Slashdot Mirror


Brits Ready Crops For Global Warming

Anonymous Coward writes "Not wanting to come up short at the dinner table, British researchers are developing new crops for a dryer, hotter UK. Starting with barley, they're turning genes on and off to help plants overcome their affinity for the country's cool, wet summers."

83 comments

  1. Thats good... by tgd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unless of course the other half of climatologists are right and global warming shuts down the north atlantic current and "buried under ice" is what they get instead of "hot and dry".

    1. Re:Thats good... by GWSuperfan · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Amen- the truth is, nobody knows what will happen (or if we will see any drastic climate changes at all). Hell, when the local weather guy is incapable of even looking out the window and telling people whether or not it's raining right now, how is the general public supposed to put much stock in any "prediction" or "climate forecast" that anyone comes up with? In reality, these are all just guesses, and in most cases, they are guesses based on assumptions based on guesses about how different elements of the ecosystem and atmosphere interact to affect weather and climate. Until someone actually collects sufficient data to come up with a testable and provable hypothesis, I'll just file all of this under "FUD"

      --
      Fight psychopharmacological mccarthyism. http://www.norml.org/
    2. Re:Thats good... by mellon · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, sure, but there are plenty of lichens up in the Cairngorms that they can use in that eventuality.

    3. Re:Thats good... by aug24 · · Score: 5, Funny
      AIUI the current prediction is freezing winters due to lack of North Atlantic Drift and hot summers caused by high pressure belts extending from the blazing dustbowl that will be Europe, separated by wet springs and autumns

      This being perfect grape growing conditions, and the south downs being big chalky farmland, I for one, welcome our new champagne growing... ah, fuck it.

      Justin.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    4. Re:Thats good... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the common analogy is that of rolling a dice. It's very hard to know what number will come up the next time you roll the dice but over a long period of time one can be reasonably sure that the numbers will even out.

    5. Re:Thats good... by maarten_delft · · Score: 5, Informative

      Weather != local climate != global warming!

      Weather is something that cannot be predicted.

      Local climate change, for example in the northern atlantic, is subject of interesting research and interesting scenario's, but a final verdict is stil out.

      Global warming is a fact. The debate is about the amount of warming and the rate of change, not the mechanisms itself anymore. The mechanisms are really well understood. (People still denying the well-documented mechanisms are not scientists)

      What global warming precisely means for different countries is partly a surprise, but some things that are probably at least partly influenced by global warming
      * shift of sea currents
      * shifting patterns of precipitation
      * possibly local cooling effects, certainly if gulf stream slows

      What is certainly a consequence of global warming:
      * rising sea level
      * break up of sea ice
      * shift of climate zones towards the poles

      --
      --[rosso bright]--
    6. Re:Thats good... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The other "half" is a bunch of energy lobby paid so called "scientists".

    7. Re:Thats good... by bobster45 · · Score: 1
      Well at least they are starting with the right crop.

      All Ales and Scotch whiskys are made from the fermented malt whitch comes from barley.

      You'd be crazy to believe they use it exclusively for their soups and porridge.

      Plenty of Ale and fine Scotch = No thirsty folk of the U.K. and this leads to a happier less warring and a more easy going lot.

      Lots's of barley = Happy Brits (easy math man!)

    8. Re:Thats good... by NickFortune · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Correlation does not imply causality

      Well quite. However, by that yardstick there's insufficent evidence for gravity. The fact that the theory has never been observed to fail hardly precludes the possibility that we have been experiencing some local temporary phenomenon, and since correlation doesn't imply causality, we therefore have no proof.

      Of course. most sane people have a point at which they're wiling to accept that the evidence before them justifies taking some sort of action. I'd have a lot more time for your line of argument if you were to offer some criteria in that regard, a set of observed phenomena and associated timescales that you would accept as sufficent evidence to warrant action.

      For instance, if this year was to have three times the hurricane count of last year, would that be enough? How about five times? Mayeb quintiple the rate averaged over a ten year period, just to be sure it's not a statistical fluke? Is there some percentage of melted permafrost that would do the trick, or can all the trailers in Alaska sink into the mush and still not satisfy your passion for intellectual rigor? Will you say "perhaps you have a point" after all the arctic ice is gone, or will you wait for the antarctic icecap to go too, just to be sure?

      Perhaps there is no combination of events that could ever bring you to that point?

