Robert X. Cringely Weighs in on 2006

Simon80 writes "With the beginning of a new year coming another set of 15 predictions from Robert X. Cringely as to how the tech world will shape up in 2006, preceded by a review of how his 2005 predictions turned out. Most of this year's predictions cover well known tech companies, with a few that are about specific technologies like WiMax, media center PCs, and VOIP."

Comments

bloviating pompous windbag toots own horn

[dangitman]

Get off it Cringely. Even your supposed "hit rate" is greatly distorted. Up to 80%? Bullshit. You've never been 80% correct about anything. You just count vague predictions or false matches as proof of your prediction. Pretty easy when you leave your predictions quite open to interpretation.

Here's an idea:

[crhylove]

How about making INTERESTING predictions. Who really cares that Sun is dieing and will continue, along with AOL, Intel, and eventually Apple and MS? This is all common law to anyone who has any FOSS experience. Tell us something we actually care about. Like more details on why wimax is still 12 months out. What the killer app for wimax is anyway, and who's going to release a truly encrypted system to handle p2p, which WILL happen eventually, and really show all this RIAA stuff for exactly what it is: Ridiculous, backwards thinking nonsense by people who still haven't caught up with the realities of living in the modern age.

Here's my predictions:

Somebody (Dell, HP, A new firm that will kick their ass) releases Ubuntu prebundled on super cheap laptops, with all the applications that people need pre installed. This company makes huge strides in the market as WINE improves and even San Andreas starts running on a cheap plentiful laptop that makes Ubuntu upiquitous.

Paul continues to throw chairs, Steve continues to make money by selling old ideas with about 10% more quality control than the competition, and Bill continues to look philanthropical, even though he's clearly the landlord baron of our times.

Slashdot improves it's editing.

Wikipedia invalidates pretty much every other encyclopedia, if they haven't already.

Jesus comes back and smacks GWB in the face with a libel lawsuit.

rhY