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Brits Ready Crops For Global Warming

Anonymous Coward writes "Not wanting to come up short at the dinner table, British researchers are developing new crops for a dryer, hotter UK. Starting with barley, they're turning genes on and off to help plants overcome their affinity for the country's cool, wet summers."

27 of 83 comments (clear)

  1. Thats good... by tgd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Unless of course the other half of climatologists are right and global warming shuts down the north atlantic current and "buried under ice" is what they get instead of "hot and dry".

    1. Re:Thats good... by mellon · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, sure, but there are plenty of lichens up in the Cairngorms that they can use in that eventuality.

    2. Re:Thats good... by aug24 · · Score: 5, Funny
      AIUI the current prediction is freezing winters due to lack of North Atlantic Drift and hot summers caused by high pressure belts extending from the blazing dustbowl that will be Europe, separated by wet springs and autumns

      This being perfect grape growing conditions, and the south downs being big chalky farmland, I for one, welcome our new champagne growing... ah, fuck it.

      Justin.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    3. Re:Thats good... by maarten_delft · · Score: 5, Informative

      Weather != local climate != global warming!

      Weather is something that cannot be predicted.

      Local climate change, for example in the northern atlantic, is subject of interesting research and interesting scenario's, but a final verdict is stil out.

      Global warming is a fact. The debate is about the amount of warming and the rate of change, not the mechanisms itself anymore. The mechanisms are really well understood. (People still denying the well-documented mechanisms are not scientists)

      What global warming precisely means for different countries is partly a surprise, but some things that are probably at least partly influenced by global warming
      * shift of sea currents
      * shifting patterns of precipitation
      * possibly local cooling effects, certainly if gulf stream slows

      What is certainly a consequence of global warming:
      * rising sea level
      * break up of sea ice
      * shift of climate zones towards the poles

      --
      --[rosso bright]--
    4. Re:Thats good... by NickFortune · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Correlation does not imply causality

      Well quite. However, by that yardstick there's insufficent evidence for gravity. The fact that the theory has never been observed to fail hardly precludes the possibility that we have been experiencing some local temporary phenomenon, and since correlation doesn't imply causality, we therefore have no proof.

      Of course. most sane people have a point at which they're wiling to accept that the evidence before them justifies taking some sort of action. I'd have a lot more time for your line of argument if you were to offer some criteria in that regard, a set of observed phenomena and associated timescales that you would accept as sufficent evidence to warrant action.

      For instance, if this year was to have three times the hurricane count of last year, would that be enough? How about five times? Mayeb quintiple the rate averaged over a ten year period, just to be sure it's not a statistical fluke? Is there some percentage of melted permafrost that would do the trick, or can all the trailers in Alaska sink into the mush and still not satisfy your passion for intellectual rigor? Will you say "perhaps you have a point" after all the arctic ice is gone, or will you wait for the antarctic icecap to go too, just to be sure?

      Perhaps there is no combination of events that could ever bring you to that point?

      See, I have this impression that, rather than upgrade their factories, or expose themselves to the risk of lawsuits, the industry reps lobbying against global warming would sooner see the planet catch fire. So: where were you planning to draw the line? I really want to know.

      --
      Don't let THEM immanentize the Eschaton!
  2. Meh... by nathan+s · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Whatever happened to old-fashioned selecting crops? If you plant enough of them and grow them for a few years, you'll be able to get seeds that are suited for your area, if I'm not mistaken. Is it just the shortcut factor that makes the GM appealing in this case?

    Not that I'm against genetic modification in principle, but I'm just curious if it's really that much superior to simple selection.

    1. Re:Meh... by Chalex · · Score: 2, Informative

      You've got it exactly right. "Simple selection" takes several generations, that is, many many years. In the lab, the same things can be done in months.

    2. Re:Meh... by whoever57 · · Score: 3, Informative
      Whatever happened to old-fashioned selecting crops? If you plant enough of them and grow them for a few years, you'll be able to get seeds that are suited for your area, if I'm not mistaken. Is it just the shortcut factor that makes the GM appealing in this case?
      This seems to be a common mis-conception, especially in the USA. GM allows genes from completely different organisms (including from animals and fish) to be inserted into the plant.

      This is substantially different to cross-polination/natural selection, since the range of genes that can be added using natural methods is limited to essentially similar plants. Ever see a fish mating with a wheat plant?

      --
      The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
    3. Re:Meh... by mikesmind · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Genetic modification has a lot to do with patents and licensing. There is not enough money (profits) in crossing varieties the old-fashioned way.