      See, I have this impression that, rather than upgrade their factories, or expose themselves to the risk of lawsuits, the industry reps lobbying against global warming would sooner see the planet catch fire. So: where were you planning to draw the line? I really want to know.

      --
      Don't let THEM immanentize the Eschaton!
    9. Re:Thats good... by Daniel+James+Devine · · Score: 1

      No kidding; they're really going to be in trouble if all their crops are engineered for heat and the NA current brings on a local ice age, as some doomsdayers predict [see http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2005/11/11 30_051130_ice_age.html/]. Maybe Brits should diversify their investments at the seed bank.

    10. Re:Thats good... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Our only hope is that the Gulf Stream's drop in heat transfer of 25% in the last 15 years is a natural result of the 30 year North Atlantic cycle that affects hurricanes etc. If this drop is not cyclical but is the ongoing extinguishing of the gulf stream by melting arctic ice (the global average temperature is higher than at any time in the last 500,000 years or so) then Europe will be seeing sharply colder temperatures (England is at the same latitude as Canada's Hudsons Bay after all.) and the Alpine ice cap will start to form within the decade. It looks like the blight of humanity has juiced the global temperature and we are in the runup to the start of the next ice-age.....Europe to Asia to North America....hope you have property in the tropics......

  2. Meh... by nathan+s · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Whatever happened to old-fashioned selecting crops? If you plant enough of them and grow them for a few years, you'll be able to get seeds that are suited for your area, if I'm not mistaken. Is it just the shortcut factor that makes the GM appealing in this case?

    Not that I'm against genetic modification in principle, but I'm just curious if it's really that much superior to simple selection.

    1. Re:Meh... by Chalex · · Score: 2, Informative

      You've got it exactly right. "Simple selection" takes several generations, that is, many many years. In the lab, the same things can be done in months.

    2. Re:Meh... by whoever57 · · Score: 3, Informative
      Whatever happened to old-fashioned selecting crops? If you plant enough of them and grow them for a few years, you'll be able to get seeds that are suited for your area, if I'm not mistaken. Is it just the shortcut factor that makes the GM appealing in this case?
      This seems to be a common mis-conception, especially in the USA. GM allows genes from completely different organisms (including from animals and fish) to be inserted into the plant.

      This is substantially different to cross-polination/natural selection, since the range of genes that can be added using natural methods is limited to essentially similar plants. Ever see a fish mating with a wheat plant?

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    3. Re:Meh... by mikesmind · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Genetic modification has a lot to do with patents and licensing. There is not enough money (profits) in crossing varieties the old-fashioned way.

      --
      www.mikesmind.com - www.daddyworkathome.com - www.freetofarm.org - www.tenfoottable.com
    4. Re:Meh... by nathan+s · · Score: 1
      GM allows genes from completely different organisms (including from animals and fish) to be inserted into the plant.

      That occurred to me, but I wasn't sure how glow-in-the-dark plants would be very useful against global warming. ;-)

    5. Re:Meh... by atherton2 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Selection and plant breeding do allow for plants to be tailored to thierenviroments, but this can and has for most crop varieties taken hudreds if not thousands of years of farmers and breeders selceting and crossing promising lines. The advantages of GM are many and varied: 1. as mentioned earlier you can take a gene from any spiceis and place it into the host, 2. you can break linkage between genes 3. you can alter promation of genes 4. other stuff...I won't go on and on. 5. you can do all off this a hell of alot fatser But as asked above it is mainly the speed factor that makes GM so very appealing.

    6. Re:Meh... by gstoddart · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Genetic modification has a lot to do with patents and licensing. There is not enough money (profits) in crossing varieties the old-fashioned way.

      There sure as hell will be when the GM ones get wiped out due to lack of bio-diversity or because the ability for the plants to produce new seed has been removed so you have to buy from the manufacturer.

      Then all of those 'heirloom' varieties are going to become more valuable than you could ever imagine.

      The natural versions of those plants survived just fine for thousands of years. The new-and-improved versions? Who knows how they'll last -- I just don't want to be still living when we suddenly don't have corn and rice anymore.
      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    7. Re:Meh... by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Ever see a fish mating with a wheat plant?


      And here lies the central problem with the anti-GM crowd. The FUD they (and you in this story) spread is that GM means inserting "fishiness" in our plants. If you knew a little bit more about biology and genetics you'd know there's no such thing as a fish gene. The argument is a little like saying there's such a thing as "car steel" and putting "car steel" into an airplane makes the airplane tainted because it now has "carr-i-ness" associated with it.

