    ** Data integrity under power-cycling
    ** TrueFFS® technology: bad blocks mapping-out and dynamic wear-leveling algorithms
    ** >5,000,000 Write/Erase cycles; Read unlimited
    5-year warranty


    Source link:
    http://www.m-systems.com/site/en-US/Products/IDESC SIFFD/IDESCSIFFD

  9. peace and quiet by SimonInOz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No moving parts = no noise.
    No moving parts = tough.
    No activity when quiescent - no heat.

    I, for one, welcome our new NAND overlords

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  10. OFFS! This is stupid. by pair-a-noyd · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Newegg, Maxtor 300 GIGABYTE sata $125. Available NOW.
    Vapordeals, Mysterymem, 16GB(?) $90. Available ???

    What's the R/W speed of these things? What's the R/W burnout on these?
    How many writes will they take before they fail?

    Maxtor is claiming a 1 million MTBF / 5 year warranty on their 300gb drive.
    No way in hell flash or any other memory is every going to compete with that,
    not in price, performance, capacity or endurance.

    Hard drives are so big and so cheap now that they are cheaper than blank DVD media. You're better off to archive to big drives then store them in fireproof safes than ANY other backup method. I have harddrives from the 80's that STILL have data on them that I can STILL retrieve and use, right now and I've made no serious effort to be overly protective of the drives. In other words, they've been kicking around the house in boxes on the floor. And they are still good. 20+ years later.

    Flash memory may have an indefinite SHELF lifespan but you can only write to them X number of times before they fail and they are slow.

    Someone is trying to sell the neophytes a bill of goods.
    When Vista releases there is going to be a rush to sell more silly crap to people. More upgrades.. Oh boy..
    In the meantime, I'll make due with my current system and my Linux.
    And as hard drives continue to get bigger and faster and cheaper I'll just add em as I need em.

  11. Re:One Thought... by cdrudge · · Score: 5, Informative

    MTBF isn't absolute. It's a statistical estimate. A hard drive may have a 500,000 hour MTBF. That particular model of drive wasn't tested for 57 years to see if it failed.

    Any type of failure rate is also representive of the collection of all products being tested, not a single one.

    Read the Failure Rate Wiki entry for more information.

  12. 11 years to replace 3.5 inch drives by matt21811 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I did a study which estimates that flash will surpass 3.5 inch IDEs in every price by 2017.
    Read about it here:
    http://www.mattscomputertrends.com/flashvsharddisk .html

  13. Re:OFFS! This is stupid. by matt21811 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Nice rant but you totally mised the point.
    A 300 Gig IDE drive doesnt fit in a laptop.
    A 300 Gig IDE drive uses loads of power.
    A 300 Gig IDE drive has faster sustained transfer speed but much a longer access times than flash. Horses for courses.
    Wear leveling algorithms can make the write limit of flash irrelevant.
    That the interface (eg, ATA) for accessing storage media usually goes out of date before the media wears out is true for both disks and flash.
    The real story here is that flash is trouncing disk in improvements in Megs per $ and will one day catch up to and overtake disk. And it will be sooner than mmost people expect.

  14. 10,000 writes/second for 13 years by morcheeba · · Score: 4, Informative

    That's 100k per block, not for the entire drive. The wear-leveling algorithms will make sure that even if you constantly re-write the same file, that part of the memory won't get worn out.

    With a 512-byte erase block size, that is 419 billion writes. With a 4K erase block size, that's 52 billion writes. Use a 20GB drive instead of 2GB, and you'll get 10x the writes. And, the computer can warn you before the memory stops re-writing.

    5 trillion writes is 10,000 writes/second for 13 years.

  15. Re:How bout NOR Flash? by hyc · · Score: 4, Informative

    NOR flash is extremely slow for writes. This Samsung appnote
    http://www.samsung.com/Products/Semiconductor/Memo ry/appnote/onenand_features_performance_051104.pdf
    compares I/O performance of the various technologies (the chart is on page 28, so scroll down...)

    For their test rig, NAND flash yields 8.8MB/sec writes vs NOR at 0.14MB/sec. That's why NOR flash is only used for BIOS memory and other things you don't have to rewrite very often. On the flip side, NAND flash gets reads at 16.5MB/sec vs NOR at 23.9MB/sec (or 108MB/sec, presumably in some kind of burst mode - that part isn't explained).

    If their OneNAND performs as well as they claim, I could see using it for a boot drive; 68MB/sec read would be fine there, 9.3MB/sec write would be ok as long as you weren't paging to it or doing much of anything else. Linux would run pretty well with those parameters, its buffer cache is good at absorbing and deferring writes; Windows 2K/XP's memory manager/cache manager purges pages too aggressively though, which would make the write throughput a serious system bottleneck.

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  16. Re:One Thought... by gnasher719 · · Score: 4, Informative

    '' MTBF isn't absolute. It's a statistical estimate. A hard drive may have a 500,000 hour MTBF. That particular model of drive wasn't tested for 57 years to see if it failed. ''

    Also important: Products like harddisk have a limited life. That harddisk with 500,000 hour MTBF will wear out after five years or 50,000 hours; no way will it last 500,000 hours. The MTBF only means: If you buy 500 harddisks and run them for 1000 hours, you can expect one to fail.