      --
      www.mikesmind.com - www.daddyworkathome.com - www.freetofarm.org - www.tenfoottable.com
    4. Re:Meh... by atherton2 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Selection and plant breeding do allow for plants to be tailored to thierenviroments, but this can and has for most crop varieties taken hudreds if not thousands of years of farmers and breeders selceting and crossing promising lines. The advantages of GM are many and varied: 1. as mentioned earlier you can take a gene from any spiceis and place it into the host, 2. you can break linkage between genes 3. you can alter promation of genes 4. other stuff...I won't go on and on. 5. you can do all off this a hell of alot fatser But as asked above it is mainly the speed factor that makes GM so very appealing.

    5. Re:Meh... by gstoddart · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Genetic modification has a lot to do with patents and licensing. There is not enough money (profits) in crossing varieties the old-fashioned way.

      There sure as hell will be when the GM ones get wiped out due to lack of bio-diversity or because the ability for the plants to produce new seed has been removed so you have to buy from the manufacturer.

      Then all of those 'heirloom' varieties are going to become more valuable than you could ever imagine.

      The natural versions of those plants survived just fine for thousands of years. The new-and-improved versions? Who knows how they'll last -- I just don't want to be still living when we suddenly don't have corn and rice anymore.
      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    6. Re:Meh... by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Ever see a fish mating with a wheat plant?


      And here lies the central problem with the anti-GM crowd. The FUD they (and you in this story) spread is that GM means inserting "fishiness" in our plants. If you knew a little bit more about biology and genetics you'd know there's no such thing as a fish gene. The argument is a little like saying there's such a thing as "car steel" and putting "car steel" into an airplane makes the airplane tainted because it now has "carr-i-ness" associated with it.

      --
      AccountKiller
  3. Wrong direction by jrootham · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This may be heading in the wrong direction. The expected perverse consequence of global warming for Britain is the shut down of the Gulf Stream and consequently much colder weather. If it dries out as well, Canadian wheat will be the crop to go to.

  4. What a bloody brilliant idea! by AEther141 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Instead of worrying about all this climate change nonsense we can just genetically modify ourselves and our food to suit. Oh, except if these guys had spent half an hour ringing round a few climatolagists they would have found out that the most likely outcome isn't a smooth, predictable change in temperature but wild, chaotic swings in climate caused by a million climate systems and feedback loops (not limited to the gulfstream) going totally out of whack.

  5. Britain to get hotter or colder? by dmatos · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Well, a whole bunch of people have already pointed out that the current widely accepted hypothesis is that global warming will shut down the gulf stream, and make Britain colder. However,

    The Gulf stream tends to have a moderating effect on Britain. It makes the winters warmer and the summers cooler. If the Gulf Stream shuts down, won't that just eliminate the moderating effect? Wouldn't you have colder winters and warmer summers? If that's the case, then developing plants that can survive in a hotter climate (during the hotter growing season) is the right move.

    --

    It may look like I'm doing nothing, but I'm actively waiting for my problems to go away.
    --Scott Adams
  6. Re:One interesting research possibility... by RingDev · · Score: 4, Informative

    It matters on a lot of things. Take South Africa for example. Early European settlers were shocked by the treeless terrain so they spread pine, oak, and other water hungry plants around the country side. Those trees drink a lot more water then the native plants and have cause rivers to dry up to nothing more then trickles. With less water flowing down stream other plant life suffers and the landscape is drying out.

    There are now government programs that are going through cutting back these huge trees. The effects have been amazing. Not only have the rivers started flowing more water, but the native plant life is bouncing back and some of South Africa's unemployed are getting jobs and training.

    -Rick

    --
    "Most people in the U.S. wouldn't know they live in a tyrannical state if it walked up and grabbed their junk." - MyFirs
  7. Re:That's all well and good... by VitaminB52 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    ...assuming global warming is real, of course.

    Suppose global warming isn't real, then the British can sell these new crops to those countries that are dryer and hotter than the UK.

  8. 2 Issues by Sody · · Score: 3, Informative
    Most predictions I have read say that the currents now operating in the Northern Atlantic keep the climate warm and moist. So, colder and drier seem to be the more likely changes. (Not hotter and drier, as the article states.)

    No doubt this type of change could also be accounted for with genetic engineering, but I was under the impression that the British and most Europeans in general were pretty dead set against about "frankenfoods" that had been genetically modified. Does this project really stand a chance of getting off the ground if it depends on this sort of technology?

    As for the slelective breeding option, I'm not convinced that would work, either. Selective cultivation depends on having some sort of genetic variablility in the current population. The more desirable traits are slected for. Current stocks of seed are not terribly genetically diverse, and if they don't mutate fast enough, you may not be left with enough genetic variants to choose from. Also, this type of selection requires a lot of time--something which may or may not be available as the climate changes.

  9. Re:Now hang on a minute... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative
    Well, it doesn't have to be one or the other. The original article states:

    If British summers get hotter and drier we will need types of wheat, barley and other crops that flower earlier, like Mediterranean varieties, to beat summer droughts.