      --
      AccountKiller
    8. Re:Meh... by whoever57 · · Score: 1
      And here lies the central problem with the anti-GM crowd. The FUD they (and you in this story) spread is that GM means inserting "fishiness" in our plants.
      Strawman. I wrote no such thing.

      I discussed taking a gene from a fish and inserting it into a plant. Such is possible with GM. I understand that we are talking about a gene that gives a certain characteristic (such as making a glow-in the-dark onion -- as was demonstrated in the Royal Institution's Christmas lectures last December).

      You could argue that this is merely an acceleration of natural processes, but I think it would be hard to conceive that such a gene transfer would happen naturally in the life of this planet.

      It is possible that some genetic engineering is merely what could be achieved over long periods by selection and other traditional methods, but to claim that this is all GM involves is clearly a falsehood -- and a falsehood that the pro-GM crowd would like to persist.

      Personally, I don't know who is right. I don't see a fundamental problem with GM, except that we may not know the full consequences. Once a "foreign" gene is in a domesticated plant (ie. a gene that would not normally be found in similar plants), those genes may be transferred into wild plants, with unknown results.

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    9. Re:Meh... by Vellmont · · Score: 1


      Strawman. I wrote no such thing.


      Right, you only compared GM to mating wheat to fish. Fess up and admit you're spouting anti-GM talking points instead of a knee jerk response of claiming staw man arguments.

      --
      AccountKiller
    10. Re:Meh... by Monkeys!!! · · Score: 1

      Ever see a fish mating with a wheat plant? Yes. I have.

    11. Re:Meh... by Bush+Pig · · Score: 1

      > Ever see a fish mating with a wheat plant?

      That just put a really, really ugly image in my mind that I'm afraid will stay with me forever ... bastard.

      --
      What a long, strange trip it's been.
  3. Now hang on a minute... by TripMaster+Monkey · · Score: 1, Interesting


    I thought all this global warming was diluting the Gulf Stream, slowing it down and making Great Britain colder.

    So which is it?

    --
    ____

    ~ |rip/\/\aster /\/\onkey

    1. Re:Now hang on a minute... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Sorry....posted wrong link in the parent.

      Correct link can be found here.

    2. Re:Now hang on a minute... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative
      Well, it doesn't have to be one or the other. The original article states:

      If British summers get hotter and drier we will need types of wheat, barley and other crops that flower earlier, like Mediterranean varieties, to beat summer droughts.


      So they are developing crops for summer conditions. The (corrected) link about the effect on the gulf stream, OTOH, states:

      "We know that if the current slows down, it will lead to a drop in temperatures in Britain and northern Europe of a few degrees, but the effect isn't even over the seasons. Most of the cooling would be in the winter, so the biggest impact would be much colder winters,"...

      The final impact of any cooling effect will depend on whether it outweighs the global warming that, paradoxically, is driving it. According to climate modellers, the drop in temperature caused by a slowing of the Atlantic current will, in the long term, be swamped by a more general warming of the atmosphere.


      So, while an interuption in the gulf stream may result in colder UK winters, it may have less of an effect on the summers, which then may be warmer due to general global warming. Lower water temperatures in the north atlantic will also mean less moisture in the air, and a drier climate. So, if you actually take the time to read both of these articles (the original and the second one liked by the AC), you'll find that they are not in conflict at all.

      --

      Debunk the Monk!
  4. One interesting research possibility... by Noryungi · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Would be genetically-engineering plants -- including edible plants -- to use climate-changing gases to grow, and release less of them into the atmosphere.

    If, for instance, useful trees (fruit trees, oaks, pine and birch for instance) could be engineered to use more CO2 and release less methane (which they seem to be doing right now), that would be a fantastic incentive to plant more trees and therefore absorb more carbon into forests instead of releasing it into the atmosphere.

    With a lot of work and a bit of luck, that could be enough to slow and eventually reverse global warming, to return the Earth to more normal weather patterns.

    --
    The right to offend is far more important than the right not to be offended. (Rowan Atkinson)
    1. Re:One interesting research possibility... by RingDev · · Score: 4, Informative

      It matters on a lot of things. Take South Africa for example. Early European settlers were shocked by the treeless terrain so they spread pine, oak, and other water hungry plants around the country side. Those trees drink a lot more water then the native plants and have cause rivers to dry up to nothing more then trickles. With less water flowing down stream other plant life suffers and the landscape is drying out.

      There are now government programs that are going through cutting back these huge trees. The effects have been amazing. Not only have the rivers started flowing more water, but the native plant life is bouncing back and some of South Africa's unemployed are getting jobs and training.

      -Rick

      --
      "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
    2. Re:One interesting research possibility... by VitaminB52 · · Score: 1
      One problem (increased usage of water) has already been addressed by another poster.

      Another big problem with your idea is the way it affects the radiation balance. Earth receives sunlight, reflects a part of it and absorbs the rest. When plants grow, they turn sunlight into energy. This means leaves 'absorb' sunlight, changing the balance between incoming and reflected light. As a result of this the temperature could rise (when the effect of extra sunlight absorbtion is larger than the reduced greenhouse effect due to the binding of CO2 in vegetation).
      This depends on a) the local micro climate and b) which plants you plant. Please analyse this carefully, or you end up with a 'cure' that's worse than the disease.

    3. Re:One interesting research possibility... by RobertB-DC · · Score: 1

      There are now government programs that are going through cutting back these huge trees. The effects have been amazing. Not only have the rivers started flowing more water, but the native plant life is bouncing back and some of South Africa's unemployed are getting jobs and training.

      Unfortunately for the environment in other areas of the world, they're getting training in the subject of "cutting down big trees".

      --
      Stressed? Me? Of course not. Stress is what a rubber band feels before it breaks, silly.
  5. Wrong direction by jrootham · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This may be heading in the wrong direction. The expected perverse consequence of global warming for Britain is the shut down of the Gulf Stream and consequently much colder weather. If it dries out as well, Canadian wheat will be the crop to go to.

  6. But ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If global warming happens, then it is commonly accepted knowledge that the gulf stream will at least alter course, or cease to operate at all.

    The gulf stream is what keeps the UK (and Norway) kinda mild generally. Otherwise we'd be in the same state as other countries this far north.

    When the gulf stream has stopped working in our benefit, Britain will get colder.

    Southern France may get hotter with global warming (better known as global climate change). The same with the southern states of the US. Africa. And so on. Other places are going to get fucked up the arse with a large icicle, unless it stops raining as well...

  7. What a bloody brilliant idea! by AEther141 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Instead of worrying about all this climate change nonsense we can just genetically modify ourselves and our food to suit. Oh, except if these guys had spent half an hour ringing round a few climatolagists they would have found out that the most likely outcome isn't a smooth, predictable change in temperature but wild, chaotic swings in climate caused by a million climate systems and feedback loops (not limited to the gulfstream) going totally out of whack.

    1. Re:What a bloody brilliant idea! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Absolutely. One of the few things we know for certain about the effects of global warming is that it the result will be (perhaps I should say 'is' at this point) weather that is increasingly more extreme and less and less predictable. I think the crop-scientists better hedge their bets!

    2. Re:What a bloody brilliant idea! by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Oh, except if these guys had spent half an hour ringing round a few climatolagists they would have found out that the most likely outcome isn't a smooth, predictable change in temperature but wild, chaotic swings in climate caused by a million climate systems and feedback loops (not limited to the gulfstream) going totally out of whack.

      Yes, and the best climatoagists can't be sure whether it's going to rain tommorow or not, so I'm not sure I would take their predictions over several years as a sure thing...

      The one and only thing we know for sure about global warming is that, right now, things are getting hotter and mostly drier, so that would certainly be the situation that would be best to plan for.
      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    3. Re:What a bloody brilliant idea! by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      "Yes, and the best climatoagists can't be sure whether it's going to rain tommorow or not, so I'm not sure I would take their predictions over several years as a sure thing..."

      You have no idea what climate means do you? Kinda sad since there have been a gazillon posts that pointing out climate != weather. What you have said above is like saying we have no idea what the annual road toll will be for 2006 because we can't figure out who will get killed in traffic accidents tommorow!

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    4. Re:What a bloody brilliant idea! by evilviper · · Score: 1
      You have no idea what climate means do you?

      I certainly do, and nothing I said should imply otherwise.

      --
      Slashdot gets worse every day... Pipedot: News for nerds, without the corporate slant
    5. Re:What a bloody brilliant idea! by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Perhaps I misunderstood or perhaps you did not realise the implications of what you said.