    So they are developing crops for summer conditions. The (corrected) link about the effect on the gulf stream, OTOH, states:

    "We know that if the current slows down, it will lead to a drop in temperatures in Britain and northern Europe of a few degrees, but the effect isn't even over the seasons. Most of the cooling would be in the winter, so the biggest impact would be much colder winters,"...

    The final impact of any cooling effect will depend on whether it outweighs the global warming that, paradoxically, is driving it. According to climate modellers, the drop in temperature caused by a slowing of the Atlantic current will, in the long term, be swamped by a more general warming of the atmosphere.


    So, while an interuption in the gulf stream may result in colder UK winters, it may have less of an effect on the summers, which then may be warmer due to general global warming. Lower water temperatures in the north atlantic will also mean less moisture in the air, and a drier climate. So, if you actually take the time to read both of these articles (the original and the second one liked by the AC), you'll find that they are not in conflict at all.

    --

    Debunk the Monk!
  10. Figures... by voice_of_all_reason · · Score: 4, Funny

    Starting with barley

    In other words, "Forget the orphans, save the beer!"

  11. Re:and now? rain and fog resistant crops? by CmdrGravy · · Score: 2, Funny

    Generally in the UK we use the word weather to refer to the weather but I must admit that having lived in the UK for 30 years I have never heard this saying of yours. Of course this doesn't detract from the fact that it is always raining in Manchester, The Lake District and Wales.

  12. Re:Pick one? by rcw-work · · Score: 4, Funny

    Err, I mean no. Sorry about that.

  13. solution in search of a problem by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Why not just plant crops that come from hotter, dryer, climates? Or if the other climate model prediciton comes true, shorter, colder growing seasons?

    --
    SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    1. Re:solution in search of a problem by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2, Informative

      It sounds like you're defining drinks such as (American) Budweiser (brewed with maize) as "beer" here. I suspect that a lot of people in the UK may disagree with this.

      I'm from the land of 50,000 microbreweries (yes American, but Budweiser is considered cheap crap not worth boiling sausages in around here); we consider just about anything in the Lager or Ale categories that is made from grain instead of fruit to be beer (though the line blurs somewhat for some of the beers crafted for female tastebuds- it's amazing how well a Raspberry Stout will sell- a cross between a dark barley malt beer with a raspberry wine).

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
  14. Not fact??? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Are you just ignorant on purpose? Go to ANY arctic research site, run by ANYONE. TAKE YOUR PICK. You won't find any credible dissent. ZERO. It's MELTING because it's getting HOTTER. that's just basic observable data, and on the planet Earth, watching the poles is a good indicator of what happens generally around the planet. And the poles haven't been in a state of melted for a FREAKING LONG TIME. they have ice cores indicating constant frozen ness going way back, now that they are obviously melting, and in an accelerated state, is REAL DATA AND BIGTIME NEWS. For whatever combination of reasons, but please, how can you possibly deny what is observable data? Just because it hasn't happened for thousands of years is no reason to negate the effects that are happening now, or to fail to come up with any reasonable extrapolations for the future. It DOESN'T MATTER if it's a "natural cycle" or "mostly human caused" or because of "causes unknown at this point", to us humans, it WILL cause profound changes in society as the planet gets warmer. End of story. And it won't be "minimal" changes, either.

  15. Re:What is the Timeline for global warming? by freeweed · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Well, 2 summers ago Winnipeg experienced its first August snow in recorded history. It was the coldest summer overall, by leaps and bounds. Calgary just experienced a colder than average spring and summer, with snow in the mountains lasting well into August that normally melts by June.

    For every anecdote of a warmer-than-average day/month/season, you can find one of a colder-than-average day/month/season. It doesn't mean the sky is falling, it means that there's no such thing as "normal" temperatures.

    --
    Endless arguments over trivial contradictions in books written by ignorant savages to explain thunder in the dark.
  16. Re:What is the Timeline for global warming? by qualico · · Score: 2, Informative

    Guys in BC are reporting a LOT of rain.
    Trees budding already.

    No doubt there is a lot of changes going on all over the place.
    From where I sit, things are just not right at all.

    If Alberta does not get a sustained snow/rain fall before spring, there is going to be water restrictions/bans and a whole lot of fire fighting going on.

    The fire fighters I work for are already reporting for duty in January.
    That is just crazy.

    Just so you don't think I'm doing the Chicken Little dance, here is the long term forcast 9-12 months, from environment Canada:
    http://www.weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/saisons/image_e. html?img=ccatemp_12_s_m1
    http://www.weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/saisons/image_e. html?img=ccapcpn_12_m1_s

    If things don't go back to normal, there is about to be some serious issues to contend with.