      As I see it the quote implies that because climatoligists cannot predict tomorrows weather it follows that their longer term climate forcasts are suspect. This in turn implies an assumption on your part that weather == climate.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  8. Britain to get hotter or colder? by dmatos · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Well, a whole bunch of people have already pointed out that the current widely accepted hypothesis is that global warming will shut down the gulf stream, and make Britain colder. However,

    The Gulf stream tends to have a moderating effect on Britain. It makes the winters warmer and the summers cooler. If the Gulf Stream shuts down, won't that just eliminate the moderating effect? Wouldn't you have colder winters and warmer summers? If that's the case, then developing plants that can survive in a hotter climate (during the hotter growing season) is the right move.

    --

    It may look like I'm doing nothing, but I'm actively waiting for my problems to go away.
    --Scott Adams
    1. Re:Britain to get hotter or colder? by Per+Abrahamsen · · Score: 1

      The *sea* has a moderating effect (because of the huge heat capacity of water). The gulf stream has a overall warming effect. The average temeprature of Britain is much higher than the corresponding part of Siberia, even if summer temeperatures may be lower.

      Our part of the world would not be warm enough for agriculture (just like Siberia isn't) if it was not for the gulf stream.

  9. Re:That's all well and good... by VitaminB52 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    ...assuming global warming is real, of course.

    Suppose global warming isn't real, then the British can sell these new crops to those countries that are dryer and hotter than the UK.

  10. Wow... by tgd · · Score: 1

    First thing I thought was "Does Kate Beckinsale come with 'em?"

    Then I realized you were talking about things that grow on rocks.

    Man, I'm a nerd. A horny one, at that.

  11. These people are ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dipshits! There's no need to genetically engineer anything - you just pick crops from a different part of the world.

    Of course, you might claim you had done a lot of complex work, to justify the hefty price rise ......

    1. Re:These people are ... by SEWilco · · Score: 1

      I think there's something called "wheat" and "corn" found in hot parts of North America that just might be edible. If need be, there's also "rice" and "date palms".
      Didn't the Brits have to switch from wine to barley beverages when their climate cooled several hundred years ago?

    2. Re:These people are ... by Bush+Pig · · Score: 1

      > Didn't the Brits have to switch from wine to barley beverages when their climate cooled several hundred years ago?

      Not really. Ales are traditional in that part of the world, and have been for a _very_ long time. True, they could grow grapes (briefly) in Britain, but wine wasn't really a dominant part of the culture. They're basically Germans, for christ's sake.

      --
      What a long, strange trip it's been.
  12. 2 Issues by Sody · · Score: 3, Informative
    Most predictions I have read say that the currents now operating in the Northern Atlantic keep the climate warm and moist. So, colder and drier seem to be the more likely changes. (Not hotter and drier, as the article states.)

    No doubt this type of change could also be accounted for with genetic engineering, but I was under the impression that the British and most Europeans in general were pretty dead set against about "frankenfoods" that had been genetically modified. Does this project really stand a chance of getting off the ground if it depends on this sort of technology?

    As for the slelective breeding option, I'm not convinced that would work, either. Selective cultivation depends on having some sort of genetic variablility in the current population. The more desirable traits are slected for. Current stocks of seed are not terribly genetically diverse, and if they don't mutate fast enough, you may not be left with enough genetic variants to choose from. Also, this type of selection requires a lot of time--something which may or may not be available as the climate changes.

    1. Re:2 Issues by RexRhino · · Score: 1

      Current stocks of seed are not terribly genetically diverse, and if they don't mutate fast enough, you may not be left with enough genetic variants to choose from.

      You can always use mutation breeding: using radiation, or nasty nasty chemicals, to massivly increase mutation and speed up the breeding process. Mutation breeding came out well before the enviornmental movement, and they have been doing it so many years that the greenies don't really have a problem with it. (Ironicly enough, genetic engineering is supposed to be a safer alternative to mutation breeding).

      But, as to the opionion against genetic engineering in Europe, it is largely pushed by European farmers who want to protect their markets and farm subsidies, and so try to scare up a frenzy against those evil foriegners and their "frankenfoods". "Only by buying European produce exclusivly can you protect yourself from 'frakenfoods'". My guess is that there would be no outrage from most of Europe as long as these crops wouldn't facilitate economic competition in agriculture.

    2. Re:2 Issues by Red+Flayer · · Score: 1

      "No doubt this type of change could also be accounted for with genetic engineering, but I was under the impression that the British and most Europeans in general were pretty dead set against about "frankenfoods" that had been genetically modified."

      True, but Hunger has a way of overcoming taboos against food types.

      Also, there is a quite difference between GM plants/animals where genes from other organisms have been introduced, and GM products where only the expression of already present genes have been altered (as in this case).

      Re: genetic variation of crops for selective breeding -- I'd be really surprised if they didn't start with varietals that are grown in say, Iceland, or Greenland -- some place with a short growing season.

      --
      "Trolls they were, but filled with the evil will of their master: a fell race..." -- J.R.R. Tolkien on Olog-hai
  13. Pick one? by planetjay · · Score: 1

    What happened to the Mini Ice Age? Can't we just PICK ONE horrible future and stick with it?

    1. Re:Pick one? by rcw-work · · Score: 1
      Can't we just PICK ONE horrible future and stick with it?

      Yes.

    2. Re:Pick one? by rcw-work · · Score: 4, Funny

      Err, I mean no. Sorry about that.

  14. Figures... by voice_of_all_reason · · Score: 4, Funny

    Starting with barley

    In other words, "Forget the orphans, save the beer!"

    1. Re:Figures... by whitehatlurker · · Score: 1
      In other words, "Forget the orphans, save the beer!"

      Spot ON!

      Now, they have fix hops, or maybe heather to make sure those survive as well.

      Beer drinker.

      --
      .. paranoid crackpot leftover from the days of Amiga.
    2. Re:Figures... by Ranger · · Score: 1
      Starting with barley

      In other words, "Forget the orphans, save the beer!"
      And the scotch single malt whisky. Mustn't forget the scotch! Without the revenues from it's export, they wouldn't be able to feed the orphans their beer.
      --
      "You'll get nothing, and you'll like it!"
  15. and now? rain and fog resistant crops? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There's a saying that in UK the whether's most often wet. So, what kind of crops are they using currently? A special one, trimmed to resist that wheather?

    If so, why don't they use "normal" crops for a hotter and dryer UK then, instead of patching in the crops' genes?

    1. Re:and now? rain and fog resistant crops? by CmdrGravy · · Score: 2, Funny

      Generally in the UK we use the word weather to refer to the weather but I must admit that having lived in the UK for 30 years I have never heard this saying of yours. Of course this doesn't detract from the fact that it is always raining in Manchester, The Lake District and Wales.

  16. What is the Timeline for global warming? by qualico · · Score: 1

    What is the expected rate of climatic change in the near future?
    Will they be able to modify and implement crops inside the predicted time line?
    Anyone living there now confirm these changes?

    Canada is going through some serious changes right now.
    Normally, it is -30 degrees Celcius (-30 x 1.8 + 32 = -86F) here.
    We are currently at +10C and sustaining this over weeks.
    That is a 40C or 50F difference!

    Something is seriously wrong with the weather and it does not seem to be changing slowly.

    1. Re:What is the Timeline for global warming? by John+Macdonald · · Score: 1

      Normally, it is -30 degrees Celcius (-30 x 1.8 + 32 = -86F) here.

      Um, what part of Canada are you from? You've got to be rather far north before -30 is typical. (You also got the temperature conversion wrong - that's -26F [-54+32, not -54-32].)

    2. Re:What is the Timeline for global warming? by qualico · · Score: 1

      Northern Alberta.

      Thanks for the conversion fix.

    3. Re:What is the Timeline for global warming? by freeweed · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, 2 summers ago Winnipeg experienced its first August snow in recorded history. It was the coldest summer overall, by leaps and bounds. Calgary just experienced a colder than average spring and summer, with snow in the mountains lasting well into August that normally melts by June.

      For every anecdote of a warmer-than-average day/month/season, you can find one of a colder-than-average day/month/season. It doesn't mean the sky is falling, it means that there's no such thing as "normal" temperatures.

      --
      Endless arguments over trivial contradictions in books written by ignorant savages to explain thunder in the dark.
    4. Re:What is the Timeline for global warming? by qualico · · Score: 2, Informative

      Guys in BC are reporting a LOT of rain.
      Trees budding already.

      No doubt there is a lot of changes going on all over the place.
      From where I sit, things are just not right at all.

      If Alberta does not get a sustained snow/rain fall before spring, there is going to be water restrictions/bans and a whole lot of fire fighting going on.

      The fire fighters I work for are already reporting for duty in January.
      That is just crazy.

      Just so you don't think I'm doing the Chicken Little dance, here is the long term forcast 9-12 months, from environment Canada:
      http://www.weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/saisons/image_e. html?img=ccatemp_12_s_m1
      http://www.weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/saisons/image_e. html?img=ccapcpn_12_m1_s

      If things don't go back to normal, there is about to be some serious issues to contend with.

    5. Re:What is the Timeline for global warming? by freeweed · · Score: 1

      So what you're saying is, we might see a repeat of the summers of 89-91. Hotter than average, dryer than average. Or maybe we'll see a repeat of the 30s. Or any other year where temperatures have been above average. Great. We've seen many where they've been below average.

      The long-term forcasts you linked to aren't interesting - they're forcasting a warmer than average year? Hate to break it to you, but by definition, WE HAVE TO HAVE SOME YEARS WARMER THAN THE AVERAGE. Otherwise each and every year will be exactly the same.

      You're doing what is the very meaning of Chicken Little. One year of climate data is not an indication of a problem, or any serious change. You have to average this out over decades, if not centuries.

      Oh btw, even EC admits that their long-term forecasts are rarely accurate - check the 2nd graphic in each of those links. Most of the country could have been forecasted by randomly guessing, and you'd be as statistically accurate as EC.

      A long-term, global change in climate is something to worry about. Saying "gee, it seems hot this year, it must be global warming" ... yes, you might as well claim that the sky is falling.

      --
      Endless arguments over trivial contradictions in books written by ignorant savages to explain thunder in the dark.
    6. Re:What is the Timeline for global warming? by qualico · · Score: 1

      Sorry man, but your not going to convince me.
      Lived here for most of my life and NEVER has the weather been like this.
      Again today we broke temps from 1892.

      There are bicycles and motorbikes on the roads!
      Never seen that in January and no one else here has either.

      There is NO moisture and it is +9C at night!
      The weather has never been like this in recorded history.

      We are cooking!

  17. solution in search of a problem by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why not just plant crops that come from hotter, dryer, climates? Or if the other climate model prediciton comes true, shorter, colder growing seasons?

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    1. Re:solution in search of a problem by xilmaril · · Score: 1

      first, there's soil type to consider.

      second, and much more importantly, the brits need barley. britain without barley, and therefore without beer, would be apocalyptic.

    2. Re:solution in search of a problem by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Beer can be made with an incredible variety of grains- malt is not neccessary to good beer making any more than hops really are.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    3. Re:solution in search of a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It sounds like you're defining drinks such as (American) Budweiser (brewed with maize) as "beer" here. I suspect that a lot of people in the UK may disagree with this.

      German Wheat and Rye beers can be made quite tasty, mind...

    4. Re:solution in search of a problem by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      budweiser is made with rice, not maize (aka corn).

    5. Re:solution in search of a problem by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2, Informative

      It sounds like you're defining drinks such as (American) Budweiser (brewed with maize) as "beer" here. I suspect that a lot of people in the UK may disagree with this.

      I'm from the land of 50,000 microbreweries (yes American, but Budweiser is considered cheap crap not worth boiling sausages in around here); we consider just about anything in the Lager or Ale categories that is made from grain instead of fruit to be beer (though the line blurs somewhat for some of the beers crafted for female tastebuds- it's amazing how well a Raspberry Stout will sell- a cross between a dark barley malt beer with a raspberry wine).

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    6. Re:solution in search of a problem by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      That's right- maize is whisky, not beer, usually, unless you're drinking the mash....

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  18. Not fact??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Are you just ignorant on purpose? Go to ANY arctic research site, run by ANYONE. TAKE YOUR PICK. You won't find any credible dissent. ZERO. It's MELTING because it's getting HOTTER. that's just basic observable data, and on the planet Earth, watching the poles is a good indicator of what happens generally around the planet. And the poles haven't been in a state of melted for a FREAKING LONG TIME. they have ice cores indicating constant frozen ness going way back, now that they are obviously melting, and in an accelerated state, is REAL DATA AND BIGTIME NEWS. For whatever combination of reasons, but please, how can you possibly deny what is observable data? Just because it hasn't happened for thousands of years is no reason to negate the effects that are happening now, or to fail to come up with any reasonable extrapolations for the future. It DOESN'T MATTER if it's a "natural cycle" or "mostly human caused" or because of "causes unknown at this point", to us humans, it WILL cause profound changes in society as the planet gets warmer. End of story. And it won't be "minimal" changes, either.

  19. Everybody Talks . . . by JoeBallPein · · Score: 1

    Samuel Clemens once observed that "Everybody talks about the weather, but nobody does anything about it." Well for once someone's taking some action. Although it might be more appropriate if they observed some facts before taking steps to avert a weather related negative effect. Is it just me or did anybody else just think of New Orleans.

  20. So now I'll be able to grow.... by Kozar_The_Malignant · · Score: 1

    Things like corn and melons and peppers and tomatoes. Sweet! Now it's all cabbage, broccoli, cabbage, peas, cabbage, and the odd raddish.

    --
    Some mornings it's hardly worth chewing through the restraints to get out of bed.
  21. Cross Pollination? by randomErr · · Score: 1

    Aren't the Brits (or anyone) worried about cross pollination? What if we're going through a 100 year cycle (which many believe)? We would be left with modified seeds that will only do well in dry climates because bees, wasp, and wind transmitted pollen into the wrong fields.

    --
    You say things that offend me and I can deal with it. Can you?
  22. Global warming likelier than Gulf stream change by Per+Abrahamsen · · Score: 1

    Or rather, global warming now has status as a scientific theory, while the gulf stream change is still merely a scientific hypothesis.

    There is no longer any significant opposition to the global warming theory amongst scientifically literate people. There are of course lots of discussion about how large it is going to be, and political differences on whether we should try to limit it, or merely adapt to it. (Mostly the "adaption" side wins, since we can't really do anything without US cooperation. The study in this article is just one of many adaption research projects going on, all over the world.)

    The situation was quite different 10 years ago, maybe even five years ago, and many scientifically illiterate people still quote the controversy from back then.

    The gulf stream change hypothesis is where global warming was 25 years ago. A very interesting hypothesis, of which we cannot really say the likelihood of, nor the magnitude or speed. More research are needed.

  23. Blind leading the blind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So......we Engineer our way into Global Warming, and now we will have to Engineer everything else to suit our earlier engineering.

    OH

    DEAR :(

    1. Re:Blind leading the blind by bcattwoo · · Score: 1
      So......we Engineer our way into Global Warming, and now we will have to Engineer everything else to suit our earlier engineering.

      Hey, we engineers have to make a living too, you know!

  24. Stop Global Warming Virtual March by theament · · Score: 1

    Global warming is here, now, and is already having catastrophic affects in the United States and the world as evidenced in Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. It's more than an environmental issue; it's about our national security, it's about our public health. It's an urgent matter of survival for everyone on the planet - the most urgent threat facing humanity today. That's why it's going to take more than policy debates and think tanks from governments. It's going to take action - by you, by all of us working together. This is the biggest problem we all face, and given what's at stake, joining the Virtual March really is the least you can do. Go to www.StopGlobalWarming.org This is the issue our generation will be judged by. When historians look back in a century or two, the most important thing about our time won't be the Internet or the booming stock market or any of the other things we concentrate so much attention on. Rather, it will be that these were the years that temperature began to spike sharply up--that the earth's climate, stable on a global level throughout our civilization, began very suddenly to shift. This issue is as morally urgent as the civil rights movement was to our parent's generation, and we must address it now.

  25. Nice debate tactic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > are not scientists

    So, when one of the many (most?) scientists disagree with you, you claim they're not a scientist. That's a tactic straight out of kindergarten! Here's the equivalent come-back, "you're a poopy-head."

    Since Aug 1989 I've worked as a programmer for a group of meteorologists and climatologists. Not a one of them talks about global warming. There was one that worked here for a while, but he did it more as a political activist thing than as real science. We have some of the best and most extensive data anyone has, and global cooling is a fact. Whether the warming trend is going to continue or now is still an item open for debate. Some of it is classified data from the US Navy from many more locations than you could ever hope to have land-based weather stations. You do know that most of the surface of the Earth is water, don't you? Why do you think scientists have been talking about global cooling for over 30 years? Why do you think global cooling was on the cover of Time long before people with an agenda made-up the concept of global warming.

    Again, nice debate tactics.